April 29, 2024

Media Decoder Blog: Fall Season Brings Shift in TV Ratings Race

The fall television season continues to generate big shifts in the ratings, with cable shows still dominating over most network offerings on Sunday nights and Fox overtaking a flagging NBC for the season.

NBC was No. 1 throughout the fall in the category it sells to most advertisers — viewers between the ages of 18 and 49. CBS, riding the Super Bowl, quickly surpassed NBC in February, and now Fox has cruised by the peacock network, too.

Even though its once dominant “American Idol” continues to erode, Fox has put together enough of a winter season — with the addition of the solid new drama performer “The Following” — to pass NBC. As of last week, Fox is now averaging a 2.6 rating in that 18-49 group, ahead of NBC’s 2.5. Last week, NBC was still ahead by one-tenth.

CBS is well ahead with a 3.1 rating. ABC, the only network that cannot rely on big sports numbers to push its ratings, is in last place for the season with a 2.3 rating. (Virtually all the sports its parent, Disney, owns rights to, including the N.F.L. and N.C.A.A. football, are on ESPN.)

ABC did, however, get positive ratings news this week from its venerable reality series “The Bachelor.”

This season’s “Bachelor” finale hit a 3.3 rating Monday night, up from a 2.8 for the previous season. And its follow-up special, “After the Final Rose,” did even better, scoring a 3.8 rating, up from a 3.3 last year. The three-hour block was easily the best performer on television Monday night.

ABC is looking to ride the apparent popularity of this bachelor, Sean Lowe, to further ratings improvement. He has been cast on the next edition of “Dancing with the Stars,” which starts Monday.

The network also hopes to put the future wedding of Mr. Lowe and his rose choice, Catherine, in prime time, as soon as possible. (The couple announced on the special Monday night that they would sacrifice their privacy for a TV wedding spectacular.)

Soon might mean within this season, and give ABC a chance to catch NBC for third place (though that is still unlikely); but it would also give ABC the chance to televise the event before the relationship sours, as virtually all the “Bachelor” relationships have.

No matter what happens with Mr. Lowe, dancing or getting married, his block of programming is unlikely to reach the heights now routinely attained by “The Walking Dead” on AMC on Sundays. Once again, that show dwarfed all network competition this past week, scoring a 5.7 rating in the 18-49 group, with 11.46 million viewers.

Only “60 Minutes” on CBS had more viewers Sunday night, with 11.58 million. But cable has another blockbuster on Sundays: the second episode of “The Bible” on The History Channel came in third, with 10.82 million viewers.

That was down from 13.1 million for the show’s premiere, but still represents a huge number for cable. “The Bible” also scored a 2.5 rating among the 18-49 group, which was beaten only by “Family Guy” on Fox with a 2.7 rating.

Article source: http://mediadecoder.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/03/12/fall-season-brings-shift-in-tv-ratings-race/?partner=rss&emc=rss

Wal-Mart Profit Climbed in Fourth Quarter, but Outlook Is Wary

The company reported higher-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday of $5.6 billion, or $1.67 a share, up from $1.51 a share a year ago. The improvement was largely because of tax credits that lowered Wal-Mart’s corporate tax rate.

But the recent payroll tax increase slowed purchases toward the end of the holiday season, and an Internal Revenue Service delay in processing tax returns hurt sales this month.

Wal-Mart said it expected United States sales at stores open at least a year to change little in the current quarter from the same period in 2012. Same-store sales rose 1 percent in the fourth quarter, below analysts’ expectations of a 1.7 percent increase.

“We didn’t finish quite as strong as we would have liked, primarily due to a little slower holiday season than we would have planned,” said Wal-Mart’s chief financial officer, Charles M. Holley Jr., in a call with reporters.

Last year at this time, the company had cashed about $3 billion in checks related to tax refunds and anticipated refunds. This year, it has cashed just $1.7 billion, said William S. Simon, chief executive of Walmart U.S.

“Because of the late change in the tax law last year, the I.R.S. opened filings later than they did last year, and the result of that has been about a three-week delay in the status of tax refunds,” Mr. Simon said in the call. In response, customers may be delaying big purchases, he said.

“We also know that when a customer received an income tax refund, say, the week before the Super Bowl, we have pretty good data that suggests that they’ll buy a television, for example,” he said. “With the delay in the refund, moving into March, late March, we don’t have any visibility yet as to what they’ll do with their checks.”

Mr. Simon and Mr. Holley said the refund delay was the major factor affecting customers’ spending right now, though the payroll tax increase was also having an impact.

“We hear our customers talking about that a lot right now and making adjustments in what they do and what they buy,” Mr. Simon said. “We hear them talking about it more than we’re able to detect it in the sales patterns just yet.”

Wal-Mart’s guidance for the current quarter and fiscal year 2014 was weaker than expected, “indicating a sluggish start to the year” and “a relatively muted consumer environment,” wrote Colin McGranahan, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein, in a note to clients.

Mr. Simon said the company had experienced a return to “a more normal sales pattern” last week, once refund checks started arriving. Still, he said, for many customers, “we don’t know when those checks are going to come.”

Wal-Mart shares rose 1.5 percent on Thursday, to $70.26, as the company reported its earnings and increased its dividend payout to shareholders by 18 percent, to $1.88 a share. Profit, at $1.67 a share, was higher than the $1.57 a share forecast. That was primarily because of a lower-than-usual tax rate, largely because of the American Taxpayer Relief Act passed just after the new year, executives said.

Wal-Mart’s global sales rose 3.9 percent from the quarter a year ago, to $127.1 billion.

There were bright spots for Walmart U.S., including the sporting goods category, where guns and ammunition sales “are mirroring the market right now,” Mr. Simon said. Since the mass shooting in Newtown, Conn., as lawmakers have expressed renewed interest in limiting gun sales, prices have increased and supply has dried up. Walmart is continuing its three-box limit on ammunition purchases, and “there are certain firearms that are very difficult to get,” Mr. Simon said.

The apparel category posted its first positive full-year comparable sales figure in seven years. After a foray into fashionable items, Walmart has retreated to selling basics.

The company’s international unit, which had been a growth engine, did not keep up its pace. “We were not satisfied with the fourth quarter” internationally, said Michael T. Duke, Wal-Mart’s chief executive, in prepared remarks. Sales for international stores grew 6.9 percent to $37.9 billion.

C. Douglas McMillon, chief executive of Wal-Mart International, said in prepared remarks that the holiday season had not gone as planned in several markets; that sales in countries where Wal-Mart is well established, like Japan, Canada and Britain, were under pressure; and that the company’s decision to slow down store openings in Mexico, China and Brazil had affected results.

Executives made few comments about the ongoing Foreign Corrupt Practices Act investigation into Wal-Mart’s conduct in Mexico, Brazil, China and India, other than to stress the company’s commitment to ethical behavior and to note in a regulatory filing that it spent $153 million in the last fiscal year on expenses and professional fees related to the matter.

This article has been revised to reflect the following correction:

Correction: February 21, 2013

An earlier version of this article misstated the amount of refund-anticipation and refund checks Wal-mart had cashed by this time last year. It was $3 billion, not $4 billion.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/22/business/wal-mart-profit-climbs-but-outlook-is-wary.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Gannett Posts Lower Income but Higher Revenue

The media company, which operates the nation’s largest newspaper chain, said it earned $103.1 million, or 44 cents a share, in the October-December period. That was down from $116.9 million, or 49 cents a share, a year earlier.

Revenue grew to $1.52 billion from $1.39 billion.

Adjusted earnings were $207.3 million, or 89 cents a share, in the latest quarter. The figures exclude one-time charges related to the elimination of jobs, a consolidation of facilities and other items. A year ago, Gannett’s adjusted earnings were 72 cents a share.

Analysts, on average, were expecting earnings of 88 cents a share on revenue of $1.5 billion, according to a poll by FactSet.

Gannett owns USA Today and 81 other newspapers, 23 television stations and several digital businesses.

Companywide digital revenue increased 29 percent and accounted for a quarter of all revenue, Gannett said.

Gannett began charging newspaper readers for online access last year, erecting so-called paywalls at most of its newspapers. At the same time, the company raised prices of single-copy newspapers and print subscriptions.

Gannett said the newspaper division had revenue of $1.04 billion, up 4 percent from $1 billion last year. Circulation revenue grew 17 percent to $313 .1 million from $268.1 million. Advertising revenue fell 2 percent to $657.5 million from $670.7 million.

Broadcasting revenue soared 44 percent to $287.5 million from $199.8 million, helped by political advertising.

Gannett warned that its TV advertising revenue would be hurt this quarter by the absence of political ads and the Super Bowl’s move from NBC to CBS.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/05/business/media/gannett-posts-lower-income-but-higher-revenue.html?partner=rss&emc=rss