November 18, 2024

Wal-Mart Profit Climbed in Fourth Quarter, but Outlook Is Wary

The company reported higher-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday of $5.6 billion, or $1.67 a share, up from $1.51 a share a year ago. The improvement was largely because of tax credits that lowered Wal-Mart’s corporate tax rate.

But the recent payroll tax increase slowed purchases toward the end of the holiday season, and an Internal Revenue Service delay in processing tax returns hurt sales this month.

Wal-Mart said it expected United States sales at stores open at least a year to change little in the current quarter from the same period in 2012. Same-store sales rose 1 percent in the fourth quarter, below analysts’ expectations of a 1.7 percent increase.

“We didn’t finish quite as strong as we would have liked, primarily due to a little slower holiday season than we would have planned,” said Wal-Mart’s chief financial officer, Charles M. Holley Jr., in a call with reporters.

Last year at this time, the company had cashed about $3 billion in checks related to tax refunds and anticipated refunds. This year, it has cashed just $1.7 billion, said William S. Simon, chief executive of Walmart U.S.

“Because of the late change in the tax law last year, the I.R.S. opened filings later than they did last year, and the result of that has been about a three-week delay in the status of tax refunds,” Mr. Simon said in the call. In response, customers may be delaying big purchases, he said.

“We also know that when a customer received an income tax refund, say, the week before the Super Bowl, we have pretty good data that suggests that they’ll buy a television, for example,” he said. “With the delay in the refund, moving into March, late March, we don’t have any visibility yet as to what they’ll do with their checks.”

Mr. Simon and Mr. Holley said the refund delay was the major factor affecting customers’ spending right now, though the payroll tax increase was also having an impact.

“We hear our customers talking about that a lot right now and making adjustments in what they do and what they buy,” Mr. Simon said. “We hear them talking about it more than we’re able to detect it in the sales patterns just yet.”

Wal-Mart’s guidance for the current quarter and fiscal year 2014 was weaker than expected, “indicating a sluggish start to the year” and “a relatively muted consumer environment,” wrote Colin McGranahan, an analyst at Sanford C. Bernstein, in a note to clients.

Mr. Simon said the company had experienced a return to “a more normal sales pattern” last week, once refund checks started arriving. Still, he said, for many customers, “we don’t know when those checks are going to come.”

Wal-Mart shares rose 1.5 percent on Thursday, to $70.26, as the company reported its earnings and increased its dividend payout to shareholders by 18 percent, to $1.88 a share. Profit, at $1.67 a share, was higher than the $1.57 a share forecast. That was primarily because of a lower-than-usual tax rate, largely because of the American Taxpayer Relief Act passed just after the new year, executives said.

Wal-Mart’s global sales rose 3.9 percent from the quarter a year ago, to $127.1 billion.

There were bright spots for Walmart U.S., including the sporting goods category, where guns and ammunition sales “are mirroring the market right now,” Mr. Simon said. Since the mass shooting in Newtown, Conn., as lawmakers have expressed renewed interest in limiting gun sales, prices have increased and supply has dried up. Walmart is continuing its three-box limit on ammunition purchases, and “there are certain firearms that are very difficult to get,” Mr. Simon said.

The apparel category posted its first positive full-year comparable sales figure in seven years. After a foray into fashionable items, Walmart has retreated to selling basics.

The company’s international unit, which had been a growth engine, did not keep up its pace. “We were not satisfied with the fourth quarter” internationally, said Michael T. Duke, Wal-Mart’s chief executive, in prepared remarks. Sales for international stores grew 6.9 percent to $37.9 billion.

C. Douglas McMillon, chief executive of Wal-Mart International, said in prepared remarks that the holiday season had not gone as planned in several markets; that sales in countries where Wal-Mart is well established, like Japan, Canada and Britain, were under pressure; and that the company’s decision to slow down store openings in Mexico, China and Brazil had affected results.

Executives made few comments about the ongoing Foreign Corrupt Practices Act investigation into Wal-Mart’s conduct in Mexico, Brazil, China and India, other than to stress the company’s commitment to ethical behavior and to note in a regulatory filing that it spent $153 million in the last fiscal year on expenses and professional fees related to the matter.

This article has been revised to reflect the following correction:

Correction: February 21, 2013

An earlier version of this article misstated the amount of refund-anticipation and refund checks Wal-mart had cashed by this time last year. It was $3 billion, not $4 billion.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/22/business/wal-mart-profit-climbs-but-outlook-is-wary.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Bucks Blog: The Right Investor Behavior for 2012

In this week’s Wealth Matters column, Paul Sullivan checks in with several of his favorite experts to see how they think investors should behave in the new year.

The Nobel-Prize winning psychologist Daniel Kahneman called for prudence, Daniel Egan of Barclays Wealth warned people away from trying to time the markets, and the finance professor Meir Statman is worried about people who may permanently swear off asset classes where they’ve lost a lot of money in the past.

Robert Seaberg of Morgan Stanley, meanwhile, suggested that people not try to hit home runs. Singles and doubles are a better approach, with an emphasis on not losing big from trying too hard. Mr. Statman is particularly worried about older people who are trying to win back the money they’ve lost in recent years and end up trusting crooks who make big promises.

So what about 2012 worries you, and how are you planning accordingly?

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=53918b739ba48f2452f848583a7c1e40

Bucks: Making Online Deposits on an Honor System

Go figure — it turns out that most people can be trusted not to lie about the amount of money they deposit in their bank account.

The Pennsylvania State Employees Credit Union 10 years ago started a deposit service called Upost@home. The service lets members enter their deposits in the credit union’s online banking system for immediate credit. Then, customers mail the checks to the credit union in a postage-paid envelope.

And get this: Deposited funds are immediately available for use, to pay bills for instance, and the money earns interest from the day of the online entry.

That’s right. The service works on an honor system. The bank gives customers credit for deposits before it actually receives them. (If the check doesn’t show up within 10 days, the bank reverses the credit.)

The credit union wasn’t totally crazy. It limited the amount that could be deposited to the service to $1,500 initially (users can have their level increased over time), and it limited the number of members who could use the service.

But, still. Wouldn’t people be tempted to inflate the amount of their deposits, to try to earn a little extra interest?

Apparently not, according to Netbanker.com, which alerted Bucks to the credit union’s innovative system. With about 4.5 million items deposited over a decade, totaling $1.4 billion (the average check was $310) , the bank has suffered just $74,000 in losses. That’s a loss rate just or 1.6 cents per item, rivaling rates for branch deposits, Netbanker says.

Would a for-profit bank dare offer such a service?

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=0046d3ef1620870eb18aa07f73f0553c

Bucks: Riding Out Volatile Times

In his Wealth Matters column this week, Paul Sullivan checks in with some investment professionals on their advice to clients in this year of political and economic turmoil. They all agreed that investors should take the long view and not be swayed by individual events.

But how do you define the long view? The professionals say they continue to be confident about the stock market in the United States, mainly because of strong corporate earnings. One adviser said he was investing in multinational companies that derive their revenue from around the world. Another recommended that investors buy dollars and long-dated United States Treasury bonds as protection against troubles in the euro zone.

What has been your strategy to ride out these volatile times, coming so soon after the financial crisis? Are you sticking with conservative investments, even low-interest CDs? Have you gotten back into stocks? Are you buying commodities?

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=c397bf887cb6481159b17d3e46121003