November 17, 2024

Media Decoder Blog: Led by Celebrity Titles, Magazine Newsstand Sales Slide

5:00 p.m. | Updated As the magazine industry continues to suffer from declining circulation, celebrity gossip magazines and young women’s titles have taken some of the biggest hits.

According to data released by the Alliance for Audited Media on Thursday morning, overall paid and verified circulation of magazines declined slightly by 0.3 percent in the second half of 2012. But newsstand sales – which are often viewed as the best barometer of how well a magazine is doing – dropped by 8.2 percent.

These figures were far worse for celebrity magazines, which largely suffered double-digit declines. People’s newsstand sales dropped by 12.2 percent while US Weekly experienced a 14.6 percent decline. In Touch Weekly declined by 14.8 percent and Life Style Weekly suffered a 19.1 percent drop on newsstands.

Some young women’s magazines like Cosmopolitan and Glamour, which often attract an overlapping audience as celebrity magazines, also suffered major hits. Cosmopolitan had an 18.5 percent decline in newsstand sales while Glamour’s newsstand sales declined by 14.5 percent.

John Harrington, an industry consultant, said that both categories are suffering because young women can access a lot of similar content online.

“They’re fighting all the social media and information that’s just available in so many places,” said Mr. Harrington about the kinds of pressures these magazines are under. “Some of the same factors are that their audience are people who are digitally adept and tend to go to social media.”
While all magazines reported a rise in digital subscribers and the number of average digital magazine copies more than doubled from the year before, these numbers still make up less than 2.4 percent of the entire magazine industry’s average circulation.

Still, some magazine executives were pleased that subscriptions had held up and that there was growth in digital subscriptions. David Carey, the president of Hearst Magazines, said that his company has had to become progressively less dependent on newsstand sales and more on subscriptions. He said in ways technology has made it easier and less costly to target new subscribers.

“With the newsstand, I don’t want to say it’s unimportant because it’s a key avenue for us. So we continue to do a lot of innovation and investment at the newsstand,” said Mr. Carey. “The newsstand is a priority. But in terms of a litmus test, it means far less today than it did five or 10 years ago.”

Industry experts said that magazines also suffered from what was and was not happening in the world. Steven Cohn, editor of the Media Industry Newsletter, said that celebrity weeklies didn’t benefit from the boom that comes from celebrity weddings, births or deaths in recent months. He expects that business prospects may improve for these titles in the second half of the year after Prince William and Kate Middleton have their first child.

“In the second half of 2012, there was no royal wedding. There was no tragedy like the death of Michael Jackson,” said Mr. Cohen. “They should get a bump by the royal birth.”

Mr. Cohen added that Hurricane Sandy also may have hurt newsstand sales. He noted that even during an election year, Time Inc. experienced a decline in newsstand sales. Newsstand sales for the magazine declined to 58,776 in the second half of 2012 from 76,555 from the same time in 2011.

“I think Sandy is a factor,” said Mr. Cohen. “It certainly hurt newsstand in New York and New Jersey, which is the biggest market in the country.”

While Family Circle and Woman’s Day both noted rises in their newsstand sales, Mr. Harrington said that both magazines had cut back their frequency of publication to 12 times a year from 15 times a year. Both magazines also are relatively inexpensive.

“That helped their average newsstand sales and they’re still relatively lower priced items,” said Mr. Harrington.

Article source: http://mediadecoder.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/02/07/led-by-celebrity-titles-magazine-newsstand-sales-slide/?partner=rss&emc=rss

Economix Blog: Four Years Later, 28,000 More Jobs

For jobs, the past four years have been a wash.

FLOYD NORRIS

FLOYD NORRIS

Notions on high and low finance.

The December jobs figures out today indicate that there were 725,000 more jobs in the private sector than at the end of 2008 — and 697,000 fewer government jobs. That works into a private-sector gain of 0.6 percent, and a government sector decline of 3.1 percent.

In total, the number of people with jobs is up by 28,000, or 0.02 percent.

How does that compare? It is by far the largest four-year decline in government employment since the 1944-48 term. That decline was caused by the end of World War II; this one was caused largely by budget limitations. The only other post-1948 four-year drop was during Ronald Reagan’s first term, when government employment fell 0.6 percent.

Going back to Dwight Eisenhower, there have been only two administrations that turned in a worse performance in private-sector job growth. There were small declines in Eisenhower’s first term and in George W. Bush’s first term. Mr. Bush’s second term posted a scant 1.1 percent gain in private-sector employment — a gain that was wiped out during the first two months of 2009.

Over all, Mr. Obama’s first four years narrowly — and preliminarily — escaped being the second four-year presidential term since World War II to suffer net job losses. The first was George W. Bush’s first term.

The New York Times


A note on methodology. A month from now the Bureau of Labor Statistics will announce the final benchmark revision for the 12 months through March 2012. The preliminary estimate for that revision was that the economy gained 453,000 more private-sector jobs during the period than was previously reported, and lost 67,000 more government jobs. The calculations in this post incorporate those estimates.

The December figure will of course be revised for the next two months, and then will get a final revision in February 2014. Only then will it be clear whether the past four years had a net gain or loss in jobs.

Article source: http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/01/04/four-years-later-28000-more-jobs/?partner=rss&emc=rss

Stocks Decline on Budget

Opinion »

The Score: The Reconstruction of Rome

How Robert Beaser fought 1970s orthodoxies to find his voice as a composer.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/29/business/daily-stock-market-activity.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

The iEconomy


Motion Graphic: The iPhone Economy

Apple’s iPhone is a model of American ingenuity, but most of its components are manufactured somewhere else. The decline of manufacturing can lead to the loss of other kinds of jobs.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/business/ieconomy.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Household Net Worth Falls 0.3% in Quarter

WASHINGTON (AP) — Americans’ wealth declined this spring for the first time in a year, as stocks and homes fell in value, a Federal Reserve report said Friday. At the same time, corporations increased the size of their cash stockpiles.

The combination could slow an already weak economy because it implies that families have less to spend and businesses are reluctant to expand.

Household net worth dropped 0.3 percent to $58.5 trillion in the April-June quarter from the previous period, according to the Federal Reserve’s Flow of Funds report. The decline followed three straight quarterly increases.

The value of Americans’ stock portfolios fell 0.5 percent in the second quarter. Home values dropped 0.4 percent.

Corporations held a record $2 trillion in cash at the end of June, an increase of 4.5 percent.

Net worth is expected to fall even further in the current quarter because stocks plunged in late July and early August.

“August put a big dent in whatever confidence consumers had left,” said Greg McBride, senior financial analyst at Bankrate.com. That’s largely why retail sales were flat last month, he added.

Over all, household wealth, which mostly consists of home equity, stock portfolios, and other savings, has risen 15 percent since the recession officially ended in June 2009.

The increase is almost entirely the result of one of the fastest bull markets in history. Stocks began to recover in the spring of 2009 and had doubled in value by April of this year, as measured by the S. P. 500 index.

But Americans’ wealth has taken a hit since the second quarter, the period covered by the Fed report. The S. P. index has tumbled 11 percent since its April 29 peak, and 8 percent since the end of the quarter. That likely means an even larger drop in household net worth in the July-September quarter.

Stock portfolios make up about 15 percent of Americans’ wealth. That’s less than housing but ahead of bank deposits, according to the Fed’s report.

The likely drop in wealth comes at the same time that incomes are stagnating, particularly for middle-income households. Average household income, adjust for inflation, fell 6.4 percent last year from 2007, the year before the recession, the Census Bureau said earlier this week.

Americans also have less equity in their homes. The average homeowner has just 38.6 percent equity, down from 61 percent a decade ago.

The report found household debt declined at an annual rate of 0.6 percent from the previous quarter, helped by a big decline in mortgage debt, which has fallen for nine straight quarters.

But the decline is deceiving. Mortgage debt is coming down because so many Americans are defaulting and losing their homes to foreclosure, not just because people are paying off loans.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=2bb20526f23ff28711accb85ca2e4128

Some Hints of Optimism in Economic Data

In addition, a private manufacturing index rose more than expected.

But construction spending fell a sharp 1.3 percent in July, with big declines in government projects, and productivity narrowed in the second quarter, making Thursday another day of mixed signals on the state of the United States economy.

The Labor Department said on that weekly applications fell 12,000 to a seasonally adjusted 409,000 last week, the first decline in three weeks.

A strike by Verizon workers drove applications higher during the previous two weeks. The strike ended last week and is no longer affecting applications.

Applications have fallen from an eight-month high of 478,000 in April. Still, they typically need to drop below 375,000 to signal sustainable job growth, analysts say. They haven’t been at that level since February.

Meanwhile, the Institute for Supply Management’s index indicated that manufacturing expanded again in last month, its 25th consecutive monthly increase. Analysts surveyed by FactSet had expected a contraction.

Although the index fell to 50.6 last month from 50.9 in July, a level above 50 signals that the economy is expanding.

In a separate report, the Labor Department said worker productivity fell this spring in the United States at a faster pace than previously estimated, while labor costs were rising at a faster clip. Both developments could pose threats to a fragile economic recovery.

Productivity declined at an annual rate of 0.7 percent in the April-June period, a bigger drop than the 0.3 percent decline reported a month ago. Labor costs rose at an annual rate of 3.3 percent, faster than the 2.4 percent increase originally reported.

The changes reflected downward revisions made last week to overall economic growth that showed the economy’s output barely growing in the spring. Declining productivity, if it persists for a prolonged period, would represent a serious economic threat, while rising labor costs would cut into corporate profits.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/02/business/economy/us-jobless-claims-dip-after-verizon-strike-ends.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Home Prices Edge Up, Report Says

The Standard Poor’s/Case-Shiller home-price index said prices increased in June from May in 19 of the 20 cities tracked. Prices rose 3.6 percent in the April-June quarter from the previous quarter. Neither of those numbers is adjusted for seasonal factors.

Over the last 12 months, home prices have declined in all 20 cities.

Chicago, Minneapolis, Washington and Boston posted the biggest monthly increases. Metro areas hit hardest by the housing crisis, including Las Vegas and Phoenix, reported small seasonal increases.

Housing has been a drag on the economy and is a crucial reason it has struggled to recover two years after the recession officially ended. Home sales are on pace this year to be the worst in 14 years.

High unemployment, larger down payment requirements and tighter credit are preventing many buyers from entering the market. Many who can afford to buy are waiting because they are worried prices have yet to hit bottom.

Analysts say home prices have stabilized in coastal cities over the last six months. Seasonally adjusted prices have fallen a modest 1 percent in the last six months, according to the index. That’s less than a third of the decline from the previous six months.

But this year, home prices in many cities have reached their lowest points since the housing market went bust more than four years ago. Prices in Cleveland, Detroit, Las Vegas, Phoenix and Tampa are at 2000 levels.

“These shifts suggest that we are back to regional housing markets, rather than a national housing market where everything rose and fell together,” said David M. Blitzer, chairman of S.P.’s index committee.

The index measures prices compared with those in January 2000 and creates a three-month moving average. The June data is the latest available.

Home prices are certain to fall further once banks resume millions of foreclosures, which have been delayed because of a government investigation into mortgage lending practices. If the American economy slips back into another recession, prices could drop even further.

“There’s no theoretical floor for prices. If the economy worsens, housing will get into a vicious cycle of falling prices and foreclosures,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics. “When prices fall, confidence wanes.”

Last year, a homebuyer tax credit helped bolster prices temporarily. But prices began to fall shortly after the tax credit expired. They tumbled in big metro areas in March to their lowest level since 2002.

As prices have declined, so too have sales.

The pace of sales for previously occupied homes is trailing last year’s 4.91 million sold, the fewest since 1997. In a healthy economy, people buy roughly 6 million homes each year.

Sales of new homes dropped in July for third straight month. This year is shaping up to be the worst for sales of new homes on records dating back to 1963.

Foreclosures and short sales — when a lender agrees to sell for less than what is owed on a mortgage — made up about 30 percent of all home sales last month, up from about 10 percent in past years. And 1.7 million potential foreclosures are being held up, according to the real estate firm CoreLogic, either by backlogged courts or lenders awaiting state and federal probes into troubled foreclosure practices.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=cd84c9d52549583d61d9a75dd3ede4ac

Bucks Blog: Friday Reading: Are Tanning Beds Addictive?

August 12

Friday Reading: Are Tanning Beds Addictive?

Tanning beds may be addictive, there’s no lobster in Zabar’s lobster salad, jobless claims decline and other consumer-focused news from The New York Times.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=25a3b7c3b79f51e17c46c87ed1c1cc2f

Unemployment Aid Applications at 4-Month Low

WASHINGTON (AP) — The number of people seeking unemployment benefits fell last week below 400,000 for the first time in four months, a sign that the job market may be improving slowly after a recent slump.

Applications for unemployment aid dropped by 7,000 to a seasonally adjusted 395,000, the Labor Department said Thursday. Applications had been above 400,000 for the previous 17 weeks.

The four-week average, a less-volatile figure, fell to 405,000, its sixth straight decline and the lowest level since mid-April. That suggests layoffs have eased.

The decline in applications helped lift stocks. The Dow Jones industrial average rose more than 85 points in the first hour of trading.

Applications fell in February to 375,000, a level that reflects healthy job growth. They soared to an eight-month high of 478,000 in late April, and have declined slowly since then.

There were fewer layoffs last week in the manufacturing, transportation and service industries, according to the report. Only nine states reported an increase in applications.

Paul Dales, senior U.S. economist at Capital Economics said the decline shows the job market is at least not getting worse.

“Of course, it tells us nothing about hiring, which the market turmoil of recent weeks will not have helped,” said Dales, noting the 16 percent decline in the Dow Jones industrial average since July 21.

The economy added 117,000 net jobs in July, the government said last week. That was an improvement from the previous two months. But it’s far below the average of 215,000 jobs per month that companies created from February through April.

Many employers pulled back on hiring after signs emerged that the economy had weakened from last year. High gas prices and scant wage gains left consumers with less money to spend on discretionary purchases, such as appliances, furniture and electronics. Supply chain disruptions caused by the Japan crisis also dampened U.S. factory production.

The economy expanded at an annual rate of just 0.8 percent in the first six months of the year, the slowest growth in the two years since the recession officially ended.

Steven Wood, chief economist at Insight Economics, said the declining trend in weekly unemployment benefit applications is an encouraging sign for the job market.

“Although the labor market also hit a “soft patch” along with most of the rest of the economy during the spring and early summer, it now appears to be strengthening, at least a little, again,” he said.

Still, the outlook for the economy is dim. The Federal Reserve on Tuesday said it expects growth will stay weak for two more years. The Fed also acknowledged that the economy’s problems go beyond temporary factors, such as high gas prices.

As a result, the Fed said it would likely keep the short-term interest rate near zero at least through mid-2013.

Economists have slashed their growth estimates. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. expects just 2.5 percent growth in the July-September quarter, down from its previous estimate of 3.25 percent. JPMorgan Chase Co. reduced its estimate to 1.5 percent, down from as high as 3 percent several weeks ago.

Growth of about 2.5 percent is barely enough to reduce the unemployment rate. The economy needs to grow by 5 percent for a whole year to bring down the rate by one percentage point.

Fears that the U.S. economy could be at risk of falling back into a recession, along with concerns that Europe is struggling to control its debt crisis, have roiled markets in recent weeks. The Dow Jones industrial average has fallen nearly 12 percent so far this month.

Many analysts worry that market turmoil could spook investors and consumers, causing them to take fewer risks and cut back on spending. That would hurt economic growth, making the markets’ jitters a self-fulfilling prophecy.

The number of people continuing to receive unemployment benefits fell by 60,000 to 3.69 million. But that doesn’t include nearly 4 million additional unemployed people who are receiving extended benefits under emergency programs set up during the recession.

In all, about 7.5 million people received unemployment benefits in the week ending July 23, the latest data available.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=d1f913bf417ebe6f22fafd605b541897

U.S. Housing Prices Remain Weak

The private Standard Poor’s/Case-Shiller index, a closely watched measure of home prices, was up 1 percent compared with April, according to the broadest measure of data tracking 20 cities. Prices rose in 16 of the cities; they fell in Detroit, Las Vegas and Tampa and were unchanged in Phoenix.

The rise in May comes after the index edged up a fractional 0.6 percent in April, which marked the first time prices were higher in eight months.

But the trend in the 20-city composite index, while positive, was attributed to seasonal factors, and analysts were hesitant to read too much into one or two months of data. Demand is typically stronger in the spring, and continued weakness was evident in other barometers of housing health, such as contract cancellations, tightened lending standards and sales of new homes in June.

“We have now seen two consecutive months of generally improving prices; however, we might have a long way to go before we see a real recovery,” said David M. Blitzer, the chairman of the index committee at SP Indices. “Sustained increases in home prices over several months and better annual results need to be seen before we can confirm real estate market recovery,” he said in a statement released with the survey.

The data compared to the past several years showed that prices in Detroit, Las Vegas and Tampa reached new lows, down nearly 50 percent or more since the peaks of 2005-2006, the survey shows.

The overall index in May was down compared to May 2010, by 4.5 percent. That reflected a decline in prices in 19 of the 20 metropolitan areas when compared with the previous year.

Washington, D.C., was the area with the only annual price increase, while Minneapolis, where home prices were up 2.6 percent in May and 0.1 percent in April, had the biggest fall in prices from May last year, with an 11.7 percent drop.

Barbara T. Jandric, the president of Edina Realty in Minneapolis, said that the drop from last year reflected prices of many foreclosed homes. But in recent months the profile of houses being sold was starting to grow sounder, with fewer foreclosure sales as a percentage of the whole.

“We still have quite a few of those sales in our market, but we see that we maybe hit our peak,” she said.

In addition, the firm has noticed more buyers on the higher end of the market, she said.

“So for the first time in many, many years, in that segment of the market we are seeing shortages of listings,” she said. “For us, it is another glimmer of hope that the market is really slowly, slowly trying to come back.”

Analysts said that the spring uptick started in April and was likely to dwindle by October, when weak demand typically drags down home prices.

In addition, other variables in the economy are deflating hopes for a housing rebound, including a struggling jobs market in which the unemployment rate is at 9.2 percent and consumer confidence is at depressed levels, said Chris G. Christopher Jr., senior principal economist for IHS Global Insight.

“Things do not look very favorable on the housing front since the employment situation has taken a turn for the worse in May and June,” he said in a research note. “Going forward, the Case-Shiller indexes are likely to post increases during the home-buying season, and then turn down again.”

In another report, new-home sales were virtually unchanged in June, slipping 1 percent to an annual rate of 312,000, according the Department of Commerce. Analysts had predicted a 320,000 annualized level.

The number of new homes for sale declined nearly 2 percent to 164,000, and was 22 percent down compared with a year ago, the department said.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=24e1a83fc84d01631d9f54bcab19a173