April 19, 2024

Economix Blog: What Your Tax Dollars Are Buying

Today – and I hope this does not come as a surprise to any of you – is tax day, when we are required to settle our bills with the federal government for the year 2012. Given how much we pay to Washington every year, it seems only fair that we ask for a receipt.

The White House and research organizations including Third Way have made it easy to do just that: Go to their online widgets and input a little tax and income information, and they will tell you just what you bought with your federal tax dollars. The widgets all operate on the same principle. They take the amount you paid in taxes and then divide that money up into separate piles that are proportionate to the spending categories of the federal budget.

Let’s say that you paid $20,000 in income taxes last year. According to the White House receipt, you would have spent about $7,000 on defense, including the military operations in Afghanistan and Iraq. The second-biggest category is health spending, on programs like Medicaid and Medicare. That accounted for about $6,400. After that comes “job and family security,” which includes unemployment insurance and programs for the working poor, which you spent about $5,000 on last year. Net interest on the debt is also a major category, accounting for about $2,300.

Then, there are many much smaller categories. Humanitarian aid, for instance, cost you only $228 out of your $20,000. You spent about $1,300 on programs for veterans and $190 on agriculture. Education and job training cost you about $940 and NASA about $170. Disaster response worked out to about $120.

There are a few things to note here. One is that “mandatory” spending – including government funding for Social Security, Medicaid, Medicare and interest on the debt – and military spending together significantly outweigh “discretionary” spending. That is upside down to many Americans’ perceptions of the budget. (It is also worth noting that the White House separates out tax revenue for and spending on Social Security and certain parts of Medicare.)

The second is that all those numbers add up to more than $20,000. If you go to the White House calculator and say you paid $5,000 in income taxes, it will break it down into an equivalent $5,000 in spending. But that doesn’t really make sense. Last year, Washington spent far more than it took in – about $1.1 trillion more. That means that for every tax dollar it collected, it spent about $1.43.

By the same logic, your $20,000 in income taxes translated into about $28,600 in spending. In the numbers above, I corrected for that discrepancy, particularly given that you will end up paying for that deficit in the form of higher taxes, lower spending and higher interest payments in the future.

Article source: http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/04/15/what-are-your-tax-dollars-buying/?partner=rss&emc=rss

Japan’s Economy Grew in Last Quarter of 2012

TOKYO (AP) — Japan’s economy did better than first thought in the last quarter of 2012, eking out a slight expansion instead of shrinking in a boost for Prime Minister’s Shinzo Abe’s policies to end two decades of deflationary stagnation.

The government Friday upgraded its annualized growth figure for the fourth quarter to 0.2 percent, suggesting the world’s No. 3 economy is emerging from recession.

The change raises growth for full-year 2012 to 2 percent from the originally recorded 1.9 percent. Growth was flat in October-December from the previous quarter.

Preliminary data had reported a 0.4 percent contraction from a year earlier, and a 0.1 percent contraction from the previous quarter.

The revision reflected higher than originally reported corporate spending and private consumption.

Meanwhile, the Finance Ministry said Japan logged a deficit in its current account of 364.8 billion yen ($3.8 billion) in January, the third straight month of deficit.

A sharp weakening in Japan’s currency in recent months is seen as a boost for the country’s export manufacturers — especially big names such as Toyota Motor Corp. and Sony Corp., but it also has raised costs for imports of fuel and other commodities, sapping the country’s usually hefty trade surpluses.

The yen rose to a more than three-and-a-half-year high against the U.S. dollar on Friday, as traders sold dollars in reaction to positive U.S. data and to perceived risks from North Korean threats of retaliation for imposition of sanctions over its nuclear weapons program.

Meanwhile, share prices in Japan also surged, to their highest level in over four years as investors bought export-related shares. The benchmark Nikkei-225 stock index gained 2.6 percent, or 315.54, to 12,283.62, its seventh straight session of gains.

While rallies in overseas markets have helped boost the Nikkei, share prices have also risen in anticipation that an easing of monetary policy and robust government spending under Abe, who took office in late December, would help Japan escape years of deflationary stagnation.

The nomination of Haruhiko Kuroda, a Finance Ministry veteran who is president of the Asian Development Bank, to become Japan’s next central bank governor has further lifted sentiment. Kuroda has expressed strong support for Abe’s economic strategy and for quickly achieving a 2 percent inflation target set by the central bank and government in January.

So far, prices have shown no signs of rising.

“It is a near certainty that policy will be eased further in April,” Julian Jessop, chief economist for London-based Capital Economics, said in a commentary late Thursday. However, he said Kuroda’s policies would be unlikely to differ much from the current Bank of Japan governor, Masaaki Shirakawa, despite perceptions that Shirakawa favors a less aggressive policy approach.

The bank may increase the size of asset purchases meant to stimulate the economy, and lengthen their maturity, he said.

But “most of the more radical options, including purchases of foreign bonds and setting a two-year horizon for the inflation target, are unlikely to gain sufficient support, all of which is setting up the markets for some major disappointment,” Jessop said.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2013/03/08/business/ap-as-japan-economy.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Economix Blog: New-Home Sales Soar

New-home sales rose 20 percent in 2012, the government said Friday. That is the largest annual gain since 1983.

The year 2012 was the third-slowest year in terms of new-home sales since the government began tracking the number in 1963.

FLOYD NORRIS

FLOYD NORRIS

Notions on high and low finance.

So it goes in the housing market these days. As my column in Friday’s paper noted, the housing market these days is not good. But it is getting better at an impressive rate.

The government estimated that 367,000 new homes were sold last year, up from 306,000 a year earlier. That year was the worst ever. The second worst was 2010. The fourth worst was 2009.

The five highest years were from 2002 through 2006, with 2005 the best. Sales in 2012 were less than 30 percent of that record level.

One statistic that is back to normal is the age of new homes that have been completed but not yet sold. The latest report puts it at 4.6 months, which is (just) within the range of figures reported before the crisis began. At the worst, in early 2010, the average such house was 14.4 months old.

The number of new homes for sale, including houses not yet built, is estimated at 151,000. That is up from the low of 143,000 reached last summer, but far below anything seen before the crash.

The headlines on Friday’s report say the sales rate slipped in December. That is based on seasonal adjustments that are are notably imprecise, and may not justify much attention.

Article source: http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/01/25/new-home-sales-soar-and-remain-low/?partner=rss&emc=rss