April 25, 2024

Markets Near Milestone Highs as Federal Reserve Reassures on Rates

The Dow Jones industrial average came within 100 points of a milestone high on Wednesday after rising sharply for a second consecutive day.

The market surged in response to more evidence that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates low, that housing will continue recovering and that shoppers are not cutting back on spending, even with a payroll tax increase.

All but one of the 30 stocks in the Dow Jones industrial average rose, as did all 10 industries in the Standard Poor’s 500-stock index.

The Dow rose 175.24 points, or 1.3 percent, to 14,075.37. The index is now less than 100 points away from its close of 14,164 in October 2007. It has gained 291 points in the last two days, erasing its decline of 216 points on Monday, when inconclusive results from an election in Italy renewed worries that Europe’s fiscal crisis could flare up again.

“The market psychology has clearly shifted. It’s no longer sell the rally; it’s buy the dips,” said Dan Veru, chief investment officer at Palisade Capital Management. “The economic data continues to be strong.”

Stocks have surged, with the Dow up 7.4 percent since the start of the year. Earnings for S. P. 500 companies are set to climb 7.8 percent in the fourth quarter, the third consecutive quarter of growth, according to data from SP Capital IQ.

The S. P. 500-stock index gained 19.05 points, or 1.3 percent, to 1,515.99 on Wednesday. It is 6.3 percent higher for the year and about 3.2 percent short of its nominal record close of 1,565. The Nasdaq composite index rose 32.61 points, or 1.04 percent, to 3,162.26.

Investors were encouraged that the Federal Reserve chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, stood behind the central bank’s low-interest-rate policies as he faced lawmakers for a second day. His comments eased worries about the bank’s resolve to continue the program. Those worries sprang up last week when minutes from the bank’s last policy meeting revealed disagreement about the policy among Fed officials.

Interest rates were steady. The Treasury’s benchmark 10-year note fell 4/32, to 100 29/32, and the yield rose to 1.90 percent from 1.89 percent late Tuesday.

The number of Americans who signed contracts to buy homes rose in January to the highest level in almost three years. The report continued a string of positive housing news, including the government’s announcement on Tuesday that sales of new homes rose 16 percent last month to the highest level since July 2008.

Home builder stocks rose for the second consecutive day. The PulteGroup climbed 25 cents, or 1.3 percent, to $19.30, after rising 5.7 percent the day before.

“Some encouraging news for the bulls has been the housing data that has come out over the past couple of days,” said Todd Salamone, director of research at Schaeffer’s Investment Research.

Mr. Salamone said he remained “extremely bullish” on stocks in the medium and long term, but cautioned that there might be a pullback in the coming days.

Discount retailers rose on Wednesday. Dollar Tree jumped $4.31, or 10.5 percent, to $45.39 after reporting a profit increase of more than 20 percent. Dollar General rose $1.61, or 3.6 percent, to $46.56. Family Dollar Stores rose $1.39, or 2.5 percent, to $57.68.

Priceline.com gained $17.42, or 2.6 percent, to $695.91 after reporting that its net income grew in the fourth quarter on increased bookings.

First Solar fell $4.32, or 13.8 percent, to $27.04 after the company posted disappointing sales for the fourth quarter and gave a weak early outlook for the year.

Target, the discount retail chain, fell 93 cents, or 1.5 percent, to $63.12. The company reported that its quarterly income fell 2 percent as it dealt with intense competition during the holiday shopping season.

DreamWorks Animation fell 30 cents, or 1.8 percent, to $16.31 after posting a loss of $82.7 million. The company booked a write-off on its November release, “Rise of the Guardians,” and on a coming movie that needs to be reworked.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/02/28/business/daily-stock-market-activity.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Stocks Drop Sharply on Disappointing Reports

Stephen J. Carl, head equity trader at the Williams Capital Group, said the latest economic reports suggested that “the economy is running out of steam.”

News that Moody’s cut Greece’s credit rating again because of debt restructuring concerns also contributed to the drop.

All 30 stocks in the Dow Jones industrial average fell. The index closed down 279.65 points, or 2.22 percent, at 12,290.14. The Standard Poor’s 500-stock index was down 30.65 points, or 2.28 percent, at 1,314.55. Both registered the worst percentage declines since August 11, 2010.

The Nasdaq composite index fell 66.11 points, or 2.33 percent, to 2,769.19.

On Wall Street, financials, materials and industrials all fell more than 3 percent, with financial shares declining by 3.48 percent. Bank of America was down 4.26 percent at $11.24, while Wells Fargo tumbled 5 percent to $26.94.

ADP Employer Services, the payroll processing firm, said Wednesday that private employers added 38,000 jobs in May, the smallest increase since September and well below market expectations.

The report came in advance of Friday’s monthly employment report for May by the Labor Department. The nonfarm payroll employment numbers are keenly anticipated every month by investors to assess the state of wages, salaries, and ultimately consumer spending.

“We had this accumulation of data pointing to slower economic growth,” said Kathy Jones, a strategist at the Schwab Center for Financial Research. “I think today’s ADP number probably just tipped everybody over the edge who was hoping we might see a strong employment report on Friday.”

Economists said that the ADP survey could have been affected by severe storms in many parts of the country last month, while automobile manufacturers have temporarily laid off workers in response to a disruption in supply chains. Analysts at Capital Economics said in a research note that the dip also reflected a slowdown in the growth in the service sector.

Economists at Goldman Sachs revised their estimate of May nonfarm payrolls to 100,000 from 150,000 after the ADP report.

“While the ADP report has a mixed track record in forecasting payroll growth, our research indicates it should receive some weight,” they said in a research note. “Moreover, the weakness in the ADP report follows a streak of weaker-than-expected news on both the labor market and activity as whole.”

The slower growth in employment along with fewer new orders were factors in the lower measure of manufacturing last month. In its survey of 18 industries, the Institute for Supply Management said its index fell to a 19-month low of 53.5 last month from 60.4 the previous month. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg had estimated that the index would decline to 57.1 points.

“Pressures from rising commodity costs, plus supply-chain disruptions from Japan’s natural disaster, and extreme weather domestically, have combined to slow manufacturing’s momentum,” said Nigel Gault, IHS Global Insight’s chief United States economist.

“This is particularly worrying since manufacturing has been the economy’s shining star,” he added in a research note.

Also weighing on investor sentiment was a report that the steady recovery in auto sales stalled in May, as consumers stayed away from new-car showrooms because of higher prices, shortages of some Japanese models, and concerns over the economy. Automakers said that sales dropped 3.7 percent last month compared with the same period a year earlier. Despite the overall decline, sales by Detroit’s Big Three automakers outpaced imports for the first time in more than five years last month.

Markets were also down in Asia on Thursday morning after the pullback in the United States.

As stocks slumped, investors turned their attention to safer assets, pushing government bond prices higher. The Treasury’s 10-year note rose 1 1/32, to 101 18/32. The yield fell below 3 percent for the first time in 2011. It eased to 2.94 percent, from 3.06 percent late Tuesday.

Kevin H. Giddis, the executive managing director and president for fixed-income capital markets at Morgan Keegan Company, said Treasuries rose in reaction to the latest economic reports. He said the latest statistics suggested “what appears to be a significant slowdown” in the economy in the last month.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/02/business/02markets.html?partner=rss&emc=rss