November 22, 2024

Chasing the Storm, but Hoping Not to Catch It

Today, interest in storm chasing has surged, and a preponderance of amateurs with video cameras and a thirst for YouTube fame now jockey with seasoned professionals to see who can get the closest and most dramatic images of churning storms, causing some veterans to worry about a growing safety threat.

The risks became apparent on Sunday when relatives confirmed that Mr. Samaras, 55, along with his 24-year-old son, Paul, and his colleague, Carl Young, 45, were killed while chasing the storms that ravaged parts of Oklahoma on Friday.

They were among at least 13 people killed in the storm, which spawned several tornadoes and caused flash flooding in the region around Oklahoma City. A tornado also picked up a truck carrying several storm chasers, including a meteorologist for the Weather Channel, and tossed it into a field, causing injuries but no deaths.

The deaths come as storm chasers have reached a kind of pop-culture zenith, similar to that achieved by celebrity chefs and interior decorators on numerous reality shows. Mr. Samaras was well known for his appearances on the reality show “Storm Chasers,” on the Discovery Channel, which ended in 2011.

Many other networks use vivid footage of storms. The Weather Channel has programmed regular series like “Full Force Nature” with storm chasers providing video of severe weather.

Advancements in video and Web technology mean storm chasers are now able to provide a live play-by-play of a tornado’s destruction. But with Friday’s deaths, the first in many years, veteran chasers said, some experts question whether the push to get closer and closer to storms has dimmed perceptions of the dangers they pose.

“When a veteran storm chaser as cautious and experienced as Tim Samaras dies, I hope it is a lesson to all the storm chasers of just how potentially dangerous storm chasing is,” said Greg Forbes, a meteorologist with the Weather Channel. “There is some chance you could die.”

The circumstances surrounding the deaths were still unknown Sunday. Dr. Forbes said the tornado Mr. Samaras was tracking made a sudden left turn, perhaps catching him and his team unaware and leaving them nowhere to run. Others speculated that engine trouble or perhaps a traffic jam could have left them stuck in the tornado’s path.

Mr. Samaras’s brother Jim posted a statement on his brother’s Facebook page expressing sadness but giving no details. “They all unfortunately passed away, but doing what they loved,” the statement said.

Colleagues who worked with Mr. Samaras described him as extremely cautious and more apt than most to abandon a storm in the face of obvious danger. He was a scientist first and foremost, colleagues said, whose interests traveled far beyond the hunt.  

He founded an organization called Twistex to study the births, lives and deaths of tornadoes. With probes of his own design that he would place directly in the tornado’s path, he measured wind speeds and barometric pressure at the base of the storm, where such data are hardest to get. Another probe was equipped with video cameras capable of providing detailed imagery from inside the tornado cone.

He contributed research to organizations like the American Meteorological Society and National Geographic.

“He was out there for the science and he was going to get that,” said Tony Laubach, a meteorologist and friend of Mr. Samaras. “He wanted to answer the questions people thought were impossible.”

Others said Mr. Samaras had expressed concern about the increase in amateur chasers on roads, and had occasionally called off a chase if he thought traffic would be too heavy.

Over the last decade, the number of chasers converging on the Great Plains for the start of tornado season has exploded, particularly in Oklahoma, where the first devilish wisps of a new tornado can cause traffic jams as chasers race into position.

Ginger Zee, a meteorologist and veteran storm chaser with ABC News, said the number of storm chasers had “boomed” in the last decade. “Any time you’re in Oklahoma and you have an outbreak, you have chaser convergence,” she said “And it’s gotten bigger and bigger and bigger.”

Some referred to the emergence of a “Twister” generation of chasers inspired by the 1996 movie starring Helen Hunt and Bill Paxton as swashbuckling storm chasers in a pickup truck.

Tornado tourism is also on the rise, with several tour companies offering to bring paying guests into the churning heart of dangerous storms. At least one, called Extreme Chase Tours, allows guests as young as 12.

Experts said so many eyes trained on the storm could have benefits. Most warnings are issued based on Doppler radar readings without visual confirmation and frequently cause false alarms, leading to complacency among residents, Dr. Forbes said.

“The more human verified it is, the more people are likely to take shelter,” he said.

Mr. Samaras was on the lookout on Friday. He sent out a Twitter message at 4:50 p.m. shortly before the storm hit along with a photo of ominous, thickening white clouds.

“Storms now initiating south of Watonga along triple point,” he wrote. “Dangerous day ahead for OK — stay weather savvy!”

Bill Carter contributed reporting.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/03/business/media/storm-chasers-among-those-killed-in-oklahoma.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Housing Starts Rose 14% in June

The pace of new construction of private homes in the United States last month was the highest since January, according to government figures released on Tuesday, but economists warned that the sector had still not stabilized for a full recovery.

Builders broke ground at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 629,000 units in June, a rise of more than 14 percent compared with the previous month and a rate that was 16.7 percent higher than June 2010, the Department of Commerce reported.

It was the highest since January, when construction starts came in at a 636,000-unit annual rate.

The numbers are used as an indicator of future economic activity because of their implications for consumer spending, hiring, housing inventory, prices and other factors.

But the data is also volatile, subject to seasonal and other influences. A report on the statistics from Capital Economics economists said that the June survey reflected the wake of severe weather in the previous months.

Last month’s increase “is not the start of a significant and sustained surge in homebuilding,” the report said. “Instead, it reflects a rebound in activity after the unusually severe tornados and floods depressed starts in both April and May.”

The rate for construction starts on single-family homes was 453,000 in June, up 9.3 percent from May, while the rate for buildings with five units or more was 170,000, up 31.8 percent, the report said.

The report also said that permits for new construction, an indicator of future activity, rose by 2.5 percent from May to a seasonally adjusted rate of 624,000 in June. It was up 6.7 percent compared with June 2010.

Within that category, permits for multifamily units rose 6.9 percent to a 217,000 annual rate, the highest level since October 2008. The category was up in the South, West and Midwest, but down in the Northeast.

“For once in a long time, there was some good news in this report,” said Patrick Newport, an economist at IHS Global Insight. “The market for multifamily homes is coming back to life — very slowly — but the foundations are in place.

“But this is partly because the single-family market is falling so badly people are inclined to rent,” he added.

The survey also showed that completion of new homes took place at a rate of 535,000, which was 1.7 percent higher than in May. With a glut of new homes already on the market, adding to the inventory would tend to dampen prices, economists said.

“The addition of new supply to the housing market isn’t really constructive insofar as housing prices are concerned, but any uptick in new-home construction should offer some relief on the employment front,” said Kevin H. Giddis, the executive managing director and president for fixed-income capital markets at Morgan Keegan Company, in a research note.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=7b565f763024c0184658cf8fcd221bd5

Optimism Pushes Dow to Best Week in 2 Years

The rally started Monday after Nike reported strong quarterly results. Revenue that beat analysts’ predictions indicated that shoppers were still splurging on more expensive sneakers and sportswear, despite the recent run-up in gas prices. On Thursday, Greece cleared its final hurdle before it receives its next round of loans to avoid defaulting on its debt. The same day, a report showed that manufacturing in the Chicago region had picked up unexpectedly.

A report on Friday from the Institute for Supply Management showed that manufacturing across the country had expanded, reinforcing the growing perception that the slowdown was temporary. The Federal Reserve chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, and a number of prominent economists have argued that the economy will pick up again once the effects of the Japan disaster waned and high gas prices recede.

Many economists and analysts began lowering their estimates for growth in May after a string of negative reports on manufacturing, consumer spending and hiring by private companies. A shortage of computer chips and auto parts from Japan, higher gas prices and severe weather in the South all contributed to what appeared to be a slowdown in the economic recovery. Stocks lost most of their gains for the year by mid-June.

Todd Salamone, an investment strategist at Schaeffer’s Investment Research, said the recent surge in stocks represented an “unwinding of the tremendous negativity that built up over the past few weeks.”

The Dow Jones industrial average rose 168.43 points, or 1.36 percent, to 12,582.77, on Friday. The Standard and Poor’s 500-stock index gained 19.03 points, or 1.44 percent, to 1,339.67. The Nasdaq composite added 42.51 points, or 1.53 percent, to 2,816.03.

All 30 stocks in the Dow index rose Friday. Companies that do well during times of economic expansion led the index. Alcoa and Caterpillar each gained more than 2 percent.

It was the fourth time this week that the Dow gained more than 100 points. The Dow’s 648-point gain for the week is its largest since the bull market began in March 2009. It is up 8.68 percent for the year, about 2 percent below its April high. The S. P. is up 6.52 percent for the year. It had been up as high as 8.4 percent.

A rebound in automobile sales also helped send stock indexes higher on Friday. General Motors and Ford both said their sales rose 10 percent over this time last year. Car companies have been forced to slow the production of some models because of the shortage of parts after the earthquake and tsunami in Japan.

Honda and Toyota said recently that their North American production was beginning to return to normal. That has helped push the national manufacturing index higher. The Institute for Supply Management’s index rose to 55.3 in June from 53.5 the month before, on a scale in which a number above 50 indicates growth.

Among United States companies, the for-profit education company Apollo Group rose 6 percent despite a steep drop in student enrollment. The company’s profits fell, but not as much as analysts had predicted. Darden Restaurants, the parent company of Red Lobster and the Olive Garden, also rose 6 percent after reporting that sales rose in all of its divisions. And Eastman Kodak lost 14 percent after a judge threw out some of its claims in a trade dispute with Apple and Research in Motion.

The Treasury’s 10-year note fell 6/32, to 99 17/32, and the yield rose to 3.18 percent, from 3.16 percent late Thursday.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=af96236f98ee2a517471a2c308a2243c