May 11, 2024

Bucks Blog: African-Americans See Debt Reduction as Top Priority

Paying down debt is the top financial priority for African-Americans, who have higher levels of debt — particularly, student loan debt — than the general population, a biennial survey from Prudential Financial finds.

While educational debt generally is becoming a cause for concern, it’s an issue of particular concern among African-Americans. College-educated African-Americans are twice as likely to have student loan debt, compared with all college-educated Americans, the survey found. While the student debt is a sign of economic progress, it also hampers the ability to invest or save for  retirement.

Prudential’s African-American Financial Experience survey was conducted by Gfk Public Affairs and Communications, from March 7 to 19, using a probability-based Internet panel. The survey included 1,153 African-Americans 25 to 70 years old, with household income of at least $25,000, who have primary or shared responsibility for household financial decisions. The margin of sampling error for African-Americans was plus or minus 5 percent.

The survey found that debt plays a major role in the financial lives of African-Americans, who are significantly more likely to have some type of debt (94 percent) compared to the general population (82 percent).

Credit card debt, student loan debt, and personal debt are all significantly higher in the African-American community. Debt is a major issue even for more affluent African-Americans, the survey found.

African-Americans have a median household debt of $18,000, not including home mortgages, which is about 50 percent higher than the household debt for the general population.

One in four African-Americans has felt anxiety or depression as a result of debt, the survey found.

When asked how they would use an extra 10 percent of income, almost half (48 percent) of African-Americans indicated their top priority would be paying down debt — a higher percentage than the general population.

The survey is one of a series of reports from Prudential examining financial trends in multicultural communities.

If you are African-American, please share your thoughts about debt — particularly student loan debt — in the comments section.

Article source: http://bucks.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/05/21/african-americans-see-debt-reduction-as-top-priority/?partner=rss&emc=rss

Europe’s Credit Woes Make for a Shaky Day in Markets

The joint Congressional committee charged with drafting deficit cuts said after the markets closed in New York that, as forewarned, it had failed to reach a deal to trim $1.2 trillion from government spending over 10 years, setting the stage for the automatic adoption of spending cuts starting in 2013.

But although the likely failure of the negotiations had revived the issue of the impact on the United States credit rating, analysts said they believed that by Monday, the markets had already priced in the result.

“I think expectations are already pretty low,” said Mihir P. Worah, a managing director at Pimco. “I would tend to think what is happening in Europe is more influential today.”

The sovereign debt troubles remained front and center after Moody’s Investors Service warned that France faced a fight to retain its AAA credit rating.

The Standard Poor’s 500-stock index, a broad measure of the market, was down 1.86 percent to 1,192.98. The Dow Jones industrial average was off 2.11 percent, or 248.85 points, at 11,547.31 and the Nasdaq composite index lost 1.92 percent.

But even with the stalemate in the “supercommittee,” a Treasury bond auction was heavily subscribed Monday, and the dollar and long-term bonds rallied.

“Because of the situation in Europe, there is a de-risking across the board,” said Quincy Krosby, a market strategist for Prudential Financial. “The sovereign debt problems and the lack of a credible, viable solution trumped the deficit problem in the U.S.”

After the market closed, Moody’s and Standard Poor’s both affirmed their existing ratings on American government debt.

S. P., which downgraded the country’s AAA rating this summer based on what it saw as political brinksmanship, said the current AA+ rating would remain. Moody’s said its AAA rating would remain, but so would its negative outlook.

Some investors said the rating agencies would likely now focus on any attempts by Congress to replace or modify the automatic deficit cuts, known as a sequester, before they go into effect in January 2013.

“This was supposed to be a forum to showcase that politicians could come together and come up with a meager — which it really is — $1.2 trillion in cuts and revenue raises,” said Erik S. Weisman, a global bond portfolio manager at MFS Investment Management. “This is new information for the market, and the market needs to assess whether it is more or less likely that a grand bargain can be reached after the elections.”

Investors, however, were divided on what might happen to yields even if the credit rating were downgraded. This summer, after the S. P. downgrade, Treasury yields fell, but many said that was largely a reflection of investors fleeing the euro zone.

Others said no matter how bad the political and fiscal situation appeared in the United States, its prospects still looked brighter than in some countries in the euro zone.

David Coard, head of fixed income at the Williams Capital Group, noted that when Standard Poor’s downgraded the United States’ AAA credit rating in August, Treasury rates were low then as well.

“The flight to quality lives strong today,” said Mr. Coard. “We are still seeing a pretty strong bid for Treasuries out of the concern both for the European debt crisis and, to a lesser extent I think, the gridlock” over the deficit committee.

In the bond market, the Treasury’s benchmark 10-year note rose 11/32, to 100 10/32, and the yield fell to 1.97 percent on Monday, from 2.01 percent late Friday. Comparable German sovereign debt yielded 1.911 percent.

The yields on Spanish 10-year bonds rose to 6.472 percent on Monday, while the yield on Italian 10-year bonds held steady at 6.624 percent. The spreads between the French, Italian and Spanish yields, on the one hand, and the German yields, the European benchmark, on the other, have grown sharply this year, signaling market distrust of the bonds of euro zone members once thought to be safe.

The dollar was up against a range of currencies and the euro was little changed at $1.3534 from $1.3524 late Friday in New York.

“The market has been spooked over Europe and they are still not convinced that Europe is going to be able to pull out of this,” said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist for Rockwell Global Capital.

Moody’s warned in October that it might begin a review of France’s AAA rating, which is considered the most fragile of the top-rated European governments, if growing bailout costs threatened to overstretch its finances. On Monday, Moody’s said that rising borrowing costs and a deteriorating economic outlook were putting pressure on the nation’s creditworthiness.

Losing its status as a AAA-rated borrower would mean France’s borrowing costs would rise further and would weigh on the credit rating of the euro zone bailout fund, the European Financial Stability Facility. Standard Poor’s already startled French officials when it erroneously sent an e-mail on Nov. 10 that suggested it had lowered the rating on France’s sovereign debt.

“Elevated borrowing costs persisting for an extended period would amplify the fiscal challenges the French government faces amid a deteriorating growth outlook, with negative credit implications,” Alexander Kockerbeck, a Moody’s analyst, wrote in a weekly report, noting that weak economic growth would further weigh on the country’s efforts to control spending.

The Euro Stoxx 50 index, a barometer of blue chips, fell 3.4 percent, while the FTSE 100 index in London fell 2.6 percent. The CAC 40 in France and the Germany DAX were down by 3.4 percent.

David Jolly contributed reporting from Paris and Julie Creswell from New York.

This article has been revised to reflect the following correction:

Correction: November 21, 2011

An earlier version of this article misspelled the name of Berenberg Bank. 

 

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/22/business/global/daily-stock-market-activity.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Stocks and Bonds: Shares Down Moderately on U.S. Debt Talks

The lack of a deal to raise the debt limit in the United States hung over the financial markets on Monday, unsettling investors because of the uncertainty but not provoking a major reaction in bond or stock prices.

House Republicans and Senate Democrats were readying competing plans in an effort to avoid a federal default next week. Republicans were trying to sell to their rank and file a two-step plan that would allow the federal debt limit to immediately rise by about $1 trillion and tie a second increase next year to more deficit reductions.

“We are being subjected to headline after headline, interview after interview, extolling the horrors of what happens if the debt ceiling isn’t raised,” said Hank Smith, Haverford’s chief investment officer of equity.

“Yet the market is ignoring this and for the most sensitive part of the market, the bond market, it is a big yawn,” he added.

At the close, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 88.36 points, or 0.70 percent, to 12,592.80. The broader Standard Poor’s 500-stock index was down 7.59 points, or 0.56 percent, to 1,337.43. The Nasdaq was down 16.03 points, or 0.56 percent, to 2,842.80.

The unease was also signified by investors turning to the perceived safety of gold and by a slight rise in Treasury yields.

Stocks had declined sharply at the opening before retracing some ground.

“Obviously the market was selling off, but during the course of the day I think that market participants were getting a growing sense that something will be carved out, that there will be something that that will placate markets before the deadlines,” said Quincy Krosby, a market strategist for Prudential Financial.

The price of the benchmark 10-year Treasury note fell 11/32 to 101 1/32, pushing the yield up to 3 percent, from 2.96 percent late Friday. Guy LeBas, the chief fixed-income strategist for Janney Montgomery Scott, said the Aug. 2 deadline was forming a “gigantic overhang” in investors’ minds. He said that while the risk grows day by day, “a default is not the most likely outcome right now.”

Investors were becoming leery of Washington’s ability to come to an agreement on a debt deal, said Kevin H. Giddis, the executive managing director and president for fixed-income capital markets at Morgan Keegan Company, in a research note.

“The world owns our debt and wants to continue to hold it as long as we can find a way to keep issuing what was once considered, and likely still is, the safest debt on the planet,” Mr. Giddis wrote in a research note.

Investors have driven gold above $1,600 an ounce in recent days amid the uncertainty.

“With little optimism on U.S. debt talks at the moment, the gold price acutely reflects investor nervousness that limited progress will be made before the Aug. 2 deadline,” Edel Tully, a strategist at UBS, wrote in a research note. “This nervousness is in many ways justified as the threat of a U.S. ratings downgrade is very real.”

The markets have also been buffeted by the uncertainty around Greece, where European leaders last week were able to agree on a bailout package. Still, on Monday, Moody’s downgraded Greece’s local and foreign currency bond ratings, saying that there were still implications for private creditors of “substantial economic losses” on their holdings of government debt.

In Europe, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares closed down 0.16 percent at 5,925.26, while Germany’s DAX was up 0.25 percent to 7,344.54. The CAC 40 in France ended 0.77 percent lower at 3,812.97.

The euro was trading slightly lower against the dollar, at $1.4374.

The spread on Italian and Spanish bonds against German bonds widened on Monday.

Earlier in Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 closed down 0.8 percent at 10,050.01, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index lost 0.7 percent to 22,293.29.

China’s Shanghai Composite Index slid nearly 3 percent to 2,688.75. The Associated Press reported it was the biggest one-day loss in six months.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=efc2a557a682c2656aa74e9a39788d1b