November 22, 2024

Economix Blog: Does It Pay to Become a Teacher?

CATHERINE RAMPELL

CATHERINE RAMPELL

Dollars to doughnuts.

Fortuitously, in the midst of the contentious Chicago teachers union strike, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development has released its annual report on the state of education and investment in education around the developed world. It might help provide some context for what Chicago teachers are fighting over.

Here’s one particularly striking figure from the report, showing the ratio of teacher salaries to the earnings of other workers who went to college:

Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.


The United States spends a lot of money on education; including both public and private spending, America spends 7.3 percent of its gross domestic product on all levels of education combined. That’s above the average for the O.E.C.D., where the share is 6.2 percent.

The annual spending per student by educational institutions of all levels is also higher in the United States than it is in any other developed country.

Despite the considerable amount of money channeled into education here, teaching jobs in the United States are not as well paid as they are abroad, at least when you consider the other opportunities available to teachers in each country.

In most rich countries, teachers earn less, on average, than other workers who have college degrees. But the gap is much wider in the United States than in most of the rest of the developed world.

The average primary-school teacher in the United States earns about 67 percent of the salary of a average college-educated worker in the United States. The comparable figure is 82 percent across the overall O.E.C.D. For teachers in lower secondary school (roughly the years Americans would call middle school), the ratio in the United States is 69 percent, compared to 85 percent across the O.E.C.D. The average upper secondary teacher earns 72 percent of the salary for the average college-educated worker in the United States, compared to 90 percent for the overall O.E.C.D.

American teachers, by the way, spend a lot more time teaching than do their counterparts in most other developed countries:

Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. Year of reference for Argentina is 2009. Numbers for the United States, England, Denmark, Japan, Indonesia and the Russian Federation refer to actual teaching hours. Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. Year of reference for Argentina is 2009. Numbers for the United States, England, Denmark, Japan, Indonesia and the Russian Federation refer to actual teaching hours. 

So tell me: Given the opportunity costs of becoming a teacher instead of using your college degree to enter another, more remunerative field, are the psychic rewards of teaching great enough to convince America’s best and brightest to become educators?

Article source: http://economix.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/11/does-it-pay-to-become-a-teacher/?partner=rss&emc=rss

Economix Blog: Bruce Bartlett: Cutting the Corporate Tax Rate Is No Economic Panacea

DESCRIPTION

Bruce Bartlett held senior policy roles in the Reagan and George H.W. Bush administrations and served on the staffs of Representatives Jack Kemp and Ron Paul. He is the author of the coming book “The Benefit and the Burden: Tax Reform – Why We Need It and What It Will Take.”

Last week, a nice woman contacted me to see if I was interested in the work of a bipartisan coalition she worked for that was promoting a cut in the corporate tax rate. I told her that I was disinclined to believe that it would have much impact but didn’t take the time to explain why. This is why.

Today’s Economist

Perspectives from expert contributors.

First, insofar as taxes affect businesses, more than 90 percent of businesses are not really affected by the corporate tax. They are sole proprietorships, partnerships or S corporations that are essentially taxed only on the individual tax schedule.

The corporate tax affects only C corporations, legal entities separate and distinct from their owners, the shareholders. The income of C corporations is taxed twice – once at the corporate level and again when the corporation’s income is paid out to its owners.

Therefore, the tax burden on C corporations is a function of both the corporate tax rate and the personal tax rate on dividends. To be valid, an international comparison of corporate taxes must take both into account.

This table uses data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development:

Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

The inclusion of taxes both at the corporate level and on dividends changes our perspective on which countries are high tax and which are low tax. For example, Ireland has the lowest statutory corporate tax rate among O.E.C.D. countries, yet is still a relatively high-tax country because of the high tax rate it imposes on dividends. By contrast, Japan has the highest statutory corporate tax rate but only the 12th highest overall rate because it has one of the lowest tax rates on dividends.

Those advocating a cut in the corporate tax rate today generally ignore the tax on dividends, as well as many other provisions of United States and foreign tax law that may reduce the effective tax rate well below the statutory rate.

A recent study found that only 25 percent of the largest American corporations pay anywhere close to the statutory corporate tax rate of 35 percent on their earnings, while 40 percent pay less than half that rate.

Indeed, General Electric, the nation’s largest corporation, paid no federal corporate taxes in the United States in 2010, according to a report in The New York Times.

It is not as if advocates of reducing the corporate tax rate are ignorant of the impact of taxes on dividends in terms of the overall corporate tax burden. In 2003, they made much of the fact that taxes on dividends went as high as 39.6 percent, thus giving the United States a very high combined corporate tax rate.

As President George W. Bush explained in a speech on Jan. 7, 2003:

We can begin by treating investors fairly and equally in our tax laws. As it is now, many investments are taxed not once but twice. First, the I.R.S. taxes a company on its profit. Then it taxes the investors who receive the profits as dividends. The result of this double taxation is that for all the profit a company earns, shareholders who receive dividends keep as little as 40 cents on the dollar….

It’s fair to tax a company’s profits. It’s not fair to double tax by taxing the shareholder on the same profits. So today, for the good of our senior citizens and to support capital formation across the land, I’m asking the United States Congress to abolish the double taxation of dividends….

By ending this investment penalty, we will strengthen investor confidence. See, by ending double taxation of dividends, we will increase the return on investing, which will draw more money into the markets to provide capital to build factories, to buy equipment, hire more people.

In the end, even a Republican-controlled Congress balked at abolishing taxes on dividends, as President Bush demanded, and instead reduced the tax on dividends to a maximum of 15 percent, among the lowest rates in major countries.

Although one often hears conservatives say that cutting the corporate tax rate would jump-start growth, it’s worth noting that the original Bush proposal to sharply reduce the combined corporate tax rate by abolishing taxes on dividends would have been likely to have only a very modest effect on growth.

According to a report by the Council of Economic Advisers on Feb. 4, 2003, the original Bush tax package, which also included provisions intended to increase saving and investment, would have only raised the growth of real gross domestic product by 0.2 percent a year.

An article in the December issue of the National Tax Journal finds that the long-run effect of cutting the corporate tax rate to 30 percent would have a similarly modest impact.

It is extremely simplistic to look only at the statutory corporate tax rate in evaluating the economic effects of the corporate tax. Many other factors must be taken into consideration.

And while it may be a good idea to reduce the corporate tax rate as part of a tax reform package, the idea that this will jump-start growth is nonsense.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=014faab910482e7f46b9bbcfc6f3b93d

Businesses Scramble as Credit Tightens in Europe

Europe’s worsening sovereign debt crisis has spread beyond its banks and the spillover now threatens businesses on the Continent and around the world.

From global airlines and shipping giants to small manufacturers, all kinds of companies are feeling the strain as European banks pull back on lending in an effort to hoard capital and shore up their balance sheets.

The result is a credit squeeze for companies from Berlin to Beijing, edging the world economy toward another slump.

The deteriorating situation in the euro zone prompted the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development on Monday to project that the United States economy would grow at a 2 percent rate next year, down from a forecast of 3.1 percent growth in May. It also lowered its economic outlook for Europe and the rest of the world, and a credit contraction could exacerbate the slowdown.

In addition, Moody’s Investors Service, the credit-rating agency, on Monday raised the possibility of mass downgrades of European government debt if a forceful resolution to the escalating crisis was not found.

Investors have begun to treat Europe’s big banks as the weak link in the global financial chain because of their huge holdings of bonds issued by debt-laden governments like Italy and Spain.

American money market funds have been closing the spigot of money they lend to European banks, forcing them to tighten lending standards and, in some cases, even withdraw financing from longtime customers. To make matters worse, European institutions are simultaneously under pressure from their regulators to hold more capital for each dollar they lend, prompting many banks to reduce their portfolio of loans. Analysts say Europe’s banks could shed up to 3 trillion euros of loans over the next few years, equal to about 10 percent of their total assets.

“If your largest banks aren’t able to provide credit, it hinders economic development and contributes to a recession,” said Alex Roever, a fixed-income research analyst at JPMorgan Chase.

Air France, for example, typically relied on French banks like BNP Paribas and Société Générale to help it finance about 15 percent of what it spends to purchase airplanes. Now those banks are retreating from making airline loans to save capital.

As an alternative, Air France officials say that they started developing closer ties with Chinese and Japanese banks, which have not faced the same pressure as their euro zone counterparts, to help pick up the slack.

Executives of Emirates Airlines, based in Dubai, are turning to the Islamic financing system, as well as to lenders in emerging markets, to help pay for its new fleet as some of the European banks shut off lending. Emirates has ordered 243 aircraft, worth more than $84 billion, from Airbus, Boeing and other aerospace companies.

“We were kind of planning for finance from the European banks,” Tim Clark, president of Emirates, told Reuters. “It’s just a bit difficult now.”

A failure to secure financing could quickly add up to lost jobs in the United States, Latin America and elsewhere.

The airplane maker Boeing recently warned that a European pullback could affect its business next year. With some European banks out of the picture, “this leaves a difference that must be made up by other sources if airplane deliveries across the industry, already set to increase in 2012, are to occur as planned,” said John Kvasnosky, a spokesman for the company.

Embraer, a Brazilian aerospace company, tempered its growth expectations despite having a pickup in commercial and business jet sales in the third quarter.

“This whole situation in Europe again has stalled this recovery process,” said Frederico Curado, chief executive of Embraer, in a conference call with investors in early November. “The way we see the world going forward is of a moderate growth.”

It remains to be seen, though, whether even moderate growth can be achieved. Moody’s cautioned that there was an increased chance that more than one country in the euro zone could default. In spite of that warning, investors put their fears aside and sent stocks up Monday by nearly 3 percent in New York.

Investors remain hesitant about government bond offerings, though. A tepid auction in Germany last week was particularly unnerving since its economy has long been seen as Europe’s financial bulwark. In Italy, weak demand for bonds pushed yields back above the critical 7 percent threshold, a level that has prompted other government borrowers to seek bailouts.

Reporting was contributed by Jack Ewing, Keith Bradsher, Stephen Castle and Sara Hamdan.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=22d2d3fd88a0d762007b9670cfbb0299

Economix: Nurturing Small Businesses Around the World

12:21 p.m. | Updated In an earlier post, I looked at some new data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development that showed the small-business presence in the United States to be somewhat weaker than in peer countries.

Somehow, though, by many measurements America appears to have an economic environment that is far friendlier to small and new companies.

The administrative burden required to start a new company, for example, is relatively low in the United States compared with most other developed and emerging markets.

The O.E.C.D. looked at a composite measure reflecting the “procedures, time and costs necessary to incorporate and register a new firm with up to 50 employees and start-up capital of 10 times the economy’s per-capita gross national income.” This metric found Mexico and China to be most restrictive, while Ireland and Germany to be the least. The United States is on the less-restrictive end of the spectrum.

DESCRIPTIONSource: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

The United States also has a good venture capital market. Venture capital spending in America adds up to about 0.09 percent of the country’s gross domestic product — a higher percentage than any other country the O.E.C.D. looked at except for Israel. Israel’s venture capital spending as a share of the economy is about twice that.

Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

And on other measures, entrepreneurs are looked upon especially favorably by Americans, according to survey conducted annually by the European Commission Directorate-General Enterprise and Industry.

The latest survey, conducted between Dec. 10, 2009, and Jan. 16, 2010, covered 36 countries. In response to a question about “your opinion about entrepreneurs (self-employed, business owners),” 73.4 percent of Americans polled said they had a “rather favorable” attitude toward this group. That was among the most positive responses from the countries surveyed.

Source: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development; European Commission Directorate-General Enterprise and Industry

Given a climate so favorable to entrepreneurs, what might account for the fact that self-employment and other measures of entrepreneurship are lower in the United States than in many other developed countries? Any suggestions, readers?

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=9b257345e25c066191e112c3269539d8

Economix: Have German Wages Really Risen?

Matthias Rumpf of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development wrote me the following response to my column on the Germany economy:

I really liked your piece. It gives a very nice comparison on the two countries. However, for someone who followed the German debate over the past years from a “domestic” perspective I found it surprising that you made a point on the higher wage increases in Germany.

For most observers in Germany, wage moderation that took place over the past 10 years (and which was endorsed by the trade unions) was one of the key factors behind the increase in competitiveness and the higher growth rates you are seeing now.

That’s a very good point. For space reasons, I did not delineate between two different time periods in the column, and it’s worth doing so here.

From roughly 1985 to 1995, German workers enjoyed considerably larger real hourly wage increases than American workers. From 1995 through the present, wages in the two countries have grown at a similar pace – growing initially and then slowing down, to a pace more recently not much faster than inflation. (These trends are visible in the second chart in a recent blog post.)

Why did German wages grow faster in the first period? Some statistical quirks involving the reunification of the country played a role. But inequality also played an important role. In the United States, much of the benefit of economic growth went to a small slice of the population at the top of the income distribution. In Germany, the gains were more broadly shared.

And do the similar wage gains in the second period mean that workers in both countries have done equally well? No, German workers have still done better, because German job growth has been stronger.

So the typical worker who remained employed in Germany from the mid-1990s through today has received a pay increase comparable to that of the typical worker who has remained employed in the United States. But the odds of an American worker’s being unemployed have risen substantially over the last 15 years. The odds of a German worker’s being unemployed have fallen.

Bottom line: In Germany, the wage moderation of the last decade that Mr. Rumpf mentions has helped increase overall employment. In the United States, there has been no such silver lining. Wage growth for most workers and employment growth have both been muted.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=95e483ab02153af60d2cb801b7c2b9dc

Economic Reports This Week

CORPORATE EARNINGS Companies reporting will include Campbell Soup (Monday); Medtronic (Tuesday); Costco Wholesale and Hormel Foods (Wednesday); and Tiffany (Thursday).

IN WASHINGTON A Senate Banking subcommittee will conduct a hearing about derivatives clearinghouses; a House Judiciary subcommittee will hold a hearing about digital security; (Wednesday). A House Financial Services subcommittee will conduct a hearing about oversight of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation; the Senate Banking Committee will hold a hearing on proposals for the future of housing finance; and a House Judiciary subcommittee will hold a hearing on the competitive effects of the proposed merger of ATT and T-Mobile (Thursday).

OVERSEAS President Nicolas Sarkozy will host technology leaders in Paris (Tuesday and Wednesday). Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, Mr. Sarkozy and Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany will attend the annual forum of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development in Paris (Wednesday and Thursday). Group of 8 leaders will meet in Deauville, France (Thursday and Friday).

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=c9c5a54bbde9a1c0baeadde5acbc3ee3

Economix: Burden of Supporting the Elderly

As part of its giant data release on Tuesday, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development has put together numbers on the old-age support ratio. That refers to the number of people who are of working age (20 to 64 years old) relative to the number of people over retirement age (older than 65).

One reason for America’s fiscal problems is that the population is aging, meaning that there are relatively many old people to care for and relatively few young workers to support them. (Immigrants are helping with this burden, though.)

The United States is by no means the most challenged in this regard:

DESCRIPTIONSource: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development Countries in the first group are O.E.C.D. members.

The chart above shows that as of 2008, there were 4.7 working-age Americans for each retirement-age American, a figure projected to fall to 2.6 by 2050. Compare that to Japan, where the number was 2.8 in 2008, and will fall to about 1.2 by 2050.

Note also that China, for all the demographic issues arising from its one-child policy, is on about the same footing as the United States — an old-age support ratio of 7.9 to 1 in 2008 (actually, much better than that in the United States) and 2.4 in 2050.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=c8ed99dca35697a31997e21c754816fb