December 21, 2024

European Central Bank Holds Rate Steady

Mario Draghi, president of the E.C.B., also noted during a press conference in Frankfurt that the error of the bank deposit tax was quickly corrected, and that Cyprus was “no template” for future crises.

He stressed the E.C.B.’s willingness to take action in response to threats to euro zone stability.

“If anything the events on Cyprus have reinforced the governing council’s determination to support the euro while maintaining price stability and acting within our mandate,” he said.

The muted market reaction to events in Cyprus showed “we are now in a position to cope with serious crises without them becoming existential or systemic,” he said.

Mr. Draghi spoke at a press conference after the governing council of the E.C.B. left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at a record-low 0.75 percent, as expected.

The Bank of England akept its benchmark interest rate unchanged on Thursday amid concern that the British economy fell back into recession at the beginning of the year.

The central bank decided to leave its interest rate at the record low of 0.5 percent, where it has been since March 2009. It also held its program of economic stimulus at £375 billion, or about $568 billion.

The governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn A. King, has been pushing this year for more fiscal stimulus to help the economy grow, but has been overruled by other members of the central bank’s interest rate setting committee. Mr. King is to be succeeded in three months by Mark J. Carney, the governor of the Bank of Canada.

The E.C.B. president faced pressure to reassure financial markets that he would not let a banking crisis on the island become a threat to the integrity of the euro zone.

Since Mr. Draghi’s last press conference a month ago, the second-largest bank in Cyprus has been shut down, wealthy depositors in Cyprus banks face huge losses on their holdings, and the country has imposed restrictions on large transfers of money to prevent a flight of capital.

The E.C.B. was a key player in events, in effect threatening to withdraw support for Cyprus banks unless local political leaders agreed to a bailout that would impose much of the cost on rich depositors, many of them Russians.

The turmoil in the small island nation has begun to blunt business confidence in the euro zone, threatening a recovery that was already shaky.

Data from Markit, a research concern, confirmed the continued downturn on Thursday, as a survey of business activity showed a marked drop in France and a stalling of growth in Germany, the largest and most robust euro zone economy.

The index fell to 46.4 in March, down from 47.9 in February and slightly lower than a preliminary reading of 46.5 two weeks ago, Markit said. The index has been below 50, the level that separates contraction from growth, in all but one of the 20 previous months.

The figure for France was 41.3 in March, the lowest level since February 2009 and down from 43.7 in February.

Germany’s economy, while still nominally growing, slowed to a crawl in March, with the index falling to 50.6 from 53.3 in February.

In keeping with the bank’s mandate to ensure price stability in the 17 European Union countries that use the euro, Mr. Draghi said that in coming weeks the E.C.B. would closely monitor the outlook for prices.

With inflation already below the E.C.B.’s target of about 2 percent, the statement could be interpreted as a sign that policy makers were more open to cutting rates in order to prevent deflation, a broad decline in prices that can be more destructive than inflation.

Mr. Draghi also said, however, that risks to prices stability are “broadly balanced.”

The E.C.B. chief is also under pressure to reassure investors and euro zone citizens that the E.C.B. will act to prevent an exodus of deposits from other weak countries like Italy or Spain, where banks are also troubled. A bank run in those countries would pose a much more serious threat to the euro than tiny Cyprus.

There are limits, however, to what the E.C.B. can do without violating its mandate. The E.C.B. can supply banks with cheap loans, but it cannot offer cash to replenish depleted bank reserves.

While European leaders have agreed to give the E.C.B. power to oversee euro zone banks, they remain divided on measures to protect bank depositors and to deal with failed financial institutions.

Events in Cyprus, which were unprecedented in the euro zone, have added urgency to the debate about a banking union.

“The ongoing busting of euro area taboos makes it more urgent to deliver economic recovery, as well as to accelerate banking union,” analysts at Barclays Capital wrote in a note before the meeting.

Jack Ewing reported from New York

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/05/business/global/european-central-bank-holds-steady-on-interest-rate.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

British Banks May Be Undercapitalized, Bank of England Governor Warns

The central bank said in a report that current capital ratios at major British banks — a measure of their ability to withstand financial shocks — were probably insufficient because possible future losses and costs of bad loans or other past business decisions might be bigger than expected.

The Bank of England also said that banks should be more transparent in communicating their credit buffers and look more prudently at risks to their financial soundness.

“We need to ensure that reported capital ratios do in fact provide an accurate picture of banks’ health,” Mervyn A. King, governor of the Bank of England, said during a press briefing as he presented the report. “At present there are good reasons to think that they do not.”

Capital ratios at the four biggest British banks — Barclays, Royal Bank of Scotland, Lloyds Banking Group and HSBC — could be overstated by £5 billion to £35 billion, or $8 billion to $56 billion, according to a hypothetical example in the report. That means that the banks would, under certain situations that the central bank did not disclose, need to raise an additional £5 billion to £35 billion.

The central bank declined to give a more concrete figure on how much it thought the banks should raise. Mr. King, whose term as governor ends next summer, has previously suggested that banks should cut bonuses and use the money to expand capital buffers. He has repeatedly warned during his tenure that banks’ capital cushions are too thin.

Mr. King said Thursday that banks would not have to turn to taxpayers for more capital. Initiatives by the Treasury and the Bank of England, including cheaper financing for banks if they commit to increased lending, have been helping banks to access funds.

The Bank of England called on the Financial Services Authority, Britain’s financial regulator, to talk to the banks and encourage a more realistic valuation of their assets, future costs and risks.

The F.S.A. should sit down with the banks and say, “Look, I think you should look more prudently” at the credit levels, Mr. King said.

He did not suggest that banks were dishonest in booking provisions or taking into account future possible losses. But he said that reporting standards did not require them to be more vigilant and therefore many banks were unwilling to be more prudent about possible future losses.

As part of its new regulatory powers, which take full effect next year, the Bank of England could be stricter with how banks report their capital levels. And it could require them to be more conservative in assessing future risks. But so far, there has been little consensus on exactly how much capital is needed or how banks would be allowed to raise it.

Barclays and Royal Bank of Scotland did not comment on the report.

The new regulatory regime in Britain, which includes the Bank of England’s financial policy committee, is to be in place when the bank’s next governor takes over in July. The government this week named Mark J. Carney, the head of the Canadian central bank, to take over from Mr. King.

Mr. King said Thursday that the additional capital was needed because even though the sentiment in financial markets had “improved a little,” global growth remained weak and “significant adjustments” on debt in the euro zone were still expected.

Lloyds, Barclays and R.B.S. have had to recently increase the amount they set aside to compensate customers who were inappropriately sold some payment insurance, raising concerns among investors that such provisions could rise further.

It is also not yet clear how much banks may have to pay in penalties as a result of the continuing investigations into the rigging of the London interbank offered rate, or Libor.

Higher capital levels should help banks to regain investor confidence and, as a result, make it easier and less expensive for them to raise money in the financial markets, Mr. King said.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/30/business/global/british-banks-may-be-undercapitalized-bank-of-england-governor-warns.html?partner=rss&emc=rss