April 18, 2024

German Leaders Reiterate Opposition to Euro Bonds as a Way to Ease Crisis

Mrs. Merkel told ZDF television in an interview broadcast Sunday that the so-called euro bonds would be an option only in the distant future.

“It will not be possible to solve the current crisis with euro bonds,” she said. She added that “politicians can’t and won’t simply run after the markets.”

“The markets want to force us to do certain things,” she added. “That we won’t do. Politicians have to make sure that we’re unassailable, that we can make policy for the people.”

The German finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, echoed Mrs. Merkel’s comments, saying that common debt would make it easier for governments to avoid pursuing responsible fiscal policies. In any case, he told the newspaper Welt am Sonntag, it would take too long for countries in the euro zone to amend the treaty on monetary union, which would probably be required to allow the issuance of such bonds.

“We have to solve the crisis within the existing treaty,” Mr. Schäuble said.

The statements by the German leaders are in tune with public opinion in Germany as well as in other countries, like the Netherlands. The Dutch finance minister, Jan Kees de Jager, told the magazine Der Spiegel in an interview published Sunday that Mrs. Merkel should remain firm in her opposition to euro bonds.

That is not what investors want to hear, however.

Stocks around the world plunged last week amid widespread concern that political leaders were unwilling to take bold steps to address the European sovereign debt crisis, at the same time that indicators were pointing to sharply slower growth in Europe and the United States. The benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 index dropped 6 percent last week, with banks suffering some of the biggest drops.

Any further drop in investor confidence could also put pressure on the European Central Bank, which has been intervening in bond markets to hold down yields on Italian and Spanish debt and keep borrowing costs for those countries from reaching dangerous levels.

So far the central bank’s bond market intervention, which began two weeks ago, has kept Italian and Spanish yields below 5 percent, Frank Engels, an analyst at Barclays Capital in Frankfurt, wrote in a note. In October, the European Financial Stability Facility, the bailout fund, will be able to buy government bonds. But that may not be enough to keep yields within bounds, he said.

Mr. Schäuble told Die Welt that he did not think it would be necessary to increase the size of the bailout fund. Such comments may come as a particular disappointment to investors because Mr. Schäuble is regarded as one of the most pro-European members of the German cabinet, and among the most willing to agree to national sacrifice in the interest of saving the common currency.

But Mr. de Jager, the Dutch finance minister, said he would be willing to increase the size of the bailout fund.

Since the beginning of the debt crisis, Mrs. Merkel has resisted being swayed by bond investors; she waited until pressure became intense before agreeing to aid for Greece and other measures that were unpopular with German voters.

She also said she saw “nothing that points to a recession in Germany.” She acknowledged that political leaders needed to regain the confidence of financial markets but said the best way to do that would be to reduce debt.

Mrs. Merkel expressed opposition to euro bonds after a meeting in Paris last week with the French president, Nicolas Sarkozy, during which they pledged to improve economic coordination among euro members.

In the interview with Die Welt, Mr. Schäuble said he personally would be willing to cede some control over fiscal policy to a European finance minister, as Jean-Claude Trichet, the president of the European Central Bank, has proposed. But Mr. Schäuble added, “We can only go as fast and as far as we can convince citizens and their representatives in Parliament.”

Separately, Der Spiegel reported that the German Finance Ministry had calculated that euro bonds would cost Germany an additional 2.5 billion euros, or $3.6 billion, in interest payments in the first year of issuance, and as much as 10 times that sum each year after a decade. Germany’s borrowing costs are typically among the lowest in the world, but could rise if the nation’s reputation for fiscal prudence was diluted by closer association with countries like Italy.

A Finance Ministry spokesman said he could not confirm the Spiegel report, which the magazine said was based on estimates by unidentified ministry experts.

Opposition to euro bonds is strong within German political circles and among the country’s conservative economics establishment because of the perception that the country would wind up subsidizing its neighbors.

But some economists argue that euro bonds would be cheaper even for Germany, because the volume of the bond market would rival that of United States Treasury securities and promote the euro as a reserve currency. That would increase demand for the bonds and lower interest rates.

There is some support for euro bonds in Germany. Leaders of the opposition Social Democrats and Green Party have spoken in favor of common European debt. In addition, the Frankfurter Allgemeine newspaper quoted several members of Mrs. Merkel’s governing coalition in Parliament on Sunday as saying that Germany should not rule out euro bonds forever.

While rejecting the bonds, Mr. Schäuble said that Germany would defend the euro “under all circumstances” and that the government categorically rejected suggestions that Greece should leave the euro zone, as some economists have proposed.

If Greece dropped out, he said, Europe would suffer “a dramatic loss of trust and influence.”

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/22/business/german-leaders-reiterate-opposition-to-euro-bonds.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Mario Draghi Holds E.C.B. Line Against Restructuring for Greece

BRUSSELS — With European governments divided over how to shape a new bailout for Greece, Mario Draghi, the likely next president of the European Central Bank, warned Tuesday against forcing private investors to take part.

At a confirmation hearing at the European Parliament, Mr. Draghi, the former head of the Bank of Italy, also highlighted the risk that a Greek default could set off a “chain of contagion.”

“All in all, the costs outweigh the benefits,” he said.

His comments came as European finance ministers held an unscheduled meeting in Brussels to try to bridge differences in the new package for Greece.

The E.C.B. has been firmly against any restructuring of Greek debt, in part because of its own holdings. The Dutch finance minister, Jan Kees de Jager, told his Parliament in The Hague on Tuesday that the E.C.B.’s total exposure to Greece might be €130 billion to €140 billion, or as much as $200 billion. In addition, the E.C.B. has provided €90 billion of liquidity to Greek banks, he said, according to Bloomberg News.

In his remarks, Mr. Draghi suggested that at least one of the options under discussion for involving the private sector would be acceptable to the E.C.B, but that the central bank “excludes all concepts that are not purely voluntary.”

One acceptable option is known as the Vienna Initiative, after a deal in 2009 under which international lenders agreed to roll over credit lines to Central and East European countries. That, he said, “looks entirely voluntary.”

“Another one is a debt exchange, which I haven’t understood whether it is voluntary or it could end up being involuntary,” he added.

Germany has taken the firmest line on involving the private sector. The German government has received parliamentary support for a second bailout of Greece if necessary, but only if there is a substantive and quantifiable involvement of the private sector.

The government wants the extension of debt maturities to be considered, and has received support from some other capitals.

“You can’t leave the profits with the banks and make the taxpayers shoulder the losses,” Austria’s finance minister, Maria Fekter, said on arrival in Brussels.

Other governments, like France, share the E.C.B’s worries that too harsh a solution could lead to a cascade of problems that would destabilize the euro zone.

The meeting Tuesday night was not expected to produce a breakthrough. “It’s sounding-board time, not endgame time,” said one E.U. diplomat, who was not authorized to speak publicly.

A deal could come Friday in Berlin, when the German chancellor, Angela Merkel, will meet the French president, Nicolas Sarkozy, before another gathering of European finance ministers Monday in Luxembourg.

In an assured performance before a committee of European deputies, Mr. Draghi stressed his commitment to price stability, the E.C.B’s main mandate.

On Greece, he argued that the effect of a default was difficult to predict. “Who are the owners of credit-default swaps? Who has insured others against a default of the country?” he asked. “We could have a chain of contagion.”

Meanwhile, in Athens, the fragility of the Greek government was highlighted when two of the controlling party’s deputies said they would not support its latest package of austerity measures, which are a quid pro quo for more international aid. That reduces the Socialist government’s effective parliamentary majority to just a handful.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=19f18500da34fc2257ac28767fcaa931