December 25, 2024

Spain Raises Deficit Forecast

MADRID — Spain’s new conservative government revised upward its forecast for the country’s 2011 budget deficit, saying it would represent 8 percent of its gross domestic product, up from the 6 percent target of the last government.

The new administration approved 8.9 billion euros ($11.5 billion) in spending cuts Friday and maintained a freeze on civil servants’ salaries and a freeze on practically all government hiring, said Soraya Sáenz de Santamaria, a government spokeswoman.

Taxes on the wealthiest Spaniards will be raised but temporarily, for two years.

The government is seeking to reassure markets that it has a plan to get a grip on its public finances at the same time as it tries to kick-start an economy saddled with sky-high unemployment.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=dae0647dde4929bbbb53ebdc75ccbaef

Britain Lowers Economic Growth Forecast

LONDON — Britain’s government said Tuesday that economic growth would be slower than initially predicted, forcing it to borrow more money and delay a planned reduction in its budget by a year.

In an update on Britain’s economy to the Parliament, the chancellor of the Exchequer, George Osborne, said economic growth this year and next would be slower than forecast in March and “debt will not fall as fast as we’d hoped.” Mr. Osborne said Britain could avoid falling back into a recession next year only if the euro zone finds a solution to the current crisis.

“If the rest of Europe heads into a recession, it may be hard to avoid one here in the U.K.,” Mr. Osborne told a packed Parliament.

Britain’s economy will grow 0.9 percent this year, less than the 1.7 percent predicted earlier, and 0.7 percent next year, the Office for Budget Responsibility forecast Tuesday. The agency predicted the economy would then pick up and grow 2.1 percent in 2013. The deficit would reach ₤120 billion, or $188 billion, in the fiscal year ending in 2013, more than the ₤101 billion forecast earlier.

The opposition Labour Party said the new forecast meant that Mr. Osborne’s strategy to cut the budget “is in tatters” and that “plan A has failed colossally.” The Labour Party called on Mr. Osborne to “change course before it’s too late” and scale back an aggressive debt reduction plan that was choking off the economy.

Separately, Britain’s public sector trade unions called for a general strike on Wednesday that is expected to cause delays at airports and hospitals and close some schools.

Mr. Osborne argued that an early implementation of the deficit plan last year helped Britain to keep its borrowing costs low. Unlike the United States or the members of the euro zone, Britain already has a far-reaching austerity plan along with interest rates at record low levels. It also has its own currency, which helped to keep British exports to the euro zone relatively cheap.

When Germany’s 10-year bond yields rose above Britain’s for the first time in more than two years last week, it was widely interpreted by the British government as a vote of confidence in Britain’s budget reduction efforts.

But Tuesday’s dampened outlook by the budget office — combined with warnings Monday by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development that Britain might fall back into a recession — put pressure on Mr. Osborne’s plan. Mervyn King, the Bank of England governor, also warned Monday that Britain was increasingly threatened by the crisis in the euro zone.

Mr. Osborne’s initial plan — that the private sector would help create jobs for the more than 600,000 public sector workers expected to lose theirs amid the government’s spending cuts — is jeopardized as Britain’s economic growth has stalled. Spooked by a worsening crisis in the euro area, many companies have frozen hiring or other investments.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/30/business/global/britain-lowers-economic-growth-forecast.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

New-Home Sales Rise, but Prices Fall

New-home sales increased 1.3 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 307,000, the department said. That was less than half the 700,000 that economists say indicate a healthy housing market.

September’s figures were revised down significantly to show a weaker rate than first estimated. The 323,000 new homes sold last year were the fewest since the government began keeping records in 1963. This year is not faring much better.

Sales were uneven across the country. They increased 22.2 percent in the Midwest and 14.9 percent in the West. But they were unchanged in the Northeast and fell 9.5 percent in the South.

While new-homes sales represent a fraction of the housing market, they have an outsize impact on the economy. Each home built creates an average of three jobs for a year and generates about $90,000 in tax revenue, according to the National Association of Home Builders.

Many builders have stopped working on new projects because they cannot obtain financing. The number of new homes for sale in the United States fell in October to a record low of 162,000.

Builders are also struggling to compete against cheaper resales, even as they lower their own prices. The median sales price of a new home fell 0.4 percent in October from September, to $212,300.

Steven Wood, chief economist at Insight Economics, said the small number of new homes for sale should help the housing market recover quicker when prices began to rise.

But he said, “A sustained rebound in new-home sales appears unlikely.”

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=7a93270ac0daac4abf91c4fa2884fb31

You’re the Boss Blog: Can Lawyers Be Entrepreneurial?

Today’s Question

What small-business owners think.

To some, the phrase entrepreneurial lawyer may sound like an oxymoron, but we’ve just published an article by Eileen Zimmerman, reporting that more and more lawyers are choosing entrepreneurship over the partner track.

Margie R. Grossberg, a partner at the legal recruiting firm Major, Lindsey Africa, said she saw an increasing number of associates choosing to start their own firms. “In the past, associates found if they worked really hard and did the right things, they made partner,” she said. “That’s not necessarily the case anymore — the odds are a lot slimmer and it’s also not as coveted as it once was.” These lawyers want more control over their futures, Ms. Grossberg said, and do not want to wait until they become partner to have meaningful relationships with clients.

The economy is another factor. “There have been thousands of associates laid off because of the recession,” said Eric A. Seeger, a principal at Altman Weil, a legal consultant. “We’re seeing more lawyers out there now taking risks, and that includes going out on their own.”

What advice would you give a lawyer starting a new firm?

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=44ef86546e0f6ac40164008930a4d049

Economix Blog: Long Road Ahead for Most American States

Michigan, Nevada and Rhode Island will probably have to wait another six years before they are back to the number of jobs they had before the recession struck, according to economists at IHS Global Insight.

These analysts have projected when each state will likely return to its past peak employment, as shown in the map below:

DESCRIPTIONSource: IHS Global Insight.

Across the country, there are 4.7 percent fewer jobs today than there were when the recession began in December 2007. And remember that the United States population has grown in the last five years, so if the economy were healthy there would be more jobs today than there were then. This analysis only models when we’ll be back to square one.

Only Alaska, North Dakota and the District of Columbia have recovered the jobs they lost during the recession. Those places have actually surpassed their previous employment peaks as well.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=afb24b3323f1b058749e03710abe8f00

DealBook: Board Pay Rises 49% at British Companies

LONDON — Executives at Britain’s biggest companies received an average pay increase of 49 percent this year, with compensation rising faster than companies’ shares.

The annual average pay of executives, including chief executives and finance chiefs, at Britain’s 100 largest publicly listed companies rose to £2.7 million, or $4.3 million, according to research by Incomes Data Services published Friday. Chief executives received an average 43.5 percent pay increase, to £3.9 million, the report said. The FTSE 100 share index rose 15.8 percent in the period from February last year to April 2011.

“Britain’s economy may be struggling to return to pre-recession levels of output, but the same cannot be said of FTSE 100 directors’ remuneration,” Steve Tatton, editor of the report, said in a statement. The pay includes salary, benefits, bonuses and long-term incentive plans.

Deborah Hargreaves, chairwoman of the High Pay Commission, an independent group that examines private sector pay, told BBC radio that it was “very hard to justify these sorts of pay increases” and that it was in the interest of the executives to keep the market rate for their positions high.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=643277b00ae630e7203e29f9395a7047

Higher Fares Bolster Delta’s Earnings by 51%

The company reported that its earnings rose 51 percent, despite higher fuel costs, in large part because of higher fares. Richard H. Anderson, the chief executive, said Delta was determined to price fares high enough to cover fuel costs, which rose by $1 billion in the third quarter compared with a year ago.

All the big airlines except Southwest raised fares by up to $5 each way on Monday, for the second time in a week. With Southwest sitting out the increase, it may not stick. But the effort shows how aggressively airlines are jumping at any opportunity to raise fares.

Delta executives said they expected high fuel prices and an uncertain economy to continue into next year.

In the past, airlines struggled to make money in a weak economy or when fuel prices rose. Now, they appear committed to raising prices or cutting back on flying to stay profitable.

Delta cut flights by 1 percent in the most recent quarter, and it plans to cut as much as 5 percent through the rest of the year and as much as 3 percent next year. Traffic fell slightly, although Delta said business travel, which generates more profit, remained strong.

The result was net income of $549 million, or 65 cents a share, up from $363 million, or 43 cents a share, compared with a year earlier. Revenue rose 10 percent, to $9.8 billion. If not for losses from fuel hedging and other items, Delta would have earned 91 cents a share. That was 3 cents less than expected by analysts surveyed by FactSet.

Delta said it expected to be profitable in the fourth quarter as well. Its shares fell 46 cents on Tuesday, or 5.2 percent, to $8.44. They are down 33 percent for the year.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=ee43998b8b223f956ea8b3e87bbef241

Data Shows Some Growth in U.S. Economy

Opinion »

Kenneth W. Starr: Cameras and the High Court

Democracy strongly supports the people’s right to know how their government works.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=cf32897ba52beb2ca5c23b36f551e777

Room For Debate: Are Global Banking Rules ‘Anti-American’?

Introduction

Jason Reed/Reuters Lloyd Blankfein of Goldman Sachs, left, and Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase.

Jamie Dimon has been on the warpath this month against new international banking rules, saying their capital requirements are “anti-American.” At a closed-door meeting of the Financial Stability Forum in Washington last week, he reportedly “launched a tirade” against the Basel III regulatory standards and against Mark Carney, the central banker of Canada who is seen as the successor to lead the forum.

On Sunday, Mr. Carney said publicly: “If some institutions feel pressure today, it is because they have done too little for too long, rather than because they are being asked to do too much, too soon.”

Is Mr. Dimon onto something with his “anti-American” line? Will the rules hurt American banks’ competitiveness?

 Read the Discussion »

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Topics: Business, Economy, banks

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Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/roomfordebate/2011/09/28/are-global-banking-rules-anti-american?partner=rss&emc=rss

Bucks Blog: Taking Risks to Cut Drug Costs

Associated Press

Americans are spending less money out of their own pockets each month on prescription drugs, probably because of greater use of lower-cost generics, the third annual drug survey from Consumer Reports finds.

But even so, strapped consumers, many of whom take multiple medications, are cutting costs on pills in ways that are unsafe.

The average monthly out-of-pocket spending for people regularly taking prescription drugs is $59, down from $68 two years ago. This is likely driven by greater use of generics due to “household budget constraints,” the survey found. Major chain pharmacies offer many $4 generic prescriptions, and some popular prescription drugs are losing patent protection and becoming available in generic form.

But in tough times, the savings from generics is still not enough for some patients. This year’s survey found that nearly half of the people taking prescription drugs took some action to save money, compared with 39 percent last year, likely due to the tough economy. Steps included putting off a doctor’s visit or ordering drugs from outside the country.

And, roughly a third failed to take their prescriptions as directed. Steps included skipping filling prescriptions (16 percent over all, and 30 percent among those whose monthly drug bill topped $50); taking an expired medication (13 percent); skipping a scheduled dose without checking with their doctor (12 percent); cutting pills in half (8 percent) and sharing a prescription with someone else to save money (4 percent).

Lower-income people, those without drug benefits and those with monthly drug costs of more than $50, were most likely to take such steps.

“We’re having more people say they’re struggling with drugs costs and cutting corners,” said Dr. John Santa, director of the Consumer Reports Health Ratings Center. “I think this is an interesting barometer of the economy and the recession, especially for lower- and middle-income people.”

Half of adults take prescription drugs, and the average number of prescriptions they take is 4.5. But 16 percent of them take seven or more, the survey found.

And despite concerns about costs, few patients–just 5 percent–hear about a drug’s cost from their doctors. Two-thirds first learn about cost when picking up their medication at the pharmacy.

The Consumer Reports National Research Center conducted the survey by telephone in June, using a nationally representative sample of 1,226 adults who currently take a prescription drug.

Do you take multiple prescriptions? What steps have you taken to cut costs?

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=10f52b067a4bceabcc576e0d7ac3134b