April 24, 2024

Industrial Production Lifts European Economy

Industrial production in the 17-nation currency zone rose 0.7 percent in June from May, Eurostat, the statistical agency of the European Union, reported from Luxembourg. The agency also revised down the size of the decline in May, to 0.2 percent, rather than the 0.3 percent previously reported.

The data came a day before Eurostat is scheduled to release its first estimate of second-quarter gross domestic product, and expectations of good news were supported by the results of a survey that showed growing confidence in Germany. The ZEW institute, an economic research organization based in Mannheim, said its economic sentiment indicator had risen to 42.0 points, up by 5.7 points from July, and well above its historical average of 23.7 points.

“The euro zone’s recession ended when the snow melted last Easter,” Christian Schulz, an economist at Berenberg Bank in London, wrote in a research note. Having contracted for six straight quarters, he said, the euro zone economy “probably expanded modestly” in the April-June quarter “and will gain further momentum in the second half of the year.”

Ben May, an economist in London with Capital Economics, said the data Tuesday — as well as a small rebound in construction — suggested that the G.D.P. grew 0.2 percent in the second quarter, following a 0.3 percent quarterly decline in the first three months of the year.

Mr. Schulz credited the European Central Bank’s monetary policy, as well as the fading impact of austerity measures. He projected a 0.3 percent expansion in third-quarter G.D.P., followed by 0.4 percent growth in the last quarter.

Even with second-half growth, Eurostat has estimated that the euro zone economy will contract slightly for all of 2013 before expanding 1.2 percent next year.

Still, there is little to celebrate. There are more than 26 million Europeans who cannot find work, and the jobless rate in countries like Greece and Spain is well over 20 percent. Economists do not expect hard-hit countries to bounce back fully for several years.

Growth in Europe is still likely to lag behind that of other developed nations like the United States and Japan, as well as rising giants like China.

June marked the fifth month of the last seven in which industrial production has risen, with the data released Tuesday confirming the findings of a survey last month of European purchasing managers.

Production of consumer durables rose by 4.9 percent in June, while output of capital goods rose by 2.5 percent. Eurostat did not break down the data by product, but consumer durables generally include things like appliances, furniture and cars.

Industrial output in Germany, the largest euro zone economy, rose a strong 2.5 percent in June from May, but France, the No. 2 economy, posted a 1.5 percent decline.

For the European Union as a whole, Eurostat reported a 0.9 percent increase in June production. From a year earlier, industrial production grew 0.3 percent in the euro zone, and 0.4 percent in the overall European Union.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/08/14/business/global/industrial-production-lifts-european-economy.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

European Auto Market Slump Continues

PARIS — European new car sales contracted in March for an 18th consecutive month, industry data showed Wednesday, led by declines in Germany and France.

New vehicle registrations in the European Union fell 10.2 percent in March from a year earlier, the European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association reported from Brussels, to 1.3 million vehicles from about 1.5 million in March 2012.

Economic stagnation continues to demand in the 27-nation bloc long after a rebound in auto sales in the United States and continuing growth in emerging markets. Across Europe, more than 26 million men and women are unemployed, according to official data, and the overall economy is expected to contract in 2013 for a second straight year.

This month, the International Monetary Fund revised downward its forecast for 2013, saying it now expects the 17-nation euro zone, which makes up the bulk of the European Union economy, to shrink by 0.3 percent, worse than the 0.2 percent decline it had previously forecast.

The data Wednesday showed sales in Germany, which has the largest economy in the European Union, fell 17.1 percent; economic sentiment among Germans has fallen sharply in the last month, according to a report Tuesday from the ZEW research institute. In France, hobbled by economic stagnation and 10.8 percent unemployment, sales fell 16.2 percent. The only expansion among major markets was a 4.9 rise in Britain, which is outside the euro zone.

Sales of Volkswagen, Europe’s biggest automaker, slid 9.0 percent, with the biggest decline from its Volkswagen brand. Sales at PSA Peugeot Citroën, No.2 in Europe, plunged 16 percent. Ford Motor’s sales slid 15.8 percent, while General Motors’ tumbled 12.6 percent.

In recent months, the high-end market, which had held up even as the mass-market segment withered, has also begun to lose steam. Sales at Daimler, which warned last week that its 2013 profit forecast was beginning to look shaky, fell 1.2 percent, while its rival BMW posted a 4.7 percent sales drop.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/18/business/global/european-auto-market-slump-continues.html?partner=rss&emc=rss