April 23, 2024

Gloom in Commodities Markets Ends a Rally

A four-day rally in the stock market came to an end on Friday as signs of a slowing economy rattled commodity markets, weighing down energy and mining companies.

The price of crude oil dropped 2 percent, to $91 a barrel, as weak United States economic reports followed forecasts for diminished demand for oil.

Gold plunged $64, to $1,501 an ounce, reaching its lowest level since July 2011.

One cause for the latest plunge was a government report that wholesale prices in the United States fell the most in 10 months in March. Traders tend to sell gold when inflation wanes. Traders also pushed gold prices lower on reports that Cyprus may sell some of its gold reserves, possibly prompting other weak European countries like Italy and Spain to do the same.

Compared with the commodities markets, the stock market looked stable. The Dow Jones industrial average dropped just 0.08 of a point to close at 14,865.06. The Standard Poor’s 500-stock index lost 4.52 points, or 0.3 percent, to 1,588.85.

The two major indexes finished the week with strong gains: The Dow rose 2.1 percent, and the S. P. 500 rose 2.3 percent.

David Joy, the chief market strategist for Ameriprise Financial, said it was as if the stock market was telling a different story from the bond and commodity markets.

Copper and other industrial metals slid along with gold on Friday, while Treasury yields sank near their lows for the year. He said the moves implied that traders in those markets were more worried about an economic slowdown.

“It gives me pause,” Mr. Joy said. “Commodities and bonds are telling stock investors: don’t be in such a hurry to say the U.S. economy is in great shape.”

The sharp drop in gold futures tugged down mining companies. Barrick Gold shares lost 8.5 percent, to $22.62, Newmont Mining stock fell 5.9 percent, to $36.37, and Freeport-McMoRan shares fell 2.7 percent, to $31.92.

Materials and energy stocks fell the most of the 10 industry groups in the S. P. 500, with materials stocks down 1.5 percent and energy shares off 1.3 percent.

The Nasdaq composite dropped 5.21 points, to 3,294.95, a fall of 0.2 percent.

A handful of reports issued Friday heightened concerns. Sales at retailers fell in March, and companies restocked their shelves at a much slower pace in February than in the month before. That is usually a sign that companies expect weaker spending from consumers and businesses. A measure of consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan also slumped.

Still, the stock market has held up well, leaving “a lot of investors scratching their heads,” said Lawrence Creatura, a fund manager at Federated Investors.

This earnings season will most likely determine which direction the market takes, Mr. Creatura said. Next week, when Bank of America, Google and other big names turn in their quarterly results, could make the difference.

Wells Fargo reported stronger quarterly profits on Friday, but its revenue fell short of Wall Street’s forecasts. The bank’s stock lost 0.8 percent, to $37.21.

Treasury yields were near their lows for the year. The yield on the 10-year note dropped to 1.72 percent, from 1.79 percent late Thursday. The low point of the year, 1.69 percent, was reached April 5. The price rose

21/32, to 102 17/32.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/13/business/economy/daily-stock-market-activity.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

G-20 Officials Agree on Steps to Stabilize Food Prices and Improve Supplies

The agreements were hailed as important steps, although some advocates said they did not go far enough, especially in tackling biofuel subsidies.

The initiatives included a database on food stocks to be managed by the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization in Rome; a joint international research program on wheat; support for research into rice production; and a “rapid response forum” among Group of 20 members to assess and respond to food crises.

While investment in production was encouraged, the ministers did not offer specifics.

The ministers also agreed, in hard bargaining late Wednesday night, to remove export restrictions on food for humanitarian purposes and reaffirmed their opposition to export bans — an issue that will be taken up by the World Trade Organization. They asked the World Food Program to develop a pilot program for regional humanitarian food reserves.

“Concrete, very precise and ambitious measures will be taken,” the chairman of the meeting, the French agricultural minister, Bruno Le Maire, told reporters. “Better transparency in agricultural markets will translate into less price volatility.”

The president of the World Bank, Robert B. Zoellick, called the steps “modest,” saying, “It’s just a start, but it’s progress.” Mr. Zoellick was pleased, he said in an interview, that the Group of 20 had finally focused on agriculture and the continuing crisis he sees in food supply, especially for poorer countries with weaker links to the world’s financial and commodity markets.

Food stocks of wheat and corn are too low, he suggested, given the increasing demand for livestock feed in China, India and the developing world, where people are eating more meat. Keeping up with that demand will not allow a growth in emergency food stocks unless more action is taken, he said. And if there is an unforeseen event or disastrous weather, these stocks might quickly disappear, and prices would soar.

“We’re in a danger zone for a number of years,” he said. “If you get a bad weather event, you get hammered.”

The 24-page declaration was the result of months of negotiations. China and India, in particular, had been reluctant to release data on their food stocks, which are considered strategic information. Final agreement was obtained only at a dinner Wednesday night that was attended by, among others, President Nicolas Sarkozy of France and Pascal Lamy, the chief of the World Trade Organization.

In general, Mr. Zoellick said, the Group of 20 allowed countries like China and India to take more collective responsibility for world crises and challenges. “This is where the G-20 can work, as long as they don’t feel ordered around by the bigger countries,” he said, citing the agreement by Beijing and New Delhi on food stocks. “They know it’s in their interest to do it.”

This first-of-a-kind meeting was called by France, the current holder of the Group of 20 and Group of 8 presidencies, after world food prices hit record levels this year, raising concerns about a replay of the riots in some countries in 2007 and 2008.

The current spike — driven by drought in Western Europe, a Russian export ban last summer and bad weather in Canada and Australia — contributed to the social and political unrest in the Arab world this year.

In recent weeks there has been a slight letup in food prices, but the main wheat futures contract traded in Chicago remains up about 50 percent from its level a year ago. And few analysts expect a major retrenchment in prices in the months ahead.

There was no agreement on the possible role of speculators in financial and food markets.

There was also no accord on whether or how to cut or end subsidies on biofuels. In the declaration, the ministers merely said they would “continue to address the challenges and opportunities posed by biofuels.”

“The problem is not biofuels in themselves,” said the Food and Agriculture Organization’s director general, Jacques Diouf. “The problem is the policies adopted by certain governments to encourage the development of biofuels.”

Olivier De Schutter, a professor whom the United Nations has asked to report on food issues, said: “The final declaration is particularly disappointing on biofuels. There is a consensus among international agencies that this has been a major factor in the price increases of basic food commodities over the past four years.”

In the United States, about 37 percent of the corn crop in 2010 went to ethanol, and the figure will be no lower this year, Mr. De Schutter said. The American agriculture secretary, Tom Vilsack, noted that the issue was alive in Congress and said it was “likely that we will see changes in the way in which the industry is supported.”

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=e32af1cfe084bc8595fac5ec2e641157