May 6, 2024

Special Report: Aviation: For Airlines, Savings Could Come in Midsize Packages

NEW YORK — Development of a new airplane takes time. No one knows that better than Hideo Egawa, the chief executive of Mitsubishi Aircraft, who has had to tell buyers of the Mitsubishi Regional Jet, the company’s first commercial airplane since the 1960s, that take-off will be delayed.

“Development is difficult,” Mr. Egawa said in New York when asked why delivery of the jet to All Nippon Airways had been delayed twice. The first deliveries, initially planned for this year, are now scheduled for 2015.

The difficulties do not come from a lack of manufacturing experience. Over the years, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Mitsubishi Aircraft’s parent company, has produced components for McDonnell Douglas fighter planes and the Boeing 787 Dreamliner. The challenge, Mr. Egawa said, has been focusing such diverse expertise on “one plane.”

In seeking to introduce a smaller plane to fly between secondary cities, or between such cities and airports at major hubs, Mitsubishi Aircraft is joining a crowded field dominated by Boeing and Airbus and with smaller competitors on nearly every continent.

By the time the Mitsubishi Regional Jet flew for the first time, in April last year, Bombardier of Canada had about 2,500 jets and turboprop commuter planes in service around the world. The Brazilian aircraft maker Embraer, meanwhile, has 1,700 commercial jets in operation worldwide. The Sukhoi Superjet — a joint project of Sukhoi Civil Aircraft of Russia and the Italian company Alenia Aeronautica — has far fewer sales to its credit but is in use by airlines in Bermuda, Indonesia and Mexico, among others. Commercial Aircraft Corp. of China, meanwhile, is working on its ARJ21 aircraft, although that project also has been delayed.

The boom in regional jet production began 20 years ago as airlines sought to replace turboprop planes with longer-range, faster jets, typically with 50 passenger seats. To maximize the economic viability of the aircraft, they were often flown by subcontractors who paid pilots less than the airlines would. Carriers like Air Canada also used regional flights to feed passengers to its more-lucrative long-distance and international flights, said Calin Rovinescu, chief executive of the airline. “If you can get the right number of seats, it is a creative way to reduce your costs,” he said.

In the early 2000s, when the price of jet fuel rose sharply, the revenue from filling a 50-seat plane generally no longer covered the cost of the fuel burned to fly it. A more fuel-efficient regional jet — larger than a 50-seater but smaller than the smallest Boeing and Airbus airliners — was deemed a potential solution, but only if airlines could persuade their pilots to allow regional pilots to fly larger planes. The airlines wanted more seats on regional jets, said David Krieger, manager of economic and financial analysis at the Air Line Pilots Association in Washington. “Bigger is what they would rather see.”

Carriers agreed to restrict the number of larger planes they would fly and on what routes; in exchange, airline pilots accepted having regional airlines fly jets with more than 50 seats. More recent regional jets typically have between 70 and 100 seats.

“Labor agreements contributed to the design of the airplane,” said Chet R. Fuller, senior vice president at Bombardier Commercial Aircraft which manufactures five models of regional jet, including the 50-seat CRJ 100 and the 104-seat CRJ1000.

Even as the market has opened for larger regional jets, Mr. Fuller said, the potential for smaller planes has not faded. “Fifty-seat markets are still there, you just can’t economically serve them with the current airplane,” he said. With larger aircraft, airlines can often save money by reducing the number of flights on a particular route.

As carriers strive to fill every seat on all flights, regional aircraft of various sizes are being deployed on longer routes, said Nawal Taneja, an airline consultant and emeritus professor of aviation at Ohio State University. “If they can fly a lower-capacity airplane across the country 20 percent cheaper,” he said, an airline might be able to turn a profit on a route that is unprofitable when using a 250-seat airplane.

One example is Ethiopian Airlines, which uses wide-body Boeing aircraft including the Dreamliner for its 72 long- haul international routes but flies 13 Bombardier Q400 turboprops, which seat about 80 passengers, on shorter routes to expand its network in Africa.

“It doesn’t make sense for us to have a regional plan and deploy a 787 or a 777 or a 737,” said Hailu Teklehaimanot, a spokesman for the airline. “You need a smaller, narrow-body 100-seater, or less, to cater to that regional capacity with more frequency.”

Mr. Krieger of the Air Line Pilots Association said that figuring out what planes to buy, and where to fly them, required nuanced calculations. Carriers must take into account factors including fuel prices, passenger demand and labor restrictions.

“There is a very high ratio of fixed costs,” he said, adding that some airlines regretted the purchase of 50-seat jets. “They’re stuck with them. The market value is low over time,” he noted.

Mitsubishi thus finds itself entering a complicated and difficult market, and sales of its passenger jet have so far been limited to Japan and two U.S. companies, Trans States Airlines and SkyWest Airlines.

Even when a manufacturer thinks it understands what the market wants, unexpected developments can throw calculations out of joint. The lackluster European economy is just one example. “By no means are we interested only in Japan and America,” Mr. Egawa said. But, he added, “Europe’s economy is not recovering at a good pace and we are not seeing an intent to buy by the European airlines.”

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/17/business/global/for-airlines-savings-could-come-in-midsize-packages.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

After Record Year, Airbus Predicts Orders to Drop

Despite signs of a deepening slowdown in Europe and North America and waning airline industry profits, however, executives at the European plane maker and its parent, European Aeronautic Defense and Space, said they were confident the group’s performance would continue to buck the broader economic downtrend.

“With our increased backlog of orders, our net cash, EADS has the capacity to resist if there is a worsening of the world economy,” said Louis Gallois, the EADS chief executive.

He added that the group expected a “significant” improvement in profit this year and planned to hire 9,000 employees, mostly in Europe, as it ramped up production to keep up with demand.

Airbus recorded net orders for 1,419 commercial jets in 2011, up from 574 in 2010, giving it a market share of 64 percent by volume, or around 54 percent by list-price value. Deliveries of new jets reached 534, up 5 percent from the previous year.

Airbus’s bumper year was due mainly to a rash of orders for a revamped version of its top-selling A320 single-aisle jet equipped with more fuel-efficient engines. Airbus started marketing the plane — the A320neo, which stands for new engine option — in late 2010, more than six months before Boeing followed suit with a rival product, the 737 MAX, last summer.

It was the fourth consecutive year that Airbus had outpaced its rival. Boeing last week reported net orders for 805 planes in 2011 and 477 deliveries.

With its marketing effort for the 737 MAX now in full swing, Boeing has begun to narrow the gap with the A320neo, with more than 1,000 orders and commitments from 15 customers, including American Airlines and Southwest Airlines, as of Jan. 5. Airbus has booked 1,226 orders so far for the A320neo.

Airbus expects new jet orders of between 600 and 650 planes in 2012.

Some analysts have expressed concern that the protracted sovereign debt crisis in Europe could disrupt financing for new jet purchases. Stricter capital requirements may edge some of the region’s more vulnerable banks, particularly in France, out of the aircraft finance business.

But Thomas Enders, the Airbus chief executive, said European customers represented only 16 percent to 17 percent of the 570 planes Airbus expected to be delivered this year, while North American customers represented 11 percent.

More than half of 2012 deliveries were destined for airlines in Asia, including a substantial share from the booming air travel markets in China and India, he said.

“Our business model is already heavily focusing on the growth markets, particularly in Asia and the Middle East,” Mr. Enders said. While he conceded that French and other European banks appeared to be retreating, at least temporarily, from jet financing, “there are more and more Japanese, Chinese and now Scandinavian banks as well that are interested” in filling the financing gap.

More airlines have also begun to tap the corporate bond markets for cash as well.

John Leahy, head of sales for Airbus, dismissed concerns about a financing shortfall in the near term, saying that financing for about half of the planes set for delivery this year had already been secured. “The first half of the year is already locked in, and a good portion of the second half as well,” he said.

“There are no white tails planned for 2012,” Mr. Leahy said, using the industry term for planes that end up with no owner and no logo painted on their tail fins if airlines cannot get the loans to pay for them.

On the advice of its auditors, Airbus did not include in its 2011 order tally a landmark deal for 130 single-aisle jets announced last summer with American Airlines, whose parent company, AMR, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in late November.

Mr. Leahy said American’s chief executive, Thomas W. Horton, had committed to follow through with the purchase, but said a U.S. Bankruptcy Court judge was not expected to formally approve the deal before 2013.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=f8019c5cf607ee03aaf854dceb1c3cf0