December 21, 2024

Off the Charts: Where Banking Crisis Raged, Trust Is Slow to Return

For banks around the world, the answer to that question seems to be the determining factor in whether banks are largely trusted. In countries whose financial systems did not blow up during the worldwide recession, trust has remained high. But in some European countries where the banks were generally viewed as having caused the crisis, trust plunged and has not recovered.

The accompanying charts show the results of online surveys of “informed publics” in 26 countries around the world by people hired by Edelman, a public relations firm. Respondents were asked how much they trusted banks “to do the right thing,” on a scale of one — “do not trust them at all” — to nine — “trust them a great deal.” The figures in the charts show the proportion in each country who chose one of the four highest numbers, six to nine.

In the 2013 survey, conducted in October and November and released this week at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, more than two-thirds of the respondents in seven areas — all but one of them in Asia — thought the banks were worthy of trust. They were Indonesia, India, Malaysia, China, Hong Kong, Singapore and Mexico.

At the other end of the spectrum, fewer than a third of the respondents in six countries — all in Europe — thought bankers could be trusted. They were Ireland, Spain, Germany, Britain, the Netherlands and Italy.

Those questioned were limited to well-educated successful people; they had to be college graduates age 25 to 64 with income in the top quartile of their age group who said they followed the news regularly.

In the United States, trust in banks plunged after it became clear that bad lending practices played a major role in the housing boom that led to a bust.

In the 2008 survey, taken in the fall of 2007 just before the American recession began, banks had the trust of 71 percent of the people polled. By the 2011 survey, taken in 2010, that figure was down to 25 percent. But in the current survey, it was back up to 50 percent and the United States had the largest recovery in trust for bankers among the countries surveyed.

That revival came despite continuing bad publicity over mortgages, both in lending during the boom and in foreclosure policies after the collapse. The American economy has been slowly recovering, though, unlike those in many European countries, and that may have helped.

But the fact that half of those questioned now have at least some trust in banks does not mean people think the banks are doing a good job. Asked how banks were performing in six areas, more than half of the American respondents said they were doing a good or excellent job in only one of them, ensuring privacy and security of customers’ personal information.

In each of the other areas — small-business lending, mortgage lending, credit cards, trading and investing in government bonds and overseeing initial public offerings for companies — less than 40 percent thought performance was good or excellent.

In Britain, the figure was under 40 percent in all six areas. In China, a majority voiced approval for the performance of the banks in five of the areas, the exception being initial public offerings, where slightly less than half gave positive responses.

Canada, a country whose banking system largely emerged unscathed from the crisis, is remarkable in how little variation there has been in the rankings, which have been from 50 to 60 percent throughout the period.

In China and India, whose growth continued when most countries fell into recession, at least three-quarters of the respondents trusted the banks every year. At the other end of the spectrum, the last three surveys have shown that banks were trusted by less than 20 percent of respondents in Ireland, which experienced a housing bust that led the government to go deeply into debt to bail out the banks.

Floyd Norris comments on finance and the economy at nytimes.com/economix.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/26/business/where-banking-crisis-raged-trust-is-slow-to-return.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

DealBook: Europe’s Banks to Repay $183 Billion in Loans Early

Mario Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank, at the World Economic Forum in the Swiss resort of Davos on Friday.Pascal Lauener/ReutersMario Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank, at the World Economic Forum in the Swiss resort of Davos on Friday.

5:21 p.m. | Updated

DAVOS, Switzerland — The European Central Bank said on Friday that more banks than expected planned to pay back some low-interest three-year loans early, signaling that at least some banks are now healthier and able to raise money on their own.

The central bank said 278 banks would pay back 137 billion euros ($183 billion) out of a total of 489 billion euros ($652 billion) they borrowed a year ago. Banks borrowed 530 billion euros ($707 billion) more in a second installment last February, bringing the total to more than 1 trillion euros ($1.33 trillion).

Banks could borrow the money at the central bank’s benchmark interest rate, now at 0.75 percent. But some may have felt that there was a stigma attached. Even though the central bank does not disclose borrowers, banks may have been concerned about appearing weak in its eyes. In addition, banks needed to post bonds or other assets as collateral, and some may now prefer to deploy the assets elsewhere.

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The cheap loans provided a life raft for the region’s banking sector, which ran into difficulty in the Continent’s debt crisis. During the period of uncertainty, financial institutions refused to lend to one another. Many feared the banks, particularly in Southern Europe, would not be able to repay the short-term loans.

But Europe’s largest financial institutions just sat on the cash instead of pumping the money into local economies and providing funds to other banks. Instead, banks returned the money to the European Central Bank for safekeeping, even though it did not pay interest on the deposits. As politicians, business leaders and the general public fretted about the fate of the euro zone last year, European banks continued to break records for deposits at the central bank, with firms handing over more than $1 trillion at certain points in 2012.

And even as credit conditions started to improve late last year, many banks refused to open their coffers to new lending. European banks said they had imposed tougher lending conditions on companies and consumers during the third quarter of 2012, the latest figures available from the central bank, adding that demand for loans was expected to fall even further during the last three months of the year.

At an appearance at the World Economic Forum here, Mario Draghi, the president of the central bank, said that its measures last year had prevented a banking crisis. And he also praised government leaders for steps they took to strengthen the currency union, for example agreeing to put the central bank in charge of supervising banks — a change that will be phased in over the next year.

But he also expressed concern that calm on financial markets had not yet led to economic growth and better lives for European citizens.

“To say the least, the jury is still out,” Mr. Draghi said. “We haven’t seen an equal momentum on the real side of the economy. That’s where we have to do some more.”

The euro zone economy has stabilized at a very low level, he said, and should begin to recover in the second half of 2013.

Looking ahead, Mr. Draghi described 2013 as a year when the central bank and governments would begin carrying out decisions they made last year.

The central bank will begin assuming authority over banks, he said, and governments will carry out changes intended to improve their ability to respond to crises and police one another’s spending. As principal supervisor, the central bank is expected to be more willing than national regulators to force sick banks to confront their problems.

Mr. Draghi defended the central bank’s position that euro zone governments must continue to work to get spending under control. Austerity — a word Mr. Draghi said he did not like — has been a de facto condition for measures the central bank has taken to contain the crisis and give governments space for economic reforms.

“Fiscal consolidation is unavoidable,” Mr. Draghi said during onstage questioning by John Lipsky, a former first deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund. “There can’t be any sustainable growth, any sustainable equity achieved through an endless creation of debt.”

But Mr. Draghi conceded that budget-cutting could push countries into recession, and he said governments should cut spending on operations rather than curtailing outlays for infrastructure projects like bridges and roads.

Asked by Mr. Lipsky whether the central bank would follow the Federal Reserve in setting benchmarks for unemployment that would prompt the central bank to lower rates or take other action, Mr. Draghi said no.

In what could signal a subtle shift in the central bank’s thinking, Mr. Draghi suggested that the bank could pursue economic growth as part of its prime mandate to defend price stability.

“We have given plenty of evidence we can do so within the existing framework,” he said.

Jack Ewing reported from Davos, Switzerland, and Mark Scott from London.

Article source: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/01/25/despite-calm-draghi-raises-economic-concerns/?partner=rss&emc=rss

Deal Professor: Reports Reveal Financial Challenges, but Few Solutions

Harry Campbell

The important and self-important of global finance are again gathering at the annual World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland. This year, the mandatory reading should be two recent reminders from JPMorgan Chase and the Federal Reserve that we are light years from understanding or preventing financial crises.

The reminders come in the form of JPMorgan’s management task force report on the bank’s billions in losses from the “London whale” trade and the released transcripts of the 2007 Federal Reserve meetings. The report and the transcripts provide a sobering lesson that the people who run our financial system not only have a lot of work to do, they still aren’t sure what that work is.

Let’s start with JPMorgan’s $6.2 billion trading loss.

JPMorgan is a huge institution with more than $2 trillion in assets. Banks typically lend their deposits, but for the tens of billions that JPMorgan cannot lend, this remainder is turned over to its chief investment office. This unit is charged with earning returns on this money and also using these billions to hedge the enormous financial institution against bad events.

What happened next was that a number of C.I.O. traders got stuck.

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The traders made a complex financial bet that was intended in part to hedge the bank from another big credit disruption. But the trading position became so large — more than $50 billion in notional value — that the JPMorgan traders couldn’t liquidate it without hundreds of millions of dollars in losses. Instead of liquidation, they went in the other direction, adding some $30 billion more in notional value to the portfolio, hoping this would save them. But that trade still didn’t work, and JPMorgan lost an estimated $169 million in the first two months of 2012. It was then that the traders added another $40 billion to the portfolio.

The trade went really bad after that.

In early April, reports emerged of an outsize bet by a JPMorgan trader in London — the “whale.” Hedge funds went on the attack as they took offsetting positions in anticipation that the bank couldn’t hold the trade. The funds were right. JPMorgan lost $412 million on the first trading day after Bloomberg News and The Wall Street Journal reported about the London whale, and the losses would subsequently mount.

The internal report details what went wrong, and it is head-scratching. In the middle of a meltdown, JPMorgan traders fudge numbers, ignore orders, try to evade pesky regulations and in general scramble as they try to salvage their trade. Management races to understand what is going on at the subsidiary while markets go haywire in ways that no one ever expected or that JPMorgan’s models predicted. After the first-day loss of $412 million, Ina R. Drew, then the head of the chief investment office, wrote in an e-mail that it was an “eight sigma event,” according to the report. The Reuters columnist Felix Salmon calculated that the chances of it happening was one in 800 trillion.

Unfortunately, the bank’s trading debacle was just history repeating itself.

You could substitute the names, but this story of self-interest, unexpected market events and huge losses is similar to almost every other financial blowup of the last two decades.

In every instance, the question is: Where were the regulators? Well, one answer comes from the recent release of the transcripts from the 2007 meetings of the Federal Reserve. The transcripts portray a regulator that not only failed to appreciate the risk that had built up in the financial system and the coming storm, but also seemed to misunderstand fundamentally the subprime mortgage market.

For example, in the Federal Reserve’s August 2007 meeting, the mortgage lender Countrywide Financial was described as having a “strong franchise.” Countrywide has since saddled its acquirer, Bank of America, with tens of billions of dollars in losses.

In this meeting, the Federal Reserve governors went on to discuss the economy and noted that despite the recent market turmoil, it had a “reasonably good” chance of returning to its trend growth. The gem from this meeting was a remark by Frederic S. Mishkin, who stated that since “subprime market is really a very small percentage of the total credit markets,” the fact that the markets were now turning a critical eye to this sector was a “good thing.”

It’s all sobering. Not only are financial trading losses hard to predict and manage from the inside, but regulators with a farther view often do not appreciate the risk, the markets or the prospect of the losses. It happened with subprime mortgages and again after the financial crisis with JPMorgan’s trading loss, a loss that even the firm’s chief executive, Jamie Dimon, who had a vaunted reputation as a risk manager, could not prevent.

The JPMorgan report in particular is disheartening. One is struck that nothing we have really done so far in terms of financial reform would have prevented JPMorgan’s loss. Certainly the requirement that boards have systemic-risk committees wouldn’t have done anything. If the traders and JP Morgan’s management can’t monitor things, how could the boards? In fact, how can anyone anticipate a one-in-800-trillion event?

This all adds strength to those who argue to break up the banks or limit their financial activity through the Volcker Rule.

Which brings us to the World Economic Forum.

Flipping through the forum’s program, it is once again filled with events that are Davos-like, like a panel on “Connected Transportation — Hype or Reality.” But nowhere do the words “financial crisis” even appear in the preliminary program, though there is a worthwhile discussion of the crisis in Mali. And flipping through its 80-odd pages, I counted only two panels on big systemic risk issues even tangentially related to financial institutions. Instead, the panels are the same old Davos big think and global stuff, except now instead of about China dominating the world, it is about whether China will make it.

This is a problem. We are five years past the beginnings of the financial crisis, and there is still no real explanation for what happened, let alone a solution. Was it a unique event that should have been foreseen and prevented? How can we regulate these institutions when smart people like Federal Reserve governors can miss so much? And is breaking up banks even feasible in a global economy?

Here, JPMorgan has admirably provided its own self-analysis, and its task force prescribes more risk analysis, better risk models and management — all of the comforting things you would want — as a remedy. But would it really prevent a one-in-800-trillion event, or even just an event its traders didn’t model?

The World Economic Forum and its leaders appear to be moving on, but if the financial titans gathered there are really going to fight off the small but growing number of critics who are calling for the breakup of the big banks or even more likely a stronger Volcker Rule, they should put forth an alternative or an explanation for why these blowups keep occurring. The forum would seem to be an ideal place to do it.


Article source: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/01/22/financial-reports-reveal-economic-challenges-but-few-solutions/?partner=rss&emc=rss

DealBook: A Chance to Rub Shoulders With the Elite of Business and Politics

Mario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank.Michel Euler/Associated PressMario Draghi, president of the European Central Bank, is scheduled to be a keynote speaker at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

The minimum $20,000 entry fee has been paid. Fur hats and silk underwear are in the luggage. And stacks of business cards are ready to be slipped into the palms of the business and political elite gathering this week at the snowy alpine fortress that is the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

For the more than 2,500 people making the pilgrimage this year, some personalities will command more attention than others. On the Continent, where fears of the euro’s imminent demise dominated thinking for the last year, Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany and the president of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, are being credited rather than pilloried these days for saving the euro from disaster.

Together with Prime Minister Mario Monti of Italy and the International Monetary Fund’s managing director, Christine Lagarde, they will be among the keynote speakers on whether Europe’s fortunes will at last take a turn for the better.

Prime Minister David Cameron of Britain may throw cold water on that idea, if he attends. But in Davos, if he does turn up, his main task may be to explain why investors should not be spooked by his warning that Britain may drift away from the European Union.

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With plenty of dynamism stirring outside Europe, emerging markets leaders will be making the case for investment dollars to flow their way. Executives and academics from China and India will swarm the halls to discuss the evolution in their economic climate, which has cooled since a year ago but remains well ahead of those in Western economies.

Prime ministers from a number of African countries will also make the trek to explain how dynamism continues to build, especially on the southern part of the continent. Two years after the Arab Spring unfolded, numerous decision-makers from North Africa will outline plans for overhauls and address the political, social and economic transitions, and upheavals, in their countries.

With fighting in Mali still making headlines and the Algerian gas-field hostage disaster still being sorted out, North African issues are very likely to be prime topics.

Not everyone has been panting to get to Davos. Officials from the United States, for example, will barely be represented. But those coming — including Senator John McCain, Republican of Arizona, who is a regular at the forum, and Susan Rice, the United States ambassador to the United Nations and a former candidate to be the next secretary of state — are likely to stir controversy.

And some of the highest-wattage regulars are turning their attention elsewhere. Three notable absentees will be the top Google executives, Sergey Brin, Larry Page and Eric E. Schmidt. (For Mr. Schmidt, Davos evidently doesn’t have the same allure as North Korea, where he visited recently.) Google has not said why its leaders are not attending.

But some other men with big money will be on hand, though Jamie Dimon, the chief of JPMorgan Chase, can’t count on quite as much money as before, now that the bank’s board had decided to dock his pay after a multibillion-dollar trading loss in 2012.

Stephen A. Schwarzman of the Blackstone Group, Brian T. Moynihan of Bank of America and George Soros will all be sniffing out investments. So will Lloyd C. Blankfein, the head of Goldman Sachs, who has shunned Davos in the past but decided to join the party this time.

It’s not all about deals, though. Bill and Melinda Gates, hardy Davos perennials, will again be there to preach the need to invest in what counts for future generations: education, health and related philanthropic activity.

For celebrity sizzle, the South African actress Charlize Theron will be in town to promote her Africa Outreach Project. The forum discouraged celebrities for a while after Sharon Stone stole the show in 2005 and Brad Pitt and Angelina Jolie did the same the following year. Since then, a few stars have swanned in, mostly, it seems, out of curiosity.

Last year, Mick Jagger sidled into a spate of private Davos parties wearing a velvet plum jacket and a lilac shirt, speaking eruditely about current events with people like Jimmy Wales, the founder of Wikipedia, before busting a few lanky dance moves late in the evening.

This year, another power broker expected to prowl the corridors is Derek Jeter of the New York Yankees. Whether anyone will consider face time with him a must probably depends on a given attitude toward American baseball generally, and the widely followed Yankees specifically.

Article source: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/01/21/a-chance-to-rub-shoulders-with-the-elite-of-business-and-politics/?partner=rss&emc=rss

DealBook: Davos Attendees Confront a New Wave of Anger

The annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos takes place under heavy security measures.Christian Hartmann/ReutersThe annual meeting of the World Economic Forum takes place under heavy security.

DAVOS, Switzerland — A year ago at the World Economic Forum here, Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, lashed out at what he saw as unfair criticism of the world’s financial wizards.

“I just think this constant refrain, ‘bankers, bankers, bankers’ — it’s just a really unproductive and unfair way of treating people,” he said. “People should just stop doing that.”

After several years of financial crisis, during which the word banker had become a catchall epithet for the undeserving rich, the global economy appeared to be on the mend. Perhaps the bankers, and the other millionaires and billionaires, could put on their pinstripes with pride again, and get back to business as usual.

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Yet even as Mr. Dimon was speaking, a new wave of anger was welling up, one that, over the last year, would shake up old assumptions about the ultrarich, the middle class and the growing gulf that separates them.

Today, the gap between the haves and the have-nots is no longer just a rallying cry to incite anticapitalist activists. It has become a mainstream issue, debated openly in arenas where the primacy of laissez-faire capitalism used to be taken for granted and where talk of inequality used to be derided as class warfare.

In the United States, the issue surfaced when protesters proclaimed they were the ‘‘99 percent’’ of the population who were paying for the sins of the wealthy “1 percent,” taking their grievances directly to the epicenter of capitalism. The Occupy Wall Street protest, which began in New York, later spread to other cities around the United States and across the world.

In Spain, thousands of “indignados” converged on Madrid and other cities to vent their frustration over mass unemployment and government austerity measures. In the Arab world, a wave of unrest that toppled governments began with a protest over a lack of economic opportunities in Tunisia.

But now, as the Republican Party chooses a nominee for the United States presidential election, rivals of one candidate, Mitt Romney, are rounding on him over his wealth and his background in the private equity business.

Meanwhile, the World Economic Forum, in a recent report, named the growing income divide as one of the biggest risks facing the world in the years to come.

“In developed economies, such as those of Western Europe, North America and Japan, the social contract that has in recent decades been taken for granted is in danger of being destroyed,” the forum said in its report, warning of the threat of a “dystopian future for much of humanity.”

In the past, the conventional wisdom among those attending the World Economic Forum — at least among the corporate executives who pay their way, rather than the do-gooders who are invited — was that a wide level of inequality was an acceptable price of progress. Economic envy might even be desirable, the thinking went, if this fueled the desire that drives entrepreneurship and innovation. A rising tide of economic growth would then lift all the boats: the supertankers of the rich, to be sure, but also the dinghies of the poor.

Few Davos men or women would have questioned the views of Arthur Okun, an economist at the Brookings Institution, who argued in a 1975 book, “Equality and Efficiency: The Big Tradeoff,” that countries faced a choice between equality and economic growth; level, Scandinavian-style societies were doomed to fall behind.

“We can’t have our cake of market efficiency and share it equally,” he wrote.

Over the last year, however, with economies — at least in many Western countries — struggling to recover, a growing number of voices have risen to question this logic. Some inequality is inevitable, of course. But not only is too much inequality bad for society, they say, it may be bad for growth, too.

In a study published last year, Andrew G. Berg and Jonathan D. Ostry, researchers at the International Monetary Fund, studied the long-term economic performances of countries, then fired a broadside at Mr. Okun’s conclusions, saying those with more even divisions of the spoils often grew faster.

“A rising tide lifts all boats, and our analysis indicates that helping raise the smallest boats may help keep the tide rising for all craft, big and small,” they wrote.

The rapid growth of Asian economies in the last few decades has contributed to this change in perceptions, because countries like Vietnam have followed a pattern of development different from that of their counterparts in the West, said Hans Rosling, a Swedish doctor who co-founded the Gapminder Foundation, which analyzes public health statistics.

“In the past, economic growth came first, then you got education, health and two-child families,” Mr. Rosling said. “Now it is the reverse. If you have education, health and two-child families, then you get economic growth.”

Beyond the chants of the “99 percent” crowd, there is considerable evidence that inequality is on the rise in many places.

According to a report published in December by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, the association of free market democracies, the share of after-tax household income that went to the top 1 percent of earners in the United States more than doubled, from 8 percent in 1979 to 17 percent in 2007.

Across the 34 countries that make up the O.E.C.D.’s membership, the average income of the richest 10 percent of the population is nine times that of the poorest 10 percent. Even in countries like Denmark, Germany and Sweden, which have traditionally been more egalitarian than the United States or Britain, this ratio has risen to six to one now from five to one in the 1980s, the O.E.C.D. said.

What is especially worrying to policy makers is the correlation between inequalities in income and wealth, and other criteria like education and health. The rich eat better and smoke less. They are better educated. They live healthier and longer lives.

One recent study, by the London Health Observatory, showed a widening gap in male life expectancy between rich and poor parts of London. In the well-to-do area of Queen’s Gate, for example, it was 88; in Tottenham Green, near where riots that spread across large parts of London began last summer, male life expectancy was 71.

Such divides are not limited to the Western world. According to Gapminder, the average income in Shanghai, for example, is about 10 times the level in the less developed Chinese province of Guizhou. Meanwhile, the difference in the infant mortality rate is even greater, with such deaths occurring less than one-twelfth as often.

To some extent, differences like these have always existed between rich and poor. But what is new, analysts say, is the extent to which they have risen within individual societies and the extent to which they are being passed down from one generation to the next.

A number of studies have shown declines in social mobility in the United States — where the idea that anyone could rise up from humble roots was always a big part of the American dream — and in Britain, confounding efforts to dismantle traditional class barriers.

“There’s a deep sense that, hang on a minute, why is this not working for us anymore?” said Michael Marmot, a University College London professor who is chairman of the Commission on Social Determinants of Health at the World Health Organization.

“If there’s one thing we should all believe in, it is that every generation should have a fair chance, and that’s not happening,” he said.

Analysts have put forth a number of theories for the rise in inequality and waning social mobility. Some blame globalization, which has made it easier to outsource jobs to low-income locations and fostered the creation of a class of high-flying, high-earning, stateless executives — Davos men and women, among them — who compete in an expanded, global job pool.

Others say changes in the social fabric have played a big role. A rise in singe-parent families keeps some households locked in poverty, they say, while a phenomenon called assortative mating — in which men and women increasingly look for partners from similar social classes, rather than marrying above or below their station — has tightened the ranks of the wealthy.

The O.E.C.D. study contends that neither globalization nor changes in family structure are the main culprits. Instead, it identifies rapid technological change and the deregulation of employment markets as the main drivers.

How should policy makers respond? The O.E.C.D. says job creation is crucial, along with investments in education. Perhaps what is more controversial, the group says tax and welfare policies should be reviewed, especially in situations where the portion of the tax burden borne by high-income earners has declined in recent years.

Some wealthy individuals have gone further. Warren E. Buffett, the American billionaire who founded the investment company Berkshire Hathaway, called last summer for higher taxes on the rich, saying it was time to stop “coddling” the wealthy. In Europe, prominent chief executives in France, Germany, Italy and elsewhere have issued a similar call.

Others say, however, that this self-flagellation is misguided. Raising taxes on high earners or restricting their pay will do nothing to increase economic growth or to create jobs, said Ben Verwaayen, chief executive of Alcatel Lucent.

To stimulate sluggish Western economies, he said, policy makers will have to make the tough fiscal choices needed to bring budget deficits into line, increasing business confidence. And in Europe, he said, restrictive employment rules should be loosened to encourage companies to hire.

“If you are standing outside the job market today and you think inequality is the problem, you have an ugly surprise coming,” Mr. Verwaayen said. “If you want to kick the cat, kick the cat. If it makes you feel better, fine. But if the pie is not growing, we’re not going to create jobs.”

Maurice Lévy, chief executive of the advertising company Publicis Groupe, based in Paris, agreed that measures to promote growth were crucial. But Mr. Lévy, one of the signatories of an open letter to the French government calling for higher taxes on the wealthy, said it was only fair, at a time when governments were cutting welfare spending to bring budget deficits into line, that the rich should share the burden.

“When you have this situation of fear, and little hope of getting out of the dark, there is also anger,” Mr. Lévy said. “People see that there is a minority of people who are well-off. This anger should be taken into account by the people who are, if not their target, their preoccupation. We should all be conscious of the money we are receiving for the services we render. We have to be reasonable.”

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=7e323c232e76f95996a4ecdc58d26bf9

DealBook Column: Free Pass for Matchmaking at a Setting in the Alps

Preparations are under way for the World Economic Forum, which begins on Wednesday.Scott Eells/Bloomberg NewsPreparations are under way for the World Economic Forum, which begins on Wednesday.

DAVOS, Switzerland — The stars of the guest list for this year’s annual World Economic Forum, which begins here Wednesday, are a who’s who of government leaders pulling the strings of the global economy. On the list are Angela Merkel, the chancellor of Germany; Timothy F. Geithner, the United States secretary of the Treasury; Mario Draghi, the president of the European Central Bank; and Christine Lagarde, the managing director of the International Monetary Fund.

The cost of their tickets? Nothing.

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Last year, you may recall that I wrote a column detailing the extraordinary entrance fees that corporate executives pay for the opportunity to do matchmaking in the Alps. A quick refresher: It costs a minimum of $71,000 for an individual corporate invitation. An invitation for two that includes access to private events costs $301,000. An invitation for a delegation of five, $622,000. And that’s before the planes, hotels and restaurant meals.

But that column did not detail that for about 900 other individuals from the world of government, academia, nonprofit groups — and, yes, members of the media — the sky-high corporate fees also are waived. The invitation comes gratis, though all their travel and lodging costs fall to those guests.

You could argue that the more than $100 million that moguls and corporations spend to send 1,600 superconnected executives here by private plane is used to subsidize those who fly on commercial airlines. (In fairness, not every mogul flies by corporate jet: George Soros, the hedge fund manager, flew commercial. He was on my flight Sunday night.) And many public officials, of course, fly on private government planes. Mr. Geithner, for example, will be flying on a military plane.

Among those who get “comped” are often big and small nonprofit organizations and “social entrepreneurs” seeking a voice in the conversation and a chance to rub elbows with potential benefactors. People like Kumi Naidoo, the executive director of Greenpeace International, and Giorgio Jackson, the 24-year-old leader of a student movement in Santiago, Chile, that nearly paralyzed the country, are on the get-in-free list.

About 200 academics, people like the Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz and Kenneth Rogoff, the Harvard economist and co-author of “This Time is Different,” are also offered free admission. And about 20 religious leaders, including Archbishop Desmond Tutu and Cardinal Peter Turkson of Ghana (who is said to be considered among the candidates to be the next pope), make the list.

It is a notable and noble effort by the World Economic Forum to take this multi-stakeholder approach and, in truth, it gives all kinds of people from all parts of the world a seat at the table, even if some say they are being co-opted by the “elite.” (By the way, since when did elite become a pejorative term?)

Critics contend that all of the nonbusiness leaders and high-minded conversations — this year’s theme is “The Great Transformation: Shaping New Models” — are a cover for the paying invitees to mingle in the halls and make deals. To some extent, that is true. There is no question that Davos is a matchmaking haven for chief executives. I know one executive who conducts more than 20 meetings a day with people from all over the globe that he said would otherwise take him three months of red-eye flights to do.

There is another, perhaps cynical, unspoken draw for the C.E.O. set paying six figures to frolic in the snow. The 40 heads of state and 90 ministers who come to the conference free of charge are, of course, the headliners, but they are also doing the real deal making behind the scenes with each other — and with industry.

For government officials, Davos has the same allure that it does for business: a series of quick-hit meetings with their counterparts. It gives executives the chance to jockey for position on the other side of the table with a government leader who could have an infrastructure project that needs financing, deals that can be worth millions if not billions of dollars. Or executives will spend weeks before arriving trying to get a 15-minute meeting with Mrs. Merkel or Ms. Lagarde in the hope of influencing the dialogue over the euro.

That may help explain why the World Economic Forum brought in $157 million in revenue last year from its members and strategic corporate partners.

In case you’re curious, it spent virtually all of it: $156 million. How was it spent? The organization employs 337 full-time employees and 369 “full-time equivalents” annually that it says cost a total of about $69 million. The conferences it convenes — besides the meeting in Davos, it organizes another big event in China and four other regional events — cost about $60 million more for space, elaborate signs and furniture, meals, event planning and security. (The security costs in Davos alone are estimated to be about $8 million, which are borne by the World Economic Forum and the Swiss government.) The organization says it spent another $26 million on office costs.

Adrian Monck, head of communications for the World Economic Forum, said that because there was such a cross-section of paying invitees from all kinds of industries, nobody could skew the selection of people invited to attend free. “The funding diversity means no one is ‘paying’ for the people we choose to come — that’s our ‘editorial integrity,’ ” he said in an e-mail.

Money may always raise questions about events like Davos. But in the end, the event is, as Mr. Monck wrote on his blog, an effort to convene a global conversation and a reflection that “that every view must be integrated, that one cannot simply abrogate one’s membership in a community. It is an old idea.”

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=8a5f97000dcaeba29967092eb82f3e97

DealBook: Insider Trading Cases Stain Hedge Fund Manager’s Reputation

Minh Uong/The New York Times

Steven A. Cohen, the once-secretive billionaire hedge fund manager, is suddenly everywhere.

On Monday, Mr. Cohen and his wife attended the Metropolitan Museum of Art’s annual Costume Institute gala, where they rubbed elbows with the rock star Mick Jagger and the quarterback Tom Brady. On Wednesday, he is scheduled to speak, before former President George W. Bush, at a prominent hedge fund conference in Las Vegas. Earlier this year, he made his first trip to Davos, Switzerland, for the World Economic Forum, where he could be seen dancing the night away at a private party.

And Mr. Cohen is bidding to buy a large stake in the New York Mets from the team’s owners.

Behind the scenes, life has not been nearly so fun.

Federal prosecutors are examining trades made in an account run by Mr. Cohen at SAC Capital Advisors, his hedge fund in Stamford, Conn., that manages about $12 billion, according to a government filing. The trades were suggested by two SAC portfolio managers who have pleaded guilty to insider trading-related crimes. The charges are part of a vast investigation into insider trading at hedge funds by the United States attorney in Manhattan that has resulted in criminal cases against at least 47 people over the last two years.

Meanwhile, Senator Charles E. Grassley, Republican of Iowa, asked the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority in a letter on April 26 to provide information on “potential scope of suspicious trading activity” at SAC.

For years, Mr. Cohen’s firm has been beset by persistent whispers of a cowboy culture that often walked up to the line, if not over it, while generating stupefying returns, minting scores of millionaire traders and making Mr. Cohen a billionaire many times over.

Earlier this year, those whispers became louder when one of the SAC portfolio managers, Noah Freeman, admitted trading on illegal tips about publicly traded companies while working for Mr. Cohen and agreed to cooperate with the government’s investigation, leading to questions about whether Mr. Cohen himself and the firm could become ensnared.

Donald LongueuilRick Maiman/Bloomberg News Donald Longueuil, a former portfolio manager at SAC Capital, who pleaded to insider trading charges.

The other SAC portfolio manager, Donald Longueuil, pleaded guilty last week.

“The striking thing about SAC has always been its extraordinary performance in the absence of any identifiable special sauce,” said Sebastian Mallaby, the author of “More Money Than God,” a book published last year on the history of hedge funds. “Charges like these cast doubt on the legitimacy of the fund’s investment process.”

Neither SAC nor Mr. Cohen has been accused of any criminal wrongdoing and the firm is cooperating with the government’s investigation. The government’s interest in Mr. Cohen’s trades was reported earlier by The Wall Street Journal.

Unlike many hedge funds that are controlled by one portfolio manager who makes all the investment decisions, SAC is decentralized; 142 small teams are each given control over hundred of millions of dollars to invest. Mr. Cohen attracts talented, ambitious traders because he offers to pay each team as if they run their own fund — without having to raise money and run a business.

“He’s giving them a lot of autonomy — that’s the pitch,” said a former employee who asked for anonymity because he did not want to harm his relationship with Mr. Cohen. “Do I think the fish stinks at the head of SAC? No. But does the business model make it challenging to keep bad people from doing bad things? Yes.”

The firm’s unusual balkanized structure could ultimately insulate Mr. Cohen from any insider trading allegations. Most of the firm’s traders invest on their own with little direct input from Mr. Cohen, who manages less than 10 percent of the fund’s capital. The two SAC portfolio managers who pleaded guilty to insider trading worked in two different satellite offices — Boston and Manhattan — and had little contact with Mr. Cohen in the two years they worked at the firm.

Mr. Cohen, 54, who grew up in Great Neck, N.Y., on Long Island, spends most of his day either at his desk in the middle of an expansive trading floor in what feels like a domed football stadium or in his corner office, where he has an array of therapeutic devices for his bad back, including a massage table. From his desk, filled with computer screens, he manages his own portfolio, focusing primarily on health care, energy and industrial stocks. (He rarely trades technology stocks, which are the center of the government’s vast investigation into insider trading at hedge funds.) He also monitors the firm’s trading and with the flick of a switch can be piped in by video to any trader’s desk to ask questions about a particular position.

Former SAC employees describe a firm that preaches ethics and integrity, but also is a sink-or-swim culture where traders can be summarily dismissed for poor performance. Mr. Cohen, who was once known to berate his employees in middle of the trading floor, imposes what he calls a “down and out” number for portfolio managers. That is, if the portfolio managers lose a certain amount of money, they risk being jettisoned from the firm.

Mr. Cohen will increase or decrease the money each team manages depending on their performance. If a trading team is generating strong returns, Mr. Cohen will often give them more money to manage. Groups that are floundering can see their allotment cut back.

SAC portfolio managers are known for relentlessly pressing sources for information about companies in the hopes of building what they call a “mosaic” to gain an investment edge. They have incentives to share their best ideas with Mr. Cohen, and if they want to do so, they must fill out an electronic form explaining the investment and the thesis behind it. Each Sunday afternoon, Mr. Cohen speaks to his senior staff to grill them about their investment plans, but the majority of the firm’s daily trades are made without consulting him.

Teams are paid a percentage of the profits that they generate for SAC, which, including its borrowings from banks, has a staggering $39 billion in total buying power. The more money a team manages, the greater that team’s potential compensation. Top traders can earn tens of millions of dollars annually.

“It’s a Darwinian and pressure-packed culture with ridiculous amounts of money at stake,” said another former employee, who asked for anonymity because he did not want to spoil relationships at the firm.

In a letter sent to his investors in February when the two former portfolio mangers were arrested, Mr. Cohen wrote, “If the government allegations are true, these former employees’ actions are egregious violations of our policies and ethical standards and inconsistent with our culture of compliance. Any wrongdoing that might have been committed by an individual or individuals is not reflective of our organization or the integrity of our more than 850 employees.”

In the last several years, SAC has put in place a compliance program to monitor the firm’s activities and has had lawyers including Harvey L. Pitt, the former chairman of the Securities and Exchange Commission , speak to the company’s employees.

“Listen, we’ve beefed up our compliance,” Mr. Cohen told Vanity Fair magazine last year. Still, he allowed, “This was a learning process.”

He explained that, back in the 1990s, “you have to remember, we were smaller. Things were different then.”

The firm has been under a cloud since a former employee, Richard Choo-Beng Lee, pleaded guilty in 2009 to insider trading and began helping the government in its investigation. The crimes he confessed to were committed after he left SAC, but he agreed to provide information about his five years at the firm, which ended in 2004.

The United States attorney in Manhattan has twice issued subpoenas to SAC requesting the firm’s trading records. And late last year, F.B.I. agents raided two large hedge funds owned by former top SAC traders.

Mr. Cohen has declined to comment about the insider trading investigation. There have also been at least two other instances of federal authorities citing illegal trading by traders with connections to SAC.

In 2009 federal prosecutors criminally charged an investment banker with providing illegal tips about merger and acquisition deals to an unnamed hedge fund analyst who traded on the information. The analyst, who generated $3.5 million in profits for his firm, was Jonathan Hollander, a former SAC employee, according to a person with direct knowledge of the case, who would not speak publicly about it.

Mr. Hollander’s lawyer, Aitan D. Goelman, declined to comment. The government dismissed the complaint against the investment banker and has not charged Mr. Hollander with any wrongdoing.

Earlier this year, the Securities and Exchange Commission filed civil insider trading charges against Robert Feinblatt, who started his own hedge fund after leaving SAC in 2002. Mr. Feinblatt did not return telephone calls seeking comment.

Amid the distractions, Mr. Cohen continues to counter the long-held stereotype that he is a cagey hedge fund manager who never leaves his trading lair. He and his wife have stepped up his philanthropy, recently donating $50 million to finance the Cohen Children’s Medical Center on Long Island. He frequently appears at art shows, where he looks to add to a world-class collection of paintings by artists including Pablo Picasso and Andy Warhol.

Before a packed banquet room at the Waldorf Astoria hotel, Mr. Cohen recently sat for an hourlong interview at an investment conference sponsored by a Wall Street research firm.

The interviewer was a fellow hedge fund titan, Paul Tudor Jones, who refrained from asking questions about the government’s insider trading charges.

Instead, he asked Mr. Cohen about his market outlook.

“Underneath stocks are exploding, and everything I’m seeing today looks bullish,” he said. “I’m not going to get negative just for the sake of being negative.”

Article source: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/05/06/insider-trading-cases-stain-fund-managers-reputation/?partner=rss&emc=rss