November 14, 2024

Wealth Matters: Managing Risk in an Investment Portfolio

The debt debate fell into the category of events that could hurt your portfolio, with you having little control over it. The same goes for the drop in stock prices at the end of the week; even if you did everything right with your own finances, your portfolio still could lose value.

Yet there are many risks in people’s investments that they can control. How many investors, for instance, know what is in their portfolios and, more important, how those assets work — or do not work — together? How many people use several financial advisers who do not know what the other managers are doing? These and other common mistakes can expose a portfolio to unintended risks.

“This is a primary issue for individual investors,” said Stephen M. Horan, head of private wealth management at the CFA Institute, an association of investment professionals. “We have a much clearer sense of what return is than what risk is. But losses govern the accumulation of wealth to a dramatic extent.”

Here are three areas of risk that often get overlooked:

SECURITY SELECTION The classic example of unintended risk in a portfolio is the investor who buys six different mutual funds and thinks that equals diversification. What the investor may not realize is that all six funds can own 10 of the same stocks. Instead of diversifying risk, the investor has concentrated it.

Mr. Horan said investors needed to know what their holdings actually were. It is easy. Look up the funds’ Top 10 holdings, available on the fund’s Web site, and the sector concentrations. Then, investors need to have the courage of their convictions. Lynn Ballou, an investment adviser and also an ambassador for the Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, said investors inadvertently increased their risk by being swayed by people who had little knowledge of their portfolio.

“It’s, ‘I went out to lunch with someone and he said, wink, wink, nod, nod, I’ve heard about this company and I’m going to buy some and you should, too,’ ” Ms. Ballou said. “All that is what I call sexy noise. And 99 times out of 100, it’s just fun lunch talk.”

But should investors act on those tips, they risk a problem that Chris Walters, executive vice president at Citizens Trust , calls “portfolio happens,” the accumulation of investments that are not part of an overarching strategy and do not work together.

At the extreme, he said, was a client who recently bought $1 million of gold bullion without telling anyone. “We said, ‘How are you going to get it home? What are you going to do with it?’ ” Mr. Walters said. But the best advice is to have a personal benchmark, pegged to when you will need the money, like in retirement. Thomas J. Pauloski, national managing director in the wealth management group at AllianceBernstein, said he urged his clients to do that.

“You want to get people away from focusing on the day-to-day jousting,” he said. In doing this, an investor hopes to reduce the risk of buying high and selling low.

MANAGING SECURITIES The market crash of 2008 has instilled a fear of being overly concentrated with any one manager or firm. But spreading out everything among different people is not the solution, either.

“We think about the best fund managers and do a pretty good job at the beginning of finding them,” Ms. Ballou said. “But we don’t stay on top of them. And then, it’s, ‘I just read my famous fund manager retired or got indicted — what do I do now?’ ”

She said more people should think about who is managing their portfolios the way they would think about a garden: after spending time planting beautiful flowers, they don’t let it go without pruning and weeding.

This discipline is not easy, even among the wealthiest. One investor, whose family’s wealth came from an agricultural products company and inheritance, said it was not until the family decided to move to another financial firm that they found out how much unintended risk was in their portfolio.

The investor, who asked not to be name to protect his family’s privacy, said the family had 5 percent of its $50 million of liquid wealth in Microsoft and 7 to 8 percent in Oracle. But since the stocks were held in various accounts, they did not realize how concentrated they were.

“We looked at the stock statements and not what was in the funds,” he said. “Microsoft and Oracle are great companies, but we didn’t have any other significant holdings.”

BNY Mellon Wealth Management performed the risk audit on the portfolio and the family moved their money to that firm. But Timothy E. Sheehan, senior director for business development at the firm, said the risk audits he did for clients were something anyone could do.

“All of this is public information,” he said. “But when you tell them they own 30,000 different equity shares, they say, ‘How did that happen?’ ”

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=f6e750e9d788a27b80eba4e5d2bd4851

Bucks Blog: The Risk of Gold and Treasury Bills Right Now

Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg News

This weekend’s Wealth Matters column opens with a bold statement about people who have sold stocks and are buying gold or United States Treasury bonds.

“They fled the perceived risk of falling stock prices right into the assured risk of overvalued assets,” said G. Scott Clemons, chief investment strategist for the wealth management division at Brown Brothers Harriman.

No one knows for sure if these assets are truly overvalued. But investors in T-bills did get hurt rather quickly in late 2010 and early 2011. And gold prices are based largely on sentiment, which can change in an instant.

So have you ditched stocks for Treasuries or gold of late? If so, how will you know when it’s time to reallocate again?

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=db6b4f5adefeca912a65322de76fe6df

Stocks & Bonds: Dow Gains 153 Points to End the Quarter Higher

The yield on the Treasury’s benchmark 10-year note rose as the Federal Reserve’s bond buying program ended and investors poured money into equities.

The Dow industrials closed up 152.92 points, or 1.25 percent, at 12,414.34. Although stocks tumbled for most of the month of June, a surge of 480 points this week helped give the Dow a gain of about 0.7 percent for the second quarter.

The Standard Poor’s 500-stock index rose 13.23 points, or 1.01 percent, to 1,320.64, while the Nasdaq composite index was up 33.03 points, or 1.21 percent, at 2,773.52. Both the S. P. and the Nasdaq were slightly lower for the quarter.

For the first half of 2010, the Dow gained 7.2 percent, the S. P. rose 5 percent and the Nasdaq increased 4.6 percent.

Stocks climbed Thursday after a vote in the Greek Parliament enabled the country to begin cuts in spending and steps to raise revenue. German banks also agreed to take part in a plan to aid Greece by accepting longer maturities some of the Greek bonds that they hold.

Although analysts said the news had already been largely factored into stock prices, it was still enough to lift sentiment in Europe and the United States.

“This week’s developments hardly mark an end to the economic crisis afflicting Europe, or Greece, for that matter,” said Kevin H. Giddis, the executive managing director and president for fixed-income capital markets at Morgan Keegan Company. “But at least the can has been kicked down the road,” he wrote in an economic commentary.

In economic news, a barometer of manufacturing, the Chicago purchasing managers index, recorded an unexpectedly strong increase to 61.1 in June, above market expectations for a decline to 54, according to a survey by Bloomberg News.

Analysts saw the rise as an indication of stronger-than-expected new orders in the region, which includes the crucial automobile manufacturing sector.

Employment indicators remained weak, however, with initial claims for unemployment benefits at a still-high 428,000 in the latest week, according to a report from the Labor Department report.

Stocks in sectors including energy, materials, technology and industrial stocks, all pushed ahead by more than 1 percent on Thursday.

Exxon rose 1.4 percent to $81.38. The chip maker Intel gained 3.6 percent to $22.16. Caterpillar rose 3 percent to $106.46, and General Electric rose 1.6 percent to $18.86.

The Treasury’s 10-year note declined for a fourth consecutive trading day Thursday as the Fed’s bond buying program, known as QE2, drew to a close. The note fell 10/32, to 99 23/32, and the yield rose to 3.16 percent from 3.12 percent late Wednesday.

“There is a lot of concern about quantitative easing and who is going to be the buyer” now that the Fed has withdrawn, said Laura LaRosa, director of fixed income at the investment firm Glenmede.

Economists and investors continue to debate how much the Fed’s quantitative easing program helped the economy. But traders said it had been a boon for the stock market.

The S. P. has risen more than 20 percent since last August when the Fed chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, first indicated in a speech that a new round of quantitative easing was likely to be adopted to help the economy.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=f97c9242231072f33a4fb76cb77b561a