November 22, 2024

Shares Drop on Weak Monthly Jobs Report

The market opened more than 1 percent lower after the report from the Labor Department showed the economy added just 54,000 jobs in May, compared with the rise of 232,000 jobs in nonfarm payrolls in April. The report also showed that the unemployment rate rose to 9.1 percent in May from 9 percent in April. May’s payrolls number was well below the 165,000 forecast by analysts in a Bloomberg survey.

Investors had been digesting weak signals about the economy in the days leading up to the monthly report, with gloomy reports on jobs, manufacturing and auto sales that helped to send stocks down by more than 2 percent this week to their biggest declines in percentage terms since last August.

In another indicator released Friday, the Institute for Supply Management said the service sector of the nation’s economy grew in May for an 18th consecutive month.

After their initial reaction to the jobs report, the three main indexes retraced some ground but never pushed into positive territory.

Shares in the telecommunications and information technology sector led the declines. American Tower fell 5.83 percent to $51.21. Verizon was down 1.49 percent at $35.63, and Sprint declined 4.38 percent to $5.67. Yahoo closed down 2.12 percent at $15.68.

The Dow Jones industrial average was down 97.29 points, or 0.79 percent, at 12,151.26. The Standard Poor’s 500-stock index fell 12.78 points, or 0.97 percent, to 1,300.16. The Nasdaq composite index fell 40.53 points, or 1.46 percent, to 2,732.78.

All three indexes closed the week more than 2 percent lower compared with the previous week. It was the third consecutive weekly loss for the Nasdaq.

The Treasury’s benchmark 10-year note rose 12/32, to 101 6/32, and the yield fell to 2.99 percent from 3.03 percent late Thursday.

The jobs numbers seemed more to disappoint than to surprise the market.

David Kelly, the chief market strategist for J.P. Morgan Funds, said it had been clear that the number would be weak because recent data, particularly for payrolls and initial unemployment benefit claims, had suggested the direction.

“A lot of individual investors are skittish, and they will sell first and ask questions later,” Mr. Kelly said of the expected response. “But for the long-term investors it is better to ask the questions first.”

Lawrence Creatura, portfolio manager at Federated Clover Investment Advisors, said investors were more risk-averse than they were about a month ago and unlikely to carry too much risk over the weekend, which has an impact on pricing.

“We are in an environment where the volatility of the underlying data is increasing,” Mr. Creatura said. “Today being a Friday, and being confronted with some pretty dark employment data, investors should be ready for anything.”

The last time the Dow closed lower for five consecutive weeks was the five-week period ending on July 23, 2004.

But some economists expect the economy to pick up in the latter part of the year.

Mr. Kelly said he expected economic growth to pick up, averaging above 3 percent in quarterly growth rates in the second half of the year compared with the 2 percent he forecast for the second quarter. He said growth was more likely than another recession because of factors including a weak dollar, easy monetary conditions and pent-up demand. Corporate profits are also poised to grow.

“For long-term investors that is still the way I would play this,” he added. “But in the short run this is going to raise a lot of fears about something worse.”

“Because of that, stocks are a better value than bonds,” Mr. Kelly said.

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Stocks Plummet on Disappointing Economic Reports

Just ahead of the government’s monthly jobs report for May, investors got a disappointing look at the trend in hiring over the last few weeks. The monthly report from ADP Employer Services, the payroll processing firm, said that private employers added 38,000 jobs in May, lower than expectations and the smallest increase since September 2010.

Economists said that the figure in the ADP survey, far less than the 175,000 jobs that had been forecast, could have been a reflection of severe storms in many parts of the country that month, while automobile manufacturers have temporarily laid off workers in response to a disruption in supply chains. Economists from Capital Economics Ltd. said in a research note that the dip also reflected a slowdown in the growth in the service sector.

As a result, some economists lowered their forecasts for the May nonfarm payroll employment numbers, which are to be released by the government on Friday. Goldman Sachs economists said they now expect the payrolls number to come in at 100,000 compared with their previous forecast of 150,000.

“While the ADP report has a mixed track record in forecasting payroll growth, our research indicates it should receive some weight,” they said in a research note. “Moreover, the weakness in the ADP report follows a streak of weaker-than-expected news on both the labor market and activity as whole.”

The slower growth in employment along with fewer new orders were factors in the lower measure of manufacturing last month. In its survey of 18 manufacturing industries, the Institute for Supply Management index fell to a 19-month low of 53.5 points last month from 60.4 the previous month. Analysts surveyed by Bloomberg had estimated that the index would decline to 57.1 points.

“Pressures from rising commodity costs, plus supply-chain disruptions from Japan’s natural disaster, and extreme weather domestically, have combined to slow manufacturing’s momentum,” said Nigel Gault, IHS Global Insight’s chief United States economist.

“This is particularly worrying since manufacturing has been the economy’s shining star,” he added in a research note.

On Wall Street, financials fared poorly in early trading, declining more than 2 percent. Materials, industrials and energy stocks declined by more than 1 percent.

At the close, the Dow Jones industrial average was down 279.65 points, or 2.22 percent, at 12,290.14. The Standard Poor’s 500-stock index was down 30.65 points, or 2.28 percent, at 1,314.55, and the Nasdaq composite index was down 66.11 points, or 2.33 percent, at 2,769.19.

As stocks slumped, investors turned their attention to safer assets, pushing government bond prices higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year note fell to 2.95 percent from 3.06 percent late Tuesday.

Kevin H. Giddis, the executive managing director and president for fixed-income capital markets at Morgan Keegan Company, said Treasuries rose in reaction to the latest economic reports. He said the latest statistics suggested “what appears to be a significant slowdown” in the economy in the last month.

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