December 22, 2024

Amid Pressure, House Passes Fiscal Deal

The measure, brought to the House floor less than 24 hours after its passage in the Senate, was approved 257 to 167, with 85 Republicans joining 172 Democrats in voting to allow income taxes to rise for the first time in two decades, in this case for the highest-earning Americans. Voting no were 151 Republicans and 16 Democrats.

The bill was expected to be signed quickly by Mr. Obama, who won re-election on a promise to increase taxes on the wealthy.

Mr. Obama strode into the White House briefing room shortly after the vote, less to hail the end of the fiscal crisis than to lay out a marker for the next one. “The one thing that I think, hopefully, the new year will focus on,” he said, “is seeing if we can put a package like this together with a little bit less drama, a little less brinkmanship, and not scare the heck out of folks quite as much.”

In approving the measure after days of legislative intrigue, Congress concluded its final and most pitched fight over fiscal policy, the culmination of two years of battles over taxes, the federal debt, spending and what to do to slow the growth in popular social programs like Medicare.

The decision by Republican leaders to allow the vote came despite widespread scorn among House Republicans for the bill, passed overwhelmingly by the Senate in the early hours of New Year’s Day. They were unhappy that it did not include significant spending cuts in health and other social programs, which they say are essential to any long-term solution to the nation’s debt.

Democrats, while hardly placated by the compromise, celebrated Mr. Obama’s nominal victory in his final showdown with House Republicans in the 112th Congress, who began their term emboldened by scores of new, conservative members whose reach to the right ultimately tipped them over.

“The American people are the real winners tonight,” Representative Bill Pascrell Jr., Democrat of New Jersey, said on the House floor, “not anyone who navigates these halls.”

Not a single leader among House Republicans came to the floor to speak in favor of the bill, though Speaker John A. Boehner, who rarely takes part in roll calls, voted in favor. Representative Eric Cantor of Virginia, the majority leader, and Representative Kevin McCarthy of California, the No. 3 Republican, voted no. Representative Paul D. Ryan, the budget chairman who was the Republican vice-presidential candidate, supported the bill.

Despite the party divisions, many Republicans in their remarks characterized the measure, which allows taxes to go up on household income over $400,000 for individuals and $450,000 for couples but makes permanent tax cuts for income below that level, as a victory of sorts, even as so many of them declined to vote for it.

“After more than a decade of criticizing these tax cuts,” said Representative Dave Camp of Michigan, “Democrats are finally joining Republicans in making them permanent. Republicans and the American people are getting something really important, permanent tax relief.”

The dynamic with the House was a near replay of a fight at the end of 2011 over a payroll tax break extension. In that showdown, Senate Democrats and Republicans passed legislation, and while House Republicans fulminated, they were eventually forced to swallow it.

On Tuesday, as they got a detailed look at the Senate’s fiscal legislation, House Republicans ranging from Midwest pragmatists to Tea Party-blessed conservatives voiced serious reservations about the measure, emerging from a lunchtime New Year’s Day meeting with their leaders, eyes flashing and faces grim, insisting they would not accept a bill without substantial savings from cuts.

The unrest reached to the highest levels as Mr. Cantor told members in a closed-door meeting in the basement of the Capitol that he could not support the legislation in its current form.

Mr. Boehner, who faces a re-election vote on his post on Thursday when the 113th Congress convenes, had grave concerns as well, but he had pledged to allow the House to consider any legislation that cleared the Senate. And he was not eager to have such a major piece of legislation pass with mainly opposition votes, and the outcome could be seen as undermining his authority.

Robert Pear and Peter Baker contributed reporting.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/02/us/politics/house-takes-on-fiscal-cliff.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Economix: Are Bank Examiners to Blame for Slow Job Growth?

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Simon Johnson, the former chief economist at the International Monetary Fund, is the co-author of “13 Bankers.”

Representative Bill Posey, Republican of Florida, has introduced legislation that would force bank examiners to be less restrictive on lending.Phil Coale/Associated PressRepresentative Bill Posey, Republican of Florida, has introduced legislation that would force bank examiners to be less restrictive on lending.

With unemployment back up to 9.2 percent, as reported last week, the hunt is on for an explanation of why job creation has been so slow since the financial crisis of 2008. Some House Republicans think they have found a specific culprit: bank examiners.

In the view of Representative Bill Posey of Florida and some colleagues on the House Financial Services Committee, bank examiners are clamping down on otherwise perfectly healthy banks – and forcing them, inappropriately, to classify some loans as “non-accrual” (meaning less likely to be paid back).

Mr. Posey has therefore introduced a bill that would direct examiners to regard all loans as “accrual,” as long as payments are still being made – and a hearing was held on July 8 to discuss the merits of the matter.

Today’s Economist

Perspectives from expert contributors.

I testified at the hearing and was not supportive of the bill. On the subsequent panel of witnesses, representatives of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, the relevant regulators, testified even more forcefully against the proposal.

George French, on behalf of the F.D.I.C., said in written testimony, “This proposed legislation would result in an understatement of problem loans on banks’ balance sheets and an overstatement of regulatory capital.”

The big issue is “regulatory forbearance” – whether regulators should look the other way when banks get into trouble, allowing them to be nicer to their borrowers and, in the optimists’ view, manage their way to recovery.

The problem with such forbearance is that it has a long history of leading to much bigger problems. The savings and loan crisis of the late 1980s and early 1990s began as a relatively small problem at some Texas mortgage lenders.

Congress responded to the complaints of these institutions, which asserted that they had been poorly treated by various changes in rules, and the result was legislation that gave these savings and loans enough additional rope (and forbearance) to hang themselves.

In the end, a significant number of people went to jail and taxpayers had to pay nearly $150 billion to clean up the mess. (Recommended summer reading for all members of Congress and everyone else: “The Best Way to Rob a Bank Is to Own One: How Corporate Executives and Politicians Looted the SL Industry,” by William K. Black.)

The core problem today is that while community banks were not the main driving force behind the financial boom and bust, in some states they made some very bad decisions. Among the members of Congress who spoke on Friday, I heard strong voices from Florida, as well as from New Mexico and Georgia. In all of these places, thinly capitalized community banks made very bad bets on real estate, often commercial real estate.

The regulators made it very clear in their testimony that the rules have not changed, and they continue to apply the same accounting principles as before. The principles are straightforward and reasonable: a loan cannot be classified as accrual if you do not expect it to be repaid in full.

Allowing banks to classify failing loans as accrual will overstate their financial results and make it look as though they have more capital — that is, greater shareholder equity — than they do. The problem is that some community banks do not have big enough loss-absorbing buffers — the role that bank equity plays.

If we had any kind of free market in banking, you would expect banks to have equity funding of at least 30 percent of total assets. But since the advent of deposit insurance in the 1930s, retail banks have been happy to have much less equity relative to debt, because the government is, in effect, providing a subsidy to debt.

Bankers are paid based on their return on equity, unadjusted for risk. As Prof. Anat Admati of Stanford University has been asserting, this is a big part of all our banking problems (see her critique of return on equity-based pay).

The small banks have a legitimate gripe, but it was not the focus of Friday’s hearing. The country’s mega-banks — for example, the six largest bank-holding companies — received a great deal of regulatory forbearance, as well as much more government support. In contrast, the smaller banks have received very little. The Troubled Asset Relief Program did make capital available to them on potentially advantageous terms, but taking that capital might have signaled that management thought there was a deeper problem.

The right approach to strengthening small-business lending in communities across the country is to encourage community banks to raise more equity (i.e., more capital). If they are unable or unwilling to do this, for example because of the so-called debt-overhang problem — that their debts to existing creditors weigh too much on new investors — we should allow and encourage new entrants.

Banking licenses could be made more readily available to well-capitalized entities with strong management teams and a proven commitment to serving local business. Existing community banks, as well as the politically powerful Independent Community Bankers of America, are unlikely to welcome such moves. But they would help small businesses and job growth.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=2360c1a4ec551aa7cf1da8f3cc46461a