December 22, 2024

Mobile Efforts Help Propel Facebook’s Earnings

But the company has still been taking pains to prove that it can make more money from its base of more than a billion users, especially from those using Facebook on mobile devices.

On Wednesday, the company reported earnings that suggested that its mobile efforts were bearing fruit. It said it had first-quarter revenue of $1.46 billion, exceeding the $1.44 billion estimate of financial analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News. The company had $219 million in net income.

The company has recently focused its efforts on increasing advertising revenue, especially on its mobile application, rolling out more than a half dozen new products in the last year. They include ad formats intended to help developers of applications find new customers, to promote messages in the mobile News Feed and more refined advertising tailored to consumers’ online and offline behavior.

About 30 percent of its total advertising revenue came from mobile devices, a significant increase from the last quarter, when mobile revenue accounted for 23 percent of the total. Facebook had not begun showing ads on its mobile application in the same quarter a year ago.

The company’s shares fell about 1 percent, closing the day at $27.43, before the earnings were reported. In early after-hours trading, shares were up 44 cents, or 1.6 percent, to 27.84.

“Over all, they’re on track,” said Aaron Kessler, an analyst with Raymond James. “They’re still rolling out new products for advertisers. They’re definitely more focused on creating shareholder value and driving revenue growth.”

A majority of Facebook users in United States log in using their mobile devices and according to a report by the market research firm comScore. Americans spent 23 percent of their time using Facebook’s mobile apps last year, an astonishing number considering all the apps on the market. Mark Zuckerberg, Facebook’s co-founder and chief executive, has said that the company can eventually make more money on every minute spent on the Facebook mobile app than on the desktop computer.

To that end, the company in early April introduced a package of mobile software for Android phones called Facebook Home, which is meant to nudge Facebook users to return to their mobile News Feeds even more frequently than they do now.

The new suite of applications effectively turns the News Feed into the screen saver of a smartphone, updating it constantly with Facebook posts and messages. It appears to be only a matter of time until the company introduces ads there.

Last May, Facebook held a widely publicized initial public offering, at a price of $38 a share. Its fairy tale rise took a sharp dive almost immediately, resulting in lawsuits and angry recriminations. Its shares slumped to half the opening price at one point last fall and have inched up cautiously since then.

On Wednesday, Facebook filed a motion asking a federal judge to dismiss a lawsuit that accused the company of misleading investors about its financial strategy before the public offering, Reuters reported. The company said in court papers that it was not legally obligated to disclose publicly how mobile adoption would affect its financial performance in the future.

Wall Street analysts have closely watched for signs of Facebook fatigue among users. In the first quarter, they point out, fewer monthly users returned to Facebook on their desktop computers in the United States and Europe, according to comScore figures.

Analysts worried whether it signaled that users in more mature and lucrative markets were getting bored with Facebook. But they noted all the same that the figures applied only to desktop users and revealed little about mobile users of Facebook.

Facebook is clearly concerned about keeping users glued to the site. Its overhaul of the News Feed, announced in March, was intended to accomplish that, with bigger pictures and links, including those for advertisements. Wall Street reacted enthusiastically to the redesign, predicting that it would deepen user engagement and offer advertisers a fresh, more interesting canvas.

Aaron Kessler, an analyst with Raymond James, cited a consumer survey in early April that showed mixed results: 32 percent of respondents said that they were using Facebook more than they did a year ago, but an identical share said their use had declined.

The company’s biggest move in advertising was allowing marketers to aim advertisements at Facebook users based on their online and offline habits. This year, the company has announced partnerships with data companies that collect detailed information about consumer behavior, including what they buy at brick-and-mortar stores. That data is being used to tailor advertisements on Facebook.

Nate Elliott, an analyst at Forrester Research, described those efforts as promising, but limited. Facebook’s trove of data about its users, he said, could be tapped to show used tailored advertisements on sites across the Web. “They’ve done nothing to suggest they see the bigger opportunity,” Mr. Elliot said.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/02/technology/mobile-efforts-help-propel-facebook-earnings.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Caterpillar Earnings Better Than Forecast

MINNEAPOLIS (AP) — Caterpillar’s fourth-quarter profit was cut in half by a deal in China that went bad and by slower growth around most of the world. It said results for this year depend on how the global economy behaves in the second half.

Caterpillar Inc. makes construction and mining equipment as well as power generators, so its performance rises and falls with the world’s economy. Predicting where that’s headed is a tricky business at the moment.

Doug Oberhelman, chairman and CEO, said in a prepared statement Monday that if a recent improvement in economic indicators continues, 2013 could be a record year for Caterpillar. But if this year is a replay of the last two, where growth and confidence declined in the second half, “2013 could be a tough year,” he said.

Caterpillar dialed back production in the second half of 2012, which hurt fourth-quarter revenue and profits. Caterpillar and its dealers have both been trying to sell off inventory. Reduced production will continue at least through the first quarter, the company said.

Still, adjusted fourth-quarter profit and revenue were better than analysts expected. Caterpillar earned $697 million, or $1.04 per share. That was down from a profit of $1.55 billion, or $2.32 per share a year earlier.

The most recent quarter included a non-cash charge of 87 cents per share to write down the purchase of Zhengzhou Siwei. Not counting that, analysts surveyed by FactSet had been expecting a profit of $1.70 per share.

Caterpillar’s $653 million purchase of Siwei last year gave it a new business — roofing supports for mines — in a country where mining is growing quickly. But on Jan. 18, Caterpillar said it had found “deliberate, multi-year, coordinated accounting misconduct” in the accounting at Siwei, and said it will write down its investment in the company by $580 million. It also said it dismissed several senior managers at the company.

Revenue fell 7 percent to $16.08 billion as dealers reduced inventory. Sales fell everywhere except Latin America.

Revenue from construction equipment fell 25 percent. But sales of mining gear — now Caterpillar’s single largest category by revenue — grew 14 percent on improvements everywhere in the world except in North America, where coal mining is in decline.

For this year, Caterpillar expects revenue of $60 billion to $68 billion, with a profit of $7 to $9 per share. Analysts had been expecting a profit of $8.54 per share on revenue of $64.58 billion.

Caterpillar said there’s a wide range in its outlook because of the high level of uncertainty in the world. It expects relatively weak growth in the U.S. economy. Growth in China will improve, but not back to the levels seen in 2010 or 2011, Caterpillar said. It expects Europe to continue to struggle.

For all of 2012, the company’s profits rose 15 percent to $5.68 billion, or $8.48 per share, up from $4.93 billion, or $7.40 per share, in 2011. Revenue rose 10 percent to $65.88 billion, from $60.14 billion.

Shares of the Peoria, Ill.-based company rose $1.44 to $97.02 in morning trading.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2013/01/28/business/ap-us-earns-caterpillar.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

DealBook: Facebook Debut Raises Questions on I.P.O. Process

Facebook stock, which slid again Tuesday, is now more than 18 percent below its offering price.Keith Bedford/ReutersFacebook stock, which slid again Tuesday, is now more than 18 percent below its offering price.

9:38 p.m. | Updated

Just days before Facebook went public, some big investors grew nervous about the company’s prospects.

After publicly warning about challenges in mobile advertising, Facebook executives held conference calls to update their banks’ analysts on the business. Analysts at Morgan Stanley and other firms soon started advising clients to dial back their expectations. One prospective buyer was told that second-quarter revenue could be 5 percent lower than the bank’s earlier estimates.

As investors tried to digest the developments, Morgan Stanley was busy setting the price and the size of the stock offering. While some big institutions scaled back on their plans, others placed large orders. And retail investors clamored for shares.

In the end, Facebook and the Morgan Stanley bankers decided they had enough demand and interest for Facebook to justify an offering price of $38 a share.

They didn’t.

When Facebook went public on Friday, its shares barely budged — and they have been falling ever since. On Tuesday, the stock closed at $31, more than 18 percent below its offering price.

The I.P.O. of Facebook was supposed to be Morgan Stanley’s crowning achievement, but it is turning out to be a big embarrassment, raising broader questions from regulators about the I.P.O. process.

Over the last year, Morgan helped usher in a new generation of technology companies, leading the offerings of LinkedIn, Groupon, Pandora and more than a dozen other start-ups. Facebook was poised to be the biggest and most ambitious. When the dust settles, Morgan Stanley could make more than $100 million in fees on the I.P.O.

But rival bankers and big investors have complained that Morgan Stanley botched the debut. They contend that the bank set the price too high and sold too many shares to the public. Facebook’s management team is also shouldering some blame. David Ebersman, the company’s chief financial officer, spent more than a year orchestrating the stock offering, drafting the prospectus and meeting with investors long before the company picked its bankers.

Facebook’s fate as a public company is hardly sealed. Many newly public companies stumble out of the gate and later become top performers with appealing stocks, a group that includes Amazon.com.

But regulators are concerned that banks may have shared information only with certain clients, rather than broadly with investors. On Tuesday, William Galvin, the secretary of state in Massachusetts, subpoenaed Morgan Stanley over discussions with investors about Facebook’s offering. The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, Wall Street’s self-regulator, is also looking into the matter. The chairwoman of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Mary L. Schapiro, said Tuesday that the agency would examine issues related to Facebook’s I.P.O., but she did not elaborate.

The steps a company takes to go public are highly choreographed and regulated by securities law. A company cannot comment or disclose new information about its business or prospects unless it does so publicly by amending its prospectus. Otherwise, it risks running afoul of regulators. The company could also be vulnerable to securities lawsuits, as investors would have to prove only that it made “material misstatements” ahead of an offering, rather than a high threshold of securities fraud.

“Morgan Stanley followed the same procedures for the Facebook offering that it follows for all I.P.O.’s,” a bank spokesman said in a statement. “These procedures are in compliance with all applicable regulations.”

A Facebook spokeswoman declined to comment.

In the weeks leading up to Facebook’s I.P.O., Morgan Stanley took a frontal approach to the pricing process. When the firm considered raising the offering price as high as $38 a share and increasing its size, other bankers pushed back. They worried that the company’s growth prospects did not support such lofty valuations.

Some bankers were also troubled by the huge demand from individual investors, a relatively capricious group. While Facebook allocated most of its shares to big, institutional investors like mutual funds and hedge funds, it also gave a larger-than-usual block, close to 25 percent, to ordinary investors.

Around the same time, red flags emerged about the company’s growth prospects. On May 9, Facebook revealed in a regulatory filing some potential challenges to its growth. In particular, the company highlighted that users were increasingly using Facebook on mobile devices, but the company was not making much money on mobile ads.

Even after some analysts revised their expectations downward, underwriters were inundated with orders. Demand from American investors alone exceed the number of shares by 20 times.

On Thursday, top bankers and Mr. Ebersman held discussions on a final price. The bankers were looking to orchestrate a “pop” of 10 percent, but not more than 20 percent. The underwriters, who at one point discussed a price as high as $40, settled on $38 a share. Mr. Ebersman signed off.

“The demand was astronomical,” said a banker involved in the process who spoke on the condition of anonymity. “We were all trying to thread a needle.”

On the day of the debut, last Friday, the mood at Facebook’s campus in California and at Nasdaq’s market site in Midtown Manhattan was jubilant. Nasdaq’s chief executive, Robert Greifeld, had flown to Menlo Park, Calif., to stand by Mark Zuckerberg as he rang the bell. In New York, Nasdaq and Facebook officials had Champagne on hand to commemorate the moment.

The celebration didn’t last.

Institutional investors began calling underwriters for guidance on where Facebook shares would open. Early market whispers had pegged the price at $50 a share. By 10:45 a.m., that fell to $45. Then $43. Then $42.

Investors were already uneasy, with many having received far more shares than expected. To some, that portended growing troubles with the offering — and made many consider selling their entire investments.

A few minutes before 11 a.m., Nasdaq advised of a five-minute delay, typical for an I.P.O. When Facebook still hadn’t started trading at 11:05 a.m., investors grew even more nervous. After switching software, Nasdaq was able to open Facebook manually at $42.05 at 11:30 a.m.

But Facebook shares quickly began to tumble. One investor, after being briefed on Facebook’s revised forecast, unloaded all of its holdings in the first hour of trading, according to Scott Sweet, founder of the IPO Boutique, who advises mutual funds, hedge funds and individuals. The investor sold hundreds of thousands of shares at about $42.

“They knew the jig was up,” Mr. Sweet said.

Retail stock brokerage firms, which had been besieged by customers seeking a piece of Facebook, were overwhelmed as well. Customers of Just2Trade, a discount broker with hundreds of orders lined up by 11:30 a.m., received an unusual message notifying that its orders were still open.

As investor calls began flooding the broker’s offices, Just2Trade tried to contact Nasdaq and Wall Street brokers. The exchange didn’t respond; the Wall Street firms said they had no clarity from Nasdaq.

“I have never experienced this before,” said Fuad Ahmed, Just2Trade’s chief executive. “You are driving a car with a broken windshield. You have no idea what was happening.”

At Morgan Stanley, the situation grew tense. The din of shouting and barked orders echoed across the trading floor, with several of the top bankers on the deal gathering to monitor the erratic trading. As the stabilization agent, the firm was tasked with keeping Facebook shares from falling below their offer price of $38 a share. But the market problems only made Morgan Stanley’s job more difficult.

Shares of Facebook ended the day at roughly the same place they started. Now as controversy swirls around Facebook and its bankers, the uncertainty could cloud the stock, as well as the broader I.P.O. market.

“There is a stigma around a broken deal, and Facebook is a broken deal,” said Connor Browne, a managing director for Thornburg Investment Management.

Reporting was contributed by Nathaniel Popper, Jeffrey Cane, Nick Bilton and Susanne Craig.

Article source: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/05/22/facebook-i-p-o-raises-regulatory-concerns/?partner=rss&emc=rss

DealBook: Dodging Banking Woes, Wells Fargo Posts 20% Jump in Profit

7:46 p.m. | Updated

Wells Fargo is somewhat unusual among big banks — it continues to produce profit gains.

The bank, the nation’s largest consumer lender, said on Tuesday that its fourth-quarter earnings rose 20 percent, an indication the bank was coping with a lackluster economy better than many of its Wall Street competitors.

Wells Fargo reported earnings of $4.1 billion, or 73 cents a share, in the quarter as its loan portfolio showed signs of improving and it largely dodged the pitfalls of the volatile investment banking business, which has burned its competitors.

The figures — padded somewhat by the bank’s decision to set aside $600 million less in reserves to cover soured loans — narrowly beat the 72 cents a share that analysts were forecasting.

In contrast, Citigroup on Tuesday reported a disappointing 11 percent slump in fourth-quarter earnings. On Friday, JPMorgan Chase said that its fourth-quarter profit declined 23 percent.

The strong fourth-quarter results at Wells Fargo guided the bank to a $15.9 billion profit in 2011, up 28 percent from 2010.

“The quality of earnings was really good, and it was broad,” Timothy J. Sloan, Wells Fargo’s chief financial officer, said in an interview.

Investors welcomed the report, too, sending the bank’s shares up nearly 1 percent, to $29.83, on Tuesday.

But the profit gains at Wells Fargo were limited by declining revenue, reflecting a setback felt across the banking industry amid the sluggish economic recovery. A new round of federal regulations also continued to weigh on revenue at banks.

Wells Fargo’s fourth-quarter revenue fell to $20.6 billion from $21.5 billion in the period a year earlier.

But Wells Fargo is faring better than its competitors. The bank has an edge over Wall Street titans that run large investment banking operations, a business that has suffered from rampant volatility in the markets.

Wells Fargo does not break out its investment banking results, but the wholesale banking unit, which includes the sales and trading business and the corporate lending unit, earned $1.6 billion in the fourth quarter. The results were down only 3 percent from the period a year earlier.

And while other big banks struggle to shed the legacy of the mortgage bust, Wells Fargo has patched up its giant lending operation and produced greater profits. In addition to reducing the expense for its bad-loan reserve by $600 million, Wells Fargo said its bucket of nonperforming loans in the fourth quarter declined roughly 20 percent from the period a year earlier.

“We like lending,” Mr. Sloan said, adding that “we want to grow.”

Businesses in recent months have increased their appetite for credit, particularly at Wells Fargo. The bank also continued to dominate the mortgage business, with more than a quarter of the market. Its loan total grew to $769.6 billion in 2011, from $757.3 billion at the end of 2010.

So while many potential homeowners continue to balk at securing new loans, Mr. Sloan said a consumer spending revival could be on the horizon. “Those who are employed are slowly but surely improving,” he said.

The uptick in lending has bolstered the bank’s profits.

Profit in the community banking division, which includes Wells Fargo’s retail branches and mortgage business, rose 30 percent to $2.5 billion in the fourth quarter, compared with the quarter a year ago. Wells Fargo has also grown since it took control of the Wachovia Corporation at the peak of the financial crisis, which allowed it to build a network of retail branches on both coasts.

“The deposit side of the business is one place where Wells is very well positioned,” said Brian Foran, a senior analyst with Nomura. “They don’t know what to do with all these deposits.”

Article source: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/01/17/wells-fargo-fourth-quarter-profit-up-20/?partner=rss&emc=rss

DealBook: Wells Fargo Fourth-Quarter Profit Up 20%

Wells Fargo, the nation’s largest consumer lender, said on Tuesday that its fourth-quarter earnings rose 20 percent, an indication the bank was coping with a lackluster economy and an anemic banking industry.

The bank, based in San Francisco, turned a $4.1 billion profit in the fourth quarter, or 73 cents a share, as its loan portfolio showed signs of improving and its deposit division continued to grow. That compared with a profit of $3.4 billion, or 61 cents a share, in the period a year earlier. The figures, which were aided by Wells Fargo’s lack of exposure to the volatile investment banking business, exceeded analysts’ consensus estimate of 72 cents a share.

The strong fourth-quarter results helped the bank to a $15.9 billion profit in 2011, up 28 percent from 2010, when the bank earned $12.36 billion.

“I’m extremely pleased with Wells Fargo’s performance in 2011 – including strong deposit and loan growth, record cross-sell and record earnings,” John G. Stumpf, the bank’s chairman and chief executive, said in a statement.

Investors responded well to the report, sending the bank’s shares up slightly in premarket trading.

But the profit gains at Wells Fargo were limited by declining revenue, reflecting a setback felt across the banking industry as a result of the sluggish economic recovery. A new round of federal regulations also continued to weigh on revenue at banks.

Wells Fargo’s fourth-quarter revenue fell to $20.6 billion from $21.5 billion in the period a year earlier. For the year, the bank posted $80.9 billion in revenue, dropping from $85.2 in 2010.

Wells Fargo and its fellow big banks are struggling to recoup precious revenue lost to a new rule that limits fees they can charge merchants when a consumer uses a debit card. The rule, known as the Durbin amendment, after its sponsor Senator Richard J. Durbin, Democrat of Illinois, is expected to cost banks hundreds of millions of dollars every quarter.

“The Durbin hit is real money,” said Brian Foran, a senior analyst with Nomura, who cautioned that banks were unlikely to reverse their revenue woes anytime soon. “We’re not going to get that inflection point in 2012.”

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=23a992c92384f76d34744dc5f75c95cb

Common Sense: Amazon.com and Jeff Bezos Talk Long Term and Mean It

But shareholders seem never to have gotten the message. In October, when Amazon reported strong third-quarter revenue growth and earnings that were pretty much what the company had predicted, but indicated it would be spending more to support continued growth, investors hammered its stock. Amazon shares dropped nearly $30, or 13 percent, to $198 a share in just one day, Oct. 25. This week they were trading even lower, at $181.

Over the years, Amazon shares have been periodically buffeted by short-term results that seem to have disappointed investors. “The stock has been bumpy,” a Morgan Stanley analyst, Scott Devitt, told me this week. “Investor trust seems to go in cycles.”

The notion that public companies should maximize shareholder value by managing for the long term is pretty much gospel among good-governance proponents and management experts. Jack Welch advanced the concept in a seminal 1981 speech at the Pierre Hotel in New York and elaborated on it in subsequent books and articles while running General Electric, when G.E. was widely lauded as the best-managed company in the country. It has been especially championed in Silicon Valley, where technology companies like Google have openly scorned Wall Street analysts and their obsession with quarterly estimates and results by refusing to issue earnings guidance.

Amazon, in particular, has been true to its word to manage for the long term. It remains one of the world’s leading growth companies and its stock has soared 12,200 percent since its public offering. In late October it reported quarterly revenue growth of 44 percent to almost $11 billion, which came on the heels of 80 percent growth a year ago. “We’re seeing the best growth which we’ve seen since 2000, meaning in 2010 and so far over the past 12 months ending September,” the chief financial officer, Thomas Szkutak, told investors in October. But operating earnings fell sharply to $79 million. While that was in line with most estimates, Amazon offered a forecast for the fourth quarter in which it said it might lose as much as $200 million or earn as much as $250 million, and even the high end would represent a 47 percent drop.

The reason Amazon is earning so little while selling so much is that it is spending so much on long-term growth. It’s opening 17 new fulfillment centers — airport hangar-size storage and shipping facilities — this year and aggressively cutting prices. Its profit margin for the quarter was just 2.4 percent, and it said it might be zero for the fourth quarter. (By comparison, Wal-Mart’s margins are 6 percent on revenue of $440 billion. )

Amazon seems to be taking customer focus to new levels, willing to run its ever-bigger global business while earning little or nothing in return. To the dismay of some, Mr. Bezos even takes a long-term view of price cuts. “With rare exceptions, the volume increase in the short term is never enough to pay for the price decrease,” he told shareholders in 2005. But that kind of thinking, he added, is “short term. We can estimate what a price reduction will do this week and this quarter. But we cannot numerically estimate the effect that consistently lowering prices will have on our business over five years or 10 years or more.” Selling at low prices may undercut profits, but they create “a virtuous cycle that leads over the long term to a much larger dollar amount of free cash flow, and thereby to a much more valuable Amazon.com,” Mr. Bezos said.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=8cc770d495ec910587dce36325137705

BlackBerry Maker Cuts Estimates Again

Deep discounts on Research In Motion’s tablet computer, the BlackBerry PlayBook, led the company to again restate its earnings expectations on Friday.

Costs related to a worldwide shutdown of BlackBerry service during October and sluggish sales of phones also led RIM to warn that its third-quarter revenue would be “slightly lower” than the $5.3 billion to $5.6 billion it earlier forecast.

The announcement also said that the company does not expect to meet its earnings target for the year.

RIM has repeatedly struggled to meet targets this year as it worked to stem a loss of market share for BlackBerry phones in North America. Friday’s restatement immediately had an impact on its already beleaguered shares, sending them down 11 percent. Its stock was down 68 percent for the year as of Thursday.

One of the few pieces of good news in the statement — that PlayBooks are finally selling — was not without a down side. The base model, once priced at $499, is now being offered for $199, an amount analysts say is well below RIM’s production costs for the device.

The PlayBook has been hobbled by the lack of fundamental features, such as an ability to send or receive BlackBerry’s signature e-mail service without the use of a BlackBerry phone. Software that is supposed to reverse those omissions was expected to be released this autumn. But the company was unable to meet that deadline and will not make it available until late this winter.

RIM said that it shipped 150,000 PlayBooks to stores during the quarter. While it did not offer specific numbers for actual sales to users, the company said that they were higher than its shipments, suggesting that the discount pricing was having some effect.

The company said that it would post a $485 million charge related to the PlayBook price reductions. RIM expects to report official results for the third quarter on Dec. 15.

Despite the device’s dismal record since its release in April, Mike Lazaridis, the co-chief executive of RIM, said that the company has no intention of abandoning the tablet computer maker like Hewlett-Packard.

“RIM is committed to the BlackBerry PlayBook and believes the tablet market is still in its infancy,” he said in the statement. “We believe the PlayBook, which will be further enhanced with the upcoming PlayBook OS 2.0 software, is a compelling tablet for consumers that also offers unique security and manageability features for the enterprise.”

The statement also highlighted the continuing drop in demand in RIM’s core smartphone business. The company warned in the statement that it may have to cut its expectations for fourth-quarter phone sales because phones shipped during the current quarter are piling up in retailers’ warehouses rather than going into consumers’ hands.

The company said that a problem in its network that left some customers without BlackBerry services for up to three days would add an additional $50 million cost to the quarter.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=950482a8d05aa4f6018099f798b05fd8