December 22, 2024

Wall Street Stutters

By the close, the Standard Poor’s 500-stock index was up less than a point and the Dow Jones industrial average added about a point. The Nasdaq composite index lost less than a point.

Trading volume was light, with the American bond market and government offices closed for the Veterans Day holiday.

The S.P. 500 fell 2.4 percent last week, the worst week for the index since June, partly propelled by concerns over the government spending cuts and tax increases set to go into effect early next year unless Congress acts to change the law before then. Though most consider it unlikely that no deal will be reached, analysts fear going over the combination could push the economy back into recession.

“If the ‘cliff’ were to occur, it would be very devastating for the economy, which is why it is hard to think that last week was much of an overreaction,” said Oliver Purshe, president at Gary Goldberg Financial Services in Suffern, N.Y., adding that the odds of Congress and the president failing to reach a deal were “very low.”

Data over the weekend showed that China’s export growth climbed to a five-month high, above 11 percent, beating expectations and adding to recent data suggesting the country’s seven straight quarters of slowing economic growth have ended.

“Any bit of positive news from China will swing things upward here,” Mr. Pursche said. “There’s a little bit of pent-up desire to bounce back today.”

Also overseas, the Greek parliament approved an austerity budget for next year, a necessary step to unblock a new tranche of credit from the European Union and International Monetary Fund before the government runs out of cash. Still, investors remain concerned about whether the European Union and the monetary fund will agree to send the next tranche.

European stocks closed mixed, with the DAX index in Frankfurt up 0.1 percent and the CAC 40 in Paris down 0.4 percent.

In the United States, the homebuilder D.R. Horton reported fourth-quarter earnings that beat expectations, helped by a jump in orders. Shares fell 5.3 percent.

According to Thomson Reuters data through Friday, 63.3 percent of the 449 companies in the S.P. 500 that have reported earnings have topped expectations, but only 38.2 percent of companies have topped revenue expectations, well below the 62 percent average since 2002.

Wall Street stocks rose on Friday, helped by strong consumer sentiment data, but it hardly made a dent in the week’s losses.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/13/business/daily-stock-market-activity.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Wall Street Ahead After Fed Testimony

Stock indexes rose sharply Wednesday as the Federal Reserve chairman spelled out ways the central bank might stimulate the American economy if weakness persists and if the threat of deflation, or falling prices, reemerges. The rally came after three days of losses, but then it lost steam in the final hours of Wednesday trading.

Ben S. Bernanke’s remarks to Congress were far from a promise for more economic stimulus, but markets reacted immediately nonetheless. The Dow Jones industrial average nearly doubled its morning gains in 10 minutes, and the dollar fell as investors shed lower-risk assets. Some of the stock market’s gains fizzled in afternoon trading.

“It’s a complete overreaction,” said Barry Knapp, head of United States equity strategy at Barclay’s Capital. Mr. Knapp said Mr. Bernanke’s remarks indicated the economy would have to deteriorate substantially for the Fed to step in.

In afternoon trading Wednesday, the Dow Jones industrial average gained 54.30 points, or 0.44 percent, to 12,501.18, and the Standard Poor’s 500-stock index gained 5.14 points, or 0.39 percent, to 1,318.78. Both indexes had been up as much as 1.4 percent earlier.

The Nasdaq composite index, which focuses on technology shares, rose 16.04 points, or 0.58 percent, to 2,979.95.

Energy and materials stocks rose more than the overall market as investors bought companies that would benefit most from an upturn in the economy. All 30 of the stocks in the Dow average rose, led by the heavy equipment maker Caterpillar with a 2.2 percent gain.

The Fed’s policy of ultra-low interest rates and buying Treasury bonds on the open market has pushed stocks higher since last August. Many traders were disappointed when the Fed ended its second round of bond purchases in June.

The first sign that Fed governors were considering new stimulus measures came Tuesday afternoon, when the Fed released minutes from its June 21-22 meeting. Those minutes indicated that some Fed officials favored taking more action to prop up the economy if needed.

In his testimony before Congress, Mr. Bernanke spelled out specific steps the Fed might consider if the economy gets worse, including another round of bond purchases. He also detailed what the Fed would do should the economy improve.

Mr. Bernanke’s position remains that the slowdown in the economy this spring was due largely to temporary factors including high gas prices and parts shortages caused by the earthquake in Japan. He said he still expects economic growth to pick up in the second half of the year.

Remarks from the Fed chairman often have an immediate effect on stocks. During a speech in Jackson Hole, Wyo., last Aug. 27, Bernanke outlined an effort to spur economic growth, put a floor under consumer prices and push markets higher through the purchase of government bonds.

So was Bernanke’s talk in front of Congress today akin to his 2010 speech at Jackson Hole?

Joe Saluzzi, co-head of equity trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, N.J., agreed that the market’s rally was an overreaction. “It’s just silliness in my opinion. There’s nothing new here,” he said. “But the bulls are taking this as `This is fantastic.” ’

Signs of healthy growth in China also helped push stocks higher. The Chinese government reported that the country’s economy grew at a slower but still healthy rate of 9.5 percent last quarter. China is attempting to rein in its expansion and ease inflation, but a sudden drop-off in growth could hurt the American economy by cutting into demand for exports.

Markets were also higher as fears abated that Italy would default on its debt. The SP 500 fell 2.9 percent over the past three days as traders worried one or more European countries would fail to pay their debts, causing a global slowdown in lending.

A successful auction of Italian government debt and a pledge by that country’s leaders to accelerate cost-cutting plans reassured markets that Europe’s third-largest economy was not on the verge of becoming the latest European country to need emergency financial support to avoid a default. Italian stocks rallied 1.8 percent on relief that Italy’s fiscal outlook was not as shaky as believed just a few days ago.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=f898e472297c4b0177b197846f741928