November 14, 2024

Bucks: A Social Security Calculator That Helps Hedge Your Bets

The following review is a part of a series of posts that look at new Social Security calculators, which help you figure out when to begin collecting benefits. Below, we take a look at the last one.

We can’t predict precisely how long we’ll live, which is why figuring out the optimal time to take Social Security is so difficult.

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But the creators of a new tool called Social Security Solutions said that they’ve come up with a way to hedge your bets: Their tool generates a claiming strategy based on how long you expect to live, but it also takes into account that you might actually live longer than you anticipate.

“We look to maximize benefits at the exact mortality assumptions and then assess if there are other tweaks that could be made so that if you live longer than you expect, you collect more money,” said William Meyer, founder of Social Security Solutions who also built products for big firms like Charles Schwab.

The algorithm that powers the tool is based on research he conducted with William Reichenstein, professor of investment at Baylor University and head of research for Social Security Solutions. The pair also co-wrote the book “Social Security Strategies: How to Optimize Retirement Benefits.”

Of all the calculators I’ve tested, this one was the easiest to manipulate. It allows you to change your life expectancy (and that of your spouse) and see how the recommended claiming strategy may change. All of this information is presented in colorful, easy-to-read charts.

It also allows you to see how their strategy compares with collecting at another time, say, as soon as your eligible or at another age. On top of that, you can see how much you would collect if you live a decade longer — or less.

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You start by entering the basics: your name, date of birth, gender, marital status and your projected benefit amount at full retirement age, which can be found on a Social Security statement or the Social Security’s retirement estimator.

Then, you’re asked to select the level of service you want: for $19.95, you’ll get a report that includes a recommended claiming strategy. For $49.95, you can play around with the firm’s online tool, which means you can compare their recommendations with your own scenarios, all of which are cleanly illustrated. You can also print out as many reports as you like. For $124.95, you also can call one of their experts, who have been trained by the co-creators and have access to an even more powerful tool that is designed for advisers.

I chose the $50 version, which is more expensive than the other calculators I tested, though this one is certainly the most elaborate. I ran the report for a married couple: Don, 62, and Betty, 58, who expect to collect monthly checks of $2,100 and $1,500, respectively.

Once you’ve paid and reach the main screen, you’ll find the recommended claiming strategy based on a life expectancy, which you can — and should — change based your expectations. (When I tested it, it already included a life expectancy of 85 for Don and 90 for Betty. I increased Don’s life expectancy to 90 as well.)

Based on that information, the tool came up with a recommended strategy: Betty should begin spousal benefits at full retirement age, or 66. (If Don is not yet 70, he should file and suspend benefits before Betty reaches full retirement age.) Don should begin collecting his own benefits at 70, and Betty should switch to her own benefits when she turns 70. If they both live to 90, they’d collect $1.3 million in lifetime income, with a maximum monthly benefit of $5,016 a month.

You can also compare how much you would receive in benefits over your collective lifetimes if you and your spouse live a decade more — or less — and how all of those numbers can change if you take benefits early (at 62), at 65, delayed (at 70) or a date that you enter (this option may be confusing, especially for married couples who aren’t intimately familiar with how spousal benefits works because you will be asked to enter when you want to collect them).

The recommended strategy was summed up in a 14-page report, which also includes case studies that discuss how your outside savings can last longer based on when you file for benefits. This tool doesn’t, however, go as far as performing that analysis, though the firm has a more comprehensive program that does — Retirement Benchmark (which it pitches on the last page of the report).

In fact, the idea for the Social Security calculator sprang from the more comprehensive tool, which takes into account all of your savings and comes up with a plan on how to draw down those assets most efficiently. That plan also includes the optimal time to start Social Security, which the firm claims will make your money last longer.

“We combine the tax impact of Social Security, part- or full-time work, and each withdrawal someone makes from their savings,” Mr. Meyer said. “If you coordinate these decisions and create a tax-efficient retirement income plan, you can make your money last up to seven years longer just by being smart on how you withdraw and select Social Security.”

That tool is a bit more expensive ($500 to $2,500 depending on the value of your investable assets), but it includes the retirement income plan and the Social Security analysis, and it could save you money in the long run. In addition, Mr. Meyer said one of their experts will walk you through the process over the phone, and the firm acts as your fiduciary, which means it is required to put your interests before its own.

An advanced version of the Social Security calculator will be introduced in coming weeks. For instance, it will factor in whether your children may be eligible for benefits. It will also present your total benefits as a net present value. In other words, it will account for the time value of money, or the fact that receiving $100 today is more valuable than receiving the same amount in the future because you could have invested it or spent it today.

Keep in mind that access to the tool (for the $49.95 and $124.95 versions) expires after 90 days, though the company will give you access for a longer period of time if you ask.

What do you think of this new calculator?

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=8c6c546a39f4dba81649ce930851b11d

Bucks: AARP’s New Social Security Calculator

Review - Your Money - Bucks Blog - NYTimes.com

With all the chatter about making potential changes to Social Security, many people are probably thinking that they should start collecting benefits as soon as they can.

But that would be unwise, at least for many people. And a new calculator from AARP attempts to illustrate why you should wait — if you can afford to, of course. Figuring out the optimal time to collect benefits is impossible because nobody can predict how long they’ll live. Most people follow the bird in the hand philosophy and begin collecting as soon as they’re eligible.

AARP’s calculator, however, shows what you lose by collecting before your full retirement age, or the point at which you’re eligible to receive your full benefits without penalty. And while it’s helpful to see what you stand to gain by waiting, waiting won’t necessarily make sense for everybody.

The calculator, which happens to be very user-friendly, will be helpful for married people who are on the cusp of retirement because it shows an easy strategy couples can use to maximize their benefits. And it will also help pre-retirees better visualize the complex rules around working while collecting benefits before their full retirement age. (If you earn money above a certain amount, at least a portion of your benefits may be withheld.)

But there are also many things that the calculator does not do, like take into account any outside assets like retirement savings or a pension. In a previous article, I found that some singles in certain situations might be better off taking their benefits sooner rather than later. If they waited too long, they would have consumed too much of their savings to offset the loss with higher Social Security payments later.

Widows, widowers and the disabled won’t find the tool particularly helpful because it does not calculate survivor or disability benefits. Serial divorcees will also be limited: You can only calculate benefits based on one your ex-spouses, and it doesn’t take into account if you’ve remarried. AARP said it might add some of these features in future versions of the calculator.

It doesn’t require much time to get started. After entering some basic demographic information, the hardest decision you’ll need to make is whether to visit the Social Security Web site (do it) to get an accurate projection of your Social Security benefits (You can also use the number on your paper statement that arrives in the mail). The AARP calculator is capable of making an estimate for you, but it could be off because it’s not factoring in any years you may have left the work force, or some other aberration.

I based my first calculation on a 62-year-old married woman (we’ll call her Betty) earning $60,000 a year. Her husband, also 62, earns $85,000. His and her monthly benefits were estimated to be $1,996 and $1,609, respectively.

After clicking the ‘When should I claim Social Security?’ button, you land on a page that shows how much more you would receive — on a monthly basis — for every year you wait. You also have the option to see how much that translates to over the course of your lifetime (based on how old you are now and the average life expectancy for the United States population). Betty could collect her full benefit of $1,609 at age 66, but would take a significant hair cut if she started collecting at age 62  ($1,126).  If she waited until 70, she’d get $2,123.

But because Betty is married, she probably wants to factor her husband’s benefits into her decision. Once she clicks on the “Does it Matter if I’m Married?” button, she’s told that when her husband is 66, he should apply for Social Security and request to have his payments suspended (known as “file and suspend,” this allows his benefits to continue accruing). Then, she should apply for spousal benefits on her husband’s record, which provides about $998 a month. When he turns 70, he should resume his own benefits (about $2,634 a month). And then when she turns 70, she should apply for her own benefits (or $2,123 a month).

The calculator also has another page that allows you to enter your basic monthly expenses, like food, shelter, and health care, and use a little slider that will tell you what percentage of those costs will be covered depending on when you start collecting.

Finally, it also shows you what you can collect if you keep working. If you haven’t reached your full retirement age and are still working, earning money above a certain threshold will reduce your benefits (though your checks will increase once you hit your full retirement age to account for the time your benefits were withheld).

You can play around with the age you claim benefits and how much you expect to earn. So if Betty decides to claim benefits at 62, but still wants to continue working, it shows her that about $13,500 in benefits will be withheld until her full retirement age of 66.

The calculator is a helpful educational tool, but don’t confuse it for comprehensive planning. It’s not. It doesn’t factor in taxes, for instance. I’m going to test-drive some more complex tools later this week, so stay tuned.

Try out the calculator and let us know what you think and what improvements you’d like to see.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=1a34f5606a14f4ca8bb18b7d2df23aaf