November 22, 2024

European Markets Rebound but Remain on Edge

Greek news outlets reported early Wednesday that Prime Minister George Papandreou had won unanimous support from his cabinet for his proposed referendum. However, several lawmakers in the governing Socialist Party rejected his plan, raising the possibility that he will not survive a no-confidence vote Friday.

Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany and President Nicolas Sarkozy of France were planning emergency talks on Greece later Wednesday with euro-zone leaders in Cannes, on the eve of the Group of 20 nations summit meeting.

In early trading, the Euro Stoxx 50 index, a barometer of euro zone blue chips, rose 1.3 percent, while the FTSE 100 index in London gained 0.7 percent. On Tuesday, global markets tumbled after Mr. Papandreou made his surprise referendum announcement.

Industrial and banking shares led European indexes higher, with the mining giants Rio Tinto and BHP Billiton both up more than 2 percent. The French bank BNP Paribas rose 5.3 percent, and HSBC Holdings, the largest British lender, gained 1.3 percent.

Trading in Standard Poor’s 500 index futures suggested Wall Street would open the day on a positive note. The S. P. 500 fell 2.8 percent Tuesday.

“Markets are seriously pondering a disorderly default in Greece and risk assets are tanking,” said analysts at Crédit Agricole CIB in a note to clients. “There is little prospect of any turnaround today unless officials can pull a rabbit out of the hat today, but even the rabbit is likely to remain elusive.”

The analysts also said that investor sentiment was also hurt by weaker-than-expected Chinese manufacturing data released Tuesday.

Asian shares were mixed. The Tokyo benchmark Nikkei 225 stock average fell 2.2 percent. The Sydney market index S. P./ASX 200 fell 1.1 percent. In Shanghai the composite index rose 1.4 percent, while the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong closed 1.9 percent higher.

The dollar fell against other major currencies. The euro rose to $1.3768 from $1.3703 late Tuesday in New York, while the British pound rose to $1.6006 from $1.5949.

The dollar fell to 78.11 yen from 78.37 yen, and to 0.8840 Swiss franc from 0.8871 franc.

Still, the currency market is likely to remain jumpy, analysts at Crédit Agricole C.I.B. wrote, as worries over Mr. Papandreou’s proposed referendum will probably persist for some time.

“The fact that this referendum may not take place until January will bring about a prolonged period of uncertainty and further downside risks for the euro against the U.S. dollar,” they said.

U.S. crude oil futures for December delivery rose 0.9 percent to $93.05 a barrel. Comex gold futures rose 0.8 percent to $1,711.80 an ounce.

Kevin Drew reported from Hong Kong. Sei Chong contributed from Hong Kong and Rachel Donadio from Athens.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=be60ca9dc36a4df5ced7d8cc668df144

Markets Tumble as Greece Sets Referendum on Latest Europe Aid Deal

The proposed ballot will put Greek austerity measures — and potentially membership in the euro zone — to a popular vote for the first time, risking Mr. Papandreou’s political future and threatening even greater turmoil both among the countries that share the single currency and further afield.

His announcement sent tremors through Europe’s see-sawing markets on Tuesday, with bank stocks taking a particular hammering because of their exposure to Greek debt. At midday, the German DAX index was down by 5.3 per cent while the French CAC 40 had slipped by roughly 4.2 per cent. In Britain, which is not a member of the euro zone but trades heavily with continental Europe, the FTSE 100 index was down by around 3.2 percent.

President Nicolas Sarkozy of France is expected to speak with German Chancellor Angela Merkel by phone during the day on Tuesday to discuss the referendum, which took both leaders by surprise, Agence-France Presse reported. The French president was said to be “dismayed,” according to Le Monde, citing an unnamed confidant of Mr. Sarkozy.

The German Finance Ministry deflected questions in a statement early Tuesday that the call for a referendum “is a domestic political development on which the German government has no official information yet and which therefore it will not comment on.”

But Rainer Brüderle, a senior member of Ms. Merkel’s governing coalition and a former finance minister, said in a radio interview on Tuesday that he was “irritated” by the move, which he called “a strange thing to do.”

“This sounds to me like someone is trying to wriggle out of what one has agreed to,” he was quoted by Der Spiegel as saying.

Mr. Papandreou’s surprise promise of a vote on the austerity package introduced a note of uncertainty in what had seemed to be a done deal, threatening a comprehensive agreement reached by European leaders last week to shore up the euro zone. A rejection by the voters would also be likely to be treated as a vote of no confidence in the government and lead to early elections.

The anxiety stirred up by those fears hammered United States financial markets on Monday, showing once again how the domestic politics of even the smallest members of the European Union can create troubles that not only threaten the currency but reverberate around the globe.

Addressing lawmakers on Monday evening, Mr. Papandreou said the decision on whether to adopt the deal, which includes fresh financial assistance, debt relief and deeply unpopular austerity measures, properly belonged to the Greek people.

“Let us allow the people to have the last word, let them decide on the country’s fate,” he said.

It was unclear how the referendum would be worded, but Mr. Papandreou said it would be a vote on whether or not Greeks supported the debt deal and the program of austerity measures in exchange for foreign aid.

The stakes are extremely high. A no vote could break the deal between Greece and its so-called troika of foreign lenders — the European Union, European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund — which have demanded structural changes and austerity measures in exchange for aid.

Without the aid, Greece would not be able to meet its expenses and would default on its debt, sending shock waves through the euro zone and the world economy.

A yes vote, on the other hand, would move the package forward, effectively shifting responsibility for the nation’s painful economic choices from Mr. Papandreou’s Socialist Party onto the public. That outcome would help Mr. Papandreou shore up his political fortunes and avoid the instability of early elections.

The center-right opposition has opposed the bulk of the austerity program, and the prime minister’s popular support has dwindled as Greeks have been hit by a seemingly endless series of tax increases and wage and pension cuts. On Sunday, the center-left newspaper To Vima reported that a majority of Greeks viewed the deal negatively.

The leader of Greece’s main conservative opposition party New Democracy, Antonis Samaras, told reporters in Athens on Tuesday that his party would do whatever it takes to force early elections and accused Mr. Papandreou of acting selfishly by calling for a referendum.

“Mr. Papandreou, in his effort to save himself, has presented a divisive and extortionate dilemma,” Mr. Samaras said following talks with President Karolos Papoulias.

Niki Kitsantonis reported from Athens, and Rachel Donadio from Rome. Alan Cowell contributed reporting from London and J. David Goodman from New York.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/02/world/europe/markets-tumble-as-greece-plans-referendum-on-latest-europe-aid-deal.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Greek Parliament Approves Austerity Plan

The vote, 155 to 138, removes a serious obstacle to the release of $17 billion by the European Union, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund, funds the Greek government needs to pay its expenses through the summer. Questions remain about whether the measures would ultimately cure the debt-ridden country of its many ills. The shape and size of a second bailout, whose planning can now begin, could become clear at a meeting on July 3 of euro zone finance ministers in Brussels.

Stock markets, which began rallying earlier in the day across Europe and much of Asia amid indications that the measures would be approved, moderated after the vote. Investors had feared that a collapse in Greece might have repercussions throughout the international financial system. Two other European Union countries — Ireland and Portugal — have also turned to international lenders for assistance.

Only one member of the ruling Socialist Party voted against the measure, and one opposition deputy voting crossed party lines to support the measure. (Five others voted present, and two members were absent.)

The measures approved include tax increases, wage cuts and the privatization of 50 billion euros, or about $72 billion, in state assets. A second vote will be held Thursday to enact the measures, with crucial sticking points expected to include the timing of the privatizations, especially of the state electric utility, the Public Power Corporation, whose powerful union has close ties to the Socialists.

Mr. Papandreou and Antonis Samaras, the leader of the main opposition party, New Democracy, clashed in Parliament just before the vote, accusing each other of letting down the country.

“All of Europe knows that your party is responsible for the current situation,” Mr. Papandreou told Mr. Samaras, alluding to the debt that ballooned in 2009 when New Democracy was in power. Mr. Papandreou, who made several failed overtures to the opposition for political consensus on the austerity measures, made a last-ditch appeal to the conservatives to back the program. “Don’t bet on failure,” he said.

The prime minister said the European Union was also to blame for failing to call the previous government on its dubious statistics. But Mr. Papandreou said Greece’s foreign creditors — the European Union and the International Monetary Fund — had given “a vote of confidence in the Greek people” by offering rescue financing.

Outside Parliament, protesters had massed for a second day in Syntagma Square, shouting, “Traitors, traitors!” The police repeatedly fired tear gas to maintain control before and after the vote. The demonstrators, the majority of whom were peaceful, came prepared with surgical masks.

On hearing the result of the vote, some outraged protesters waged running battles with police in the streets around the Parliament, television images showed.

The vote was conducted by roll call after several hours of debate in which most Socialist legislators said they would back the measures, in some cases only grudgingly, and with most stressing that patriotic duty must go before party ideals.

Among the Socialists, only Panagiotis Kouroublis opposed the measures. Another, Alexandros Athanassiadis, who had expressed extreme opposition to the planned privatization of the Public Power Corporation, surprised Greece by voting in favor of the program, saying Mr. Papandreou’s pledges to guarantee transparency in the selloff of the utility had reassured him.

Elsa Papadimitriou, a legislator from New Democracy, voted for the measures. Breaking ranks with her party and declaring herself an independent, Ms. Papadimitriou said she hoped that the government would not disappoint her, calling her vote “the most difficult but valuable decision of my political career.”

“There is only one act of patriotism: consensus and cooperation,” she said. “Fiscal suicide is not an alternative.”

The nation’s unions turned up the heat on legislators on Tuesday when they began a 48-hour general strike — the first time they had walked out for more than 24 hours since democracy was restored to Greece in 1974 after a seven-year military dictatorship. The police called in reinforcements Wednesday to cordon off streets near Parliament to ensure that protesters did not block legislators’ access to the building, with 5,000 officers on the job.

Before the vote, one protester said on Wednesday that Greeks’ lives “are going to change forever” if the measures were approved. “If you belong to the middle class, that doesn’t exist anymore. There’s only rich and poor.”

Another protester, Anastasia Arvanitiki, 57, a pharmacist, said, “What they’re voting on is exactly the opposite of what they were elected to do.”

“They’ll be the worst criminals in history” if the vote goes through, she said. “We want to see them hanged.”

Mr. Papandreou went into the historic vote with a five-vote parliamentary majority. But the outcome was not certain, as the austerity plan strikes at the heart of his Socialist Party base. The center-right New Democracy opposition party struck a populist tone, , saying the measures offered too much austerity and not enough stimulus.

Last year, Greece’s foreign lenders imposed austerity measures after they provided a first round of aid. Since then, Greece has cut the wages of its 800,000 public workers — a quarter of the work force — by more than 10 percent.

Stephen Castle contributed reporting from Brussels, and David Jolly from Paris.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/30/world/europe/30greece.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

New Hurdle Is Placed for Loan to Greece

The Socialist prime minister, George Papandreou, requested the confidence vote last week after a cabinet shuffle aimed at shoring up internal support as he works to push through measures demanded by foreign lenders before they release the next aid package. The confidence vote is scheduled for Tuesday evening and is to be followed by a vote on the new measures in Parliament next Tuesday.

Those measures — which include tax increases, wage cuts and the privatization of about $70 billion in state assets — have met howling popular resistance. Power company workers started rolling blackouts on Monday and unions called a 48-hour general strike for next week after protests last week, some of them violent.

In Brussels on Monday, Mr. Papandreou said that Greece would do whatever it took to pass the austerity measures, and he asked for patience from the country’s European partners.

“We do hope that the European Union will also have the similar will, a unity of purpose to not only support what Greece is doing, but also show the necessary strength for a crisis which has obviously not only reached Greek dimensions but a wider European dimension,” he said.

Analysts and Socialist Party insiders said Mr. Papandreou seemed likely to succeed in passing the austerity package, having secured more support within the party. But economists were nearly unanimous in predicting the loans would only buy time, doing nothing to pull the country out of its economic morass and potential default.

Nevertheless, the loans are essential to avoid an immediate default. “When you’re on the respirator, every minute is precious,” said Nikos Kostandaras, the editor of Kathimerini, a center-right daily.

Fearing that Greece does not have the political will to impose and enforce a raft of austerity measures, European leaders have been pressing Mr. Papandreou to broaden his consensus in order to strengthen Greece’s political stability.

Last week, the prime minister tried unsuccessfully to forge a government of national unity with New Democracy, the center-right opposition party that was in power when Greece went off the deficit cliff. New Democracy is opposed to many of the terms of the austerity pact sealed between Greece and its foreign lenders last year and has called for tax cuts in addition to spending cuts.

After that gambit failed, Mr. Papandreou shuffled his cabinet on Friday, bringing in as finance minister Evangelos Venizelos, a Socialist Party veteran who lacks experience in international financial circles but is seen as wielding the clout to get the party in line behind the measures.

He replaces George Papaconstantinou, an economist who has been the face of Greece’s international negotiations since the government came to power in 2009, and becomes environment and energy minister, with responsibility for privatizing the state electric utility in the face of its recalcitrant union.

In his first appearance as finance minister on Monday, Mr. Venizelos said that it was critically important for Greece’s Parliament to approve the austerity measures and secure a fifth installment of the $155 billion rescue program pledged to the debt-ridden country last year.

“There is an immediate and urgent need to restore the country’s credibility, as far as the implementation of the program is concerned,” Mr. Venizelos said in a statement after talks with his euro zone peers in Luxembourg. “Each day is of extreme importance so we cannot afford to waste a single hour,” he added.

Giorgos Floridis, a prominent Socialist member of Parliament who gave up his seat last week, said he was “absolutely sure” that the government would pass the confidence vote on Tuesday as well as the austerity package next week.

Mr. Floridis had been expected to join the new cabinet until he bolted, saying that the leaders of both parties had “failed to rise to the critical challenges faced by the country.” He said he had not given up hope of a national unity government.

“The internal crisis within Pasok has been resolved,” he said, referring to the Socialist Party. “But how long that crisis will remain resolved is another question.”

While the political situation simmered, inspectors from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund were expected to visit Athens again this week, to look into changes that Greece wants to make to the plan, Olli Rehn, the union’s monetary affairs commissioner, said on Monday.

Just before last week’s shuffle, and facing a growing unrest within his party, Mr. Papaconstantinou quietly agreed to refrain from raising the levy on heating oil or lowering the value of property that can be excluded from taxes to $143,000 from $572,000, as the plan originally proposed.

Some experts are beginning to question not only Greece’s ability to stick to its austerity plan but the feasibility of the plan itself, saying that harsh measures without any prospect of returning to growth is a recipe for disaster.

“Something is needed, maybe some sort of growth stimulus, which can only come from the euro zone,” said George Pagoulatos, a professor of political economy at Athens University of Economics. He added that there was “general pessimism” about whether Greece could return to growth by 2012. “The problem is that the government is reforming at the same time it is applying a program of fiscal consolidation at a time of recession,” he added. “It’s a very painful mix.”

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/21/world/europe/21greece.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Greece Strives for Consensus on New Austerity Package

Prime Minister George Papandreou failed to find common ground with opposition leaders in individual meetings on Tuesday, and is hoping that the joint session, convened by President Karolos Papoulias, might achieve some kind of cross-party agreement on measures that are sure to be unpopular.

The aim is to convince officials of the European Union and International Monetary Fund that Greece has the political will to impose more tax hikes and spending cuts on a Greek public already weary after a year of belt-tightening.

Local media reported that Mr. Papandreou might propose a Cabinet reshuffle that would lead to some officials that are not from the ruling Socialist party being brought into the government. This could bring round Antonis Samaras, head of Greece’s main conservative opposition New Democracy, who has so far resisted any new tax increases in favor of stepping up the pace of privatizations — something many Socialists, and their supporters in labor unions, have resisted.

The meeting comes amid mounting speculation about the Greek government’s ability to avert a default, which would likely spark a new financial crisis across the euro zone.

On Thursday, the head of the group of euro-zone finance ministers, Jean-Claude Juncker, reiterated that the European Union would be unlikely to step in if the International Monetary Fund withholds its portion of a fifth installment of emergency funding to Greece — €12 billion, or $17 billion, scheduled to be disbursed next month. (The E.U. and I.M.F. pledged Greece a total of €110 billion in loans last May to save the country from defaulting.)

Greece’s lenders are demanding additional measures after the country missed its deficit-reduction target for 2010, putting the goals for this year and beyond further out of reach. A mission from the European Commission, the I.M.F. and the European Central Bank is currently compiling a much-anticipated report on the Greek government’s progress, after which European ministers will have to decide how to react.

This week the Greek media has been dominated by speculation about snap elections or the possibility of a return to the drachma. The European Marine Affairs Commissioner Maria Damanaki, who is a Greek Socialist, added fuel to the fire when she suggested on Wednesday that talks are already taking place about Greece’s possible exit from the euro zone.

“The scenario of Greece distancing itself from the euro is on the table. We either agree with our creditors on a program of tough sacrifices that brings results, and assume the responsibilities for our past, or we return to the drachma,” she said.

A spokeswoman for the European Commission in Brussels said Ms. Damanaki was using a “figure of speech” to make a point.

Apart from tax increases and public spending cutbacks, the Greek government’s proposed austerity program also includes a privatization drive that foresees sales in stakes of state utilities and assets including the state telecommunications company OTE.

On Friday, Deutsche Telekom, which already has a 30 percent stake in OTE, confirmed the receipt of a letter from the Greek finance ministry asking to arrange talks to discuss increasing its stake.

Under the original 2008 sale agreement, the Greek government has the right to sell an additional 10 percent stake in OTE to Deutsche Telekom through a put option at a set price.

The Greek government is reportedly interested in selling an additional 16 percent, and Deutsche Telekom has the right of first refusal on any new share sales.

Anna Bischof, a spokeswoman for Deutsche Telekom in Bonn, Germany, said the letter did not trigger the put option, but was a request to open discussions.

“I can’t speculate on what will come out of these talks,” Ms. Bischof said. “We just received the letter yesterday.”

A few dozen employees of the phone company protested a further sell-off by blocking one of Athens’s busiest roads, in front of the company’s headquarters, during the morning rush hour Friday.

Larger protests have been held over the past three days as Greeks, facing a deepening recession and mounting unemployment, seek to air their grievances.

Thousands were expected to fill the central square in Athens and in other major cities for the third day in a row on Friday for demonstrations inspired by a similar campaign in Spain.

Like the Spanish initiative, the Greek rallies have been organized by word-of-mouth using social networking sites and without the involvement of the unions, which usually lead protests in Greece.

Unlike the Spanish campaign however, where thousands have camped out in main squares for the past two weeks, the turnout has been average by Greek standards — with crowds hovering between 10,000 and 20,000 in Athens and hardly a tent in sight.

Kevin J. O’Brien in Berlin and Stephen Castle in Brussels contributed reporting.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=36344ecf29ead27f1da7568ad164bd25