November 22, 2024

Shares Are Mixed After Jobs Report

Stocks were mostly higher on Friday, lifted by a positive report from the Labor Department on job creation and the unemployment rate.

Trading was light, continuing the week’s trend of slight moves and anemic volume. The Standard Poor’s 500-stock index gained 0.1 percent for the week after several volatile sessions.

Stocks opened higher after the nonfarm payrolls report, which showed 146,000 jobs added in November, far more than had been expected, while the unemployment rate fell to 7.7 percent. A poor reading on consumer sentiment caused an erosion of those gains, though markets rebounded later.

The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index for early December fell to its lowest level since August. Sentiment declined on growing concerns over the fiscal debates in Washington, which have been a major factor preventing broader moves as well.

“We’re not as concerned as we were a few months ago because of improvement like you can see in the employment number, but there’s such a wild card over” the fiscal talks, Bruce McCain, chief investment strategist at Key Private Bank in Cleveland, said. “There are such concerns about what could happen that markets will be overhung until a resolution is more certain.”

One of the biggest drags on the Nasdaq was Apple, which fell 2.6 percent to $533.25, extending its losses for the week to 8.9 percent. This was the worst week for the stock since May 2010.

The Dow Jones industrial average gained 81.09 points, or 0.62 percent, to close at 13,155.13. The Standard Poor’s 500-stock index rose 4.13 points, or 0.29 percent, to 1,418.07. The Nasdaq composite index slipped 11.23 points, or 0.38 percent, to close at 2,978.04. For the week, the Nasdaq was down 1.1 percent, hurt largely by the decline in Apple. The Dow, which does not count Apple as a component, rose 1 percent for its third consecutive week of gains. The S. P. 500 was also up for three consecutive weeks, rising 4.3 percent over that period.

The equity market has regained most of the ground it lost after President Obama’s re-election as markets turned their focus to the tax increases and spending cuts that are coming if Congress and the president fail to reach a budget agreement. Market response to macroeconomic data remained muted as negotiations continued to command investors’ attention.

The House speaker, John Boehner, said talks this week with Mr. Obama had produced no progress. He renewed his demand that the president make a new offer to avert the series of tax increases and spending cuts that are likely to hurt economic demand in 2013.

Material shares were the strongest performers of the day. Freeport-McMoRan Copper and Gold gained 2.9 percent, to close at $31.70 Dow Chemical added 2.2 percent, to $30.30.

Amarin, a biopharmaceutical company, fell 18.9 percent, to $9.69, in New York. It raised $100 million in financing to help it introduce its heart drug, Vascepa, but it disappointed investors, who had hoped for a sale or partnership.

CombiMatrix, a medical research company, gained 336.6 percent, to $8.60, after the company said two studies published in a medical journal favored technology it uses for prenatal diagnosis of genetic abnormalities over traditional technologies.

Groupon, the online coupon provider, was one of the day’s leading gainers, rising 88 cents, or 23 percent, to $4.68, but it was still well below the $24.58 it reached in February.

Interest rates were higher. The Treasury’s benchmark 10-year bond fell 3/32, to 100 1/32, and the yield rose to 1.62 percent from 1.59 percent late on Thursday.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/08/business/daily-stock-market-activity.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Low Rates May Do Little to Entice Nervous Consumers

But many economists say it will take more than low interest rates to persuade consumers, a crucial driver of the nation’s economy, to take on more debt.

There are already signs that the recent stock market upheaval, turbulence in Europe and gridlock in Washington over the federal deficit have spooked consumers. On Friday, preliminary data showed that the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan consumer sentiment index had fallen this month to lower than it was in November 2008, when the country was deep in recession.

Under normal circumstances, the Fed’s announcement might have attracted new home and car buyers and prompted credit card holders to rack up fresh charges. But with unemployment high and those with jobs worried about keeping them, consumers are more concerned about paying off the loans they already have than adding more debt. And by showing its hand for the next two years, the Fed may have inadvertently invited prospective borrowers to put off large purchases.

Lenders, meanwhile, are still dealing with the effects of the boom-gone-bust and are forcing prospective borrowers to go to extraordinary lengths to prove their creditworthiness.

“I don’t think lenders are going to be interested in extending a lot of debt in this environment,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody’s Analytics, a macroeconomic consulting firm. “Nor do I think households are going to be interested in taking on a lot of debt.”

In housing, consumers have already shown a lackluster response to low rates. Applications for new mortgages have slowed this year to a 10-year low, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. Sales of furniture and furnishings remain 22 percent below their prerecession peak, according to MasterCard Advisors SpendingPulse, a research service.

Credit card rates have actually gone up slightly in the last year. The one bright spot in lending is the number of auto loans, which is up from last year. But some economists say that confidence among car buyers is hitting new lows.

For Xavier Walter, a former mortgage banker who with his wife, Danielle, accumulated $70,000 on a home equity line and $20,000 in credit card debt, low rates will not change his spending habits.

As the housing market topped out five years ago, he lost his six-figure income. He and his wife were able to modify the mortgage on their four-bedroom colonial in Medford, N.J., as well as negotiate lower credit card payments.

Two years ago, Mr. Walter, a 34-year-old father of three, started an energy business. He has sworn off credit. “I’m not going to go back in debt ever again,” he said. “If I can’t pay for it in cash, I don’t want it.”

Until now, one of the biggest restraints on consumer spending has been a debt hangover. Since August 2008, when household debt peaked at $12.41 trillion, it has declined by about $1.2 trillion, according to an analysis by Moody’s Analytics of data from the Federal Reserve and Equifax, the credit agency. A large portion of that, though, was simply written off by lenders as borrowers defaulted on loans.

By other measures, households have improved their position. The proportion of after-tax income that households spend to remain current on loan payments has fallen, from close to 14 percent in early 2007 to 11.5 percent now, according to Moody’s Analytics.

Still, household debt remains high. That presents a conundrum: many economists argue that the economy cannot achieve true health until debt levels decline. But credit, made attractive by low rates, is a time-tested way to bolster consumer spending.

With new risks of another downturn, economists worry that it will take years for debt to return to manageable levels. If the economy contracts again, said George Magnus, senior adviser at UBS, then “you could find a lot of households in a debt trap which they probably can never get out of.”

The market most directly affected by the reluctance to borrow is housing. With many owners still owing more than the current value of their homes, they cannot sell and move up to new homes. New mortgage and refinancing loan volumes fell nearly 19 percent, to $265 billion, at the end of the second quarter, down from $325 billion in the first quarter, the lowest since 2008, according to Inside Mortgage Finance, an industry newsletter.

Nick Bunkley contributed reporting.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=d4a77742a58ab212032f2052000a2e15