December 21, 2024

Bucks: Used Car Prices Vary by Market, Analysis Finds

A used car for sale in Miami.Joe Raedle/Getty Images
A used car for sale in Miami.

The city where you buy a used car can make a big difference in price, a new analysis finds.

CarGurus, a car shopping Web site, analyzed listings for about 3 million cars in large metropolitan areas to see how prices varied. A market was defined as an area within a 50-mile radius of the city center, to see how prices varied.

The analysis found that the less-expensive markets tend to be the most heavily populated urban areas, where there are more car dealerships and thus more competition, said Langley Steinert, founder of CarGurus. Costlier areas, in turn, tend to be smaller, less competitive markets.

The vast majority of listings on CarGurus are from dealers; it’s not certain that cars sold by private sellers would follow the same trend. But since private sellers also try to price their cars competitively, it’s “probable” that the trend is the same for those cars too, the site says.)

The analysis was based on an “instant market value” for each vehicle, a price estimate that CarGurus calculates using its own formula. The formula factors in the car’s make, model, year, mileage, trim, options, accident history and the listing’s specific location. CarGurus then used the average prices in each metropolitan area compare with the nationwide average. The study excluded cars from model years before 2000.

The analysis found that Miami topped the list of “most affordable” markets, followed by Cleveland; Rochester; and Detroit. (Next on the list came Stamford, Conn.; Akron, Ohio; Buffalo; Toledo, Ohio; New York; and Minneapolis.)

The most expensive cities are Jackson, Miss.; Seattle; Montgomery, Ala.; and Little Rock, Ark. (Followed by Knoxville, Tenn.; Mobile, Ala.; Fresno, Calif.; Memphis; Wichita, Kan.; and Lincoln, Neb.)

Compared with nationwide prices, used cars in Miami are nearly 7 percent less expensive on average, while those in Jackson, Miss., are 9 percent more expensive — a difference of about 16 percentage points, the analysis found.

What are consumers to make of the data? After all, even if you can find a car in a cheaper market, is it worth your while to travel a long distance way to pick it up?

Mr. Steinert conceded that it was unlikely to make sense for someone who lives in, say, Seattle, to travel to Miami just to save money on the price of the car. But the findings do suggest that when searching online for a car, you should widen your potential search area as far as possible beyond your local ZIP code.

When searching car listings on CarGurus, for instance, the default distance the tool uses is 75 miles — about an hour’s drive. But you could double that distance, to 150 miles, and still be within a reasonable drive to an area with potentially less expensive cars.”At least, drive two hours,” he said.

Before driving that far, however, he has some tips: First, try to make sure the car is actually there. Some dealers may advertise a car at a potentially attractive price to draw traffic, but you may find it’s been “sold” when you arrive.

Then, if you do decide you want to buy the car, always take the time to obtain a vehicle history report (from a service like CarFax, for instance). The reports run about $40. Also, pay a local mechanic to examine the car for potential problems. If you do those things, he said, you’ll greatly lower your risk of getting a lemon and you’ll save significant money by buying used.

Have you ever purchased a car far from where you live? How did it work out?

Article source: http://bucks.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/02/18/used-car-prices-vary-by-market-analysis-finds/?partner=rss&emc=rss

October Home Prices Rose In Positive Sign for Markets

WASHINGTON (AP) — Home prices were up in most major metropolitan areas in October from a year earlier, pushed up by rising sales and a decline in the supply of available homes. Higher prices show the housing market is improving as it moves into the slow fall and winter sales period.

The Standard Poor’s/Case-Shiller national home price index released Wednesday showed that prices increased 4.3 percent from October 2011, the largest year-over-year increase in two and a half years, when a home buyer tax credit temporarily increased sales.

Prices rose in October 2012 from a year earlier in 18 of 20 cities. Phoenix led all cities with a 21.7 percent gain, followed by Detroit, where prices increased 10 percent. Prices declined in Chicago and New York.

Home prices fell in 12 of 20 cities in October compared with September. Monthly prices are not seasonally adjusted, so the decreases reflect the end of the peak buying season.

Still, the broader trend is encouraging. October was the fifth straight month of year-over-year gains, after nearly two years of declines. Prices rose in mid-2010 in the final months before the tax credit expired. They had fallen sharply in 2008 and 2009.

“It is clear that the housing recovery is gaining strength,” said David M. Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at SP Dow Jones Indexes.

The improvement in housing is adding to economic growth and most analysts expect that to continue in 2013, assuming that the White House and Congress can reach a deal to avert economic damage from sharp tax increases and government spending cuts set to take effect on Jan. 1.

“We expect home price appreciation to continue for the foreseeable future, because inventories are lean amid rising sales,” said Joseph LaVorgna, chief United States economist at Deutsche Bank. “This assumes that a resolution to the fiscal cliff is found,” he said. “Otherwise, the recent positive trend in housing would most certainly be in jeopardy along with the rest of the current economic expansion.”

Prices nationwide have recovered to about the same level as in the fall of 2003, according to the Case-Shiller index. They remain about 30 percent below the peak reached in the summer of 2006.

The pace of home construction slipped in November but was still nearly 22 percent higher than a year earlier. Builders are on track this year to start work on the largest number of homes in four years.

Builder confidence rose in December for a seventh straight month to the highest level in more than 6 1/2 years, according to a survey released last week by the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/27/business/economy/home-price-index-rose-in-october.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Economix: Rent vs. Buy, a Longer List

My column this week revisits the question of whether to buy a home or rent one. In the newspaper, we included a chart showing average rent ratios — the purchase price of a house divided by the annual rent of a similar house — for several metropolitan areas. Here, we include a longer list.

As a rule of thumb, when the ratio is below 15, people should lean toward buying a home. When it’s above 20, they should lean toward renting. When it’s in between, the decision should be based almost entirely on stage of life: Are you ready to settle into a home for at least five years, if not more. As I note in the column, your stage of life should often dictate your decision even when ratios are below 15 or above 20.

For the following metro areas, Moody’s Analytics, which provided us with the data, had numbers going back to 1986:

null


For the following metro areas, the data goes back to only 1990:

A comparison that includes the 1980s is a better one, because the 1980s was a decade when real estate boomed in many places while the 1990s was a decade in which some places, like California and New England, experienced a bust. The ideal long-term comparison includes both bull and bear markets.

For this reason, I would expect the 1990-2000 average, which appears with the charts in the newspaper, to be lower than the long-term average. We went with 1990-2000 so we could include areas for which the data begins in 1990.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=4f41440d3455571bb18e2ced434f06bb