December 22, 2024

Special Report: Energy: Gas Prices Moving Away From Link to Oil

They joined several other non-U.S. companies, including Korea Gas and GAIL, a large Indian utility, in trying to lock up prospective U.S. exports of abundant, low-cost shale gas.

Current low prices may not be the only attraction. Jean-Marie Dauger, the executive vice president of GDF Suez’s gas business, said in an interview that the company was trying to gain access to the U.S. natural gas pricing process: Unlike prices in much of the rest of the world, U.S. prices are set by market forces.

“The U.S. market will bring not only diversity in terms of physical sources, but economy,” he said. “We don’t know what the price will be, but we know it will be a market and price structure that is not the same as elsewhere in the world.”

Unlike oil, which is a globally traded commodity, natural gas is priced depending on location and the arrangement under which it is sold.

In North America, gas is a traded commodity whose price is usually linked to benchmarks set at the Henry Hub, a meeting point of pipelines in Louisiana. In the rest of the world, gas prices are often indexed to oil products that gas might replace — a system that was developed to sell gas from the giant Groningen field in the Netherlands, in the 1960s.

But the linkage to oil is eroding, especially in Europe, as competition increases and multiple sources of gas emerge, largely through the increased use of liquefied natural gas, which can be transported globally by specialized ships. A surge of gas exports from the United States — not a sure thing — would add to the pressures on the indexed system.

“There is a certain globalization in this market, which is improving the ability to use gas as a global commodity, ” Mr. Dauger said.

For now, there is not enough competition to eliminate regional disparities in gas prices. For instance, the U.S. price, influenced by abundant shale gas, is now about $4 per million British thermal units. In Britain, the most liquid of the European markets, the traded price is about $10 per million B.T.U.’s and in Asia about $15 per million B.T.U.’s.

But “the price differentials we see today are not going to persist,” said Kenneth B. Medlock III, an expert on gas at Rice University in Houston. While gas will never be priced exactly the same from place to place because of differing transportation costs, the spreads will narrow considerably, he said. With the international gas trade worth an estimated $250 billion or more, even a difference of a few cents can make a big difference.

GDF Suez, an operator of utilities in France and elsewhere, is a huge player in the global gas markets as a producer, consumer, supplier and trader. It uses about 110 billion cubic meters, or 3.9 trillion cubic feet, of gas per year to feed its own power plants and those of its customers, about as much as the consumption of Italy and France combined.

Part of Mr. Dauger’s job is to make sure that he has enough supply at the best prices. In recent years, that has been an almost impossible task because of the legacy of long-term contracts, typically of 15 to 30 years, between European buyers and suppliers like Gazprom of Russia, Statoil of Norway and Sonatrach of Algeria.

These contracts made sense when they were essentially deals between monopoly producers and distributors like GDF Suez. But they don’t look so good now that customers can shop around.

“This business used to be one of the most boring businesses in the world; now it has become one of the most hectic,” said Paolo Scaroni, the chief executive of the Italian energy company Eni.

A two-tier pricing system has now emerged: About half the gas consumed in Europe comes at market or hub prices. The remainder, covered by long-term contracts, is still linked to oil.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/19/business/energy-environment/gas-prices-moving-away-from-link-to-oil.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

DealBook: 3 Foreign Companies Invest in U.S. Project to Export Liquid Gas

Sempra plans to build a liquefied natural gas export facility at its existing terminal in Hackberry, La.Michael Stravato for The New York TimesSempra plans to build a liquefied natural gas export facility at its existing terminal in Hackberry, La.

In a sign that the United States shale gas boom is making global waves, two Japanese conglomerates and a big French energy player signed agreements on Friday to invest up to $7 billion in a liquefied natural gas project in Louisiana.

The companies — Mitsui and Mitsubishi of Japan, and GDF Suez of France — each plan to take a 16.6 percent stake in the gas export plant being developed at Hackberry, La. The complex is being built by Sempra Energy, a company based in San Diego with annual revenue of about $10 billion. The companies agreed last year to help develop the project.

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GDF Suez predicts that the plant will begin operations in 2017. The companies’ final decision to make their investment will depend on the project’s receiving necessary permits, GDF Suez said.

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International companies, responding to a ravenous global appetite for natural gas, particularly in Japan and Europe, want access to shale gas from the United States, which has emerged as an important new source over the last few years. But because the United States has only recently shifted from being a gas importer to being self-sufficient in the fuel, the government has not yet agreed to allow exports except in a few cases and to the 20 countries with which it has free trade agreements, including Panama and Costa Rica.

Export approval, under consideration for several projects by the Energy Department, will be necessary before the potential of shale gas can be fully realized. On Friday, the department approved a Texas project called Freeport L.N.G. It has also signed off on a facility being built by Cheniere Energy at Sabine Pass in Louisiana that is expected to start exporting in 2015.

But international companies are investing all the same, betting that United States shale gas will eventually be able to go onto the global market.

In a statement, Sempra Energy estimated that the foreign partners would be putting up $6 billion to $7 billion in return for just under half the equity in the project, which is forecast to yield 12 million metric tons of liquefied natural gas annually for 20 years. In return, they will receive all the gas. Sempra will retain a stake of just over 50 percent.

‘‘These agreements represent a major step forward in the development of our L.N.G. export project,’’ Sempra’s president, Mark A. Snell, said in a statement.

For international players, the attractions of United States shale gas are the large potential volumes and the relatively low cost of extracting it.

Other foreign companies that have lined up American supplies include the Korean company Kogas, Sumitomo of Japan and BG Group, the British-based company that is a big player in the liquefied natural gas business.

Natural gas prices in the United States are now about $4 per million British thermal units, the industry’s standard measure. European-traded prices are in the $10 per million B.T.U.’s range, with Asian prices about $15 per million per B.T.U.’s. Long-term contract prices are often higher, and liquefication adds to the cost over plain gas.

Japan’s liquefied natural gas imports have surged after the shutdown of nuclear power in the wake of the Fukushima disaster and were up by 11 percent last year. Japanese imports account for about one-third of the world’s total liquid gas market, according to a recent study by Bernstein research.

Japanese utility executives have said they want to reduce the prices they are paying by tying them to United States supplies.

‘‘It is a win-win situation,’’ said Fadel Gheit, an analyst at Oppenheimer in New York. Such deals will help stabilize global fuel prices over the long term and benefit the United States economy, he said.

A big worry in the industry is whether United States’ exports could contribute to lower prices around the world, eroding profits. ‘‘It will give buyers a choice, something they have never had before,’’ said Jonathan Stern, chairman of the gas program at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies.

But industry executives think that surging demand, especially from Asia, will easily absorb the exports that the United States government might eventually permit.

United States gas ‘‘won’t have a material effect on long-term pricing,’’ Martin Houston, BG’s chief operating officer, said in a recent presentation on the company’s Web site.

Matthew L. Wald contributed reporting from Washington.

Article source: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/05/17/3-foreign-companies-invest-in-u-s-project-to-export-liquid-gas/?partner=rss&emc=rss

Exxon Executive Promotes Shale Gas to Europeans

The executive, Andrew P. Swiger, a senior vice president at Exxon, said that the conventional gas fields currently supplying Europe were expected to decline, raising dependence on imports delivered through pipelines and as liquefied natural gas.

“By 2030, Europeans are expected to be significantly more reliant on imports of natural gas than they are today,” Mr. Swiger said in London at the Oil and Money conference, which is jointly organized by The International Herald Tribune and Energy Intelligence. “Europe’s unconventional natural resources can provide the opportunity to offset this changing mix with domestic supplies,” he said.

One of the main obstacles to drilling for gas trapped in fine-grained shale rock is the growing public skepticism about the environmental impact of “fracking,” using pressurized water, sand and chemicals to release the gas.

Mr. Swiger’s remarks came after a decision this summer by the French Parliament to revoke permits from companies using the method. Since then, health and environmental activists have stepped up efforts to extend similar restrictions across the European Union.

Europe is far from united against gas fracking. Poland and Bulgaria are among the countries enthusiastically developing shale gas, partly as a counterweight to mounting anxiety about depending on Russia for natural gas.

Mr. Swiger said fracking could be done safely and cleanly, and he said local regulators should be permitted to decide whether to permit the technique in their communities. He said Europe’s shale resources, although different in some ways from the resources in North America, “may prove to be significant,” partly because of rapidly evolving drilling and extraction techniques.

Since 2008, Exxon has drilled a number of exploratory wells in Germany for shale gas and for coal-bed methane, which is found in coal seams or in the surrounding rock, Exxon officials said. The company is still analyzing those results to establish their commercial potential, the officials said.

Other experts who spoke at the conference said geologists needed to do more work to determine whether shale gas could be produced in Europe.

“It remains to be seen whether Central Europe has the same rich source rocks as North America,” said Thomas S. Ahlbrandt, a former senior official at the United States Geological Survey, which is credited with numerous oil and gas discoveries.

Michelle Michot Foss, chief energy economist and head of the Center for Energy Economics, part of the Bureau of Economic Geology at the University of Texas at Austin, said companies looking for opportunities in shale gas were undeterred — for now.

“You go where you can go, and Eastern Europe seems to be more the place where everybody can go right now,” Ms. Foss said. “The question will be whether they get enough drilling and commercial success in Poland and other places to make it worthwhile.”

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=5abea9dbd9445cda9ef71dd6efb7d771