November 22, 2024

Small Group Rode LinkedIn to Big Payday

With the hours ticking down to his company’s stock market debut, Mr. Hoffman dialed into a conference call from San Francisco’s Ritz-Carlton hotel as his chief executive, Jeff Weiner, and a team of bankers raced up from Silicon Valley in a black S.U.V. to meet with potential investors.

Demand for shares was intense, and they decided to raise the offering price by $10, to around $45.

When trading began on May 19, LinkedIn did not open at $45. Or $55. Or $65. Instead, the first shares were snapped up for $83 each and soon soared past $100, showering a string of players with riches and signaling a gold rush that has not been seen since the giddy days of the tech frenzy a decade ago.

Now there are signs that a new technology bubble is inflating, this time centered on the narrow niche of social networking. Other tech offerings, like that of the Internet radio service Pandora last week, have struggled, and analysts have warned that overly optimistic investors could once again suffer huge losses.

That enthusiasm was on full display in the blockbuster debut of LinkedIn, which provides a window into how a small group — bankers and lawyers, employees who get in on the ground floor, early investors — is taking a hefty cut at each twist in the road from Silicon Valley start-up to Wall Street success story.

“The LinkedIn I.P.O. will be used very powerfully over the next year as these companies go public and bankers deal with Silicon Valley,” said Peter Thiel, the president of Clarium Capital in San Francisco and an early investor in PayPal, LinkedIn and Facebook. “It sets things up for the other big deals.”

The sharp run-up after the initial public offering set off a fierce debate among observers about whether the bankers had mispriced it and left billions on the table for their clients to pocket. But the pent-up demand for what was perceived as a hot technology stock set the stage for easy money to be made almost regardless of the offering price.

Naturally, Wall Street is enjoying a windfall. Technology I.P.O.’s have generated nearly $330 million this year in fees for the biggest banks and brokerages, nearly 10 times the haul for the same period last year, and the most since 2000.

Besides the $28.4 million in fees for LinkedIn’s underwriting team, which was led by Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase, there were also a few slices reserved for specialists like lawyers and accountants. Wilson Sonsini, the most powerful law firm in Silicon Valley, collected $1.5 million, while the accounting firm Deloitte Touche earned $1.35 million.

Mr. Hoffman founded LinkedIn in March 2003 after making a fortune as an executive at PayPal, the online payments service, but even as LinkedIn grew and other employees and private backers got stakes, Mr. Hoffman retained 21.2 percent, giving him more than 19 million shares when it went public. He has kept nearly of all them, so for now his $858 million fortune — it was $667 million before the last-minute price hike — remains mostly on paper.

Mr. Weiner arrived more recently, in late 2008, after working at Yahoo and as an adviser to venture capital firms, but his welcome package included the right to buy 3.5 million shares at just $2.32. And they are not the only big winners who secured shares at levels far below the I.P.O. price.

For example, when LinkedIn raised cash in mid-2008, venture capital firms including Bessemer Venture Partners and Sequoia Capital, scooped up 6.6 million shares at $11.47 each in return for early financing. They have held on to the stock, but Goldman Sachs, which got 871,840 shares at $11.47, sold all of it for a one-day gain of nearly $30 million.

Scores of fortunate individuals also managed to profit.

Stephen Beitzel, a software engineer, worked at LinkedIn from its founding until March 2004, but kept his stock when he left. His shares are now worth $17 million, and he sold $1.3 million worth in the offering.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/20/business/20bonanza.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

DealBook: Abracadabra! Magic Trumps Math at Web Start-Ups

Minh Uong/ The New York Times

Over a decade ago, Internet companies promoted new ways to measure their business performance, introducing concepts like “eyeballs” and “mindshare” to investors.

Now the latest wave of Internet start-ups are adding their own particular yardsticks to the valuation vocabulary.

Try “Acsoi” — a metric so new that there’s no agreement on how to pronounce it. Depending on whom you ask, it’s either “ack-soy” or “ack-swa.”

Short for “adjusted consolidated segment operating income,” Acsoi is one of three yardsticks that Groupon, the online coupon giant, recommends investors use to determine how it is performing. It is essentially operating profit minus the company’s large online marketing and acquisition expenses — a highly nonstandard approach that had many scratching their heads.

Yet without it, Groupon would appear steeped in red ink.

The use of such metrics has come with a meteoric rise in valuations for companies like Groupon, LinkedIn and Facebook that has invited skepticism from analysts and people in the industry. They are questioning whether some business models — be they a social network aimed at professionals or a maker of online farm games — can endure.

“These hot private companies are revealing their numbers, and I for one am surprised how they’re not making money,” said Lisa R. Thompson, an analyst with the research firm Arcstone Partners. “Everything in my space I’ve looked at doesn’t make money.”

Those who worry that the new Internet boom may repeat the mistakes of the last one are concerned that investors will look only for the positive in these hot new companies — seizing upon metrics of the sort that Lynn E. Turner, a former chief accountant for the Securities and Exchange Commission, once called E.B.B.S., or “earnings before bad stuff.”

The question is whether the new wave of Web companies have sustainable businesses or are simply like Webvan and Kozmo.com, mired in a search for profitability.

Pandora Media, for instance, has garnered acclaim for its online radio station format. But under the company’s current licensing deals, the more songs users listen to, the more Pandora pays in royalty fees, prompting some to question whether it will ever turn a profit.

In a research note on Pandora last week, Richard Greenfield, an analyst at BTIG Research, gave the company a sell rating and a price target of $5.50 a share.

Mr. Greenfield’s concerns about Pandora centered on a rise in competitors like Spotify and skepticism that Pandora’s efforts to increase advertising revenue would eventually lead to profitability.

Some of that pessimism appears to have deflated the buzz that surrounded the company’s initial public offering. Shares of Pandora closed Friday — their third day of New York Stock Exchange trading — at $13.40, down 16 percent from their I.P.O. price.

Groupon likes to use an innovative metric for its revenue, because standard accounting shows it steeped in red ink.Scott Olson/Getty ImagesGroupon likes to use an innovative metric for its revenue, because standard accounting shows it steeped in red ink.

It’s no surprise then that some new companies are trying to show their businesses in the best possible light.

Groupon’s business model is built on offering a variety of daily deals worldwide, pulling in $713.4 million in revenue last year. But it lost $450 million, as the company spent $444.7 million to lure in new subscribers to its newsletters and to acquire smaller competitors.

That’s where Acsoi comes in. By stripping out those costs, the company argues, investors can see just how the core business is doing, though it warns that the measurement should not be used to value the company. Using Acsoi, Groupon earned $60.6 million last year, more than 20 times what it reported in 2009. And in the first quarter of 2011 alone, it reaped $81.6 million.

And Groupon argues that it is choosing to spend large amounts of money now because it is important to acquire as many subscribers as possible, hoping to gain formidable scale as Amazon and Netflix have done in their own industries.

Groupon also says that the cost of maintaining subscribers, which is factored into Acsoi, is far lower than the expense of gaining them in the first place. That cost amounted to about 3 percent of revenue last year, though it rose to about 4.4 percent in the first quarter.

Groupon does offer two other measurements for valuation purposes, free cash flow and gross profit, both of which have a long basis in standard accounting rules. Groupon reported a tenfold rise in free cash flow last year, to $72 million, while its gross profit swelled to $280 million from $10.9 million the previous year.

Other new Internet companies also promote nonstandard accounting metrics. Demand Media, the publisher of thousands of amateur how-to articles, spreads out the cost of paying its army of contract writers over five years, arguing that the long life of its content means that those expenses are really a capital investment.

That accounting measure helps flip Demand’s financial results for the better. On a basis of generally accepted accounting principles, the company lost $5.6 million in the first quarter of this year. On an adjusted net income basis, it earned $5.1 million.

Demand Media also cites “adjusted Oibda,” short for operating income before depreciation and amortization, and a semi-popular nonstandard measure also cited by the likes of CBS and Time Warner.

Such moves bring to mind the last tech boom, when companies drew upon unusual accounting and business yardsticks to help explain their lack of profitability. Amazon.com, for example, briefly reported profits that stripped out its then-steep marketing costs, not unlike Groupon. And Motorola incurred “special” one-time items so regularly that critics asked whether they were fundamental business costs.

Efforts to demonstrate viable business models did not end with customized accounting. Firms increasingly turned to nebulous new measurements like eyeballs and mindshare to represent the number of visitors a site attracted or how well-known it was among Internet users.

In hindsight, of course, all the eyeballs in the world couldn’t substitute for a viable business model. Pets.com arguably achieved a tremendous amount of mindshare, with its spokespuppet appearing in a Super Bowl ad and in the 1999 Macy’s Thanksgiving Day Parade. Yet despite the media attention, the site, a pet food retailer, closed less than a year after its initial public offering, weighed down by an inability to profit from a single sale.

The latest generation of Web companies differs in many ways from its forebears, with many of its ranks drawing real earnings from advertising and other sources of income. LinkedIn generated $3.4 million in profit last year. Using adjusted earnings, which accounts for items like stock-based compensation, it reported nearly $48 million.

Facebook, the biggest social network, earned about $400 million atop $2 billion in revenue, people briefed on the company’s results have said.

And there is a precedent behind some of this accounting. Amazon contended that its huge marketing costs were necessary to get its name out. That bet ultimately worked for Amazon, which now towers over the online retail space. But the same didn’t hold true for Pets.com.

“That’s a perfectly legitimate way for companies to look at these things economically,” said Dennis R. Beresford, an accounting professor at the Terry College of Business at the University of Georgia. “The real question is, is that going to happen?”

Evelyn M. Rusli contributed reporting.

Article source: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/06/17/abracadabra-for-internet-start-ups-magic-trumps-math/?partner=rss&emc=rss

DealBook: Pandora Pares Its Gains After Debut

Pandora Media's top executives, Joseph Kennedy, left, and Tim Westergren, on hand at the New York Stock Exchange for their company's market debut.Ramin Talaie/Bloomberg NewsPandora Media’s top executives, Joseph Kennedy, left, and Tim Westergren, on hand at the New York Stock Exchange on Wednesday for their company’s market debut.

The market debut of Pandora Media, the online music service, provided a bright spot on Wednesday on an otherwise grim day on Wall Street. But Pandora failed to match the first-day performance of two other Internet stars, LinkedIn and Yandex.

Pandora’s shares closed at $17.42, a gain of 8.9 percent over its initial public offering price of $16. The stock did open at $20 and spiked as high as $26 in the morning before trailing off. At the close, Pandora had a total market value of nearly $2.8 billion.

Weighing on Pandora, however, was a stock market sell-off, as the main market indicators dropped 1.5 to 1.7 percent on increasing investor worries about European debt problems, especially those in Greece.

At $16, Pandora did price its shares well above its I.P.O. target price of $10 to $12. The performance of its stock on Wednesday could be an indication that its underwriters succeeded in pricing the issue closer to market, leaving less money on the table after the initial public offering.

In contrast to Pandora’s gain, LinkedIn’s shares more than doubled on their first day of trading in May, while shares of Yandex, considered the Google of Russia, jumped more than 55 percent in its market debut.

On Wednesday, LinkedIn fell $1.72, or 2.3 percent, to $74.62, while Yandex dropped $1.33, or 4.2 percent, to $30.27. Still, both issues remain comfortably above their initial public offering prices.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=0ad968e1ae641854fe171c9369d63b92

DealBook: Pandora Raises Target for I.P.O.

Tim Westergren, founder of Pandora.Thor Swift for The New York TimesTim Westergren, founder of Pandora.

With its initial public offering near, Pandora Media put up a bigger price tag on Friday.

The online music service increased its target price range to $10 to $12 a share, above its previous range of $7 to $9, according to its latest filing.

It also increased the size of its offering by a million shares to 14.7 million shares. At the top end of its range, Pandora is set to offer $176.2 million shares at a $1.9 billion valuation.

The company’s lead underwriters, Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup, also have the option to buy up to 2.2 million additional shares.

Pandora, founded by the musician Tim Westergren, is an Internet radio service that allows users to create customized music streams.

Pandora’s latest jump comes amid increasing competition for shares in promising Internet start-ups. The professional social network LinkedIn, which went public last month, soared on its debut, more than doubling on its first day of trading. The company, which offered a small float of less than 10 percent, is now below the price at which it opened trading, but is still valued above $6 billion based on its market capitalization. LinkedIn’s splashy debut has encouraged many private companies, waiting to go public, to revise their estimates upward and in some cases change their timelines. Both Groupon and Zynga are working with bankers to submit a prospectus this summer, according to several people close to the companies who were not authorized to speak publicly.

The rising tide for Internet stocks is not lifting all I.P.O.’s, however. While several Internet companies, like LinkedIn and RenRen, raised their price targets on the road to their public offerings, several nontechnology companies have faltered. For instance, the luggage maker Samonsite raised $1.25 billion in its offering, a drop from earlier estimates. The world’s largest commodities trader Glencore went public in May with a highly anticipated $10 billion offering. Despite the fanfare, shares are now trading below its offer price.

According to recent data from Dealogic, American technology offerings are up 26 percent year-to-date. In contrast, the rest of the market is up about 12 percent.

Despite the enthusiasm for well-known Internet brands, several analysts have expressed caution that many of these companies are still struggling with profitability.

Pandora, for instance is not yet profitable, despite improving revenue. Last year, the company’s revenue more than doubled to $137.8 million, but it posted a loss of $1.8 million. The service is popular, with some 90 million users, but it has been bogged down by hefty royalty fees.

“As our number of listener hours increases, the royalties we pay for content acquisition also increase,” the company said in its filing. “We have not in the past generated, and may not in the future generate, sufficient revenue from the sale of advertising and subscriptions to offset such royalty expenses.”

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=2e00fd48c77d9f842446923edc382e1c

DealBook: Yandex Shares Surge in Debut

2:06 p.m. | Updated

Shares of Yandex, one of the largest Internet companies in Russia, jumped on their Nasdaq trading debut on Tuesday.

The stock, which was priced at $25 on Monday, opened at $35 and briefly rose as high as $42.01. By mid-afternoon, the shares were trading around $35.50, a 42 percent gain from the offering price.

The enthusiasm for the Yandex offering, the largest technology offering since Google’s $1.7 billion market debut in 2004, reflects the rising exuberance for Internet companies in the United States and elsewhere in the world.

Over the last few weeks, a handful of multibillion-dollar companies have jumped into the public markets, enjoying robust first-day pops reminiscent of the last technology boom. Renren, one of China’s leading social networks, surged 29 percent on its debut on May 4 and raised $743 million in its offering.

LinkedIn, a social network for professionals, more than doubled on its first day of trading on Thursday. The company, which had recently traded in the secondary markets at an implied valuation of $2.5 billion, is now valued at more than $8 billion.

While overall demand for promising Internet companies is running high, some stocks have struggled to hold on to investors at lofty prices. Renren is now trading below its offer price. LinkedIn has also pulled back, but it is still trading sharply above its offer price.

Over all, there have been 23 technology I.P.O.’s so far this year, raising $4.5 billion, according to data from Renaissance Capital. Not including Yandex, these I.P.O.’s traded up 14.9 percent on their first day on average.

Enthusiasm has been building for Yandex. Two weeks ago, it forecast a more modest price range of $20 to $22 a share.

On Monday evening, the company, based in Moscow, sold 52.2 million shares in its offering, raising $1.3 billion. The stock began trading Tuesday under the ticker symbol YNDX.

Its underwriters, led by Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank Securities, also have the option to sell an additional 5.2 million shares to cover over-allotments.

For investors, Yandex represents a bet on Russia’s burgeoning technology market. Last year, the company generated about 64 percent of all search traffic in the country, recording revenue of $439.7 million and net income of $134.3 million.

“This is the Google of Russia,” said Scott Sweet, a senior managing partner of I.P.O. Boutique. “They are profitable, their growth is outstanding and they have over 60 percent market share; Google has about 22 to 30 percent.”

Yandex’s largest shareholders include the hedge fund Tiger Global Management, Baring Vostok Private Equity Funds and the company’s chief executive, Arkady Volozh. All are selling some shares in the offering.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=afa912a88c917f7a8a4c24cbe978ce0b

DealBook: LinkedIn Soars in Market Debut

12:04 p.m. | Updated

Shares of LinkedIn, a professional social network, soared on their market debut on Thursday, feeding a growing investor mania for the latest generation of Internet companies.

The shares opened at $83 and rose as high as $122.70 in late morning trading — well more than double its offering price — on the New York Stock Exchange.

“It’s an exciting day,” Jeff Weiner, LinkedIn’s chief executive said in a phone interview on Thursday morning. “We were able to find investors who understood our story and understood our desire to invest in our platform.”

At more than $80 a share, the company’s valuation is roughly $8 billion, an astonishing figure for a company that was recently valued at about $2.5 billion in the secondary markets.

It is the biggest Internet I.P.O. since Google’s in 2004, and it is a positive sign for the other Internet companies hoping to go public in the next 12 months.

Although LinkedIn is the largest professional online network, the site attracted relatively modest attention before its offering, compared with its high-flying peers, Facebook and Groupon. Facebook, which is widely expected to go public next year, has soared on the secondary markets, with shares trading at an implied valuation as high as $80 billion in recent months.

The valuation of LinkedIn — the first of the big American social media companies to go public — has been surging. In the first week of May, LinkedIn set the target range for its offering at $32 to $35 a share, which valued the company at about $3 billion. Then the company raised the bar 30 percent on Tuesday, to a range of $42 to $45 a share.

Late on Wednesday, the company priced its I.P.O. at $45 a share, at the top end of its forecast. LinkedIn has raised $352.8 million in its offering, but it may raise up to $405 million, if its underwriters decide to sell an additional 1.1 million shares.

As investor enthusiasm soars, analysts are wondering if the valuations for stocks like LinkedIn are grounded in reality.

“Eyebrows are raised around this valuation,” Benjamin Schachter, an analyst with Macquarie Capital, said. “People are trying to figure out how do we value the companies that are coming online?”

According to data from the financial research firm Trefis, the underlying fundamentals do not justify LinkedIn’s rocketing valuation. Based on their analysis of its primary revenue streams — recruiting services, display advertising and subscriptions — the site is worth about $3.2 billion.

“It will be interesting to see how it trades over the next month,” said Cem Ozkaynak, a co-founder of Trefis. “Even though its a professional network, a lot of its business is dependent on growing the number of business clients.”

According to the Trefis report, LinkedIn’s current revenue growth rate will have to pick up substantially in the next five years to justify a valuation north of $4 billion. LinkedIn, which has about 100 million members, has struggled to increase user engagement on its site, an important metric for attracting and retaining recruiters. It is also facing competitive pressure from established job-listing sites like Monster and Careerbuilder, Mr. Ozkaynak said.

“LinkedIn will have to maintain the significant fees it charges to corporate and business customers, while growing its corporate and business customer base significantly from a few thousand customers today to tens of thousands over the next few years,” he wrote in the report.

The site made $243.1 million in 2010, with net income of $15.4 million.

Bank of America Merrill Lynch, JPMorgan Chase and Morgan Stanley led the underwriting of the LinkedIn offering.

Article source: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2011/05/19/linkedin-soars-in-i-p-o/?partner=rss&emc=rss