November 14, 2024

Nikkei Dives More Than 6 Percent

HONG KONG — The battered Japanese stock market lurched into bear market territory Thursday, after a tumble of 6.4 percent took the combined decline in the Nikkei 225 index since a peak on May 23 to more than 21 percent.

A pronounced sell-off in the morning and early afternoon accelerated shortly before the markets closed in Tokyo. The Nikkei ended down more than 840 points at 12,445.38, its lowest level since early April.

Global markets reacted badly at first, with the Euro Stoxx 50, a benchmark for euro zone blue chips, down almost 2 percent in morning trading. But European shares later recovered most of their losses, and stocks on Wall Street opened quietly after new reports showed recent improvements in the American economy.

The drop in Japan on Thursday was one of many sharp declines seen in recent weeks, since a feverish six-month rally in Japanese stocks — incited by optimism over the government’s aggressive efforts to reinvigorate the listless economy — came to an abrupt end.

The Nikkei 225 soared more than 80 percent between mid-November and mid-May, but staged a sudden about-face with a 7.3 percent plunge on May 23.

Sentiment has been fragile and trading volatile ever since, as investors have taken stock of the challenges that face “Abenomics,” the economic policies of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, and weighed the pros and cons of taking profits after the rally.

A renewed rise in the yen also has eroded a factor that, for months, had worked to support Japanese stocks. The yen weakened substantially between November and May – a welcome development for Japanese exporters as it made their goods less expensive for customers overseas.

But the currency’s move, like that of the stock market, reversed in late May. On Thursday, the yen traded around 94.00 to the American dollar, its strongest level since early April.

In Tokyo, Yoshihide Suga, the chief cabinet secretary, brushed off the market plunge.

“I feel it’s important not to swing from joy to sorrow every time stock prices rise or fall, and keep on doing what we need to do,” Mr. Suga said at a news conference Thursday morning, as shares fell. “The Japanese economy is steadily improving.’’

The Bank of Japan governor, Haruhiko Kuroda, met with Mr. Abe on Thursday to exchange views on the economy, according to local news reports. Mr. Abe told the governor he was determined to do his part in putting a growth plan into action, Mr. Kuroda later told reporters. Mr. Kuroda told the prime minister that the central bank was committed to supporting the Japanese economy through monetary stimulus.

Mr. Kuroda also said he expected markets to soon “calm down to reflect positive developments in the economy,” according to the Nikkei Web site. On Monday, the Japanese government revised its first-quarter gross domestic product figures, saying its economy grew at an annualized pace of 4.1 percent between January and March, better than the 3.5 percent it initially reported. But that upgrade has not been enough to calm investor jitters.

Factors beyond Japan also have helped send markets lower around the world.

In China, which is a key engine of global growth, the flow of economic data in recent weeks has reinforced the picture of an economy that is struggling to regain momentum.

And in the United States, comments on May 22 by Ben S. Bernanke, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, that he and his colleagues might consider paring back their bond-buying programs “in the next few meetings” if the economy shows signs of improvement have helped fan global nervousness. Investors and analysts have struggled to assess the implications of even a small withdrawal of the bond buying that has supported markets in recent years.

In the United States, the Dow Jones industrial average and the Standard Poor’s 500-stock index have sagged 3.2 percent and 4 percent, respectively, in the past three weeks. The DAX in Germany has fallen about 4.5 percent and the CAC 40 in France has dropped more than 6 percent.

Key markets in the Asia-Pacific region have tumbled even more. The Straits Times index in Singapore and the S.P./ASX 200 in Australia have lost more than 9 percent since May 22, and in Hong Kong, the Hang Seng has shed more than 10 percent.

A pessimistic outlook issued Wednesday by the World Bank added to the gloom, with Kaushik Basu, the bank’s chief economist, noting in a news release that “the slowdown in the real economy is turning out to be unusually protracted.”

The bank, based in Washington, cut its forecast for global growth to 2.2 percent from a January forecast of 2.4 percent growth.

In explaining the revision, Mr. Basu cited high unemployment in the developed world and slower-than-expected growth in emerging economies. He also noted that India was expanding at a rate below 6 percent for the first time in a decade.

Hiroko Tabuchi contributed from Tokyo and David Jolly contributed from Paris.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/14/business/global/asian-stock-markets.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Sony Doubles Annual Profit Estimate

Sony said it expected to book a net profit of ¥40 billion, or $404 million, for the financial year that ended March 31, compared with an estimate it made in February of ¥20 billion. The Tokyo-based company also raised its sales estimate to ¥6.8 trillion from an earlier forecast of ¥6.6 trillion. The previous year, the company reported a ¥260 billion net loss on ¥7.2 trillion in sales.

Sony’s brightening fortunes underscore how the aggressive monetary easing pursued by the government of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and the Japanese central bank are galvanizing exporters in the world’s third-largest economy, after those of the United States and China. Analysts predict larger profits this earnings season as the country’s top exporters bask in the effects of a yen that has weakened by almost 20 percent since Mr. Abe took office in late December, thanks to a huge injection of money into the Japanese markets.

A weak yen can bolster Japanese exporters by making their products more price-competitive overseas, or inflating the value of their overseas earnings. The reverse had been true for the country’s exporters since 2008, as the yen — considered an investing haven during times of turmoil — strengthened considerably.

Now the yen is unwinding, and more quickly than most experts or companies expected. Sony said it had assumed foreign exchange rates for the fourth quarter of ¥88 to the dollar and ¥115 to the euro. Instead, those rates were ¥92 to the dollar and ¥122 to the euro.

Sony’s asset sales — including office buildings in Tokyo and New York, and a health care data provider — also helped lift Sony’s bottom line. Sony’s life insurance unit benefited from a stock market rally that improved investment performance.

Sony reports official results for the just-ended fiscal year on May 9. Its shares have risen almost 70 percent during the past six months, beating a 54 percent rise in the Nikkei 225-share index.

With its robust profit forecast, Sony is set to join a flurry of exporters reporting stellar earnings. Also Thursday, the industrial giant Mitsubishi Heavy Industries said its annual net profit was likely to total ¥97.3 billion, far higher than a previous forecast of ¥70 billion and a fourfold increase from a year earlier. On Wednesday, Canon raised its net income projection for the past fiscal year, despite slashing its sales target 15 percent because of sluggish sales of its digital cameras.

Economists at UBS said in a recent report that they expected the weakening yen to remain “a critical driver” of increased profits for Japanese companies in the current fiscal year. The economists estimate nearly 50 percent earnings growth in Japan for the financial year ending March 2014.

Still, for some struggling exporters, the effects of the weak yen have not been enough to start a recovery. Nintendo, the video game company, posted a smaller-than-expected annual profit of ¥7.1 billion Wednesday, thanks to disappointing sales of its Wii U home consoles and 3DS portable machines.

At Sony, it remains unclear how much the company can leverage its improved finances to revive its consumer electronics business, which has lost ground to rivals like Apple and Samsung. Sony is pushing to make bigger inroads in the smartphone market with sleek models like the Xperia. It is also set to release the PlayStation 4, its next-generation home game console, this holiday season.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/26/business/global/26iht-sony26.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Japan October Exports Disappoint as Yen, Global Slowdown

Although Japan’s economy expanded 1.5 percent in the previous quarter, rebounding from recession triggered by March earthquake and subsequent nuclear crisis, it is expected to slow sharply in October-December. Severe floods in Thailand, a major manufacturing base for many Japanese exporters, are expected to add to global headwinds faced by the world’s third-biggest economy.

Exports fell 3.7 percent last month from a year earlier, far more than a 0.3 percent dip forecast by economists and the data follows the central bank’s warning that government debt woes in Europe were already hurting Japan and emerging economies.

The October fall follows a 2.3 percent rise in September and was the biggest drop since a 10.3 percent fall in May, with shipments of semiconductors and other electronic goods falling due to strength in the yen.

“The global slowdown stemming from Europe’s debt crisis, sluggish IT-related demand and the yen’s rise which is driving production abroad were among the factors behind the decline,” a finance ministry official said.

He added that the impact of Thai flooding may further hurt Japan’s exports in the coming months.

Thai-bound exports fell 5.1 percent, the first annual decline in three months.

The Bank of Japan held fire last week after easing policy by boosting its asset buying scheme in October, but economists say signs of more weakness may put it under pressure to loosen monetary reins further.

“Exports will likely continue to fall for the next few months,” said Takeshi Minami, chief economist at Norinchukin Research Institute.

“There is a chance that the BOJ will adopt further easing steps within this fiscal year. It is not yet a real crisis situation but the impact from Europe’s debt woes is gradually affecting other economic regions.”

One of the triggers of the October 27 monetary easing was the yen’s rally to record highs against the dollar driven by investors shifting funds away from Europe and other riskier markets into highly liquid and relatively stable Japanese debt.

Some BOJ board members have argued that purchases of government bonds with short maturities worked to stabilize the foreign exchange market, BOJ minutes showed on Monday.

Just days after the central bank move, the finance ministry ordered its biggest ever single-day intervention, selling an estimated 7.7 trillion yen on October 31.

IMPORTS SURGE

Exports to China, Japan’s largest trading partner, slumped an annual 7.7 percent, posting their biggest decline since May.

Shipments to the United States fell 2.3 percent, while those to European Union dropped 2.9 percent, down for the first time in five months and bringing Japan’s trade surplus with the region to its smallest since 1979 for the month of October.

Imports were up 17.9 percent in October from a year earlier, against an expected 15.2 percent gain, bringing the trade balance to a deficit of 273.8 billion yen ($3.6 billion). That marked the first deficit in two months and compared with a median forecast of a 39.9 billion yen surplus.

Japan’s trade balance has swung to a deficit a few times since the March disaster as exports slumped due to damaged supply chains while imports continued to increase on rising demand for crude oil and natural gas to make up for a loss of nuclear energy as well as higher oil prices.

(Additional reporting by Rie Ishiguro; Editing by Joseph Radford and Tomasz Janowski)

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2011/11/20/business/business-us-japan-economy.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Toyota Raises Profit Forecast by Nearly 40 Percent

TOKYO — Citing a quicker-than-expected recovery from Japan’s devastating earthquake, Toyota Motor raised its full-year profit forecast by almost 40 percent on Tuesday, though it warned that a strong yen continued to weigh on its bottom line.

The world’s largest automaker said it expected a net profit of 390 billion yen, or $5 billion, for the business year that ends March 31, 2012, compared to an earlier forecast of 280 billion yen.

The revised estimate came as Toyota posted a 1.1 billion yen net profit for the April-June quarter, a tiny fraction of the 190.4 billion yen it earned a year earlier.

Japanese automakers have staged an impressive recovery from the magnitude 9.0 earthquake and tsunami that hit Japan on March 11, which damaged factories and severed supply chains vital to auto production.

Manufacturers are also contending with electricity shortages brought about by crippled or idled power plants.

Toyota plants in Japan were halted for about two weeks after the quake. In April, the automaker started production at all of its domestic factories, but at a sharply reduced capacity.

Since then, the recovery has been impressive, as parts makers swiftly repaired their factories or switched production lines. Toyota now expects to lose 150,000 units in global output because of the March quake, compared with an earlier estimate of 450,000 units, according to Bloomberg.

Robust sales elsewhere in Asia were also contributing to Toyota’s recovery, the automaker said in a statement.

Still, the dollar’s drop against the yen to near-record lows is eating into profit at Japanese exporters. A strong yen makes Japanese exports like cars and electronics more expensive overseas, and therefore less competitive. The higher yen also erodes the value of Toyota’s overseas earnings when repatriated into the home currency.

Toyota shares fell 0.3 percent to 3,160 yen at the close of trading in Tokyo, before the earnings were announced. The shares have dropped over 10 percent since the quake.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=5e468ac32cc649c9ac5dca73b856c0d4