January 2, 2025

I.M.F. Warns of Risk as Company Debt Grows

WASHINGTON (Reuters) — Easy monetary policy in the United States has led to looser standards for corporate borrowing as company debt continues to grow, posing a risk to financial stability, the International Monetary Fund warned on Wednesday.

Over all, finances around the world have improved in the last six months, and there were few clear signs of asset bubbles, the monetary fund said in its annual Global Financial Stability Report. But it also said that governments must remain vigilant and ensure they are continuing structural and banking improvements, or risk sinking into a chronic financial crisis.

In addition to companies, pension funds and insurance companies may also be taking on more risk than they should as they search for higher-yielding assets to fill a funding gap, which for pension funds stayed at 28 percent at the end of last year.

All of this is happening while the United States is still only one-third of the way through the current credit cycle, the Washington-based global lender said. Usually, looser borrowing standards emerge only in the later parts of the cycle, as happened in 2007, the I.M.F. said.

“In the United States, corporate debt underwriting standards are weakening rapidly,” José Viñals, the director of the I.M.F.’s monetary and capital markets department, said in a briefing on the report.

“This is a cause for concern that needs to be monitored.”

The appetite for riskier assets is also spilling over into emerging economies as investors search for higher yields, making these countries more vulnerable to volatile capital flows.

The I.M.F.’s analysis could add to questions about the side effects of aggressive monetary easing, which are likely to dominate meetings of finance ministers and central bankers from the world’s top economies in Washington this week.

The Bank of Japan earlier this month pledged to inject $1.4 trillion into its economy to shock it out of stagnation, fanning concerns about currency wars, rising asset prices and speculative buying.

The United States Federal Reserve’s expansive policies have also prompted worries about asset bubbles, though its easing program is in part meant to push investors to take on more risk to spur economic growth.

While the I.M.F. says it believes it is appropriate for advanced nations to keep up monetary stimulus for now — while inflation remains low and unemployment high — it is also urging policy makers to start thinking about the consequences of ending ultra-loose policies.

“I think when the patient is still under treatment, you should not suspend the medicine,” Mr. Viñals said about monetary policies. “But you should always be vigilant for the side effects of the medicine.”

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/18/business/global/imf-warns-of-risk-as-company-debt-grows.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

E.C.B. Takes Steps to Ease Cash Crunch at Continent’s Banks

As leaders in Greece and Germany continued to debate how to escape the sovereign debt crisis, the I.M.F. estimated bank risk stemming from the crisis at roughly €300 billion, or $412 billion. Political infighting is partly to blame, the I.M.F. said in its Global Financial Stability Report.

“Political differences within economies undergoing adjustment and among economies providing support have impeded achievement of a lasting solution,” the I.M.F. said.

As if to illustrate the point, the Greek government tried Wednesday to sell its lawmakers on adopting additional austerity measures being demanded by international lenders. Without more aid, Greece could go bankrupt within weeks if not days.

The measures include placing some 30,000 civil servants on a so-called labor reserve program in which their wages would be cut for 12 months, a government spokesman said. The program has been condemned by the political opposition as “a backdoor to layoffs.” Taxes will also be raised on pensions over €1,200 a month and on some pensions for those under 55.

In Berlin, where aid to Greece has become a highly divisive political issue, changes that would expand the main European bailout fund made progress through the German Parliament. But expansion of the fund still faces numerous hurdles, including ratification by other reluctant countries, like Finland.

In its report, the I.M.F. said that some European banks would need fresh capital as insurance against losses stemming from the debt crisis, and some weaker banks might need to be “resolved” or shut down. Taxpayers may again be called on to bolster the banking system, the I.M.F. said.

“Any capital needs should be covered from private sources wherever possible, but in some cases public injections may be necessary and appropriate for viable banks,” the fund said.

One of the most damaging side effects of the crisis has been a reluctance by banks to lend to each other because of doubts about each other’s solvency. The E.C.B. took further steps to address that problem Wednesday, saying it would ease the terms on which it lends to banks at low interest. Most banks must continually refinance their long-term obligations, and some would collapse without access to short-term credit.

The central bank said it would expand its definition of the collateral that banks can provide to receive central bank loans at the benchmark interest rate, which is 1.5 percent. The E.C.B. dropped a requirement that securities placed as collateral should also be traded on an official exchange.

At the same time, the E.C.B. placed further limits on how much of their own bonds banks can use as collateral. Analysts said the limit was intended mostly as a signal that the central bank had not unduly lowered its standards to ensure that banks did not run out of cash.

The E.C.B. is saying “they are not willing to accept all the trash out there,” Carsten Brzeski, a senior economist at ING, told Reuters.

Indicators that banks have been reluctant to lend to each other have been rising for months. In what investors take as a particularly bad sign, a small number of banks have been borrowing emergency dollars from the E.C.B. On Wednesday, one bank borrowed $500 million, stirring fears that a large bank had been cut off by U.S. lenders and might be dangerously close to collapse. The E.C.B. does not disclose the identity of bank borrowers.

On Tuesday, European banks arranged €201 billion in one-week loans from the E.C.B., the most they had borrowed since February. Heavy borrowing from the E.C.B. is interpreted as a sign that the institutions are having trouble raising money at reasonable rates on the open market.

Inspectors from the I.M.F., the E.C.B. and the European Commission were to return to Greece next week after two teleconferences this week with the Greek government. The commission said “progress was made” in the calls on an agreement to pave the way for the release of the next portion of aid, totaling €8 billion.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=9a499df56845b7104b95a4e2114abee1