November 24, 2024

Mexico Finds Some U.S. Allies in Trade Dispute

The trade dispute highlights the network of interlocking interests between the countries under the North American Free Trade Agreement. Trade across the Mexican border is now worth more than $1 billion a day.

American producers of corn, soybeans, apples, pork and chicken have increased sales to Mexico greatly over the years as trade barriers have been dismantled. But at the same time, Mexico has become a fast-growing supplier of produce to American supermarkets and restaurants. Tomatoes lead the list: exports have doubled and their value has tripled since the mid-1990s, to almost $2 billion.

That has been aided by a complex arrangement dating from 1996 that established a minimum price at which Mexican tomatoes are permitted to enter the American market.

Florida farmers are leading a campaign to persuade the Commerce Department to scrap the accord. They won a victory in September when the department announced a preliminary decision to end it. Lawyers in the case say a final decision may be issued in the next few weeks.

But other United States interests are lining up in support of continuing the agreement.

For example, Richard Fimbres, a member of the Tucson City Council who is usually more concerned with improving city streets than with the minutiae of international trade law, recently sponsored a resolution asking the Commerce Department to continue the agreement.

Then he wrote to President Obama last month, declaring that “we can’t turn our back on the global economy now.”

The reason is that fresh Mexican tomatoes are big business in Arizona. Much of the $2 billion in business passes through the state, benefiting local importers and distributors.

But the benefits go beyond them. More than 370 businesses and trade groups — from small family-run importers on the Mexico border to Wal-Mart Stores — have written or signed letters to the Commerce Department in favor of continuing the deal.

Kevin Ahern, the chief executive of Ahern Agribusiness in San Diego, was among them. His company sells about $20 million a year in tomato seeds and transplants to Mexican farmers.

“Yes, Mexico produces their tomatoes on average at a lower cost than Florida; that’s what we call competitive advantage,” Mr. Ahern said in an e-mail. Without the agreement to provide “stability to a volatile market, Mexican tomato acreage destined for U.S. markets will decline,” he said, and that would damage his business.

While Florida tomato growers contend the accord is hurting their business, the broader trade dynamics are generating business for other companies in the United States.

“A lot of what is produced and harvested in Mexico is put in the ground with U.S. money and intended for U.S. markets,” said John McClung, the president and chief executive of the Texas International Produce Association. “The garden simply happens to be across the river.”

NatureSweet Ltd., which is based in San Antonio, grows cherry and grape tomatoes under 1,200 acres of greenhouses in Mexico for the American market. It employs 5,000 people, although all but about 100 of them work in Mexico.

“We couldn’t survive without Nafta,” said Bryant Ambelang, the company’s chief executive. Mr. Ambelang said that Mexican-grown tomatoes were more competitive because of lower labor costs, good weather and more than a decade of investment in greenhouse technology.

“Here we went and signed an agreement called Nafta, and now we’re going to go and wave our finger in one industry where Mexico has superiority?” he said.

Mr. McClung said that even though Texas lost much of its commercial fresh tomato industry years ago, “we can do quite nicely importing Mexican tomatoes.”

He acknowledged that growers in Florida and elsewhere were “going slowly under.” But, he added, “my job is to protect Texas importers.”

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/25/business/global/mexico-finds-some-us-allies-in-trade-dispute.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

News Analysis: Hollande Victory May Be Pyrrhic

In return for the Socialist government’s dropping a threat to nationalize a steel making complex at Florange in northeast France, the company, ArcelorMittal, agreed to drop plans to lay off more than 600 workers at two blast furnaces there. ArcelorMittal, a Luxembourg-based company run by an Indian-born billionaire, also agreed to invest €180 million, or $234 million, in steel finishing operations at the same site over the next five years.

The deal does impose some unwanted expenses on the company, which is struggling financially in the weak global economy. But the bigger costs could prove to be the political ones the episode has created for the government of François Hollande, the French president, whose popularity was already on the wane.

Unions are angry that the government failed to follow through on its threat to nationalize the site in France’s former industrial heartland, and that the two blast furnaces under dispute will remain idled. Edouard Martin, head of the C.F.D.T. union at the site, accused the government of “having lied all along” about its intentions.

“Up until the last, we were led to believe a temporary nationalization was a given,” he said in a radio interview Saturday.

Meanwhile, French business leaders fear that the government’s threatened takeover of the plant, even if it did not come to pass, has sent a further chill through the global investment community following the Socialist government’s big tax increases for the rich.

“Investors don’t understand France anymore,” Laurence Parisot, head of France’s largest employers’ association, Medef, said in a radio interview.

“Planning to nationalize, starting a debate on it, is scandalous,” she said. “One should remember that nationalization is expropriation.”

The affair has left Arnaud Montebourg, Mr. Hollande’s minister for industrial renewal, politically isolated. It was Mr. Montebourg who first raised nationalization as an option, fanning the confrontation with ArcelorMittal. By the end of the weekend, critics of the left-leaning Mr. Montebourg were saying that his ministerial credibility was now so compromised that he should resign.

Mr. Montebourg rejected such talk in a television interview late Saturday and said that nationalization remained on the table as a “dissuasive weapon” if ArcelorMittal failed to stick to its commitments for the Florange site.

The Hollande government can rightly claim that it forced ArcelorMittal to back off from its plan to cut jobs at Florange while France’s unemployment was already over 10 percent and while other major employers, including PSA Peugeot Citroën, Air France and the drug maker Sanofi, were cutting French jobs by the thousands.

And yet the deal hammered out by the Élysée Palace and executives of ArcelorMittal does not appear to involve major concessions by the company.

In early October, it had announced plans to close the two blast furnaces at Florange, where it employs 2,700 workers over all. And the company still expects that those furnaces, which have been idled for 18 months for lack of demand, will remain shut down — although they will not be demolished in case they can be used in the future. The company also says that it will consider various solutions for the 630 or so affected workers, including other jobs within the company and early retirement offers.

And the €180 million it agreed to invest in other parts of the plant is money it might very well have spent anyway. The investment will be in processes that shape raw steel for uses like car panels and beverage containers. These downstream operations are valuable to the company because they serve industrial customers in France and elsewhere in Northern Europe. ArcelorMittal has good business reasons to maintain its big presence in France, where it has about 20,000 workers over all and where the French auto industry is a major user of its steel.

The company had already announced, in early October, a €7.2 million investment in an existing high-tech galvanizing steel line at Florange.

The fight with France, however, also highlights that ArcelorMittal, a behemoth with 260,000 employees worldwide and $94 billion in revenue last year, is nonetheless a struggling company.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/03/business/global/hollande-victory-may-be-pyrrhic.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Staples Profit Beats Estimates

Shares of the company, which also reiterated its full-year profit and sales forecasts, rose 4.5 percent in early trading.

Staples outlined plans in September to close 30 stores in North America and 45 stores in Europe.

“These results indicate that Staples’ restructuring plans are stemming the declines in the business,” J.P. Morgan Securities analyst Christopher Horvers wrote in a client note.

Results from smaller rivals Office Depot Inc and OfficeMax Inc last week also showed how they relied on tight cost controls to offset weaker-than-expected sales in the third quarter.

Office supply chains are considered a good gauge of economic health because demand for their products is closely tied to white-collar employment rates.

Staples, whose shares were down 20 percent this year up to Tuesday, plans to tweak its product offering to boost sales as U.S. shoppers are increasingly choosing mobile computing devices such as tablets and e-readers over traditional computers.

“Customers that once only needed paper, ink and toner now need tablets and smartphones and technology accessories. (They) also want the convenience of mobile shopping and fast delivery,” CEO Ronald Sargent said on a post-earnings conference call.

The company is building its online sales and mobile commerce businesses as it tries to fend off competition from online chains such as Amazon.com Inc.

Sales at Staples have suffered as corporate customers and other shoppers cut back on discretionary spending in the weak global economy, forcing the chain to keep a tight lid on costs.

But Staples reported North American delivery sales rose 1 percent in the third quarter even as retail sales remained flat. Overall sales fell about 2 percent to $6.35 billion.

Analysts on average were looking for revenue of $6.45 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

Staples’ adjusted profit of 46 cents per share beat estimates by 1 cent per share, although restructuring costs took it to a net loss. The company incurred impairment and restructuring charges of about $840 million in the quarter.

The company posted a net loss of $596.3 million, or 89 cents per share, compared with a profit of $326.4 million, or 47 cents per share, a year earlier.

(Reporting by Ranjita Ganesan, Chris Peters in Bangalore and Dhanya Skariachan in New York; Editing by Don Sebastian, Rodney Joyce and Ted Kerr)

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2012/11/14/business/14reuters-staples-results.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Changing of the Guard: China Pressures Businesses to Help Censor Web

Starting earlier this year, Web police units directed the companies, which included joint ventures involving American corporations, to buy and install hardware to log the traffic of hundreds or thousands of computers, block selected Web sites, and connect with local police servers, according to industry executives and official directives obtained by The New York Times. Companies faced the threat of fines and suspended Internet service if they did not comply by prescribed deadlines.

The initiative was one in a range of shadowy tactics authorities deployed in the months leading up to the 18th Party Congress, which is scheduled to end on Wednesday, in an escalating campaign against information deemed threatening to party rule. The effort, while spottily executed, was alarming enough to spur one foreign industry association to lodge a complaint with the government. Several foreign companies quietly resisted the orders, which posed risks to communications and trade secrets that they take pains to secure.

The events surrounding the party congress magnify the constant challenge facing China’s Internet security apparatus, which is to maintain the party’s lock on political power without choking off a wired China from the global economy.

The more intrusive recent measures appear aimed at plugging some of the gaps in China’s nexus of surveillance and censorship, sometimes termed the “great firewall.”

“It goes this way pretty much every time there’s some big political event in Beijing: the DVDs are gone, the prostitutes are gone, and the Internet’s slower,” said David van Meerendonk, an American who operates an information technology company here. “They’re struggling to find a balancing point.”

Over the past couple of weeks, partial blocking has crippled access to Google and other sites, at times completely. It has also disrupted programs that many people here use to circumvent surveillance and reach blocked overseas sites by other means. Some Internet providers have cut service for hours, citing “maintenance.” Democracy activists and foreign journalists have reported increased attacks on their e-mail accounts.

On domestic social networks, already vigorously policed, censors have fine-tuned their craft. Sina Weibo, the nation’s most popular microblogging site, has experimented with “semi-censorship,”as one blog termed it, filtering search results for once-unsearchable terms. One semi-censored term was the Chinese shorthand for the party congress itself: shiba da. Blocking it had prompted some of China’s more playful microbloggers to resort to a similar-sounding English substitute: “Sparta.”

Hu Jintao, China’s departing leader, in his report on the opening day of the congress last Thursday, gave no sign of any relaxation in controls. “We should strengthen social management of the Internet and promote standardized and orderly network operation,” he said.

The police and other agencies rely on legions of local censors, automated filtering and strict regulation of Internet service providers.

GreatFire.org, a Chinese-based blog that tracks government filtering, found in tests this month that Google e-mail was being partly blocked, and that blocking intensified after the congress began. One possible explanation for the strategy was that “authorities are nervous of fully blocking Gmail,” it said. “The government may be scared of a backlash from the urban, educated and young people who tend to use Gmail, not to mention the businesses that rely on it.”

In late summer, the police stepped up jamming on circumvention software, according to two party insiders with Chinese security ties. Students who use Freegate, free software backed by the banned spiritual movement Falun Gong, said that as early as August they experienced unusually frequent disruptions.

China says its online security policies are needed to fight pervasive fraud, cyberattacks, pornography and rumormongering.

Adam Century contributed reporting.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/14/world/asia/china-pressures-businesses-to-help-censor-web.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

DealBook: Société Générale Profit Falls 42% as Economy Slumps

A branch of Société Générale in Paris.Jacques Brinon/Associated PressA branch of Société Générale in Paris.

PARIS — Société Générale posted a disappointing quarter, as the French bank got buffeted by the global economic headwinds.

Net profit in the second quarter fell 42 percent to 433 million euros, or $533 million, from a year ago. Analysts had been expecting the bank to earn 764 million euros.

The bank also said it was making progress in bolstering its capital cushion. Regulators have been pushing banks to increase their safety net to protect against their potential loss.

“Despite a challenging environment, the Société Générale Group has progressed, quarter after quarter,
with its transformation strategy, in line with its objectives,” Frédéric Oudéa, the bank’s chief executive said in a statement.

With the global economy souring, the French bank faced a series of charges related to past acquisitions. Société Générale took a 250 million euro writedown on Rosbank in Russia.

Amid rocky market conditions. Société Générale also cut the value of the TCW Group, the fund firm in Los Angeles, by 200 million euros. Analysts are waiting to see whether Société Générale may sell off TCW as part of a broader plan to shed assets to raise money

Like the results of its peers, the bank’s earnings raised concerns that the financial weakness could persist as the debt crisis drags on.

The bank said growth in Europe had slowed “significantly” in the second quarter, crimping some of its profitability from retail operations. The firm’s international retail banking revenue fell to 1.24 billion euros, a drop of nearly 2 percent.

The bank, one of Europe’s largest, signaled that it also continued to face financial challenges with its Greek subsidiary, Geniki Bank. In a statement, Société Générale said its operations in Central and Eastern Europe “excluding Greece” did well, although it did not provide figures for the Greek unit. Société Générale has recently cut financing to Geniki to a minimum as the Greek economy craters.

French banks have been slashing their exposure to Greece by selling off much of nation’s sovereign debt, and those with subsidiaries are scrambling to figure out how to cope with a worsening of the situation in Greece. A rival, the French bank Crédit Agricole, said recently that it was in talks to sell its Greek subsidiary, Emporiki Bank, as soon as possible.

The debt crisis is also wreaking havoc on their investment banking business, as customers remain reticent given the precarious situation in Europe and policymakers struggle to find “durable solutions to the sovereign debt crisis,” the bank said. Corporate and investment banking revenue in the second quarter fell more than 30 percent to 1.22 billion euros.

Société Générale also noted deteriorating conditions in France, which has the largest economy in the euro zone after that of Germany. So far, France has avoided the worst of the debt crisis that first engulfed Greece and now Spain. But the economy has been softening, and the government is likely to face a rising bill as the costs of cleaning up the crisis grow. The bank’s French retail operations remained flat at 2.04 billion euros.

Société Générale said investors had been cautious about France during the presidential elections in May as they waited to see what policies a new government would apply to a country is experiencing “very weak growth.”

In morning trading in Paris, shares in the French bank had risen less than 1 percent.

Article source: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/08/01/societe-generale-profit-falls-42-on-weak-economy/?partner=rss&emc=rss

DealBook: Davos Attendees Confront a New Wave of Anger

The annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos takes place under heavy security measures.Christian Hartmann/ReutersThe annual meeting of the World Economic Forum takes place under heavy security.

DAVOS, Switzerland — A year ago at the World Economic Forum here, Jamie Dimon, the chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, lashed out at what he saw as unfair criticism of the world’s financial wizards.

“I just think this constant refrain, ‘bankers, bankers, bankers’ — it’s just a really unproductive and unfair way of treating people,” he said. “People should just stop doing that.”

After several years of financial crisis, during which the word banker had become a catchall epithet for the undeserving rich, the global economy appeared to be on the mend. Perhaps the bankers, and the other millionaires and billionaires, could put on their pinstripes with pride again, and get back to business as usual.

World Economic Forum in Davos
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Yet even as Mr. Dimon was speaking, a new wave of anger was welling up, one that, over the last year, would shake up old assumptions about the ultrarich, the middle class and the growing gulf that separates them.

Today, the gap between the haves and the have-nots is no longer just a rallying cry to incite anticapitalist activists. It has become a mainstream issue, debated openly in arenas where the primacy of laissez-faire capitalism used to be taken for granted and where talk of inequality used to be derided as class warfare.

In the United States, the issue surfaced when protesters proclaimed they were the ‘‘99 percent’’ of the population who were paying for the sins of the wealthy “1 percent,” taking their grievances directly to the epicenter of capitalism. The Occupy Wall Street protest, which began in New York, later spread to other cities around the United States and across the world.

In Spain, thousands of “indignados” converged on Madrid and other cities to vent their frustration over mass unemployment and government austerity measures. In the Arab world, a wave of unrest that toppled governments began with a protest over a lack of economic opportunities in Tunisia.

But now, as the Republican Party chooses a nominee for the United States presidential election, rivals of one candidate, Mitt Romney, are rounding on him over his wealth and his background in the private equity business.

Meanwhile, the World Economic Forum, in a recent report, named the growing income divide as one of the biggest risks facing the world in the years to come.

“In developed economies, such as those of Western Europe, North America and Japan, the social contract that has in recent decades been taken for granted is in danger of being destroyed,” the forum said in its report, warning of the threat of a “dystopian future for much of humanity.”

In the past, the conventional wisdom among those attending the World Economic Forum — at least among the corporate executives who pay their way, rather than the do-gooders who are invited — was that a wide level of inequality was an acceptable price of progress. Economic envy might even be desirable, the thinking went, if this fueled the desire that drives entrepreneurship and innovation. A rising tide of economic growth would then lift all the boats: the supertankers of the rich, to be sure, but also the dinghies of the poor.

Few Davos men or women would have questioned the views of Arthur Okun, an economist at the Brookings Institution, who argued in a 1975 book, “Equality and Efficiency: The Big Tradeoff,” that countries faced a choice between equality and economic growth; level, Scandinavian-style societies were doomed to fall behind.

“We can’t have our cake of market efficiency and share it equally,” he wrote.

Over the last year, however, with economies — at least in many Western countries — struggling to recover, a growing number of voices have risen to question this logic. Some inequality is inevitable, of course. But not only is too much inequality bad for society, they say, it may be bad for growth, too.

In a study published last year, Andrew G. Berg and Jonathan D. Ostry, researchers at the International Monetary Fund, studied the long-term economic performances of countries, then fired a broadside at Mr. Okun’s conclusions, saying those with more even divisions of the spoils often grew faster.

“A rising tide lifts all boats, and our analysis indicates that helping raise the smallest boats may help keep the tide rising for all craft, big and small,” they wrote.

The rapid growth of Asian economies in the last few decades has contributed to this change in perceptions, because countries like Vietnam have followed a pattern of development different from that of their counterparts in the West, said Hans Rosling, a Swedish doctor who co-founded the Gapminder Foundation, which analyzes public health statistics.

“In the past, economic growth came first, then you got education, health and two-child families,” Mr. Rosling said. “Now it is the reverse. If you have education, health and two-child families, then you get economic growth.”

Beyond the chants of the “99 percent” crowd, there is considerable evidence that inequality is on the rise in many places.

According to a report published in December by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, the association of free market democracies, the share of after-tax household income that went to the top 1 percent of earners in the United States more than doubled, from 8 percent in 1979 to 17 percent in 2007.

Across the 34 countries that make up the O.E.C.D.’s membership, the average income of the richest 10 percent of the population is nine times that of the poorest 10 percent. Even in countries like Denmark, Germany and Sweden, which have traditionally been more egalitarian than the United States or Britain, this ratio has risen to six to one now from five to one in the 1980s, the O.E.C.D. said.

What is especially worrying to policy makers is the correlation between inequalities in income and wealth, and other criteria like education and health. The rich eat better and smoke less. They are better educated. They live healthier and longer lives.

One recent study, by the London Health Observatory, showed a widening gap in male life expectancy between rich and poor parts of London. In the well-to-do area of Queen’s Gate, for example, it was 88; in Tottenham Green, near where riots that spread across large parts of London began last summer, male life expectancy was 71.

Such divides are not limited to the Western world. According to Gapminder, the average income in Shanghai, for example, is about 10 times the level in the less developed Chinese province of Guizhou. Meanwhile, the difference in the infant mortality rate is even greater, with such deaths occurring less than one-twelfth as often.

To some extent, differences like these have always existed between rich and poor. But what is new, analysts say, is the extent to which they have risen within individual societies and the extent to which they are being passed down from one generation to the next.

A number of studies have shown declines in social mobility in the United States — where the idea that anyone could rise up from humble roots was always a big part of the American dream — and in Britain, confounding efforts to dismantle traditional class barriers.

“There’s a deep sense that, hang on a minute, why is this not working for us anymore?” said Michael Marmot, a University College London professor who is chairman of the Commission on Social Determinants of Health at the World Health Organization.

“If there’s one thing we should all believe in, it is that every generation should have a fair chance, and that’s not happening,” he said.

Analysts have put forth a number of theories for the rise in inequality and waning social mobility. Some blame globalization, which has made it easier to outsource jobs to low-income locations and fostered the creation of a class of high-flying, high-earning, stateless executives — Davos men and women, among them — who compete in an expanded, global job pool.

Others say changes in the social fabric have played a big role. A rise in singe-parent families keeps some households locked in poverty, they say, while a phenomenon called assortative mating — in which men and women increasingly look for partners from similar social classes, rather than marrying above or below their station — has tightened the ranks of the wealthy.

The O.E.C.D. study contends that neither globalization nor changes in family structure are the main culprits. Instead, it identifies rapid technological change and the deregulation of employment markets as the main drivers.

How should policy makers respond? The O.E.C.D. says job creation is crucial, along with investments in education. Perhaps what is more controversial, the group says tax and welfare policies should be reviewed, especially in situations where the portion of the tax burden borne by high-income earners has declined in recent years.

Some wealthy individuals have gone further. Warren E. Buffett, the American billionaire who founded the investment company Berkshire Hathaway, called last summer for higher taxes on the rich, saying it was time to stop “coddling” the wealthy. In Europe, prominent chief executives in France, Germany, Italy and elsewhere have issued a similar call.

Others say, however, that this self-flagellation is misguided. Raising taxes on high earners or restricting their pay will do nothing to increase economic growth or to create jobs, said Ben Verwaayen, chief executive of Alcatel Lucent.

To stimulate sluggish Western economies, he said, policy makers will have to make the tough fiscal choices needed to bring budget deficits into line, increasing business confidence. And in Europe, he said, restrictive employment rules should be loosened to encourage companies to hire.

“If you are standing outside the job market today and you think inequality is the problem, you have an ugly surprise coming,” Mr. Verwaayen said. “If you want to kick the cat, kick the cat. If it makes you feel better, fine. But if the pie is not growing, we’re not going to create jobs.”

Maurice Lévy, chief executive of the advertising company Publicis Groupe, based in Paris, agreed that measures to promote growth were crucial. But Mr. Lévy, one of the signatories of an open letter to the French government calling for higher taxes on the wealthy, said it was only fair, at a time when governments were cutting welfare spending to bring budget deficits into line, that the rich should share the burden.

“When you have this situation of fear, and little hope of getting out of the dark, there is also anger,” Mr. Lévy said. “People see that there is a minority of people who are well-off. This anger should be taken into account by the people who are, if not their target, their preoccupation. We should all be conscious of the money we are receiving for the services we render. We have to be reasonable.”

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=7e323c232e76f95996a4ecdc58d26bf9

You’re the Boss Blog: Among Small-Business Advocates, Reaction to President’s Plan Is Mixed

The Agenda

How small-business issues are shaping politics and policy.

Advocates for small business — including those in Congress — had near uniformly mixed reactions to President Obama’s proposal Friday to temporarily elevate the Small Business Administration to a cabinet agency but then fold the S.B.A. into a super trade and commerce department. Uniformly mixed in that most people The Agenda contacted praised the decision to make the S.B.A. part of the cabinet but expressed caution about the consolidation proposal.

The president called for merging the S.B.A. with the Commerce Department and four trade-related agencies into, as the president put it in a speech on Friday, “one department, with one Web site, one phone number, one mission: helping American businesses succeed.” In a conference call with reporters, Jeff Zients, deputy director for management at the Office of Management and Budget, said the prospective new department would comprise four broad “pillars.” Small business and economic development would be one of those pillars, and the S.B.A would be combined with economic development programs at other agencies into one of those mission areas. (The other pillars would be trade, technology and innovation, and statistics.)

As for concerns that the new agency might dilute the S.B.A.’s authority to speak for small business inside the government, Mr. Zients seemed to suggest that all American businesses might have to ally in a global economy. “This integrated department will be about serving America’s businesses — small, medium and large — as they compete in the global marketplace,” he said.

Once the agencies are merged, Mr. Zients added, the S.B.A. would lose its seat at the president’s table. “Once we have consolidation authority, once this specific proposal passes,” he said, “we will have one integrated department that is led by a secretary who will be on top of all of the important assets and services that serve businesses.” The United States trade representative, whose office would be merged into the new department, would retain a separate cabinet position.

Leaders of the small-business committees in Congress said in separate statements that while they supported streamlining government, they would review the president’s plans carefully. “The details will be critical,” said Senator Olympia Snowe of Maine, the top Republican on the Senate Small Business Committee. “Of particular concern will be ensuring that entrepreneurs do not face new hurdles in obtaining assistance in starting, operating or expanding their small businesses — whether accessing capital, pursuing exporting opportunities, or contracting with the federal government.”

Outside Congress, most small-business advocates treaded with similar care. “On the one hand, reorganizing federal agencies to create a ‘one-stop-shop’ for America’s small businesses could streamline processes and make accessing information and assistance much easier,” Todd McCracken, chief executive of the National Small Business Association, said in a statement. “On the other hand, such a reorganization could minimize the emphasis placed on small business by the federal government and lead to an even greater imbalance toward promoting the interests of large businesses over those of small business.”

John Arensmeyer, chief executive of the Small Business Majority, a group initially formed to back the administration’s health care reform, said: “Right now small business has an independent agency that reflects its needs. The obvious concern is that by bringing this into larger agency there’s a risk that some of that voice gets lost. We know that government is held in very low esteem by small business, but the S.B.A. is an exception to that right now.”

There were some stronger views. For example, the American Small Business League, which protests the diversion of federal contracts for small business to large corporations, sided firmly with the other hand. “This is not a move to save money,” said the league’s president, Lloyd Chapman, in a statement. “This is a move to eliminate federal small-business contracting programs.”

But the head of one trade association for S.B.A.-backed lenders was optimistic. “The lending policies and centralized loan operations of S.B.A. are among the more sophisticated in the federal government,” said Chris Crawford, president of the National Association of Development Companies, which represents lenders in the S.B.A.’s 504 loan program. In a reorganization, “they become the model for the collapse of the far-flung bureaucracies into one unit called small-business lending — worldwide. If anything, even in a larger reconstituted Commerce Department, access to credit for small businesses becomes a primary mission goal with much higher visibility.”

But opposition from the small-business constituency and its Congressional representatives, should it materialize, is only one obstacle for the administration to overcome — many interests, and Congressional fiefdoms, are at stake. Just a few hours after the president spoke, Sen. Max Baucus, the Democratic chair of the Finance Committee, and Dave Camp, the Republican chair of the House Ways and Means Committee, jointly rejected any effort to relocate the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, an agency under their purview: “Making it just another corner of a new bureaucratic behemoth would hurt American exports and hinder American job creation.”

And if the consolidation were to fail, those small-business advocates just might get the best of both worlds: an independent S.B.A. but with cabinet-level status.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=dcfc9dcb3fc2d273cb9508ef0696e4d6

In Talks With the Chinese, Geithner Faces an Uphill Climb

By many accounts, including some from the Chinese, his odds of success on those issues are long. But on other topics, like the need to address Europe’s debt problems, the two sides may find more agreement.

Mr. Geithner, the point man for the Obama administration’s economic dealings with the Chinese, arrived here as fiscal and trade relations showed signs of fraying. Last month, the Chinese applied stiff tariffs on imports of American automobiles and in November, they opened an investigation into American subsidies to renewable-energy industries.

On the American side, President Obama left China out of a trade pact with East Asian countries, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, that he announced in November. Washington is investigating or formally pursuing trade complaints on a range of goods, including solar panels, broiler chickens and steel pipes.

Mr. Geithner’s arrival coincided with a report that Mr. Obama was creating an interagency task force to search for unfair trade and business practices by the Chinese. That report, in The Wall Street Journal on Tuesday, said that Mr. Geithner would brief Chinese officials on the task force during his visit here.

American corporations in industries like telecommunications and financial services have increasingly complained that China continues to restrict their access to domestic markets, despite pledges of openness when China joined the World Trade Organization a decade ago.

Differences aside, the economic relationship between the two countries has become so broad that Mr. Geithner and his counterparts are expected to find common ground.

In meetings on Tuesday and Wednesday with Premier Wen Jiabao, Vice President Xi Jinping and Wang Qishan and Li Keqiang, vice premiers, the two sides are expected to focus on ways to keep Europe’s debt crisis from dragging the global economy back into recession.

At the first meeting Tuesday evening, Mr. Wang alluded to the global role facing the United States and China, saying the countries were “having important cooperation in the multilateral and global arena in the areas of economy, finance, trade policies and also G-20 related affairs.”

The visit also offers a chance for a meeting with Mr. Xi, the presumed successor to President Hu Jintao, before Mr. Xi travels to the United States this year.

Yet Mr. Geithner seems unlikely to gain many concessions on the two top issues for this visit: the valuation of the renminbi and American efforts to impose new financial sanctions on Iran’s nuclear program.

The United States has long complained that China keeps the renminbi artificially low to give its products a price advantage in foreign trade. China has allowed a slow appreciation of its currency against the dollar — in unadjusted terms, a gain of nearly 4.8 percent against the dollar in the last year, according to the Bank of China.

But some American economists say the renminbi would appreciate another 10 to 20 percent if the market set its value. The Obama administration said in December that China’s currency remained “substantially undervalued,” but it declined to call China a currency manipulator.

Mr. Geithner is sure to raise the issue of the renminbi this week. But he is unlikely to get a sympathetic hearing, said Li Xiangyang, the vice director of the Institute of World Economics and Politics at the state-run Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.

“Other currencies are dropping against the U.S. dollar right now,” he said in an interview. “The United States has no right to ask China to appreciate its currency when the global trade is declining, and China’s economy itself is facing the risk of decline.”

Mr. Geithner faces an equally hard task on the Iranian issue. In the last week, President Obama signed legislation that would deny foreign financial companies that buy Iranian oil access to the American financial system. Those sanctions aim to increase pressure on Iran to curtail what many say is an effort to build nuclear weapons.

The European Union is moving toward a ban on buying Iranian oil, and Japan and South Korea, two of Iran’s major customers, have indicated muted support for the Washington initiative. Mr. Geithner will seek to enlist China’s help, too.

But on Monday, a senior Beijing diplomat seemed to suggest that that idea had no chance of succeeding. The diplomat, the vice foreign minister, Cui Tiankai, repeated China’s argument that differences over Iran’s nuclear intentions “cannot be resolved by sanctions alone” and require more negotiations.

Mr. Cui dismissed the notion that China should try to sway Tehran by reducing or ending its purchases of Iranian oil or natural gas. “Regular economic and trade relations between China and Iran have nothing to do with the nuclear issue,” he said. “We should not mix issues with different natures.”

China bought more than 11 percent of its oil imports from Iran in the first 11 months of 2011, up from 9.6 percent in the same period in 2010, Chinese customs statistics show. The Chinese also have a thriving business in oil services in Iran, having committed $120 billion to oil and gas projects there as of 2009, according to published reports.

China has historically been reluctant to support economic sanctions not approved by the United Nations. But its increasing isolation on the Iranian nuclear issue could lead it to take some other measure to meet American requests, like a direct message to Tehran, said François Godement, a senior fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations.

Mia Li contributed research. Keith Bradsher contributed reporting from Hong Kong.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/01/11/business/global/a-long-shot-for-geithner-as-he-begins-beijing-talks.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Euro, Stocks Down as Debt Jitters Trump U.S. Data

The rising dollar dragged on commodity prices, with oil, copper and gold all falling, while mixed signals on the global economy kept Asian credit markets subdued.

Data on Friday showed that while U.S. employment growth accelerated last month, euro zone retail sales fell and economic sentiment soured at the end of 2011, pointing to recession in the currency bloc.

“If we didn’t have Europe, this market would be rallying on the back of the U.S. numbers,” said Jamie Elgar, dealer at stockbrokers Burrell Co in Brisbane.

U.S. jobless rate: http://link.reuters.com/vyn85s

U.S. payrolls: http://link.reuters.com/qyn85s

The euro zone crisis: http://r.reuters.com/xyt94s

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Worries over Europe intensified with a debt rating downgrade to junk status for Hungary — a member of the European Union but not part of the euro zone — and a report in German magazine Der Spiegel that the International Monetary Fund was losing confidence in Greece’s ability to clean up its public finances.

The euro fell to a 16-month low below $1.2670, and dropped as far as an 11-year low at 97.47 yen. The dollar, currently favoured by investors seeking a safe haven, rose 0.2 percent against a basket of major currencies.

Rob Ryan, FX strategist for BNP Paribas in Singapore, said the single currency was unlikely to see a sustained rebound unless the euro zone’s economic outlook improved, adding that the euro could fall to $1.25 in coming months.

“We need to see the economic data halt its slide and I think we need to see banks start to lend to each other. Neither of those are going to happen overnight,” he said.

BORROWING COSTS

With markets focused on concerns about rising borrowing costs in Europe, Friday’s upbeat jobs data failed to perk up U.S. stocks, and the weakness continued in Asia on Monday.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.7 percent. The index had finished the first week of 2012 slightly higher, after shedding 18 percent in 2011. Tokyo markets were closed for a holiday.

SP 500 index futures fell 0.4 percent, pointing to a weaker start later on Wall Street, where the U.S. corporate earnings season will kick off when aluminium producer Alcoa reports after the closing bell.

A stronger dollar tends to weigh on commodities that are priced in the U.S. currency, and both precious and industrial metals lost ground.

Copper slipped more than 1 percent to around $7,500 a tonne, while gold fell 0.7 percent, getting close to the $1,600 an ounce level.

U.S. crude oil fell 0.7 percent to below $101, after climbing above $100 a barrel last week as rising tensions between Iran and the West raised fears of supply disruptions. Brent crude dipped below $113 a barrel.

(Additional reporting by Victoria Thieberger in Melbourne and Masayuki Kitano in Singapore; Editing by Kim Coghill)

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2012/01/08/business/business-us-markets-global.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

OPEC Agrees to Raise Its Production Target

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries agreed on Wednesday to increase its production target for the first time in three years, a move that appeared to signal that Saudi Arabia and Iran had put aside their recent differences on oil policy, at least temporarily.

The move should have little lasting effect on oil prices because the production target of 30 million barrels is closely in line with the current output by the organization, and targets were not set for individual countries. But the agreement had symbolic value coming six months after a meeting of OPEC ministers ended in disarray when they failed to reach a consensus to lift production.

“We have an agreement to maintain the market in balance,” said Rafael Ramirez, the energy minister of Venezuela, which had aligned with Iran at the last meeting to oppose a move advocated by Saudi Arabia to raise production targets to help the ailing global economy.

In recent years, OPEC’s 12 members have increasingly followed their own production and export policies. Saudi Arabia increased its production over the last 10 months when the outbreak of revolution in Libya halted 1.3 million barrels a day of exports, and a few other gulf producers with spare capacity followed suit. With Libya production quickly ramping back up over the last two months, the Saudis have signaled that they will ease production in the coming months regardless of the results of the OPEC meeting in Vienna.

Saudi Arabia, which accounts for about a third of OPEC’s total production, has been working hard behind the scenes to restore the organization’s credibility after the June meeting ended with no agreement.

Iranian representatives appeared to be in no mood to challenge the Saudis despite rising tensions between the two countries in recent months over the Saudi military intervention in Bahrain and allegations of an Iranian-backed plan to assassinate the Saudi ambassador to the United States.

Iran’s petroleum minister, Rostam Ghasemi, gave a conciliatory speech before OPEC ministers in which he appeared to agree with the Saudi position that OPEC should accommodate world markets with ample supplies to keep oil prices from rising too high.

“The big challenge facing the oil market at the present time is coming with the tremendous uncertainty affecting world economic growth,” Mr. Ghasemi said. “This uncertainty about economic growth translates into uncertainty about oil demand.”

The new quota replaces a previous target of 24.5 million barrels, which was set three years ago when the global economy and oil prices slumped badly but has been largely ignored by members who could produce more than their allotted quotas. But the total production target will include Iraq and Libya, two countries expected to expand production in coming months.

Iran, which held the rotating presidency of the OPEC this year, proposed that Iraq hold the seat next year. The ministers agreed, signaling that Iraq would again be a central player in the organization for the first time since the United States-led invasion and toppling of Saddam Hussein in 2003.

Benchmark oil prices fell by more than $3 a barrel on Wednesday, mostly because of concerns about the European economy and the declining value of the euro. Oil prices have been fluctuating in recent months, with most benchmarks ranging from $90 to $125 a barrel during the year. Most benchmark prices are now hovering around $100 a barrel, although the United States benchmark is several dollars lower, closing on Wednesday down $5.19, or 5.2 percent, to $94.95 a barrel.

Prices rose sharply in the early months of the year when turmoil spread across North Africa and the Middle East and then eased because of rising concerns about the slowing economies in Europe and the United States. Prices have firmed in recent weeks again as tensions grew between Iran and Western powers over Iran’s nuclear program and the possibility that Europe would sharply curtail Iranian oil imports. Many oil analysts predict a similar price range for 2012, with a continuing tug between political instability in oil-producing countries and economic weakness among large consuming countries.

Petroleum demand has been especially soft in the United States in recent weeks. The Energy Department reported that demand last week of 18.4 million barrels a day was down by 1.8 million barrels compared with demand in the week a year earlier. The four-week annual demand was down 5.6 percent from last year because of a decline in consumption of gasoline, heating oil and other fuels.

Gasoline prices in the United States are dropping. The national average price for a gallon of regular gasoline on Wednesday was $3.26, down 15 cents from the average price a month ago. Still, the national average for a gallon of regular is 28 cents higher than it was a year ago.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=10020555778813f84d8867f09e88c6ec