November 14, 2024

Stocks Slip as Italian and Spanish Bond Yields Rise

Mario Monti, an economist with a long résumé that includes high-level posts with the European Union, was appointed as Italian prime minister over the weekend after Silvio Berlusconi stepped down. In Athens, Lucas Papademos, a former central banker, was beginning to put his stamp on the Greek government.

The changes of government were intended in part to demonstrate to investors that embattled euro zone nations were serious about solving their problems. While European stocks rallied in early trading, the euphoria was short-lived.

In early afternoon on Wall Street, the Standard Poor’s 500-stock index was down 1 percent, and the Dow Jones industrial average was 0.7 percent lower. The Nasdaq composite was down 0.8 percent. On Friday the S. P. gained nearly 2 percent.

In Europe, the Euro Stoxx 50 index, a barometer of euro zone blue chips, fell 1.6 percent, while the FTSE 100 index in London was down 0.5 percent.

The market’s skepticism was reflected in the outcome of the Italian bond auction. The Italian Treasury on Monday sold 3 billion euros, or $4.1 billion, of five-year bonds priced to yield 6.3 percent — up nearly a full percentage point from the yield it paid at a similar auction last month, and the most Italy has had to pay to move such securities since June 1997, according to Bloomberg News.

On the secondary market, the yield on Italy’s 10-year bonds, which had fallen back at the end of last week after breaching the critical 7 percent threshold, rose more than 20 basis points to near 6.7 percent, a level that makes it increasingly difficult for the country to straighten out its finances amid anemic economic growth. (A basis point is one-hundredth of a percent.)

Ten-year bond yields in Spain, another troubled euro zone economy, rose above 6 percent for the first time since August, when a spike in borrowing costs first prompted the European Central Bank to intervene to push down yields by buying Spanish bonds.

The sharp move upward in the Spanish yield might be a sign of things to come, analysts said. The Spanish economy may be contracting in the current quarter, worsening Spain’s budget deficit and the position of its banks.

The country holds elections on Sunday, but whoever takes over power will have little choice but to introduce more austerity measures, analysts said.

Despite the European sovereign debt crisis and the threat it poses to economic growth globally, some analysts believe the United States markets at least are poised for a rebound.

Jeffrey D. Saut, chief investment strategist at Raymond James in St. Petersburg, Fla., noted that for the 445 of the S. P. 500 companies that had reported results through Thursday, profits were up 22 percent from a year earlier, while revenues were up almost 12 percent.

Selling on Wall Street is unlikely to go very far “because earnings are just too good,” he said. Assuming the United States does not dip into recession, “I think you’ll see people outside of the United States shoveling money into stocks in this country.”

The dollar rose against most other major currencies. The euro fell to $1.3622 from $1.3751 late Friday in New York, while the British pound fell to $1.5899 from $1.6066. The dollar rose to 0.9070 Swiss francs from 0.8999 francs. But the dollar fell against its Japanese counterpart, slipping to 77.01 yen from 77.17 yen.

Asian shares were mostly higher. The Tokyo benchmark Nikkei 225 stock average rose 1.1 percent. The Sydney market index S.P./ASX 200 rose 0.2 percent, and in Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index gained 1.9 percent.

Graham Bowley contributed reporting.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/15/business/daily-stock-market-activity.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Debt Sale in Italy Steadies Markets

In afternoon trading, the Euro Stoxx 50 index, a barometer of euro zone blue chip shares, rose 1.1 percent, while the FTSE 100 index in London was flat.

Standard Poor’s 500 index futures gained 0.8 percent, suggesting that Wall Street stocks would rise at the opening bell. On Wednesday, the S. P. 500 index fell 3.7 percent as the reverberations from the euro crisis grew.

Italy raised €5 billion, or $6.8 billion, in an auction Thursday of one-year securities. The Italian Treasury sold the full allotment of bonds on offer, but it paid an average rate of 6.09 percent to do so, far above the 3.57 percent it paid for a similar offering on Oct. 3. It also marked the most Italy has had paid for such debt since September 1997, when the country still used the lira.

Political confusion in Rome, where the government of Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi is slowly headed toward an exit with no clear plan to fix the state’s finances, on Wednesday led to a sell-off in Italian debt. Yields on the country’s 10-year bonds rose sharply above 7 percent, the level at which Portugal, Greece and Ireland ended up receiving bailouts.

On Thursday morning, the 10-year bonds were trading to yield 6.93 percent, helped by secondary-market purchases by the European Central Bank, news agencies reported.

Officials in Brussels added to generally gloomy sentiment Thursday with a report that said the economy of the European Union had ground to a standstill.

“Growth has stalled in Europe, and there is a risk of a new recession,” the European economic and monetary affairs commissioner, Olli Rehn, said in a statement, warning that “no real improvement is forecast in the unemployment situation in the E.U. as a whole.”

Mr. Rehn said that if growth and job creation were to return, it was essential that the 27 European Union members restore confidence in their finances and speed up reforms.

“There is a broad consensus on the necessary policy action,” he said. “What we need now is unwavering implementation. On my part, I will start using the new rules of economic governance from day one.”

There was one victory for the embattled euro zone, as Moody’s Investors Service on Thursday assigned the top-notch AAA rating to the European Financial Stability Facility’s new 10-year benchmark bond. The E.F.S.F., Europe’s main bailout vehicle, is backed by the finances of the euro zone countries, and there had been concern that the bonds would not get a top rating.

In Asia, markets declined sharply Thursday, catching up with Wednesday’s action on Wall Street. The Nikkei 225 stock average in Tokyo fell 2.9 percent, while the Kospi index in Seoul tumbled 4.9 percent. The Hang Seng in Hong Kong sank 5.3 percent at the close, and the Shanghai composite index fell 1.8 percent.

Banking stocks continued to bear the brunt of the selling. Shares in HSBC, which warned
Wednesday that it expected more trouble with its North American mortgage business, sank 9.1 percent in Hong Kong.

Tim Condon, chief economist for Asia at ING Group in Singapore, labeled Thursday “a terrible day.”

“This will last until the Italian government does something to show progress toward balancing its budget,” Mr. Condon said.

Mr. Condon called the 7 percent yield on Italian bonds “a breach akin to the calling of the Greek referendum” on the bailout package, referring to the unexpected proposal by Prime Minister George Papandreou of Greece that threw financial markets into turmoil.

Mr. Condon said he expected the sell-offs across Asian markets to abate Friday but that the reaction would largely depend on the actions by Italian leaders later Thursday.

The volatility of the markets prompted analysts at Crédit Agricole’s investment banking unit to caution investors against overreacting.

“We would still argue that Italy’s budgetary fundamentals are improving, with the year-to-October central deficit of €12 billion better off than the same period last year, but this is being overshadowed by ongoing uncertainty surrounding Italian politics,” the Crédit Agricole CIB analysts said in a research note Thursday.

The auction of one-year bills last month saw an average yield of 3.57 percent, according to Crédit Agricole CIB, but this time the yield could reach more than 6 percent. “Clearly, this pace of yield rises is not sustainable,” the analysts said.

Gold futures rose 1.1 percent to $1,771.40 an ounce. U.S. oil futures rose 1.6 percent to $97.31 a barrel.

The dollar was lower against other major currencies. The euro ticked up to $1.3610 from $1.3543 late Wednesday in New York, while the British pound rose to $1.5938 from $1.5917.

The dollar fell to ¥77.60 from ¥77.81, and to 0.9043 Swiss francs from 0.9095 francs.

Kevin Drew contributed reporting from Hong Kong.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/11/business/global/daily-stock-market-activity.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Wall Street Opens Lower After Europe Rally

The Standard Poor’s 500-stock index was up 0.1 percent in early trading, while the Dow Jones industrial average was flat. The Nasdaq composite index was 0.4 percent higher.

The action was mostly in Europe. French lenders posted solid gains, leading European indexes upward, after the financial daily Le Figaro reported that the French government was prepared to act to help “two or three banks.” The Figaro report did not identify the source of its information, and news agencies cited French officials as denying that such a plan was in the cards.

BNP Paribas rose 5 percent, Société Générale rose 2.9 percent and Crédit Agricole gained 2.1 percent. Dexia, the failing bank that the French and Belgian governments this week said they would guarantee, began the day higher but by afternoon was 14.2 percent lower.

Investors were also reacting to the results of a European Central Bank policy meeting, the last to be headed by the bank’s president, Jean-Claude Trichet, before he is replaced by Mario Draghi.

The central bank moved to help European banks that are having trouble raising short-term cash, while the Bank of England decided to resume its bond purchases to help support a slowing British economy. Both central banks left their key benchmark rates unchanged, at 1.5 percent for the euro area covered by the European Central Bank, and 0.5 percent for Britain.

In afternoon trading, the Euro Stoxx 50 index, a barometer of euro zone blue chips, rose 1.2 percent, while the FTSE 100 index in London rose 1.9 percent.

Investors were also encouraged by a report by the Institute for Supply Management on Wednesday that showed that non-manufacturing businesses continued to grow in September.

Longer term, however, the picture remains as murky as ever, and financial markets continue to face what strategists at HSBC, in their latest quarterly assessment, called “an unbearable degree of uncertainty.”

“After falling 22 percent from their April highs, global equities are likely to remain tricky,” Garry Evans, head of global equity strategy at HSBC in Hong Kong, wrote. “There are few signs of a bold solution to Europe’s sovereign debt issues, and the 23 November deadline for U.S. debt negotiations looms.”

Moreover, he added, economic growth prospects have not bottomed. Although the jury is still out on whether the world will actually tip into another recession, markets will continue to fret that it might, he said.

Asian shares rallied. The Tokyo benchmark Nikkei 225 stock average rose 1.7 percent. The Sydney market index S.P./ASX 200 rose 3.7 percent. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng index rose 5.7 percent.

Global markets have been gyrating for months now, and with no sign that the European debt issues will be resolved any time soon, they are expected to remain volatile for the foreseeable future. The feeble state of the American economy and moderating expansion in growth engines like China and India also have compounded the global nervousness.

Crude oil futures for November delivery fell 0.2 percent to $79.51 a barrel. Comex gold futures slipped 0.1 percent to $1,638.50 an ounce.

The dollar was mixed against other major currencies. The euro rose to $1.3384 from $1.3348 late Wednesday in New York, while the British pound rose to $1.5481 from $1.5460. The dollar fell to 76.67 yen from 76.79 yen, but rose to 0.9239 Swiss francs from 0.9232 francs.

Yields on the government bonds that investors see as the safest assets rose, as money flowed into stocks. The yield on the 10-year United States Treasury rose 5 basis points to 1.93 percent, while the yield on the comparable German security rose 5 basis points to 1.88 percent.

David Jolly reported from Paris and Bettina Wassener from Hong Kong.

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Awaiting Signals, Wall Street Trading Is Choppy

Stocks were lower in afternoon trading on Wall Street Thursday as investors awaited President Obama’s evening speech on jobs.

The Dow Jones industrial average was down 74 points, or 0.7 percent, at 11,340. The Standard Poor’s 500-stock index was down 9 points, or 0.8 percent, to 1,190, and the Nasdaq composite fell 15 points, or 0.6 percent, at 2,534.

The price of the 10-year Treasury note rose, with its yield falling to 1.993 percent.

In Europe, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was up 0.4 percent at 5,340, while Germany’s DAX was steady at 5,408. The CAC-40 in France was 0.4 percent higher at 3,085.

“Global equity markets are attempting to rebound on building hopes for fresh stimulus from the global authorities to support growth,” said Lee Hardman, an analyst at the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ.

Investors were looking for other signals throughout the day. While both the Bank of England and the European Central Bank kept their interest rates unchanged, President Barack Obama was expected to announce measures to lift job creation in the United States.

Already negative, stocks slid a bit further after Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke offered no hints that the central bank may take steps to help the ailing economy. He spoke Thursday afternoon to the Economic Club of Minnesota.

Some investors have anticipated that the Fed would take additional steps to stimulate the economy at its two-day meeting that begins Sept. 21.

The hopes that policymakers will do more to shore up growth, including at a weekend meeting of finance ministers of the Group of Seven industrialized countries, has helped stocks recover over the last couple of days. A German court decision backing the government’s involvement in Europe’s bailouts has also helped calm concerns over the debt crisis ahead of a meeting of euro zone finance ministers next week.

Earlier in the day, Asian shares posted modest gains. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index rose 0.3 percent to close at 8,793.12 as a softening yen helped Japan’s exporters.

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Asian and European Markets Recover After Turmoil

Investors’ attention was focused on a meeting Tuesday of the German chancellor, Angela Merkel, and Nicolas Sarkozy, the French president. The two leaders will be addressing the threat to the euro zone posed by low growth and teetering public finances in some euro members, their room to maneuver circumscribed by fears that France could be next in line for market attacks.

In early trading on Monday, the Euro Stoxx 50 index, a barometer of euro zone blue chips, rose 0.9 percent, while the FTSE 100 index in London gained 0.5 percent.

Trading in U.S. index futures suggested that Wall Street stocks would rise at the opening bell, as well. The Standard Poor’s 500 index rose 0.5 percent Friday, after a rollercoaster performance during the week, as investors struggled to assess the impact of the U.S. ratings downgrade.

Asian shares rose, with the Tokyo benchmark Nikkei 225 stock average gaining 1.4 percent.

The main Sydney market index, the SP/ASX 200, jumped 2.6 percent. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng was up 3.3 percent, and in Shanghai, the composite index rose 1.3 percent.

Comex gold futures rose $3.90 to $1,746.50. U.S. crude oil futures for September delivery rose 0.2 percent to $85.54.

Many European investors were taking the Assumption Day holiday off, though markets were open for business across most of the Continent.

In Japan, second-quarter gross domestic product data showing that the economy there had contracted less severely than expected also helped lift sentiment.

The statistics, released by the Cabinet Office early Monday, showed that the Japanese economy, which was battered by a massive earthquake and tsunami in March, had contracted 0.3 percent from the previous quarter, indicating that economic activity had rallied more quickly than expected after the disaster.

The dollar was mixed against other major currencies. The euro rose to $1.4319 from $1.4248 late Friday in New York, while the British pound rose to $1.6294 from $1.6276.

But the dollar was higher against the yen, rising to 76.84 yen from 76.67 yen, and gained to 0.7943 Swiss francs from 0.7777 francs.

“Decent data on Thursday and Friday last week brought a semblance of stability to markets,” analysts at DBS in Singapore wrote in a research note on Monday, referring to U.S. retail sales and jobless figures that were both relatively upbeat.

“Housing, inflation and industrial production will have the do the trick this week,” the DBS analysts commented. “It won’t be easy.”

Bettina Wassener reported from Hong Kong.

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Deal for Skype Lifts Stocks

Companies have built up a record amount of cash since the recession, and they have begun to use it for acquisitions, dividends and stock buybacks. Technology companies have particularly big cash hoards. The purchase of Skype is Microsoft’s largest deal in its history.

Stronger-than-expected earnings reports are also lifting stocks. Dean Foods, Activision Blizzard and others reported earnings that beat analysts’ expectations.

In early trading, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 59.98 points, or 0.5 percent. The Standard Poor’s 500-stock index was up 8.06 points, or 0.6 percent. The Nasdaq composite index rose 17.56 points, or 0.6 percent.

European stock markets and the euro rose on hopes that Greece would get another financial bailout to help it avoid a restructuring of its debts.

A restructuring — a renegotiation of existing debt deals — could have repercussions for Europe’s financial system, causing losses at banks holding Greek bonds. Germany’s DAX and the CAC 40 in France rose 1.3 percent. The FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was up 1 percent.

Earlier in Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 closed up 0.3 percent to 9,818.76, with shares of Chubu Electric Power rising 1.9 percent after the Japanese utility agreed to a government request to shutter three nuclear reactors at the Hamaoka coastal power plant.

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