December 21, 2024

Geithner Offers New Fiscal Proposal to Boehner

The proposal, loaded with Democratic priorities and short on detailed spending cuts, was likely to meet strong Republican resistance. In exchange for locking in the $1.6 trillion in added revenues, President Obama embraced $400 billion in savings from Medicare and other entitlements, to be worked out next year, with no guarantees.

He did propose some upfront cuts in programs like farm price supports, but did not specify an amount or any details. And senior Republican aides familiar with the offer said those initial spending cuts might well be outnumbered by upfront spending increases, including at least $50 billion in infrastructure spending, mortgage relief, an extension of unemployment insurance and a deferral of automatic cuts to physician reimbursements under Medicare.

“The Democrats have yet to get serious about real spending cuts,” Mr. Boehner said after the meeting. “No substantive progress has been made in the talks between the White House and the House over the last two weeks.”

Beneath the outward shows of frustration and rancor, Democrats said a deal could still come before hundreds of billions of dollars in automatic tax increases and spending cuts threaten the fragile economy next year. Senator Charles E. Schumer, Democrat of New York, pointed to conservative Republicans who have publicly suggested that the House quickly pass Senate Democratic legislation extending the expiring tax cuts for income below $250,000.

“All you have to do is just listen to what’s happening out there, and you realize there is progress,” he said.

But publicly, the leaders of neither side were giving an inch. And Republican aides said the details of the White House proposal pointed to a re-elected president who believes he can bully Congress.

“They took a step backward, moving away from consensus and significantly closer to the cliff,” said Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the Republican leader.

The president’s proposal does stick to the broad framework of the deal Mr. Boehner wants: an upfront deficit-reduction “down payment” that would serve to cancel the automatic tax increases and spending cuts while still signaling seriousness on the deficit, followed by a second stage when Congress works next year on overhauling the tax code and entitlements to secure more deficit reduction.

But the details show how far the president is ready to push House Republicans. The upfront tax increases in the proposal go beyond what Senate Democrats were able to pass earlier this year. Tax rates would go up for higher-income earners, as in the Senate bill, but Mr. Obama wants their dividends to be taxed as ordinary income, something the Senate did not approve. He also wants the estate tax to be levied at 45 percent on inheritances over $3.5 million, a step several Democratic senators balked at. The Senate bill made no changes to the estate tax, which currently taxes inheritances over $5 million at 35 percent.

Administration negotiators also want the initial stage to include an extension to the payroll tax cut or an equivalent policy aimed at working-class families, an extension of a business tax credit for investments and the extension of a number of expiring business tax credits, like the research and development tax credit.

To ensure that there are no more crises like last year’s impasse, Mr. Geithner proposed permanently ending Congressional purview over the federal borrowing limit, Republican aides said. He said that Congress could be allowed to pass a resolution blocking an increase in the debt limit, but that the president would be able to veto that resolution. Only if two-thirds of lawmakers overrode that veto could Congress block a higher borrowing limit.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/11/30/us/politics/fiscal-talks-in-congress-seem-to-reach-impasse.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

For $101,000, the 12 Days of Christmas Are Covered

Giving the holiday presents of a French hen, a milking maid, a leaping lord or even a partridge in a pear tree is rather unlikely in this day and age. But the gifts from the favorite holiday carol “The 12 Days of Christmas” are lighthearted clues to how the economy is faring.

Over all, prices are fairly stable and not rising precipitously for even the quirkier gifts, according to the Christmas Price Index released for the 28th year by PNC Wealth Management, part of the PNC Financial Services Group. On the down side, the price tag for the eye-popping 364 items and services in each of the song’s verses breaks $100,000 for the first time this year.

Bestowing the gifts would cost 3.5 percent more than it did last year. The price, which reflects weaker consumer demand in a fragile economy, mirrors the federal government’s Consumer Price Index, which increased 3.4 percent this year for the far more pedestrian items used by today’s consumer. The latest figures for the year were released by the Department of Labor last week.

While even the most determined would find it daunting to gather a round of the 12 different gifts, prices for some staple items in the song’s elaborate verses have fallen, perhaps offering a little consolation.

Gold, for example — as in the five golden rings — has fallen in price. Those rings (fairly lightweight ones, one would think) come to $645, down from $649.95 last year. Even though gold commodities, an investor haven, have been hovering at record highs recently, the demand for gold at retail has been weakening.

“Our five golden rings dropped by 0.8 percent this year,” said James P. Dunigan, PNC Wealth Management’s managing executive of investments.

But Mr. Dunigan notes that the index research is not scientific — prices are gathered from state and local sources. The National Jeweler, a trade publication that tracks jewelry sales, found in November that some jewelers were complaining that shoppers had “sticker shock” when looking for gold gifts or wedding rings.

Unsurprisingly, labor costs remained fairly flat. The nine ladies dancing, for example, remained static, at $6,294, the same as last year, according to figures from Philadanco, a dance company in Philadelphia. The 11 pipers piping, at a price of $2,427.60, and 12 drummers drumming, for $2,629.90, were up modestly, about 3 percent. The only unskilled laborers in the verses are the eight maids-a-milking, who are calculated as earning the $7.25 minimum hourly wage. That wage did not rise in 2011 for the second straight year, so their cost stayed the same.

The price tag for one round of gifts is $24,263.18 this year, up $823.80 from last year. Repeating the gifts totaled slightly more than $101,000, a gain of 4.4 percent, also close to the federal price index.

“Typically we see parallels between our index and the federal government’s,” Mr. Dunigan said, “which was not the case last year. Still, we are talking about a small basket of goods and services here compared to the Consumer Price Index.”

And like the federal government’s index, the PNC index also measures a core index that excludes the swans, a bird that has a fluctuating price history because of varying supply and demand. This year the core index rose only 0.7 percent. That compares with the core Consumer Price Index which, according to federal figures, rose 2.2 percent this year, and excludes volatile food and energy costs.

The price for the swans rose by 12.5 percent, almost double last year’s rise of 6.7 percent, to $6,300. Aside from the swans, bird prices were more moderate this year as demand decreased. The cost and availability of bird feed for the two turtle doves pushed their prices up by 25 percent (still less than the 78.6 percent rise in 2010) to $125, but the three French hens remained the same, at $150.

The partridge rose 14.2 percent, to $15, and the pear tree jumped 13.3 percent, to $169. The four calling birds dropped 13.3 percent, to almost $520. Figures for the fowl came from the National Aviary in Pittsburgh.

Shopping online offered only convenience. It would cost $39,860 to buy the 12 different presents, about 16.1 percent more than last year and nearly $16,000 more than this year’s traditional index. All 364 gifts totaled $174,382 on the Internet, as shipping costs “more than overcame any convenience factor of shopping online,” Mr. Dunigan said.

As the index has emerged as a popular teaching tool for students, PNC comes up with new digital presentations each year. This year, its Web site, at pncchristmaspriceindex.com, has an interactive train journey through a winter setting. Riders stop at each site to collect gifts, and a calculator adds it up.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=c5b6f827379adbaa24361b828b5c81d6