November 21, 2024

Apple Releases List of Its Suppliers for the First Time

The list accompanied a report detailing troubling practices inside many of the technology giant’s suppliers. The company said audits revealed that 93 supplier facilities had records indicating that more than half of their workers exceed a 60-hour weekly working limit. Apple said 108 facilities did not pay proper overtime as required by law. In 15 facilities, Apple found foreign contract workers who had paid excessive recruitment fees to labor agencies.

And though Apple said it mandated changes at those suppliers, and some facilities showed improvements, in aggregate, many types of lapses remained at levels that have persisted for years.

Labor rights groups, journalists and academics have asked Apple to reveal the names of its suppliers for almost a decade. While other companies have published the names of firms supplying parts and services, Apple has resisted, with some inside the company citing the firm’s culture of secrecy.

Judy Gearhart, executive director of the International Labor Rights Forum, an advocacy group for workers’ rights, was disappointed Apple did not reveal the location of the suppliers on its list, complicating outside efforts to monitor the progress at their factories. Some plants on the list are relatively unknown, with Web sites that do not list where facilities are situated.

“It’s a bit of a half-step really to say, ‘Here are the names of the factories, go look through a haystack,’ ” Ms. Gearhart said. “But it’s a start.”

Steve Dowling, an Apple spokesman, declined to comment beyond the report.

The calls for Apple to disclose suppliers became particularly acute after a series of deaths and accidents in recent years. In the last two years at firms supplying services to Apple, 137 employees were seriously injured after cleaning iPad screens with n-hexane, a toxic chemical that can cause nerve damage and paralysis; over a dozen workers have committed suicide or fell or jumped from buildings in a manner that suggests a suicide attempt; and in two separate blasts caused by dust from polishing iPad cases, four were killed and 77 injured.

The Cupertino, Calif., company posted the list on its Web site on Friday as part of something it calls its supplier responsibility report, a document it typically publishes in February with the results of audits conducted with suppliers. Apple said the audits cover labor, discrimination, worker health and safety, environmental and other practices.

The list consists of 156 companies, accounting for 97 percent of what Apple says it pays to its suppliers. Apple’s tally of its suppliers includes many big-name companies like Intel and Nvidia, both makers of chips for Apple’s Macintosh computers, along with other parts makers like Samsung Electronics, Toshiba and Panasonic. The list also includes less recognized companies like Zeniya Aluminum Engineering, Jin Li Mould Manufacturing and Unisteel Technology.

But the list excludes many of the secondary suppliers — companies that provide parts to firms that directly contract with Apple. For instance, though the American glassmaker Corning has manufactured the strengthened glass in iPhones, it does not appear on the list because it technically does not contract with Apple, but instead with an intermediary that finishes the glass before it is delivered to an assembly factory.

Apple said 229 audits were conducted as part of this year’s supplier responsibility report, an 80 percent increase over the number the prior year. The company said the facilities where repeat audits were done have shown fewer violations.

In an e-mail to sent to Apple employees on Friday, Tim Cook, the company’s chief executive, said Apple had used its influence to improve the living conditions for the people who make its products, including employee housing. “To meet our requirements, many suppliers have renovated their dorms or built new ones altogether,” he wrote.

This is sixth such report Apple has issued. The company began conducting audits and publishing reports after news stories aired of poor working conditions at Foxconn, a Chinese manufacturer of Apple products that is controlled by Hon Hai Precision Industry Company of Taiwan.

Apple said in the report that it recently became the first technology company to join the Fair Labor Association, a nonprofit organization that aims to improve conditions in factories around the world. The company said it will allow the association’s auditing team to measure the performance of Apple’s suppliers against an association code of conduct and to publish the results on its Web site.

“We welcome Apple’s commitment to greater transparency and independent oversight, and we hope its participation will set a new standard for the electronics industry,” Auret van Heerden, the association’s president and chief executive, said in a statement.

Jeff Ballinger, a global labor activist and researcher, said he was skeptical that transparency alone will change the behavior of Apple’s suppliers, unless Apple is willing to pay more to affect change. “They can say forced overtime is a big problem, can you give Saturday afternoons off?” said Mr. Ballinger, adding that the factories’ “response is going to be raise the prices you give us.”

“That they don’t want to do,” he said of Apple.

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Toyota Cuts Annual Profit Forecast by 54 Percent

Net income at Toyota, which analysts say is likely to lose its title as the world’s biggest automaker this year, is expected to fall 54 percent to 180 billion yen, or $2.3 billion, in the fiscal year that ends in March, the automaker said in a statement.

Global sales are likely to fall to 7.38 million vehicles, down from an earlier forecast of 7.6 million, Toyota said.

Those sales numbers are likely to put Toyota behind General Motors, which sold 7.48 million units last year and is on a big recovery push
.

The lower profit projections, meanwhile, could put Toyota behind rivals closer to home. Nissan forecasts a 290 billion yen net profit this year, while analysts told Bloomberg that the South Korean automaker Hyundai could earn over $6 billion this year. Toyota still produces more cars than any of its Asian rivals, however.

Toyota has been hit especially hard by Thailand’s worst flooding in decades, which has killed more than 600 people, damaged millions of homes and inundated hundreds of factories.

The disaster disrupted production at plants as far away as the United States, causing a net shortfall of 230,000 vehicles, Toyota said — almost four times the number at Nissan. Toyota says waters are now receding and most regions are back to normal output.

The flooding came just as Toyota and other Japanese manufacturers rebounded from Japan’s massive quake and tsunami in March, which severed supply chains and caused the company to suspend or reduce production at plants both in Japan and overseas.

A shortage of electricity in the wake of the nuclear disaster at Fukushima has also complicated efforts by Toyota to get production back on track.

Meanwhile, a stubbornly strong yen has weighed on Toyota’s bottom line by making production in Japan more costly and by eroding the value of its overseas profits. Toyota still makes over half of its cars in high-cost Japan, a setup that analysts have warned hurts the automaker’s competitiveness.

Toyota, based in Toyota City, Japan, hopes that a spate of new models will revive its fortunes. At the Tokyo Motor Show, which started last week, the automaker’s chief executive, Akio Toyoda, showed off a plug-in version of its popular Prius gas-electric hybrid vehicle.

Toyota shares, which have fallen 18 percent this year, dipped 0.4 percent in Tokyo before the forecast announcement.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=913184f5c026fb3513f30f74dd179682

Production Slowed At Factories In October

But companies ordered more goods, factories slashed their stockpiles and auto sales rose. Those trends suggest manufacturing activity could rebound in the coming months.

The data, which also showed a slight uptick in construction spending in September, points to an economy that is growing but remains too sluggish to lower the unemployment rate, which has been stuck at 9.1 percent for three consecutive months.

The Institute for Supply Management said Tuesday that its manufacturing index dropped to 50.8, down from 51.6 in September. Any reading above 50 indicates expansion.

Measures of production and new export orders fell. A gauge of employment dipped but remained strong enough to signal that factories were adding workers.

“Over all, economic conditions seem just about strong enough to avoid a recession, but not strong enough to generate any meaningful growth,” said Paul Dales, senior United States economist at Capital Economics.

Separately, the Commerce Department said builders spent slightly more in September on projects, the second consecutive monthly increase. A gain in spending on home construction offset declines in government projects. Still, the annual rate of spending is approximately half the $1.5 trillion that economists consider healthy.

A report in China showed that manufacturing grew at the slowest pace in nearly three years in October, partly because of weak export orders.

“Manufacturing is feeling a chill wind from a generally weaker global economic environment, and this is unlikely to change anytime soon,” said Joshua Shapiro, chief United States economist at MFR Inc.

Factories were among the first businesses to start growing after the recession officially ended in June 2009. The manufacturing sector has grown for 27 straight months, according to the index.

Despite slower growth in American manufacturing, economists were encouraged by details in the I.S.M. report, released by a trade group of purchasing managers.

An index measuring new orders rose to 52.4, the first time it has topped 50 in four months and the highest reading in six months.

Manufacturers also said their stockpiles fell sharply. That means that factories will have to increase output to meet any increase in demand.

And the prices that manufacturers paid for raw materials fell sharply, indicating that inflation pressures are dissipating. The prices index plummeted from 56 to 41, the lowest point since April 2009.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=c3858a4f5f057b60a088bb5ca5f99bb5

Economix Blog: What to Expect From the Fed

There are three kinds of announcements the Federal Reserve may make Wednesday at 2:15 p.m., when it discloses the much-anticipated results of the latest meeting of its policy-making committee:

Full speed ahead. Growth is lethargic at best. Twenty-five million Americans cannot find full-time jobs. The Fed is responsible for addressing unemployment, it has undertaken a series of novel efforts to stimulate growth, and the Fed chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, has not discouraged speculation that he is ready to try again.

Investors are expecting a new effort to reduce long-term interest rates modeled on a 1960s program dubbed Operation Twist. The central bank has made borrowing cheaper for businesses and consumers by purchasing more than $2 trillion of government debt and mortgage-backed securities. By reducing the supply of securities available to other investors, it forced them to pay higher prices — that is, to accept lower interest rates — and to shift money into riskier investments with much the same effect.

The Fed could seek to amplify that impact by reorienting its portfolio toward longer-term securities, essentially taking on more risk without investing more money. That could force other investors, in turn, to take larger risks in the face of lower returns. And the hope is that the resulting drop in interest rates will nudge companies to build new factories, and consumers to buy new dishwashers.

Morgan Stanley, which expects the Fed to announce such a program Wednesday, said in a note to clients that it is “no silver bullet,” but could lower yields on 10-year Treasuries by up to 0.35 percentage points, similar to the drop from the Fed’s most recent purchases of $600 billion in Treasuries.

Check back in November. Some close watchers of the central bank expect that the Fed will defer any decision to “Twist” — or take any other major steps — until the board next meets in November, but that the board will make a smaller gesture Wednesday to signal its commitment to help.

Only a month has passed since the Fed announced that it intended to hold short-term interest rates near zero for at least two more years, and the board may want to wait before announcing further measures. The economy, after all, is growing at a modest pace and the options that remain available carry less power to lift growth and greater risk of consequences than those already deployed.

Moreover, investors already have driven down long-term interest rates in anticipation of action by the central bank. So long as investors remain convinced that the Fed will act eventually, there is little to be gained by unveiling such a program. Laurence H. Meyer, a former Fed governor who now leads the forecasting firm Macroeconomic Advisers, suggests the Fed could announce that it will invest the proceeds of maturing securities — about $20 billion each month — in longer-term debt.

“Together with a strongly worded statement, this decision could help avoid a significant market sell-off,” MacroAdvisers wrote in a note to clients predicting the Fed would announce such a gesture Wednesday, and then announce a revival of Operation Twist after the board’s November meeting.

We’re not doing anything new. Republicans have been increasingly vocal in their insistence that the Fed should stop trying to increase growth. They argue that the central bank’s existing efforts are not helping, and that new efforts could have negative consequences. Republican presidential candidates have made criticism of the Fed a central theme of the early campaign, and Republican leaders in the House and Senate sent a letter Tuesday to Mr. Bernanke warning against new measures.

“We have serious concerns that further intervention by the Federal Reserve could exacerbate current problems or further harm the U.S. economy,” said the letter, signed by Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the Senate Republican leader; Jon Kyl of Arizona, the Senate Republican whip; the House speaker, John Boehner of Ohio; and the House majority leader, Eric Cantor of Virginia.

A vocal minority of the Fed’s policy-making board shares this reluctance to take further action. Three of the board’s 10 members dissented from the board’s most recent effort to foster growth in August.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=10a98f0204c6971125e5cef1c8eb53e3

Stocks & Bonds: Relief Rally Vanishes After New Data

On Monday, the three main indexes jumped then slumped for most of the day and closed lower as the reality of the challenges ahead for the economy set in.

This is a trend that some analysts say is likely to persist, even after any resolution in the debt ceiling debate and its prospects for downgrade or default. The main reason is worry about the nation’s economic recovery, which recent data shows to be more fragile than originally thought. On Monday, the manufacturing sector showed signs of losing steam in July.

“Now that the debt ceiling deal, assuming it passes, has averted an imminent catastrophe, attention can return to the underlying state of the economy,” said Nigel Gault, the IHS Global Insight chief United States economist.

“The news there isn’t good.”

On Monday, the stock market in the United States briefly followed European and Asian markets higher, lifting more than 1 percent shortly after the opening. But any relief over the last-minute agreement on the debt deal framework was fleeting.

After the first half-hour of trading, the three main Wall Street indexes turned negative and mostly stayed in the red, bringing the broader market as measured by the Standard Poor’s 500-stock index down more than 4 percent over the past six consecutive days of declines.

Much of the slump was attributed to a report from the Institute for Supply Management showing a slowdown in the nation’s factories. The index registered 50.9 percent in July, down from 55.3 percent in June. A reading over 50 percent means the manufacturing sector expanded for the 24th consecutive month. Production and employment showed continued growth in July, but at slower rates than in June. However, the new orders component fell to 49.2 percent, hitting a notch below 50 percent for the first time since June, 2009, when it was 48.9 percent.

The news was particularly bad on the heels of the Friday report that the nation’s gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of less than 1 percent in the first half of 2011, with the first quarter and the second quarter at 0.4 percent and 1.3 percent, respectively. The G.D.P. data was revised going back to 2003, showing the recession was deeper and the recovery weaker than originally thought.

“July’s I.S.M. report was a shocker,” said economists from Capital Economics in a research note. “The index is not flagging up another recession, at least not yet, but it suggests that the easing in G.D.P. growth in the first half of the year is looking more and more like a sustained slowdown than a short-lived soft patch.”

Nick Kalivas, vice president for financial research at MF Global, said the weekend’s debt deal developments took some risk and “a little” uncertainty from the market.

The deal, he said, “kind of pushes the longer-term issues out to be taken up at another time.”

The S. P. was down 5.34 points, or 0.41 percent, to 1,286.94. The Dow Jones industrial average was off 10.75 points, or 0.09 percent, to 12,132.49, and the Nasdaq index fell 11.77 points, or 0.43 percent, to 2,744.61.

Noting that the American stock market has performed well this year largely because of record corporate profits, James Swanson, the chief investment strategy for mutual-fund company MFS Investment Management in Boston, said that “the economy is disappointing investors because the general assumption has been that U.S. growth would be in the twos to threes and it’s clearly not.”

While bond markets may rally in response to the fact the debt ceiling crisis was averted, some analysts say the size of the agreement is likely to disappoint investors over the long term.

“Foreigners, in particular, are going to look at this deal and say, ‘I thought the U.S. was capable of more than this,’ ” said Zane Brown, the fixed-income strategist at Lord Abbett. “We may find that foreign owners of U.S. Treasury securities may look for opportunities to move elsewhere.”

Another issue weighing on investors is whether America will retain its sterling credit rating.

“I think we’re going to be watching for the reactions of the rating agencies,” said G. David MacEwen, chief investment officer at mutual-fund company American Century Investments in Kansas City, Mo. Pointing to the stance of Standard and Poor’s that suggested it may downgrade the country to a AA rating from a AAA if spending was not reduced by about $4 trillion, Mr. MacEwen said it was a “big question” whether it and the other rating agencies will be satisfied with this deal.

Noting that the manufacturing report followed “terrible” G.D.P. and jobs data, Matt Freund, the senior vice president of investment portfolio management for USAA Investment Management, said, “We think it is a glass half-full economy, but it is getting harder to tell where the water line is.”

Yields have fallen as a result, he noted. The benchmark 10-year Treasury was down slightly at 2.75 percent.

In addition, there have been continued concerns about the outlook for Europe. Stefan de Schutter, an asset manager at Alpha Trading in Frankfurt, said the initial reaction in Europe to the news in the United States was one of relief but he also said European investors remained cautious.

“If we look ahead,” he said, “we’ll see a return to the focus on the economic problems in Europe.” The FTSE 100 in London was down 0.70 percent to 5,774.43, the CAC 40 in Paris lost 2.27 percent to 3,588.05, and the DAX in Frankfurt was off 2.86 percent to 6,953.98, its biggest percentage drop since March.

The key index in Japan jumped 1.3 percent, and the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong added 1 percent, picking up steam after the deal in Washington was announced by President Obama.

Julie Creswell contributed reporting.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/02/business/asian-markets-rally-after-us-debt-deal.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Wheeling and Dealing

But their cooperation will be put to the test as the sides square off over how to divide the profits of Detroit’s unexpectedly swift revival.

After a period of plunging sales, bankruptcies and government bailouts, the union is hoping to regain some of its lost jobs, reopen closed factories, and increase the pay of its 111,000 members, some of whom are being paid half as much for entry-level jobs as other workers under a two-tier wage arrangement.

But those goals run against the priorities of Detroit’s Big Three automakers, who want to hold the line on costs and further close the gap in productivity with foreign-owned factories in the United States, which employ much cheaper nonunion workers.

And while contract negotiations are always prickly, this round has a particularly prominent backdrop: the long shadow of the Obama administration, which bailed out both General Motors and Chrysler and shepherded the automakers through Chapter 11.

As part of the bailouts, the U.A.W. agreed to no-strike clauses at both companies and to submit to arbitration in the event that a contract could not be reached.

That leaves Ford, the most successful of the three, as the only possible strike target should the talks fall apart. But the U.A.W. benefited greatly from the federal intervention, and Ford has been hailed by consumers for surviving the recession without financial help from taxpayers.

For the union to strike Ford or enter a contentious arbitration process could reignite debate over the bailouts and prove politically embarrassing to President Obama as he readies next year’s re-election campaign.

Bob King, the union’s president, said in an interview that he was “morally and legally” bound to get the best deal possible for his membership, regardless of the political consequences. “But if we end up with a strike or arbitration,” he acknowledged, “I’d feel like I failed in many ways.”

The union’s four-year contracts with G.M., Ford and Chrysler expire in mid-September. Indications are that the U.A.W. will be aggressively seeking better profit-sharing, job guarantees, and wage increases for lower-paid, entry-level workers.

“Our members have sacrificed a lot,” Mr. King said. “We’re trying to figure out a path that gives members more income but doesn’t disadvantage the companies.”

All three automakers are making money and expanding sales. But they are loath to do anything that hurts their newfound competitiveness or adds costs to their streamlined manufacturing operations. The Big Three earned nearly $6 billion in combined profits during the first quarter of this year, and paid sizable profit-sharing checks this spring based on their 2010 results.

“We all know that there are things we can’t do to go back to how we were,” said Cathy Clegg, head of G.M. labor relations, during an appearance Monday at a truck plant in Flint, Mich. “We need to see a pretty healthy market recovery before we start turning factories back on.”

All three companies have drastically cut production and jobs in recent years to better match their smaller market shares. The U.A.W. currently has less than half the number of employees at G.M., Ford and Chrysler than just five years ago.

The pain of losing so many jobs is still fresh in the minds of the surviving workers, said Mr. King, who was elected president last year after previously running the U.A.W.’s Ford division.

“They want stability,” he said. “They want to know they’ll be working next week and next year, and that they will be able to send their kids to college.”

But while preserving jobs is paramount, Mr. King said that workers deserved a bigger share of the economic benefits of Detroit’s turnaround.

While Mr. King does not expect across-the-board wage increases, he said the automakers should improve their profit-sharing formulas, something some auto executives have indicated a willingness to consider. He added that new entry-level workers, who are paid about $15 an hour compared with $28 for regular U.A.W. members, deserve pay increases in the new contract.

“I don’t think you should be working in the auto industry at poverty-level wages when the companies are doing well,” he said.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=fdf7a65247c28951a4e15aea9744906f

China’s Economy Slows Slightly, but Inflation Remains a Worry

But data released on Tuesday and Wednesday leaves unclear whether the slowing is enough to bring down inflation — particularly as long as the central bank is pumping tens of billions of renminbi into the economy each week to keep the Chinese currency from rising more quickly against the dollar.

Chinese policy makers now face a delicate balancing act. They must try to divine how much more currency appreciation the country’s highly successful export industry can withstand, before the stronger renminbi makes Chinese goods less competitive on the global market.

Printing fewer renminbi to buy dollars would be the most direct step that China could undertake to fight inflation, Western and Chinese economists say. But policy makers have feared that doing so would let the renminbi rise too quickly and cause layoffs at export factories — even though the latest data shows a surge in exports.

Instead of crimping the money supply, policy makers have resorted to domestic measures, like raising interest rates and forcing commercial banks to park more of their assets at the central bank instead of lending them. But those moves are now starting to slow the domestic economy in China.

Any curb on the domestic economy directly contradicts the government’s long-term goal of shifting from export-led growth to more self-reliant growth with a greater emphasis on domestic consumption.

Even though prices at the consumer and producer levels rose a little less quickly last month than they had in March, the slight slowdown at the consumer price level was less than many economists had expected. Consumer-price inflation edged down to 5.3 percent in April, from 5.4 percent the month before.

Retail sales and construction barreled ahead in April, but not quite as quickly as the month before.

Industrial production slowed last month, but that was partly because factories had expanded so vigorously that they surpassed the electricity supply in some areas. Another factor was that some parts were in short supply from Japan after the natural and nuclear disasters there.

Meanwhile, the purchasing managers index has inched down, although it is still forecasting continued economic growth.

Taken together, the welter of economic data released Tuesday and Wednesday suggests that the Chinese economy is “cooling, but still hot,” said Hongbin Qu, HSBC’s chief economist for greater China.

As a move against inflation, Mr. Qu predicted in a research note, the government could tighten monetary policy further for the domestic economy.

Some economists are starting to ask whether the government might have gone too far in raising interest four times since October. But interest rates on bank deposits remain far below consumer price inflation, while interest rates on corporate loans remain below inflation at the producer level.

Many Chinese business executives say that their sales are still strong, and some are still finding credit readily available.

“Orders are strong from stores within China, and we see the potential for the domestic market ever expanding,” said Stan Hu, the sales manager at the Xigo Electric Group Company, an air-conditioner manufacturer in Nantuo, in southern China’s Guangdong Province. “It is true that banks have tightened their lending to companies, but we have not been affected given our healthy financial situation.”

Others, though, are struggling for loans — particularly smaller businesses, as well as exporters of low-margin products like mass market clothing.

The worried include Colin Cheng, sales manager of Ningbo Yinzhou Gold-Sun Garments Company, which makes T-shirts, skirts and other knitted garments in Ningbo, in east-central China.

“The banks have tightened lending, especially to enterprises such as ours,” he said. “We still have a three-year loan outstanding from the banks. But once it expires, we have already been informed that it is not likely the loan will be rolled over.”

The strongest facet of the Chinese economy these days is also in many ways the least welcome: exports. China’s exports jumped 25.9 percent last month from a year earlier.

That was a contrast to overall industrial production, which rose only 13.4 percent, as companies devoted more factory capacity to filling orders from overseas, rather than focusing on goods for domestic consumption.

China’s trade surplus in April, at $11.43 billion, was nearly three times what economists had expected, as exports surged past their previous record, set in December.

Countries like India, Singapore and Brazil have been dismayed at the extraordinary success of Chinese companies in grabbing business and seizing a large share of the jobs and prosperity created by the world’s gradual recovery from the economic downturn.

A cornerstone of that export success has been the huge intervention in currency markets. The People’s Bank of China issued renminbi to buy an average of $15 billion a week worth of dollars and other currencies during the first quarter, pushing its foreign exchange reserves over $3 trillion for the first time.

The central bank has tried to limit the inflationary effects of this monetary intervention by selling notes to banks at low interest rates, which allows it temporarily to take renminbi back out of circulation.

Forcing banks to park as much as a fifth of their assets with the central bank also reduces the amount of money in the economy, while enabling the central bank to use much of that money to pay for further purchases of dollars.

But this week’s data contained a warning of a possible threat to the central bank’s delicate balancing act: bank lending grew faster than expected, as banks were quick to use cash not tied up at the central bank.

At the same time, Chinese households actually reduced their deposits at banks. That is a sign many families may have concluded that earning an interest rate below the rate of inflation is a bad idea — and that spending on already high-priced real estate, gold and other physical assets may still be a better bet. Even if such spending is likely to add to inflationary pressures.

Hilda Wang contributed reporting.

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China’s Exports Perch on Uncertain Truck System

But there is a surprisingly weak link in the Made in China chain.

Moving those goods from the factory floor to one of China’s enormous seaports — often a drive of less than two hours — typically means relying on an independent trucking company. And as vital as trucking is to China’s mighty export machine, the government seems to be ignoring the drawbacks of what analysts say is an increasingly disorganized, inefficient and even costly way to transport factory goods to seaports.

Trucking’s tenuous status has been underscored by recent protests and demonstrations by drivers. Last weekend, in an unusually bold display of public anger, 2,000 truckers went on strike in Shanghai to complain about the rising cost of fuel and unfair government transportation fees. Some protestors hurled rocks, tried to overturn police cars and smashed the windshields of truck drivers who refused to join the strike.

The Shanghai municipal government eventually ended the three-day strike by arresting protestors and threatening strike organizers, while also promising to lower some fees that trucking companies must pay to use the roads and seaport.

But the challenges that trucking pose to China’s $1.5 trillion a year in exports are still in place — and could become even greater, now that huge factories have begun relocating to poorer, inland regions to save on labor costs.

“Our concern is that as these factories move away from the coast, the service standards won’t keep pace,” said Ken Glenn, an executive at APL, a transportation services company. “Rail and barge are even less developed.”

Within China, thousands of small trucking companies, many of them family-owned, compete by promising low-cost delivery. Then they overload their 18-wheelers in dangerous ways, pay bribes to ward off highway inspectors and hope to eke out tiny profits.

Now, though, with global oil prices sending the cost of fuel soaring, many truckers say they are heading toward bankruptcy.

“We’re paying a lot more money for fuel than we did three years ago, but what we get paid for freight has stayed the same,” said Qi Zhenwei, a truck owner stationed at a dusty trucking depot near one of Shanghai’s busiest ports. “How am I supposed to survive?”

Mark Millar, a China logistics expert at M Power Associates in Hong Kong, sees Chinese trucking as “a seriously fragmented and brutally competitive industry.”

“Most of the drivers are owner-operators, and in order to make money, they carry more cargo than the truck is supposed to hold,” Mr. Millar said. “This is obviously not a healthy model.”

Not all trucking in China is such a seat-of-the-pants affair. Some global companies transport goods by truck in sealed shipping containers from factory to dock, sometimes accompanied by security escorts.

But more often, goods destined for export are delivered to seaports by small trucking companies — usually hired by logistics firms that bargain to get the lowest possible shipping price. To scrape by, many of the small trucking firms violate the law, pay bribes to avoid heavy fines and transportation restrictions, and even force drivers to sleep in the trucks overnight, sometimes in insecure parking lots.

These rigors might seem to contradict the heavy investment in infrastructure and expressways that China has made make its transportation network more efficient.

But many of this country’s modern roadways are expensive toll roads. And the government has placed tough regulations on many aspects of the transportation industry, which analysts say have burdened many companies with heavy taxes, insurance and government fees. As a result, transporting goods by truck in China is relatively more expensive than doing so in the United States.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/29/business/global/29truckers.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Economix: Call for Low Rates Is Lost on Euro Zone

The European Central Bank headquarters in Frankfurt.Alex Domanski/Reuters The European Central Bank headquarters in Frankfurt.

The International Monetary Fund appeared to warn the European Central Bank on Monday against further interest rate increases, saying that the euro area is still in a fragile state. The warning may not have much effect, though. The European bank’s president, Jean-Claude Trichet, emphasized last week that the central bank will not be swayed by outside pressure.

In its World Economic Outlook published Monday, the I.M.F. suggested that there is no reason to raise the benchmark interest rate “as long as inflation pressures remain subdued.”

That is in fact the case, the report said. In most countries, factories are still not operating at capacity, while higher prices for oil and other commodities are likely to be temporary.

“This argues for low policy rates for now to support the recovery and help offset the dampening short-term effects of fiscal consolidation on domestic demand,” the report said.

Because of “financial fragilities” in the euro area, it added, the European bank should move slowly to raise official interest rates from historic lows to more normal levels.

The fund has more than an academic interest in the matter. Increases feed through to borrowing costs for Greece and Ireland, which are receiving I.M.F. aid as they try to avoid defaulting on their government debt.

The European Central Bank has already begun nudging up rates to fight nascent signs of inflation, despite widespread criticism from investors and professional economists. Last week the bank raised its benchmark rate to 1.25 percent from 1 percent.

Mr. Trichet, however, seems to almost take pride in defying the consensus and remaining true to the bank’s mandate to fight inflation above all else.

“We are used to having our own analysis and it does not necessary coincide with the analysis of some observers, some market participants, some economists and even some international institutions,” Mr. Trichet said at a news conference shortly after the bank’s governing council meeting on April 7.

Mr. Trichet maintained that the bank’s contrarian stance has served it well in the past.

“I can remember decisions we took to increase interest rates which were not recommended by any international institution,” he said. “Very fortunately now, with the benefit of hindsight, they would say: ‘Yes, you did well.’”

On Tuesday, a member of the bank’s executive board refuted one of the I.M.F.’s main justifications for keeping rates low. Jürgen Stark, who is the European bank’s de facto chief economist, was dismissive of the argument that there is no reason to worry about inflation as long as factories are operating at below capacity and there is still slack in the economy.

“Output gaps are ill-defined objects and are subject to a great deal of measurement error,” Mr. Stark said in Hong Kong, according to an official transcript of his remarks.

It wasn’t clear whether Mr. Stark was responding directly to the I.M.F. report, but the message was clear. The European Central Bank will not be told what to do.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=1c4035f9efc2bc704d6f1af4f4ef2a78

Japanese Carmakers to Restart Limited Production

Taken together, the Friday developments offered a glimpse of how Japan is gradually returning to normal after the disasters of March 11.

But the process is a slow and painful one: business sentiment remains fragile, and many companies still face considerable disruption, not least because sporadic aftershocks are continuing to rattle the country.

Toyota, whose Japan-based plants build nearly half the vehicles the company sells worldwide, said it would resume production at its Japanese facilities from April 18 through April 27. However, the plants, which have suffered supply-chain problems, will operate at only 50 percent capacity.

The factories are then to be closed for their regular spring holiday through May 10. No decision has been made about whether, and to what extent, operations will resume after the spring vacation, Toyota said in a statement.

Nissan and Honda also announced that their closed factories would soon reopen, at half capacity .

Meanwhile, a government survey of service-sector workers, released Friday, highlighted the toll that the disaster had taken on business confidence. The so-called economy watchers poll, which regularly questions workers like hotel and restaurant staff members, barbers and taxi drivers, showed sentiment plummeting from a reading of 48.4 in February to 27.7 in March.

Separately, the Japanese central bank, in its monthly assessment of the economy Friday , said it expected the economy to “remain under strong downward pressure, mainly on the production side, for the time being.”

A “moderate recovery” will kick in once production regains traction, the bank added. But for now, businesses and consumers are having to grapple with the disruption the disaster has wrought on the nation’s power system, and on the supplies of parts and components needed by manufacturers.

Worries about radiation leaking from the quake-stricken Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Station also continue to weigh heavily on sentiment and are expected to lead to a sharp drop in consumer spending.

Meanwhile, a severe aftershock Thursday served as a stark reminder that the country remained susceptible to further tremors and tsunamis.

With a magnitude of 7.1, the tremor was much less severe than the 9.0 earthquake of March 11. Still, it was enough to cause several new plant closures. Sony, the chip maker Renesas, and Elpida Memory said Friday that production at some factories in northern Japan had been halted again because of power failures, Reuters reported.

“Economic data releases will be hard to interpret for the next few months,” Richard Jerram, a regional economist at Macquarie in Singapore, commented in a research note Friday. Anecdotal evidence and data from companies should give a sense of the economic effects, Mr. Jerram said, but “this tends to be hard to translate to a broader macro scale.”

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/04/09/business/global/09yen.html?partner=rss&emc=rss