November 15, 2024

Stocks Slide in Europe Amid Uncertainty Over Greece

The market’s attention was focused on the results of a teleconference later Monday between Greek officials and the so-called troika of foreign creditors — the International Monetary Fund, the European Commission and the European Central Bank — as well as further meetings among senior officials in Athens struggling to close a gaping budget gap.

Meetings of European finance ministers at the end of last week and an emergency meeting of the Greek cabinet on Sunday failed to produce any specific commitments on whether the next tranche of €8 billion, or $11 billion, in financial aid would be released in time to help Athens meet obligations coming due in mid-October.

Amid the crisis atmosphere, Prime Minister George Papandreou of Greece canceled a visit to the United States, saying he needs to be at home to work on the rescue package.

Some analysts now fear that given the legal complications in some euro zone countries, and the apparent reluctance of Greece to push ahead on the kind of commitments on spending, wages and privatizations being sought by its partners, Greece might soon default, triggering a domino effect on other euro zone countries like Portugal, Italy or Spain.

Those fears were compounded after the party of Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany lost ground in a regional election in Berlin on Sunday, amid voter anger over her handling of the debt crisis.

“The background noise of the Greek debt crisis resembles a continuous alarm tone,” Rainer Guntermann and Peggy Jäger, Commerzbank analysts said in a research note. “With few tangible results coming from the finance ministers’ meeting over the weekend and still little official indication that the Greek debt swap may go through, speculation remains high and Bunds remain in demand.”

The Euro Stoxx 50 Index retreated 2.3 percent and futures on the Standard Poor’s 500 Index sank 1.5 percent. The FTSE-100 shed 1.6 percent in London.

Banking stocks were once again hard hit. Barclays, the British bank shed around 7 percent, and BNP Paribas of France was down around 2.5 percent.

The euro weakened 1 percent to $1.3663 and also declined against the yen.

There was also pessimism about the economic outlook after the O.P.E.C. secretary-general Abdalla El-Badri said Monday that global demand for oil was rising less than expected, Bloomberg News reported.

The price of German government bonds rose. The yield on German 10-year bunds declined seven basis points to 1.80 percent. Spanish and Italian bond prices declined even as the European Central Bank was reported to be buying those securities by traders.

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Asian Stocks Rise on Hopes Greece Won’t Default

In a teleconference Wednesday night, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou all reaffirmed the belief that Greece is an “integral part” of the eurozone.

Merkel and Sarkozy pledged to help Greece avoid a debt default and Papandreou renewed his commitment to debt-reduction targets.

The news soothed markets that have been rattled over the past few days by fears that debt-ridden Greece was heading rapidly toward a chaotic default as well as the idea that it could potentially leave the euro and return to its own currency.

In early European trading, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was up 0.5 percent at 5,252.98 while Germany’s DAX was up 1 percent at 5,395.15. The CAC-40 in France rose 0.5 percent to 2,965.10.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 index rose 1.7 percent to close at 8,668.86 while South Korea’s Kospi advanced 1.4 percent to finish at 1,774.08. Australia’s ASX 200 rose 1.6 percent to end at 4,071.70.

Benchmarks in Singapore, Taiwan and New Zealand also rose.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was less than 0.1 percent higher at 19,058.83, dragged down by clothing retailer Esprit Holdings Ltd., which plunged nearly 12 percent after it said full-year profit tumbled.

Mainland Chinese stocks dipped, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.2 percent at 2,479.65 after spending the day flip-flopping between positive and negative territory.

The rebound in Asian markets is characteristic of recent volatility in global financial markets and it’s unclear whether the optimism would give more than just a short-term boost, said Ben Collett, head of Japanese equities at Louis Capital Markets in Hong Kong.

“If you’re Greece, that is some positive news. A reaffirmation from two European leaders is certainly positive and it is the sort of things the market wants to hear (although) there’s not much behind it,” said Collett.

“There are ways to solve the European issue but they take time. While we’re waiting for that I think it’s reasonable for the market to get a boost from the politicians but that won’t last forever,” he added.

Collett said markets are still pricing in a Greek default and so-called “haircut” — in which bondholders agree to accept less money than expected for their investments.

However, U.S. stocks were poised to dip. Dow futures were down 0.2 percent at 11,152.00 while broader SP 500 futures were down 0.2 percent at 1,179.40.

In currencies, the dollar strengthened to 76.69 yen from 76.65 yen late in New York on Wednesday. The euro fell to $1.3725 from $1.3752.

Oil prices fell amid signs of sluggish U.S. consumer demand. Benchmark oil for October delivery was down 36 cents $88.54 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract lost $1.30 to finish Wednesday at $88.91 per barrel.

In London, Brent crude for October delivery was down 33 cents at $109.32 on the ICE Futures exchange.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2011/09/14/business/AP-World-Markets.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Germany and France Back Greece on Austerity Effort

In their call, French President Nicolas Sarkozy and German Chancellor Angela Merkel had been expected to tell the Greek prime minister, George Papandreou, that he must meet deficit-cutting promises to the European Union and the International Monetary Fund in return for subsidized loans and a second bailout.

Together, they are pushing all euro zone states to ratify as soon as possible decisions made on July 21, which expand the European Financial Stability Facility and allow it increased flexibility to protect Greece and other heavily indebted members as they work to cut deficits and stabilize their finances.

The facility would be expanded to 440 billion euros to allow it to cover Greece, Ireland and Portugal, buy bonds in the secondary markets, aid troubled banks and offer lines of credit.

Wall Street rallied on the European statement, with the Dow Jones industrial average up more than 2 percent by late afternoon.

Earlier Wednesday, France brushed off concerns about its biggest banks Wednesday, insisting that it had no plans to nationalize any of them despite a credit rating downgrade linked to their exposure to the limping Greek economy.

Moody’s Investors Service downgraded two of France’s biggest banks Wednesday, Société Générale and Crédit Agricole, citing the fragile state of bank financing markets and, in the case of Crédit Agricole, exposure to the Greek economy. It kept a third, BNP Paribas, under review.

The French government’s latest attempt at reassurance about the health of their banks came as the leaders of France and Germany prepared to speak with their Greek counterpart amid worries that Athens may default on its heavy debt load.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner also sought to soothe nerves over a possible Greek default, saying in a CNBC interview that European leaders have the capacity “to hold this thing together.”

The head of the European Commission also said he would present options soon for the introduction of euro area bonds — the latest effort by European leaders to show they are trying to strengthen the foundations of their monetary union.

The credit ratings cuts had been widely anticipated by investors but nevertheless sparked knee-jerk drops in the euro and Asian stock markets, both of which had already been on the back foot earlier in the Asian trading day.

But the downgrades were less severe than many analysts had anticipated, and European markets rose.

The Bank of France governor, Christian Noyer, called the ratings cuts “good news” because they were less than expected. In a radio interview, he also said it would make “no sense” to nationalize any French bank, calling such talk “surreal.”

Mr. Geithner said in the CNBC interview that there was “no chance that the major countries of Europe will let their institutions be at risk in the eyes of the market.”

Still, underscoring concerns about the impact of Europe’s debt crisis and banking problems on the United States, Mr. Geithner plans to take the unusual step of attending a meeting of finance ministers from all 27 European Union nations in Poland on Friday.

In a stark warning, the Polish finance minister, Jacek Rostowski, who will host that meeting,  said at the European Parliament in Strasbourg, France, on Wednesday that the European Union itself “might not survive” a collapse of the euro zone.

Société Générale, BNP Paribas and Crédit Agricole all hold Greek debt. Crédit Agricole and Société Générale are more exposed to the Greek banking system through subsidiaries. But Moody’s said Société Générale’s risks from its Greek holdings were relatively modest and manageable.

Société Générale, BNP Paribas and Crédit Agricole are considered integral actors in the French economy, lending billions of euros to businesses and individuals, and the government has indicated it would never let them any of them fail.

Stephen Castle contributed reporting from Brussels and Bettina Wassener contributed from Hong Kong.

This article has been revised to reflect the following correction:

Correction: September 14, 2011

An earlier version of this article erroneously stated that the downgrade of Société Générale was related to its exposure to the Greek economy.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/15/business/global/france-expresses-confidence-in-banks-after-downgrades.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

French-German Proposal for Europe Emerges Before a Meeting on Greece

Details of the agreement were not disclosed.

Released by the office of the French president, Nicolas Sarkozy, the statement said he and Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany had reached an agreement they presented to Herman Van Rompuy, president of the European Council, for consideration.

The leaders of the 17 member countries of the euro zone are to meet in Brussels to try to keep the debt crisis from spiraling out of control after a week of market turbulence in which borrowing costs spiked in Italy and Spain.

Many see the meeting as a moment of truth, particularly for Mrs. Merkel, whose caution has been blamed by some for the region’s failure to stem the crisis, and who, earlier this week, played down expectations of a breakthrough on Thursday.

“Nobody should be under any illusion: the situation is very serious,” José Manuel Barroso, president of the European Commission, the executive arm of the European Union, said earlier in the day. “It requires a response. Otherwise the negative consequences will be felt in all corners of Europe and beyond.”

The commission was arguing for a plan that would have private creditors swap Greek bonds that mature before 2019 for new 30-year bonds, thereby prompting a selective default, according to an official briefed on the negotiations who was not authorized to speak publicly.

The terms of the plan would imply a 20 percent reduction in the value of Greek bonds, the official said, a change that would raise tens of billions of euros to be directed to support the Greek bailout.

In addition, the other countries in the euro area and the International Monetary Fund would contribute 71 billion euros, or $100 billion, to the rescue plan, up to 2014.

Meanwhile, a tax on the banks equivalent to 0.025 percent of the assets of financial institutions could raise around 50 billion euros over five years and would finance a buyback of Greek bonds via the euro zone bailout fund known as the European Financial Stability Facility, the official said. That would reduce the stock of Greek debt by around 20 percentage points of gross domestic product.

Although a tax on banks has been discussed for several days, it had previously been presented as a tool for raising private sector financing without provoking a default, rather than a means of raising additional money. There are also technical problems with a bank tax that would have to be levied by each national government and would exclude countries that did not use the euro even if they had Greek liabilities.

With its willingness to contemplate selective default and ambitious targets for raising cash from the private sector, the European Commission proposal seems to be intended to appeal to Germany, which has consistently called for banks to take a substantial part of the loss.

Germany, Finland and the Netherlands are at odds with the European Central Bank and some governments over their insistence that private bondholders share the pain. Besides concerns over contagion, the central bank has said that a selective default would make it impossible to accept Greek bonds as collateral. That may require measures to ensure that liquidity still flows to Greek banks, the official said.

Officials said it was unclear whether the plan floated by the commission would be accepted by Berlin and Paris and other governments.

One element attracting consensus is the need to reduce the burden on indebted nations, not only by buying back Greek bonds but also through a reduction in the interest rates offered to Greece, Ireland and Portugal, which have also accepted international help. The maturities of these loans would also be extended.

The European Financial Stability Facility looks destined to gain a more important role, financing the buyback of bonds, and possibly the extension of credit lines or help in bank recapitalization.

“For the federal government, the participation of private investors is of immense value and is our aim,” Steffen Seibert, the German government spokesman said on Wednesday. “We are very confident that there will be a good and sensible solution,” he said in Berlin.

Economists said that a debt buyback would have other consequences.

If the program were voluntary, some investors might not participate, hoping that market prices for Greek debt would rise. So the buyback would have to be compulsory — a default, in other words — for Greece to get the debt reduction it needed, said Harald Benink, a professor of banking at Tilburg University in the Netherlands.

In addition, Greek banks would need to be bailed out because they have such large holdings of domestic debt. Portugal and Ireland might need a similar buyback deal to protect them from market attacks. The European Central Bank might need to be compensated for losses on its holdings of Greek debt.

And the European Union would have to substantially increase the size of the stability fund to show markets it is ready to protect Spain and Italy, Mr. Benink said.

“That requires a lot of political willingness and ability,” he said. “The worry is that these political leaders will have to drive at a much faster speed than their voters will allow them.”

Judy Dempsey reported from Berlin. Jack Ewing in Frankfurt and Matthew Saltmarsh in London contributed reporting.

This article has been revised to reflect the following correction:

Correction: July 22, 2011

An article on Thursday about efforts to negotiate a rescue plan for Greece paraphrased incorrectly, in some editions, from a statement by the French president, Nicolas Sarkozy, about the progress of talks. Mr. Sarkozy said that Germany and France had agreed on a plan to be presented to a summit meeting; he did not say that the plan would include the participation of Europe’s banking sector. The article also misspelled part of the surname of the president of the European Council, who received the agreement. He is Herman Van Rompuy, not Van Rumpuy.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=bc36992b2916064007266692bfbc8db4

Stock Markets Rise on Greek Developments

Prime Minister George Papandreou of Greece appointed a longtime rival, Evangelos Venizelos, as finance minister and deputy prime minister. The hope in the markets is that the move brings an end to a damaging 48-hour political crisis that raised fears that Greece could run out of money in less than a month.

Investors want assurances that Mr. Papandreou has done enough to get austerity measures through Parliament, which are necessary for the country to get more bailout funds.

Further relief came from news that Germany may be backing off from its tough stance that private creditors bear some of the burden if a second bailout of Greece is necessary.

In a news conference with President Nicolas Sarkozy of France, Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany agreed that private investors should be part of the solution but that their participation had to be on a “voluntary” basis.

“Markets are currently taking this as a positive step,” said Chris Walker, a UBS analyst.

In the opening minutes of trading on Wall Street, the Dow Jones industrial average was up 79.55 points, or 0.7 percent, to 12,041.07. The broader Standard Poor’s 500-stock index was up 8.94 points, or 0.7 percent, and the technology-heavy Nasdaq composite gained 13.15 points, or 0.5 percent.

In Europe, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was up 0.3 percent at 5,718.04 while Germany’s DAX rose 1.4 percent to 7,212.08. The CAC 40 in France was 1.3 percent higher at 3,840.55.

Greek stocks were doing particularly well, with the main ATHEX index up 5.1 percent.

Bond yields rose early Friday after encouraging economic news drew capital into higher-risk investments, like stocks and riskier bonds.

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note rose to 2.944 percent on Friday, a gain of .016 percentage points. Bond yields rise when prices fall.

The euro was also a big gainer, climbing 0.3 percent on the day to $1.4271. On Thursday, it had fallen below $1.41 for the first time in three weeks as investors fretted about a possible Greek debt default.

Greece’s debt crisis has been the main driver in markets this week, but with a seemingly calmer mood Friday, investors may turn to economic data out of the United States later for more direction. A run of weak news on the American economy has weighed on stock markets over the past few years.

The University of Michigan’s monthly consumer confidence survey could well be a catalyst to how markets end the week. The consensus in the markets is that the headline index will rise modestly to 74.5 points in June from the previous month’s 74.30.

“Any signs of improving demand from U.S. consumers would have wide reaching implications and the hope is that with oil prices tumbling, lower petrol costs will free up cash for discretionary spending,” said Ben Critchley, senior sales trader at IG Index.

Oil prices continued to push lower Friday, with the benchmark rate on the New York Mercantile Exchange down another $1.64 to $93.31 a barrel.

Earlier in Asia, before the reshuffle and the German comments, stocks pushed lower.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 index closed 0.6 percent lower at 9,351.40 while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index fell 1.2 percent to 21,695.26.

Mainland Chinese shares fell to their lowest level so far this year as investors reacted to news of a rise in the rate for Chinese central bank’s three-month bills on Thursday, seen as a cue that an interest rate increase may be in the offing.

The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.8 percent to 2,642.82, while the Shenzhen Composite Index fell 1.1 percent to 1,085.11.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=e68cd5b2f3f7475651530a650f349d8c

Merkel Warns Against Inaction in Debt Crisis

BERLIN (AP) — German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Saturday that it was important to help indebted European countries in order to assure that a global economic upswing, and Germany’s economic health, were not undermined by further debt woes in the Euro zone.

In a message apparently intended to convince a skeptical German public that Greece and other struggling economies should not be allowed to default, Mrs. Merkel asserted that Germany’s own economic recovery could be endangered. “If we don’t act right, that could happen,” she said in her weekly video podcast, “but that’s exactly what we want to avoid.”

“That’s why we say that we cannot simply allow an uncontrolled bankruptcy by a country,” Mrs. Merkel said, adding that Europe needed to see how it could help struggling countries improve their competitiveness and also allow them to reduce their debts. She did not mention Greece by name.

“We must do nothing that endangers the global upswing as a whole and would then put Germany in danger again,” she said.

Mrs. Merkel said that the German economy contracted by nearly 5 percent in 2009 following the global financial crisis, saying “there hadn’t been anything like it in decades, and anything like that absolutely has to be prevented from recurring.”

Wolfgang Schaeuble, the German finance minister, is pushing for Greece to get more rescue loans only if investors agree to get repaid seven years late on their Greek bonds. That would give the country more time to get a handle on its debt of 340 billion euros ($491 billion).

That demand is meant to rally support among the public and, particularly, lawmakers in Merkel’s center-right coalition — some of them restless at the idea of giving Greece more money.

However, the European Central Bank, concerned about the reaction of the markets, says that Greece must not change the terms of its debt in ways that would put it in official default. Nevertheless, the head of a group that represents Germany’s private-sector banks signaled readiness to discuss the proposal.

Ratings agencies have said that a bond repayment that materially disadvantages bondholders would be considered a default. Germany has remained vague about some crucial details, such as interest rates and collateral provisions.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/06/12/business/global/12euro.html?partner=rss&emc=rss