December 22, 2024

China’s 10-Year Ascent to Trading Powerhouse

Sunday is the 10th anniversary of China’s joining the World Trade Organization — a membership that helped turn China into the world’s biggest economy after the United States. Companies and consumers worldwide have benefited from China’s emergence as a top trading partner. And yet, because of special breaks and loopholes for China when it joined the W.T.O., it still shields its domestic markets from foreign competition much more than any other big nation.

Consider that $49 microwave oven and $85,000 Jeep.

Microwave oven prices have plunged in the West over the past decade, largely because China has combined inexpensive labor, excellent infrastructure and heavy factory investment to produce the ovens and a wide range of other consumer goods for export, making creature comforts more affordable to customers around the world.

Further, W.T.O. rules against protectionism have made it difficult for countries in the West to limit China’s sixfold surge in exports during those 10 years, even as the Chinese flood of products has forced factory closings and layoffs elsewhere.

But price tags on imported cars at dealerships in Beijing, Shanghai and other Chinese cities signal how China has continued to protect its home market under the special terms of the W.T.O. agreement it negotiated before joining the trade group.

In the United States, prices for a Detroit-made Jeep Grand Cherokee start at $27,490. But in China, after tariffs and other protective fees, it sells for $85,000 or more. (It’s no surprise that Chrysler has sold fewer than 2,500 of them so far this year in China.)

Foreign trading partners often chafe at the way China uses the W.T.O. rules to its advantage.

The Chinese economy’s “spectacular rise would not have been possible without the open global trading system that China was able to benefit from during the past 10 years,” said Karel de Gucht, the European Union’s trade commissioner.

“At the same time,” he said, “China is having to increasingly recognize and respect not only the legal responsibilities it now faces as a member of a global rules-based body, but also the W.T.O. ‘spirit’ of promoting open markets and nondiscriminatory principles.”

Chinese officials have been effusive in the run-up to their W.T.O. anniversary. “We believe that our 10-year arrangement has been successful — the results of the past 10 years are welcome and a valuable inspiration,” Yu Jianhua, China’s assistant minister of commerce, said at a news conference last month in Beijing.

The roots of China’s economic model trace to the singular terms under which the nation joined the World Trade Organization, which now has 153 members.

Based in Geneva, the group was established in 1995 as the successor to an international framework called the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade — GATT, as it was known — that had been mapped out in the early years after World War II.

After negotiating for 15 years to be admitted to GATT and then to the W.T.O., China was finally let in after agreeing to accept the W.T.O.’s broad free trade rules. But as all new members do, Beijing also had to negotiate a lengthy document, known as an accession agreement. It spelled out thousands of details tailored to the specifics of the economy of China, which then was still very much a developing country.

The agreement required China to lower its tariffs to levels below those of many other developing countries. But compared with most industrialized countries, China was allowed to impose considerably higher tariffs — tariffs China has retained even as its economy has subsequently grown to No. 2 in the world.

The clearest example of W.T.O. ascendance China-style may be in automobiles. Even though China’s auto manufacturing industry and car market are now both the world’s largest, China continues to shelter them behind the highest trade barriers of any large industrial economy.

It retains a prohibitive tariff of 25 percent on imported cars, for example, which helps explain why imports represent only 4 percent of the light vehicles sold in China.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=8ae419a0185b4801222ecd23f22936c2

DealBook: Arrest of UBS Trader Rattles Banks in Europe

UBS office in the City of London.Sang Tan/Associated PressUBS office in the City of London.A photograph from Kweku Adoboli's FaceBook page.A photograph from Kweku Adoboli’s FaceBook page.

Kweku Adoboli traveled from Ghana to Israel to a Quaker boarding school before attending a leading university in Nottingham, England. With his education pedigree, he landed a coveted job at UBS, the giant Swiss bank, right after graduation.

But his ascent came to an end in the cool, predawn hours on Thursday when Mr. Adoboli, a 31-year-old trader, was arrested in London on suspicion of causing some $2 billion in losses. The bank said the loss could be enough to wipe out its entire quarterly profits. Investors recoiled, sending shivers through European banks that have already been buffeted by the Continent’s debt woes. Mr. Adoboli had not been charged on Thursday.

The rogue trading case is a troubling reminder that the controls and warning systems that banks like UBS have put into place in the three years since the financial system nearly collapsed may not be enough to protect the system and could renew calls for separating investment banking operations from less risky businesses.

“It reminds you that investment banking is a dangerous business, and it’s going to lead to people asking why they really need” the units, said Fiona Swaffield, an analyst at Execution Noble in London. “It’s a knock to confidence we could do without in this current environment.”

While the full details are still being pieced together, the UBS incident bears an unnerving resemblance to the recent financial scandal at Société Générale. In 2008, Jérôme Kerviel, a trader at the Paris bank, was accused and later convicted of generating $6.8 billion in losses.

Both Mr. Adoboli and Mr. Kerviel worked in a relatively plain-vanilla version of a complex derivatives trading business known as the Delta One desk. As part of this business, traders create investments to track customized assets, like a basket of five retail stocks. In some cases, they use computer programs to profit from tiny differences between the prices of derivatives and their underlying assets — the minute variations between an exchange-traded fund, for example, and the individual stocks underpinning it.

The revelation is a rough blow to the beleaguered bank, which has been struggling to regain its footing since the financial crisis. UBS, one of the European banks hardest hit by the American subprime crisis, had just started to turn a profit and attract wealthy clients back to its private bank, before the Continent’s debt crisis hit and earnings slumped again. Last month, UBS announced it would eliminate 3,500 jobs after poor second-quarter results.

On Thursday after the arrest of Mr. Adoboli, UBS once again found itself scrambling to reassure clients, investors and employees. The firm held conference calls with crucial divisions to discuss the trading scandal. In an internal memo, UBS emphasized that “no client positions” were involved in the “unauthorized trading.”

“While the news is distressing, it will not change the fundamental strength of our firm,” the company wrote in the memo.

How Mr. Adoboli came to take center stage in a worldwide financial scandal is a story of hard work and a globe-trotting education.

At Nottingham University, part of a group of leading institutions known in Britain as red brick universities, Mr. Adoboli, who focused on computer science, was an active member of the student union. During “freshers” week, he helped organize social activities for the incoming class, according to a university spokesman.

Shortly after graduation in 2003, he joined UBS, becoming a investment adviser trainee in London a few years later. Like many young financial professionals, he enjoyed the finer things in life, listing photography, cycling and wine among his interests on his Bloomberg profile. Until about four months ago, Mr. Adoboli lived in a pricey loft on Brune Street in London, not far from the UBS office.

A neighbor in the building, who described Mr. Adoboli as “a really nice guy,” recalls that the trader once held “quite a loud party.” When the neighbor, who requested anonymity, asked him to turn down his music, a contrite Mr. Adoboli acquiesced and gave him a bottle of champagne for his trouble.

Efforts to contact family members of and lawyers for Mr. Adoboli were unsuccessful.

At UBS, Mr. Adoboli rose through the ranks, ending up as director in the exchange-traded funds and Delta One trading desk. It was an increasingly important driver of profits at the financial firm, particularly in the investment bank in the aftermath of the crisis.

The investment bank had been a trouble spot at UBS for years.

Leading up to the financial crisis, the group ramped up its risk, plowing billions of dollars into complex investments backed by subprime mortgages. When the real estate market collapsed, UBS suffered serious losses, forcing the Swiss National Bank to bail out the bank.

In February 2009, the bank tapped Oswald Grübel, the former head of rival Credit Suisse, to revive the financial firm. As he looked to restore profitability, the new chief executive cut thousands of jobs and reduced riskier activities, like exotic structured products and proprietary trading. He also focused on repairing UBS’s reputation with clients, after its private bank was investigated for facilitating tax evasion by wealthy Americans.

But Mr. Grübel rejected calls by some investors, regulators and analysts to sell or spin off the investment banking operations. Mr. Grübel, a former bond trader, argued the unit was critical to the turnaround, enabling UBS to offer a wide range of products and attract clients to its private bank. As UBS shifted away from proprietary trading and the like, the firm looked to other profit centers to drive growth in the investment banking group.

Mr. Adoboli worked in one of those groups, the Delta One desk.

His team specialized in an especially hot corner of the market, exchange-traded funds, a booming, $1.4 trillion industry. Demand for E.T.F.’s, baskets of securities that track a particular index or assets, such as bank stocks or commodities, have exploded in recent years; hedge funds and big institutions use them to make short-term bets on specific areas of the market or to reduce the exposure in their portfolios.

With the bank suffering in other areas, UBS brought in an estimated $500 million in revenue last year from Delta One products, according to a report by J.P. Morgan Cazenove, a British investment bank.

Now, the group is proving to be a drag on profit.

UBS, in announcing the unauthorized trading, offered no additional details about the transactions and said the matter was still being investigated.

For Mr. Adoboli, the next steps are uncertain. A police spokeswoman, who did not provide the name of the trader in custody, said that the person could be sent home, released on bail or charged with an offense.

Reporting was contributed by Landon Thomas Jr., Susanne Craig, Matthew Saltmarsh and Azam Ahmed.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=fe5f1ac89557be778c5ef7013cdc5bc2