November 14, 2024

I.M.F. World Economic Outlook Forecasts 6 Percent Global Growth

The International Monetary Fund warned on Tuesday that the gap between rich and poor countries was widening amid the pandemic, with low vaccination rates in emerging economies leading to a lopsided global recovery.

The I.M.F. maintained its 2021 global growth forecast of 6 percent in its latest World Economic Outlook report, largely as a result of advanced economies, including the United States, expecting slightly faster growth than the global body previously forecast. Economic growth in developing countries is expected to be more sluggish, and the global body said that the spread of more contagious variants of the virus poses a threat to the recovery. It called on nations to work together to accelerate protect their citizens.

“Multilateral action is needed to ensure rapid, worldwide access to vaccines, diagnostics and therapeutics,” Gita Gopinath, the I.M.F.’s chief economist, wrote in the report. “This would save countless lives, prevent new variants from emerging, and add trillions of dollars to global economic growth.”

The I.M.F. projected that the U.S. economy will expand 7 percent in 2021. The euro area was projected to expand 4.6 percent and Japan was expected to expand 2.8 percent. Rapid expansion was expected for China, at 8.1 percent, and India, 9.5 percent, but both of their outlooks have been downgraded since April. The outlook in China was lowered because of a scaling back of public investment, while India was downgraded because of a severe second wave of the virus slowing the recovery.

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/27/business/economy/IMF-World-Economic-Outlook.html

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