May 20, 2024

Archives for March 2022

Streaming Took Over Hollywood. Will It Take Best Picture, Too?

The pandemic accelerated the disruption. Traditional studios like Paramount, Universal, Sony, Warner Bros. and Disney rerouted dozens of theatrical films to streaming services or released them simultaneously in theaters and online. For the second year in a row, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, citing the coronavirus threat, allowed films to skip a theatrical release entirely and still be eligible for Oscars. The academy had previously required at least a perfunctory theatrical release of at least a week in Los Angeles.

This is about more than Hollywood egotism. The worry is that, as streaming services proliferate — more than 300 now operate in the United States, according to the consulting firm Parks Associates — theaters could become exclusively the land of superheroes, sequels and remakes. The venerable Warner Bros. has slashed annual theatrical output by almost half and built a direct-to-streaming film assembly line. Last week, Amazon boosted its Prime Video service by acquiring Metro-Goldwyn-Mayer, the old-line studio behind “Licorice Pizza,” which is nominated for three Academy Awards, including best picture.

In a year when Hollywood largely failed to jump-start theatrical moviegoing, streaming services solidified their hold on viewers. Global ticket sales totaled $21.3 billion in 2021, down from $42.3 billion in 2019, according to the Motion Picture Association. (Theaters were closed for much of 2020.) Some theater companies have gone out of business, others have merged; the world’s biggest theater chain, AMC Entertainment, racked up $6 billion in losses over the past two years and its stock has dropped 66 percent since June. At the same time, the number of subscriptions to online video services around the world grew to 1.3 billion, up from 864 million in 2019, the group said.

One film that struggled at the box office was Mr. Spielberg’s “West Side Story,” which received an exclusive run in theaters (per his wishes) of about three months. It collected about $75 million worldwide (against a production budget of $100 million and global marketing costs of roughly $50 million). “West Side Story” is now available on not one but two streaming services, Disney+ and HBO Max, where it has almost assuredly been viewed more widely than in theaters. But the film was never able to recover — among Oscar voters — from being branded a box office misfire. It received seven nominations, and is poised to win in one category, for Ariana DeBose as best supporting actress.

Mr. Spielberg’s also-ran presence in the current Oscar race makes the ascendance of streaming contenders all the more striking: a lion in the fight to keep the Academy Awards focused on theatrical films is pushed aside.

However unlikely, it is possible that “West Side Story” could come from behind and win the best picture trophy. So could Kenneth Branagh’s “Belfast,” for that matter. Such an outcome would be a bit like 2019, when academy voters, turned off by an over-the-top campaign by Netflix to push “Roma” to best picture glory, instead gave the prize to “Green Book,” a traditional film from Universal Pictures.

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/26/business/media/academy-awards-streaming-services.html

You Don’t Know Much About Jay Penske. And He’s Fine With That.

Ten Penske Media employees interviewed for this article describe their boss as someone who stepped up for publications in trouble. “Jay Penske came in and saved this business,” said Dea Lawrence, the chief operating and marketing officer of Variety. “He is a hero to the publishing world.” His company has more than 1,350 employees, according to the Penske Media vice chairman Gerry Byrne, nearly half of them journalists and content creators.

After the company bought a controlling stake in Vibe and Billboard, which have offices in New York, he flew there to meet with each new employee. “This was in the middle of the pandemic, and so I thought, ‘Wow, this guy is serious!’” said Datwon Thomas, the editor in chief of Vibe. Mr. Thomas met Mr. Penske for lunch at Bryant Park Grill in Midtown. “Jay knew a lot about me and my background,” he said, “and he knew a lot about Vibe.” Four other Penske Media employees said that Mr. Penske makes a practice of meeting with each of his new employees soon after acquiring a property.

Mr. Penske will sometimes play hardball with the staff. When Tatiana Siegel, a longtime Hollywood Reporter journalist, accepted a job at The Ankler, a subscription newsletter started by the show business writer Richard Rushfield that has expanded under the former Hollywood Reporter top editor Janice Min, Mr. Penske put a stop to the move. Ms. Siegel’s contract included a noncompete clause, and Mr. Penske held her to it. The parties eventually agreed that Ms. Siegel would decamp to Rolling Stone, committing 80 percent of her work to it, with the remainder going to The Ankler.

“Jay has been by far the best owner I’ve worked under at The Hollywood Reporter,” said Ms. Siegel, who joined the magazine in 2003. “My situation was unique, and it was resolved amicably.”

The upstart publications Puck and The Ankler pose a new threat to Penske Media’s hold on entertainment coverage. The competition is reminiscent of what took place more than a decade ago, when Deadline had the old guard quaking. Mr. Rushfield said that start-ups may have an advantage over entrenched publications, because they are not beholden to anyone.

“If you’re at a publication like Variety, for example, the number of things a studio has over you is hard to keep track of,” Mr. Rushfield said. “You need friendly access to studio executives and agents gift wrapping your scoops. You need people for covers. You need people to speak at your conferences.” The result, he continued, is that “publications with different business models, and more aggressive reporting, can elbow their way in.”

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/26/style/jay-penske.html

How to File Taxes if You Sold Crypto in 2021

What about the fees that crypto traders sometimes incur when they buy or sell digital assets on exchanges or other platforms? Can that reduce your taxable gains?

So let’s say I’m buying Bitcoin on Coinbase. Coinbase charges me, let’s say, a 3 percent fee. That fee can be added to my basis of the asset that I purchased. If I purchased $100 worth of Bitcoin but I also pay this $3 fee, now my basis in that Bitcoin is actually $103. When I turn around and sell it, that is advantageous for me: I’m not incurring as much gain, because my basis is higher.

What are the questions that you hear about most?

A lot of people ask, “Hey, this is only taxable once I cash out to fiat, right?” And the reality is, “No.”

When you’re disposing of assets, whether or not you actually come back to U.S. dollars, you can still incur a tax bill.

So even if I use my Bitcoin to buy another cryptocurrency like Ether, I can still be taxed on any gains I’ve seen from my initial investment?

Let’s say you buy Ethereum on Coinbase for $1,000, and you hold that for a few months and it rips — it’s at $2,000 now. You sell it to buy stable coins, or Bitcoin. If it was at $1,000 at the time you bought it, you’ve realized $1,000 in capital gains

What about evading taxes? Are there already tax lawyers specializing in cryptoshelters — or whatever it would be in the blockchain world?

There are a lot of tax lawyers who have carved a niche out into the digital asset world. And a lot of those folks can definitely help from a tax planning and tax avoidance perspective. No one we work with is helping with tax evasion — that’s illegal. But there’s a lot of smart people who can help you reduce your taxes through proper planning.

Do you have any sense of the overall tax compliance rate?

In our survey, we found that over 50 percent of crypto investors were reporting their digital asset activity on their taxes. And we’ll see the number continue to drastically go up in the years to come.

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/26/your-money/taxes-crypto-nfts.html

Four Best Picture Contenders Are Remakes. Does That Matter to Oscar Voters?

This year’s remake count is surely inflated by the recent increase to 10 best picture nominees, just as the all-time mark set in 1936 is likely a consequence of falling in one of the two years with a dozen contenders. Still, remakes are overrepresented this year. Historically, 11.5 percent of best picture nominees are remakes by this broad definition, yet this year that number is 40 percent. And since the academy expanded the best picture category a dozen years ago, this is the first year with more than one nominated remake, let alone four.

Does a movie’s status as a reboot matter to voters? The numbers suggest not. Given how many nominees and remakes there are from each year, the rules of probability suggest we would expect about 10 remakes to have won. In fact, the actual number of winning remakes is nine, quite close to that statistical estimation, suggesting a lack of bias for or against stories that have been told before. Those nine rebooted champions: “Mutiny on the Bounty,” “Hamlet,” “Gigi,” “Ben-Hur,” “The Sound of Music,” “Oliver!,” “Chicago,” “The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King” and “The Departed.”

That said, a look at these winners one by one shows more cause for concern among this year’s remakes. Only “The Departed,” based on the 2002 Hong Kong thriller “Infernal Affairs,” is a true remake if we were to go by a much stricter definition. “Mutiny on the Bounty” had been told only once before, in a 1916 Australian film that’s now lost. That film, along with “Ben-Hur,” had not yet been made as a sound film. The earlier version of “Lord of the Rings” was animated. Perhaps most important, “Gigi,” “The Sound of Music,” “Oliver!” and “Chicago” transformed earlier non-musicals into musicals, which perhaps deserves another categorization altogether.

The four contenders this year are a lot closer to “The Departed” than to the other eight champions, without nearly so much daylight between the current version and the earlier one. “West Side Story,” in particular, is quite similar to its 1961 counterpart, and will need to defy history to become the first remake of a previous best picture nominee (let alone winner) to claim the top prize.

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/25/movies/oscars-best-picture-remakes.html

Why the U.S. Can’t Quickly Wean Europe From Russian Gas

A handful of export terminals are under construction in the United States and could increase exports by roughly a third by 2026. Roughly a dozen U.S. export terminal projects have been approved by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission but can’t go ahead until they secure financing from investors and lenders.

“That’s the bottleneck,” Mr. Tsafos said.

Roughly 10 European import terminals are being built or are in the planning stages in Italy, Belgium, Poland, Germany, Cyprus and Greece, but most still don’t have their financing lined up.

Russia provides about 40 percent of Europe’s gas, and its biggest customers tend to be in Eastern and Central Europe. Some countries have built up L.N.G. import capacity, but much of it is in Southern Europe, which is not well connected by pipeline to the countries in the north and the east.

A month into the war in Ukraine, Russian gas shipments to Europe have remained relatively stable, but that could change. Mr. Putin suggested on Wednesday that countries hostile to Russia should be required to pay for its energy in rubles rather than euros or dollars. That would force European companies to deal with Russian banks that have been sanctioned by Western governments.

There are some signs that European businesses and individuals might reduce their use of natural gas in part because it has become so expensive. For example, Yara International, a major fertilizer manufacturer in Italy and France, has said that it would reduce production because of high costs of raw materials like natural gas.

While reducing demand would help, some climate scientists and activists are worried that the Biden administration’s and European Union’s focus on building L.N.G. terminals could deal a grievous blow to the effort to address global warming by encouraging the use of fossil fuels.

“There is a risk of locking in 20 or even 30 years of emissions from export infrastructure at a time when you really need to be reducing your overall emissions,” said Clark Williams-Derry, a senior fellow at the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis, a research organization.

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/25/business/energy-environment/biden-europe-lng-natural-gas.html

Paying Taxes in Retirement

The current high rate of inflation will help some Medicare enrollees avoid surcharges, since the bracket definitions are adjusted annually for inflation. “It does look like we’ll have fewer people paying the surcharges,” said Ron Mastrogiovanni, chief executive of HealthView Services, a Boston-area maker of health care cost-projection software.

The two-year lag effect can create unpleasant surprises when you first enroll in Medicare. It is possible to appeal premium surcharges if your income declined owing to any one of a number of defined “life-changing” circumstances — and one of those is stopping work. File your appeal using Form SSA-44 from the Social Security Administration.

Many states exempt retirement income, although the specifics vary widely. Eight states have no personal income tax, but among those that do, about three-quarters fully exempt Social Security benefits from taxation, and most others have partial exemptions for lower-income retirees, according to research by the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, a nonpartisan nonprofit group. Many states also have partial or full exemptions for pension income, and extra personal exemptions or reductions.

“It’s very common for some part of pension income to be exempted at the state level,” said Aidan Davis, the group’s acting state policy director. “And we’re seeing a major trend this year with more states cutting taxes for retirees,” she added.

Careful planning before retirement can help minimize or even avoid some of the knock-on effects that taxes on Social Security and Medicare surcharges can create. The objective is to reduce taxable income wherever possible by diversifying your holdings outside tax-deferred accounts.

Saving for retirement in a Roth I.R.A., or a Roth 401(k) offers one path to achieve this goal, as can Roth conversions, especially in the early years of retirement before you claim Social Security.

For workers enrolled in high-deductible health insurance plans, a Health Savings Account can help. These accounts can be used to pay out-of-pocket health care costs in retirement; contributions are tax-deductible, and investment growth and interest are tax-exempt, as are withdrawals spent on qualified medical expenses. Contributions to these accounts generally must stop six months before your Medicare enrollment becomes effective.

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/25/business/retirement-taxes-social-security.html

As Home Sale Prices Surge, a Tax Bill May Follow

There are steps you can take, however, to reduce the amount of your gain that is taxable.

First, you can subtract costs associated with the sale of the house, like real estate commissions and transfer and appraisal fees.

You can also increase your “basis” — the dollar amount on which the gain is based — by adding to your purchase price the cost of any improvements made to your home over the years. The improvements must be projects that add to the value of the house and extend its useful life. Replacing the pipes in your house would qualify, but swapping out a shower head would not, said Michael Durant, a senior accountant at Prager Metis in Manhattan.

If you added a room, remodeled your kitchen or replaced a roof, all those costs can be added to your basis, which helps to shrink your gain and the associated tax, said Isabel Barrow, director of financial planning at Edelman Financial Engines, a financial planning and wealth management firm.

Ms. Barrow suggested that homeowners maintain a spreadsheet showing the date and cost of any improvements. Homeowners should save receipts, invoices and design plans to justify an increase in their property’s basis.

Here’s how it could work, continuing with the hypothetical single seller who exceeds the $250,000 cap by $50,000. Say you paid a 6 percent real estate commission ($36,000). You would subtract that from the selling price, reducing it to $564,000. Perhaps you spent $15,000 to upgrade a bathroom; you would add that to the price you paid for your home, raising your basis to $315,000. The gain would then be $249,000 ($564,000 minus $315,000), below the exclusion for a single filer — so you’d owe no tax.

Most people who have lived in a home for a long period have made significant improvements, whether it’s building a swimming pool, installing blinds or adding a generator, said Melanie Lauridsen, senior manager of I.R.S. advocacy and relations with the American Institute of Certified Public Accountants. The improvements count, she said, “even if you paid for it a long time ago.”

If you don’t qualify for the full exclusion, there are exceptions that may make you eligible for at least part of it. Say you bought a home but have to sell it within two years because of a job relocation, an illness or disability, or another unforeseen event that forces a move. You may be able to claim a partial exclusion. The I.R.S. provides a worksheet, but it’s best to get professional advice to make sure you get the details right, Ms. Barrow said.

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/25/your-money/home-sale-tax.html

Is America’s Economy Entering a New Normal?

The Fed began to raise interest rates this month in a bid to cool the economy down and temper high inflation, and Mr. Powell made clear this week that the central bank planned to keep lifting them — perhaps aggressively. After a year of unpleasant price surprises, he said, the Fed will set policy based on what is happening, not on an expected return to the old reality.

“No one is sitting around the Fed, or anywhere else that I know of, just waiting for the old regime to come back,” Mr. Powell said.

The prepandemic normal was one of chronically weak demand. The economy today faces the opposite issue: Demand has been supercharged, and the question is whether and when it will moderate.

Before, globalization had weighed down both pay and price increases, because production could be moved overseas if it grew expensive. Gaping inequality and an aging population both contributed to a buildup of savings stockpiles, and as money was held in safe assets rather than being put to more active use, it seemed to depress growth, inflation and interest rates across many advanced economies.

Japan had been stuck in the weak-inflation, slow-growth regime for decades, and the trend seemed to be spreading to Europe and the United States by the 2010s. Economists expected those trends to continue as populations aged and inequality persisted.

Then came the coronavirus. Governments around the world spent huge amounts of money to get workers and businesses through lockdowns — the United States spent about $5 trillion.

The era of deficient demand abruptly ended, at least temporarily. The money, which is still chugging out into the U.S. economy from consumer savings accounts and state and local coffers, helped to fuel strong buying, as families snapped up goods like lawn mowers and refrigerators. Global supply chains could not keep up.

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/24/business/economy/america-russia-pandemic-inflation.html

Everyone Has Crypto FOMO, but Does It Belong in Your Portfolio?

Other fund vehicles hold crypto directly, but they’re grappling with different structural problems and carry higher fees, which are a drag on returns.

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust, the largest Bitcoin vehicle, with $27 billion in assets, costs 2 percent and trades on the “over the counter” market. But these trusts don’t have the flexibility of regular mutual funds and E.T.F.s to balance supply and demand, so their share prices may deviate from Bitcoin’s price. Another provider, Osprey Bitcoin Trust, became available (for a fraction of Grayscale’s cost) in February, but it faces the same challenges.

Grayscale, Bitwise and other providers have said converting to an E.T.F. structure would solve these problems, but they haven’t received the green light from regulators, who worry that the underlying coins may be subject to manipulation and fraud. (E.T.F.s that hold actual coins do exist elsewhere, though — the Fidelity Advantage Bitcoin E.T.F., for example, is available in Canada.)

Investors seeking professional guidance may find that more financial advisers now have firsthand cryptocurrency experience — some of which may be driven by an effort to educate themselves and field questions with more confidence. About 47 percent of advisers reported owning crypto assets in 2021, according to the Bitwise/ETF Trends survey, which polled 619 advisers. That was nearly double the result the previous year.

One adviser, Ritholtz Wealth Management, has gone as far as introducing, with partners, a crypto-related index providing broad exposure for its clients through a separately managed account. It charges 0.50 percent annually, and has a sign-up fee of 0.70 percent.

Crypto is “hard to ignore at this point,” said Michael Batnick, Ritholtz’s director of research.

Cristina Guglielmetti, a financial adviser in Brooklyn, called the vast majority of her clients “prime crypto-curious”: “mid-40s, familiar with tech/pop culture — it’s all around them.” She tries to understand why they want crypto, while making sure they’re aware of its place in their investment mix.

“Are we putting off other goals so you can do this?” she said. “Or have we handled everything else that needs handling, and now you’re in a good place to be doing more speculative things?”

That makes cryptocurrencies just like any other boom-or-bust investment, Ms. Guglielmetti said.

“We just have to understand what role it’s playing for you,” she said. “Having some fun and exploring new things is a perfectly valid role.”

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/24/your-money/bitcoin-investing-cryptocurrency.html

How 6 Workers Built New Careers In the Pandemic

Jane Watiri Taylor was working as a nurse at the Travis County Jail in Austin, Texas, when the pandemic hit. She called it the most frightening time she could remember in 10 years of nursing. Not only was she worried about catching the virus during her shifts, but some inmates took out their anger and frustration on her.

“One time this person literally tried to spit on me,” she remembered. “They said, ‘I have Covid, and I’m going to give it to you.’ They spit on my scrubs; luckily it never got on my face.”

For Ms. Watiri Taylor, 54, like so many other health care workers, “the burnout was real.”

“I like taking care of people. But at that point, I was like, ‘I think I’m going to change jobs and start taking care of plants,’” she said. “You know, plants are never going to call me names, or insult or abuse me. I really needed to get out of that job.”

In July 2021, she left to pursue a dream she’d had since her childhood in Kenya: to become a farmer.

She had been growing fruits and vegetables in her backyard since 2015. To learn how to run her own farming business, she signed up for a class through Farmshare Austin, a nonprofit. She subleased a small piece of land in Lexington, Texas, to grow fruits and vegetables on a larger scale. She now sells her produce at local farmers’ markets.

“I want to nurture people; that’s why I got into nursing,” she said. “With farming, you are still nurturing people, but in a different way. It is really satisfying when you grow stuff and are able to know that eventually it is going to help make sure someone has got food on the table and it is going to nourish their bodies. And to me, that’s enough.”

Farming is much less predictable than nursing, and the financial instability worries her. Still, she says she is much happier than when she was working as a nurse.

“Money is important,” she said. “But I want to be able to wake up every morning excited about what I’m doing. And that’s how I feel about farming.”


Adam Simon

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/23/business/pandemic-workers-careers.html