April 27, 2024

Archives for April 2021

How the Wealthy Are Planning for Biden’s Tax Increases

Mr. Biden has cleared up some issues for the middle class in his proposal. He has recommended an exemption of $1 million on the capital gains of assets transferred to heirs. He has also left in place the $250,000 exemption on taxable gains in the value of a person’s primary residence. (These exemptions would double for a couple.)

But in many cases, this would affect people who would not have had to think about paying any tax at death, whether the estate tax exemption remained the current $11.7 million or dropped to $3.5 million, which had been expected to happen.

“The changes to the step-up in basis — that’s the curveball,” said Paul Saganey, the founder and president of Integrated Partners, a financial advisory firm. “It’s really going to surprise people. People don’t know what it is or what it means, so how can they quantify the impact of it?”

Also missing was any mention of reinstating the full deduction for state and local taxes, known as SALT. The cap on these deductions in the 2017 tax law hurt people living in the Northeast and West Coast states, where the property and state taxes are higher.

Mr. Biden has proposed limiting a break on real estate transactions. He would cap at $500,000 the value of 1031(b) exchanges, which have essentially allowed real estate investors to roll gains from the sale of buildings into new buildings without ever paying capital gains taxes on them. Coupled with the step-up in basis at death, which wiped out all the gains in value of the buildings, this was a large tax break for families whose wealth rested on real estate investment and ownership.

What is less known is what, if anything, may be adopted from the “For the 99.5 percent” plan. The plan would close some popular tax-reduction strategies, many of which were targeted during the Obama administration.

Three of the proposals would be relatively easy to enact. One would end short-term trusts that allow people to pass tax-free to their heirs expected appreciation — say from the sale of a private business. Another would limit tax-free gifts that can be given each year to trusts to fund things like life insurance to pay estate taxes. A third would curtail special tax treatment that family partnerships receive, even when they own liquid securities and not an operating business.

“They already have the regulations written for these,” Ms. Lucina said. “I don’t want to scare anyone that these will be enacted. But some of these could be enacted quickly and looked at as loophole closers.”

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/30/your-money/biden-taxes-wealthy.html

Banks Were Allowed to Give People More Access to Savings in the Pandemic

Mike Schenk, chief economist for the Credit Union National Association, said he didn’t have comprehensive data on what credit unions were doing. But, he said, his calls to several credit unions found that “most don’t charge those fees anymore.” The association has long supported an elimination of the transaction cap as best for depositors, he said, and many credit unions routinely waive the fees anyway.

Nevertheless, some credit unions, including Alliant and PenFed, still cite the old federal six-withdrawal limit restriction on their websites. “If I exceed these limitations my account will be subject to an excessive transaction fee and may be closed,” PenFed’s general savings disclosure says.

Eliminating transaction caps may end up changing consumer behavior, said Simon Zhen, senior research analyst at MyBankTracker.com. Savings accounts typically offer higher rates than checking accounts because they are designed for money to remain there and grow. If the distinction between a savings account and a checking account is eliminated, consumers may have less reason to use checking accounts, and banks may have less incentive to offer better rates on savings accounts.

“If you take the limit away, what’s the difference between a saving account and a checking account?” Mr. Zhen asked.

Here are some questions and answers about savings account fees:

How can I avoid excessive savings withdrawal fees?

Set up text or email alerts to notify you when you are approaching the account’s limit. You can also consider using a line of credit, rather than linking your checking account to your savings account, to cover any overdrafts and reduce unnecessary transfers.

Also, savings withdrawal limits apply to the number of transactions, not the amount. If you know you’ll be needing some cash from your savings account, consider making one or two larger withdrawals instead of several smaller ones, said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst at Bankrate.com. (Separately, some accounts may limit the total amount of cash that can be withdrawn or transferred in a single transaction.)

What are current interest rates paid on savings accounts?

Even on “high yield” accounts at online banks, which typically pay higher rates because they have no branch network to maintain, annual percentage yields hover around 0.40 or 0.50 percent — far below what those accounts typically paid a year ago. Still, that’s better than the average savings account rate of 0.14 percent, according to DepositRates.

What if I need to withdraw money in excess of my account’s transaction limits?

Contact your bank to discuss your situation and ask for a waiver of the fee, Mr. McBride said. Banks are likely to be flexible, given the continued economic fallout of the pandemic.

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/30/your-money/covid-banks-savings-access.html

European economy slides into double-dip recession after new Covid-19 wave

Gross domestic product (GDP) in the 19 countries sharing the euro contracted 0.6% quarter-on-quarter in January through March, while the wider EU economy was down 0.4%, the statistical office said on Friday. Year-on-year, the euro area economy shrank by 1.8%, while output in the 27-nation bloc declined 1.7%.

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The EU and the euro area faced declines in the final three months of 2020 as a new wave of Covid-19 hit the continent. That means that the region is currently in a technical recession again, defined as two consecutive quarters of negative growth.

Europe is now in a double-dip recession, a situation when a recession is followed by a short-lived recovery and another recession. The first recession hit in the first half of 2020, when the coronavirus crisis led to lockdowns which shut most businesses, before rebounding in the third quarter. 

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The bloc’s largest economy, Germany, was among three EU members facing the biggest contractions in January-March. Germany has the highest year-on-year decrease in GDP after Portugal and Spain, which stands at 3%. The German economy also fell by 1.7% compared to the previous quarter.

However, some economists point out that the situation is set to improve later this year, as vaccinations will help governments to ease coronavirus restrictions and boost recovery. 

“However, speed aside, it is moving in the right direction – particularly as the vaccine roll out gathers pace,” Robert Alster, CIO at wealth manager Close Brothers Asset Management, said as cited by Yahoo Finance. He added that the summer months are “crucial for southern Europe’s road to recovery,” especially for tourism-reliant states.

For more stories on economy finance visit RT’s business section

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/522576-europe-double-dip-recession/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

China accuses Australia of ‘economic coercion’ amid escalating tensions

In a lengthy statement to the Australia China Business Council on Thursday, ambassador Cheng Jingye said Canberra is “changing its perceptions about China” by now considering Beijing a threat rather than a partner. The diplomat further stressed that claims of Chinese diplomatic and economic coercion are irrelevant and serve as “a cover-up” to shift responsibility.

Also on rt.com Beijing vows to fight back after Australia cancels China’s Belt and Road project in state of Victoria

“If there is any coercion, it must have been done by the Australian side,” Cheng said, adding that Beijing’s actions were meant to “uphold its legitimate rights and interests, prevent bilateral ties from further plunging and move them back onto the right track.”

The ambassador cited economic data as an example of Australia’s wrongdoings. According to Cheng, China’s investment in Australia dropped more than 90% in four years, while Australian exports to China remained high, standing at AU$148 billion (US$115 billion) in 2020. He also compared the number of trade-related probes launched by each side, noting that Canberra opened 106 anti-dumping investigations into Chinese imports, while Beijing launched just four into Australian goods. 

China halts Australian hay imports amid escalating trade row China halts Australian hay imports amid escalating trade row

Other coercive practices cited by Cheng include “discriminatory” restrictions on Chinese investments, as well as the “suppressing” of Chinese high-tech firms, apparently referring to the exclusion of tech giants Huawei and ZTE from Australia’s 5G networks. He also addressed Australia’s recent decision to tear up the Belt and Road initiative between China and the state of Victoria, saying that it was among a long list of “negative moves” that damaged the bilateral relations. 

Tensions between the two countries have been increasing for several years, especially after Canberra banned Chinese vendors from its 5G rollout. The situation worsened last year when Australia called for an international inquiry into the origins of the coronavirus outbreak.

The conflict has had an impact on trade, with many Australian companies facing losses due to decreased shipments and hiked tariffs on exports including wine, barley, meat and coal.

Another downward spiral in China-Australia relations came last week when Canberra announced its decision to abandon the Belt and Road agreement, and the Australian government signaled that it might reverse long-term leases held by Chinese companies at the port in Darwin.

For more stories on economy finance visit RT’s business section

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/522547-china-australia-economic-conflict/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

Russia’s 2021 St. Petersburg Economic Forum to offer cultural program for participants

“St. Petersburg is a city with the richest historical and cultural heritage. SPIEF welcomes guests and participants from all over the world, for whom the Festival of Culture offers a unique opportunity to get to know our country, culture, and traditions better,” said the Russian president’s adviser and executive secretary of the SPIEF Organizing Committee, Anton Kobyakov.

According to Roscongress, on June 3 the governor of Saint Petersburg will host several receptions as part of the official program of the forum, including a special reception for the emir of Qatar.

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The central event of the cultural program will be a concert dedicated to doctors and volunteers, which will take place at Palace Square on June 3.

SPIEF 2021 Festival of Culture will host Qatar Film Days and the new MaWaheb Festival, presenting musical traditions and artists from Qatar and the Middle East and North Africa.

Traditionally, the program of the festival includes a variety of exhibitions. This year, the Russian Ethnographic Museum will host the opening of an exhibition titled ‘Qatar Between Land and Sea. Through Arts and Heritage’. The Institute of Oriental Manuscripts of the Russian Academy of Sciences has also prepared an exhibition called ‘Handwritten Treasures of Chinese Culture on the Banks of the Neva’.

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St. Petersburg’s Mariinsky Theater will present an exposition dedicated to the 180th anniversary of the birth of the great Russian composer Pyotr Ilyich Tchaikovsky.

SPIEF guests and participants will also be able to enjoy a number of excursions, which will allow them to better get to know the city and its culture. The program includes sightseeing tours of St. Petersburg, a visit to the Hermitage Museum, a special tour of the Cathedrals of St. Petersburg, ‘Secrets of the bridges of St. Petersburg’, and others.

For more stories on economy finance visit RT’s business section

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/522546-russia-economic-forum-program/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

Where Should You Buy Your Books?

Supporting small presses, which have strained to weather the industry’s fluctuations during the pandemic, can take the form of shopping from independent bookstores. These stores and presses often have relationships to each other, Ms. Hill said. “Independent bookstores support independent publishers. That’s a tight community,” she said. “The book industry is such a delicate ecosystem. Supporting independent bookstores keeps the ecosystem healthy.”

Some small publishers sell directly from their websites, including Melville House, Akashic Books and Future Tense Books.

Second choice: Barnes Noble is also a crucial part of the book retail ecosystem, Ms. Hill said, and a crucial outlet for writers and publishers. The key is to “spread it around,” Ms. McKean said. “If we only shop at one retailer, that’s bad for everybody.”

It’s hard to beat Amazon on shipping speed. The retail giant offers free domestic shipping between five to eight days of ordering for all users and two-day shipping for Amazon prime members.

Second choice: Any order placed before noon on Bookshop.org will ship that same day, said Mr. Hunter.

Amazon also largely wins out on price. “Most indie bookstores will be transparent with the fact that oftentimes, we can’t compete with Amazon on prices,” said James Odum, communications director for The Strand bookstore in New York City.

Second choice: Barnes Noble also tends to offer significant discounts, especially online.

For readers seeking the largest possible range of reading options, Amazon features over three million books available online. Book recommendations are surfaced through both an algorithm customized to the individual user and through an updated list from Amazon book editors.

Second choice: “Independent bookstores can order nearly any book anyone wants,” said Mr. Graham. Beyond the breadth of selection, independent bookstores have the benefit of more curated selections, with individual booksellers advocating for their favorite books. “There’s really no algorithm equivalent to it,” said Amy Stephenson, a representative for the Booksmith in San Francisco.

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/30/books/books-to-buy-price-selection-authors.html

In Podcast, Odessa High School Students Talk About Struggles

When Joanna finally answered one of our phone calls, she told us, “I keep meaning to get back to you, but I just keep falling asleep.” She wasn’t doing well. Early in the pandemic, her dad had lost his job in the oil fields of Odessa when the virus caused the economy there to collapse, and she had taken her first job at a smoothie shop to help pay her car loan. So like nearly half of the students in the school, Joanna had chosen to stay remote, in part so she could continue to work during school hours, even after the school reopened. Soon, her class work began piling up.

Now Joanna was skipping marching band practice, something she used to love. She had largely stopped working. She was failing three classes. And all she wanted to do was stay in her room.

Naomi Fuentes, a teacher at Odessa High, heard stories like Joanna’s nearly every day. “I’m going through a really bad depression phase right now,” one of them told her, via a Google form she would send around asking her students to report on how they were doing. Others wrote: “I’ve just been feeling so mentally and emotionally tired”; “I feel just overwhelmed and like I ruined my chances of graduating on time”; “Didn’t feel like getting out of bed today but still did.” She didn’t know what to do. Even the students she used to rely on, the ones who had always held themselves together, were struggling.

And instead of creating opportunities for support and solidarity, the pandemic managed to turn people against one another. After a member of the marching band tested positive, dozens of students in the band were required to go into quarantine, causing some to miss their last opportunity to play together as seniors. Parents were angry. The school nurses were exhausted. And the student in question was cyberbullied by former friends. She doesn’t talk to anyone in the band anymore. Like Joanna, she doesn’t see the point of those social interactions now.

It turns out that, in many ways, this pain was the story of Odessa’s reopening. Instead of telling the story of reconnection that comes with reopening, we produced a portrait of isolation and resilience as the school, and the community, struggled under the weight of the pandemic. The last episode of our four-part series, “Odessa,” which was also produced by Sindhu Gnanasambandan and Soraya Shockley and edited by Liz O. Baylen and Lisa Tobin, is available today.

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/30/insider/odessa-high-school-podcast.html

Chinese economic activity loses steam after record post-Covid recovery

The official manufacturing purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 51.1 in April from 51.9 in March, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on Friday. While a reading above 50 reflects growth in factory output, it was lower than economists’ expectations, with polls of analysts by Reuters and Bloomberg both having predicted a slight drop, to 51.7 and 51.8 respectively.

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China’s official non-manufacturing PMI, which reflects sentiment among larger businesses in the service and construction sectors, also fell short of the forecast. The reading fell to 54.9 in April from 56.3 a month earlier, dragged down by construction activity.

“Surveyed companies said that the problems such as chip shortage, clogged international logistics, container shortage and rising freight rates were still serious,” senior NBS statistician Zhao Qinghe said, as cited by media.

‘Baton getting handed over’: Global investors turn their back on China, start pouring more cash into US ‘Baton getting handed over’: Global investors turn their back on China, start pouring more cash into US

The official noted that, despite the slower pace of growth in the manufacturing sector in April, it still performed better than during the same period in 2019 and 2020.

The results of the official PMI were worse than the findings of the Caixin/Markit survey, which reflects sentiment among smaller firms. The private survey, released on Friday, showed that manufacturing PMI rose to 51.9 in April from 50.6 in March.

“The reading was the highest this year, indicating an accelerated recovery of manufacturing activity,” senior economist at the Caixin Insight Group Wang Zhe was quoted as saying by the South China Morning Post.

While the private survey showed that both output and new orders expanded at the fastest pace this year, it also revealed that manufacturing costs rose dramatically. According to Wang, this was due to increased prices for raw materials, including industrial metals. The rising prices may impede further economic recovery, he noted.

Earlier this month, China said that its economy had expanded by 18.3% in the first three months of 2021. The record growth came a year after the coronavirus outbreak paralyzed the world’s second-largest economy. Analysts now forecast the Chinese economy to grow more than 8% this year, well above Beijing’s GDP growth target of around 6%.

For more stories on economy finance visit RT’s business section

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/522529-china-factory-activity-slows/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

Oil prices rally towards $70 as demand outlook improves

Brent jumped to over $68 per barrel, and West Texas Intermediate neared $65 per barrel by the middle of the week and could rise even further unless headwinds appear.

Earlier in the week, OPEC+ forecast that oil demand this year would increase by 5.95 million barrels per day (bpd). This was an upward revision of 70,000 bpd from an earlier projection, and this fact injected optimism in traders, as did OPEC+’s decision to forego a meeting this week and keep producing at previously agreed rates.

Meanwhile, the US Energy Information Administration reported on Wednesday that crude oil inventories are within the five-year average for the season—for the first time in months—and that middle distillate inventories were down by a sizeable 3.3 million barrels last week.

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Middle distillates, mainly diesel, have been a headache for refiners during the pandemic as inventories reached excessive levels due to the slowdown in various activities involving freight transport. Now, businesses are returning to normal operation, according to the data, and demand for diesel is picking up.

“Between planting season and online truck deliveries, you have a nice number in the diesel,” Bob Yawger, energy futures director at Mizuho, said as quoted by Reuters. “Planting season is doing wonders for the distillate market.”

It seems the latest fuel demand developments in the United States were enough to eclipse earlier worry about Indian fuel demand amid a resurgence of infections there.

“There’s a lot of green shoots in demand,” according to Matt Sallee, portfolio manager at asset manager TortoiseEcofin, as quoted by Bloomberg. According to him, the situation in India is “clearly a headwind, but looking at what’s going on in the US, it’s a completely different story.”

Also on rt.com India’s oil demand recovery threatened by new restrictions

“The market expects a major revitalization for global oil demand from this summer onwards,” Rystad Energy’s head of oil markets Bjornar Tonhaugen told Bloomberg. “As vaccination campaigns progress and as lockdowns are set to soon be lifted in Europe and other recovering economies, the need for road and jet fuels will increase and the result will be felt.”

Indeed, optimism appears to be on the rise. Goldman Sachs, which has been particularly bullish on oil, has stuck to its forecast that Brent could hit $80 a barrel in the second half of this year. The investment bank also said in a new note that it expected global oil demand to book its strongest rebound ever over the next six months.

At 5.2 million bpd, according to Goldman, the demand jump will be the result of accelerating vaccinations in Europe, which would, in turn, lead to greater demand for travel. This will also lead to an uptick in jet fuel demand—the worst hit segment of the fuel industry—to the tune of 1.5 million bpd, according to the investment bank. 

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If the rally continues as forecast, it will provide a much-needed breathing space for the Persian Gulf’s oil-dependent economies, most of which need Brent to trade much higher than current prices to avoid another budget deficit. A price of $70 per barrel of the most traded benchmark may be high enough for some, such as Saudi Arabia. Still, others, notably Bahrain, need oil at $100 per barrel to make their budget ends meet.

At the same time, however, it would undermine calls for a green recovery from the pandemic. The IEA has already warned that emissions are once again on the rise after last year’s lull because of lockdowns. The rebound in oil demand that banks and analysts expect appears to be proof that the transition to all-electric transport might be more challenging than some hope.

This article was originally published on Oilprice.com

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/522544-oil-prices-rally-demand-outlook/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

Biden, in Georgia to Promote Economic Agenda, Visits Carter

The president will also push Congress to pass a sprawling package of tax cuts and spending programs intended to address long-running economic inequalities, create jobs and give more Americans flexibility to balance work and family. The most recent batch of plans, which Mr. Biden detailed on Wednesday, include efforts to reduce child care costs, the creation of a federal paid leave program, free community college, universal prekindergarten and expanded efforts to fight poverty.

“He and the first lady are returning to Georgia to talk about getting America back on track,” Karine Jean-Pierre, the principal deputy press secretary, told reporters as they traveled to the state.

First, though, Mr. Biden took a detour to Plains, Ga., where Mr. Carter lives with his wife, Rosalynn Carter. Mr. Carter, the longest-living former president, is 96 years old and a cancer survivor. He has remained largely out of the public view during the coronavirus pandemic, although he appeared at a parade in October for his birthday. He did not attend Mr. Biden’s inauguration in January, and the president had promised to visit him.

“This is a longstanding friendship,” Ms. Jean-Pierre said. “They said that they were going to try to see each other after inauguration.”

Mr. Biden was the first senator to endorse Mr. Carter’s presidential bid in 1976, when Mr. Carter was the Georgia governor and not considered the favorite for the Democratic nomination. Mr. Biden recalled that endorsement as part of a brief video message he taped this month for the film crew behind “Carterland,” a documentary on the Carter administration.

Article source: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/04/29/business/economy/biden-georgia-carter.html