April 27, 2024

Archives for February 2017

Beijing cracks down on ‘ant moving’ underground banks

The State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE) said it had investigated six companies suspected of illegal FX transfers in the southern Chinese city of Shenzhen.

According to the regulators, other firms were found to have used false documentation and fabricated trades to transfer money out of the country.

The authorities in particular cracked down on ‘ant moving’ strategies whereby large sums of money were transferred out of China in small portions to avoid detection.

“Underground banking has become a major channel used for money laundering and illegal cross-border transfer of funds,” said the Ministry of Public Security.

“It creates an enormous black hole of funds, severely disrupting normal financial supervision and endangering the economic safety of the nation,” it added.

Last year Chinese police busted more than 380 underground banks, involving more than $131 billion (900 billion yuan). More than 800 suspects were arrested.

A man looks at the Pudong financial district of Shanghai © Carlos Barria China busts biggest “underground bank”

Chinese regulators have intensified their fight against irregularities in the foreign exchange market, following the acceleration of capital flight.

The government has taken restrictive measures limiting cash withdrawals abroad as foreign exchange reserves unexpectedly fell below the $3 trillion level in January for the first time in nearly six years.

Chinese nationals have been moving their money offshore over fears of a weakening economy and with confidence that investments were safer outside the country.

To bolster the bond market and attract more foreign investment SAFE allowed foreign investors in the country’s interbank bond market to trade derivatives for the first time.

The head of SAFE Pan Gongsheng said this week China’s foreign exchange market was relatively stable and cross-border capital flows were becoming more balanced.

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/378910-china-irregularities-foreign-exchange/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

US not rich enough to give away money for free

© Leonhard Foeger ‘Basic income’ poll: 64% of Europeans would vote in favor, 4% would stop working

“Over time countries will be rich enough to do this. However we still have a lot of work that should be done – helping older people, helping kids with special needs, having more adults helping in education,” he said, responding to users’ questions during an Ask Me Anything session on Reddit.

UBI is an idea to provide people with a regular allowance regardless of their income or assets. The system can reportedly close gaps in equality, with an individual’s basic needs covered with free cash, funded by massive taxes at the top.

“Even the US isn’t rich enough to allow people not to work. Some day we will be, but until then things like the Earned Income Tax Credit will help increase the demand for labor,” the billionaire stressed.

The Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) is a form of levy charged to lower-income families in the US to boost savings, incentivize work and help people to escape poverty.

The idea of giving people money on a regular basis to increase social welfare has gained momentum in some countries in recent years. Basic income was initially proposed in the 1960s and briefly tried out in the US and Canada.

Finland launched its own two-year long experiment on basic income in January. The country’s authorities randomly chose 2,000 recipients of social assistance and started paying them €560 a month per month. Canada and the Netherlands have also announced similar experiments.

READ MORE: Kiwis consider paying people for doing nothing

Last year, the Japanese government announced plans to issue money ‘vouchers’ for low-income young people to halt a significant decline in consumption within the age bracket. New Zealand is also debating UBI.

Aiming to reduce poverty India’s Finance Ministry is considering replacing the country’s welfare programs with a basic income.

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/378896-bill-gates-basic-income/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

Samsung chief to be indicted on bribery & embezzlement charges

Prosecutors said four other Samsung executives will also be charged. Three of them resigned on Tuesday following the announcement.

“The five executives will face charges including bribery, embezzlement and hiding assets overseas,” a spokesman for the special prosecutor, Lee Kyu-chul was cited as saying by Reuters. He added that the head of Samsung will be charged with committing perjury before parliament.

Jay Y. Lee was arrested earlier this month as prosecutors prepared the indictment. He is accused of providing $37.31 million (43 billion won) to non-profit foundations operated by President Park’s secret confidante, Choi Soon-sil. The donation was reportedly made in exchange for approval of a controversial $8 billion merger of two Samsung companies in 2015. Lee and other Samsung executives have denied the accusations.

In December 2016, during a parliamentary hearing, Lee admitted giving $17.46 million (20.4 billion won) to the two foundations, allegedly linked to Choi, but denied seeking any favor in return. He also admitted providing a sum of money and a horse to help the equestrian career of Choi’s daughter and said that he “regretted” that “gift.”

An old friend of the president, Choi is accused of using their friendship to interfere in politics. She is on trial but denies the charges of various offenses, including abuse of authority, coercion, and attempted fraud.

President Park, who has been suspended from her duties following impeachment proceedings last December, has denied any alleged wrongdoings but apologized for her relationship with Choi. She formally remains the president until the Constitutional Court decides whether to back the parliamentary decision.

The spokesman for the special prosecutor said the case against President Park would be handed over to regular prosecutors with Park remaining a suspect. He added other conglomerates may also become involved in the investigation.

The special prosecutor’s office is expected to make an official announcement regarding the conclusion of the investigation on March 6.

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/378863-samsung-heir-bribery-charges/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

Saudi Arabia wants oil prices at $60 to discourage shale production – sources

FILE PHOTO: Saudi King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al-Saud © Hamad I MohammedSaudi king brings 459 tons of luggage, 2 limos 1,500-strong entourage on Asia trip

The figure is expected to heat investors’ interest in new fields and not lead to an upsurge in US shale output, the sources said, citing Saudi Arabia and its Gulf allies, including the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, and Qatar.

Aiming to boost prices and overcome a supply glut, OPEC members along with Russia and other producers outside the cartel agreed to curb oil output by 1.8 million barrels per day starting from January 1.

Since the November deal, the price of crude is up more than 14 percent but still trading at about $56 a barrel despite unprecedented flexibility from OPEC and non-OPEC countries.

OPEC officials have said the cartel does not target a particular oil price, focusing on drawing global oil inventories and helping the market re-balance.

However, Riyadh and its Gulf OPEC allies are looking for an increase as lower prices have put significant pressure on state budgets and stoked fears of a future supply shortage.

At the same time, they do not want the price to be too high. This would encourage US shale producers, hit by the slump in oil prices, to start ramping up production.

“In general, something around $60 this year is good. $60 will not encourage that big increase in shale,” said an OPEC source, stressing that shale oil output might grow by about 300,000 barrels per day this year.

“The Saudis want to see oil prices at $60 toward the end of this year. It’s good for oil investments,” said a Gulf oil industry source familiar with the issue, as quoted by Reuters.

“OPEC and particularly the Saudis want higher prices not just for investment but also as Riyadh as it seeks to offload a stake in state-owned oil giant Saudi Aramco,” said another non-Gulf industry source.

It takes about four years to develop an oil field before production can start, while US shale oil can currently be extracted within a few months once a decision is made.

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/378861-saudi-arabia-oil-price-high/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

Virtual reality market to grow twentyfold by 2020

The greater availability of both hardware and software could help the emerging VR market grow in 2017, the research company said.

It added the VR market is already solidifying as consumers become increasingly aware of and comfortable with the devices, such as Google Daydream mobile VR device. Sales of the premium headsets are expected to reach 21 million in 2017 with Google’s VR device leading the field with 6.8 million devices sold.

Statistics from SuperData show male millennials are most likely to use console headsets over any other device (52 percent) since three in four are gamers. Forty-eight percent of females over 35 try headsets at home, often using a family member’s device.

© TinderTinder introduces ‘dating’ Virtual Reality headset for two

According to the report, this year revenue from VR software are expected to increase by $1 billion from 2016’s $300 million. North America will be the fastest-growing market, expanding from $97 million in 2016 to $403 million this year. Asia will be the top VR software market at $430 million in 2017.

READ MORE: Facebook’s Oculus to pay $500mn in virtual reality case

Goldman Sachs predicted the virtual and augmented reality market could become an $80 billion industry by 2025, outpacing the TV market in annual revenue. It said the industry could pull in $45 billion in hardware revenue and $35 billion in software by then.

Last month Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg said virtual reality technology was still around a decade away from providing consumers with a good VR experience. “It’s going to take five or 10 years of development before we get to where we all want to go,” Zuckerberg said on behalf of Facebook-owned VR company Oculus which plans to invest around $3 billion into the technology.

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/378767-virtual-reality-market-growth/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

London Stock Exchange says merger with Deutsche Boerse derailed by EU

The step sent shares in Deutsche Boerse four percent lower in early trading with the London Stock Exchange tumbling three percent.

Member of the National Front youths puts up presidential campaign posters of Marine Le Pen © Robert PrattaLe Pen win in French elections will boost German equities – JPMorgan

The European Commission has previously ruled the LSE must sell its 60 percent stake in Italy’s MTS, its fixed-income trading platform. The measure was to satisfy antitrust concerns over the merger of Europe’s two largest stock markets.

The move was vehemently opposed by Rome, according to a source close to the LSE. “MTS has the biggest chunk of Italian government bonds which made the Italian authorities wary of a change of ownership,” Reuters cites the source.

Moreover, the LSE described the Commission’s request as disproportionate and warned investors it would struggle to sell MTS and that a sale would be detrimental to its business.

“Based on the Commission’s current position, the LSE believes the Commission is unlikely to provide clearance for the merger,” the British exchange said in a statement.

The German exchange said it would await a further assessment from the Commission and expected a decision by the end of March.

LSE and Deutsche Boerse announced plans for the merger nearly a year ago. The deal aims to create a European trading powerhouse that would better compete with US rivals.

The planned merger has been widely criticized by politicians both in Germany and Britain, particularly after the vote to quit the EU last June.

READ MORE: Germans to take over NYSE

Earlier this month, the LSE agreed to sell part of its clearing business to satisfy the conditions set by the EU antitrust regulator.

READ MORE: Monsanto rejects $62bn bid from Bayer

Over the past decade, there had been four attempts to combine the London and Frankfurt exchanges, with Brussels blocking a $17 billion tie-up between what was then NYSE Euronext and Deutsche Boerse in 2012.

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/378764-lse-deutsche-boerse-merger-doubt/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

Russian economy to grow 2% this year – economic development minister

The star atop the Vodovzvodnaya Tower of the Moscow Kremlin. ©Alexey Druzginin / Anton Denisov / Russian Presidential Press OfficeRussian economy to grow steadily in next 5 years, but has capacity for more – IMF

“The recent data about freight turnover, electricity consumption and other things which we see at the beginning of the year are quite positive. All this indicates that the economy has returned to growth and we will see a good performance this year,” said Oreshkin on the sidelines of the Russian Investment Forum in Sochi.

“Our updated forecast will be ready in late March. We currently expect about two percent growth by the end of 2017. That is, we expect very good dynamics in the economy. We see that investment activity has increased,” he added.

The current forecast from the Economic Development Ministry implies 0.6 percent growth this year if the oil price is $40 per barrel. Oil has been above $40 since February last year, allowing the ministry to issue a more optimistic forecast for the Russian economy. On Monday, Brent crude was trading above $56 per barrel.

“We have some recovery growth, and the period of crisis is ending. Uncertainty in the economy has also fallen considerably,” Oreshkin said.

In January, Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov said the Kremlin is preparing measures to make the Russian economy grow more than two percent a year. “We believe two percent growth is quite slow for Russia,” he said.

The International Monetary Fund predicts global growth of 3.8 percent by 2021, with the Russian economy to grow significantly slower at 1.5 percent, said the IMF Deputy Managing Director David Lipton.

According to Lipton, Russia should implement some policy changes, reforms and structural changes that will increase the capacity of the economy to catch up with global growth rates.

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/378756-russia-economy-growth-oreshkin/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

Dr. Doom warns of stock market selloff ‘avalanche’

The Swiss investor doesn’t expect the rally’s disruption to be evoked by any catalyst, as the markets are overbought and sentiment is way too bullish for the so-called Trump rally to continue.

A trader sits down, on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange © Brendan McDermidRed alert: Prepare for severe stock market crash, warns HSBC

“Very simply, the market starts to go down. As it goes down, it will start triggering selling, and then it will be like an avalanche. I would underweight US stocks,” Faber said in an interview with CNBC.

This bearish forecast is not tied to President Donald Trump, according to Faber.

“One man alone, he cannot make ‘America great again.’ That you have to realize. Trump, unlike Mr. Reagan, is facing huge, huge headwinds — including a debt to GDP that is gigantic, as it is in other countries,” he said.

Faber lists rising interest rates and record earnings and margins as additional risks to the historic rally.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a record level for an eleventh consecutive session on Friday with the SP 500 to see the fewest declines in February than in any month since May 1990.

The investor said that markets in Mexico, Brazil, and Asia also have been picking up significant gains so far this year. However, Faber doesn’t expect the worst-case scenario for all countries that have been benefiting from a strong run.

“China looks quite attractive. For the next three months, money can flow into China. The economy, surprisingly, has begun to do quite well. We see that in retail in Hong Kong. We see that in the hotel industry, and we see that in demand for commodities,” he said.

READ MORE: ‘We’re all on the Titanic’, as old bear says get ready for ugly stock market crash

Faber says that resource commodities such as copper and gold would probably bring the traders solid profits this year.

“When you look at Trump and his administration, and the way the budget is, I think further money printing down the line is inevitable,” he said, stressing that such a policy could push commodities even higher.

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/378734-marc-faber-selling-markets-avalanche/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

Investors wasted billions on Wall Street money managers

Warren Buffett, chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway © Kevin LamarqueWarren Buffett bites into Apple with $1 billion purchase ahead of shares’ fall

He estimates investors wasted more than $100 billion on high-fee Wall Street money managers over the past 10 years.

“The bottom line: When trillions of dollars are managed by Wall Streeters charging high fees, it will usually be the managers who reap outsized profits, not the clients,” Buffett wrote to shareholders. “Both large and small investors should stick with low-cost index funds.”

During the financial crisis, Buffett bet a founder of the asset management company Protege Partners $1 million that the Vanguard SP 500 stock index fund would outperform several groups of hedge funds over ten years through 2017.

The 86-year old investor declared an early victory on his bet. He said a $1 million investment in hedge funds would have generated a $220,000 gain in the nine years through 2016, compared with the index fund’s $854,000 increase.

He said the figures left “no doubt” that he would win the bet which ends on December 31. Buffett also called Vanguard Group founder Jack Bogle “a hero” for his early efforts to popularize index funds.

According to Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway gained 20.8 percent per year from 1965 to 2016, compared to the SP 500’s 9.7 percent gain. In 2014, Buffett said he planned to put 90 percent of the money he leaves his wife when he dies into an SP 500 index fund and ten percent in government bonds.

Buffett’s stock picks have turned Berkshire Hathaway into one of the world’s most successful conglomerates. The company’s stock portfolio includes significant stakes in Coca-Cola, Wells Fargo, Apple, and others.

The billionaire investor praised the US market system for its ability to allow Americans to continue building “mind-boggling amounts” of wealth.

“One word sums up our country’s achievements: miraculous,” Buffett said. “From a standing start 240 years ago – a span of time less than triple my days on earth – Americans have combined human ingenuity, a market system, a tide of talented and ambitious immigrants, and the rule of law to deliver abundance beyond any dreams of our forefathers.”

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/378730-buffett-slams-hedge-funds/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS

Saudi Aramco may be worth a fifth of estimated value

A worker operates the drill at the Rosneft oil company © Sergei KarpukhinRussia overtakes Saudi Arabia as world’s top crude producer

Ahead of the initial public offering (IPO), Saudi Aramco’s value is no more than a guess. The company has stuck to its claim that it has 261 billion barrels of proven reserves, enough for decades to come, and has never publicly released financial statements.

The $2 trillion estimate put forward by Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman last March comes by multiplying the industry-standard estimate of $8 a barrel by the number of Saudi-claimed reserves.

However, as Bloomberg reports, quoting unnamed WoodMac clients in London, the British consultancy group estimates Aramco’s business at $400 billion. Wood-Mackenzie is acknowledged for its analysis and valuation of energy companies.

WoodMac took into account the current tax rate, a cost of capital of 10 percent and its own oil price forecast, the clients told the media.

According to Bloomberg, if calculation like the one proposed by the Saudis is made for other oil companies, Russia’s Rosneft would be worth $272 billion instead of $64 billion, and the valuation of Exxon Mobil would be 53 percent less.

“I didn’t know that the value of an oil company was a multiplicator of the reserves of the company,” Total SA chief executive officer, Patrick Pouyanne said, as quoted by the media.

Several factors should be “discounted” before “we’ll see what will be the real value of” Aramco, he said.

The Saudis have scheduled the IPO for 2018. If investors agree with the price set by Riyadh, just a five percent stake will raise $100 billion, four times more than China’s Alibaba in 2014.

Article source: https://www.rt.com/business/378720-saudi-arabia-aramco-woodmac/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=RSS