April 19, 2024

It’s the Economy: The Secret Science of Scalping Tickets

Within a few moments, a massive man in a Mets hat offered him two tickets for $450. It seemed like a lot, but Arakelian accepted almost immediately. And as I watched him enter the Beacon — these tickets worked — I was struck by the economic oddness of the whole experience. Tom Petty is a scalper’s dream. He may still be able to sell out Madison Square Garden, but he often prefers smaller venues like the Beacon, where there is a large demand for a shorter supply of tickets. Petty also insists on keeping tickets below market price. And while I can see why a veteran artist would try to accommodate his fans, I also wondered why Petty and his promoter would price tickets so low when there were clearly people willing to pay much, much more.

Few products are so underpriced that an entire subsidiary industry exists to take advantage of the discrepancy. When there is excess demand for a new car or phone, some people might sell theirs at a markup on eBay, but there’s nobody across the street from the dealership or Best Buy offering it right away for double the sticker price; there certainly isn’t an entire corporation built on exploiting companies’ failure to properly price items initially. Yet concerts and sporting events consistently price their tickets low enough that street scalpers risk jail time to hawk marked-up tickets, and StubHub makes hundreds of millions a year in revenue.

Most concertgoers don’t usually consider ticket prices as incredibly low. After barely keeping up with inflation for decades, concert prices have risen wildly since 1996, or around the time when baby boomers, who helped start the industry, aged into a lot more disposable income. (It was also around this time that Internet piracy made the music industry more reliant on concert revenues.) These days, prices can seem incredibly high. Barbra Streisand, who charged more than $1,000 for some seats at a concert in Rome, inspired so much anger that she canceled the show. Yet to an economist, the very existence of scalpers and companies like StubHub proves that tickets are far too cheap to balance supply and demand. Pascal Courty, an economist at the University of Victoria, in Canada, who has spent the better part of 20 years studying the secondary-ticket market, has identified two distinct pricing styles. Some artists, like Streisand and Michael Bolton, seem to charge as much as the market will bear — better seats generally cost a lot more; shows in larger cities, with higher demand, are far more expensive, too. (If you want to catch Bolton on the cheap, head to Western New York.) The second group comprises notable acts, like Bruce Springsteen and Pearl Jam, that usually keep prices far below market value and offer only a few price points. An orchestra seat to see the Boss in Jersey costs only about $50 more than the nosebleeds in Albany.

Springsteen’s style might seem more altruistic, but performers who undercharge their fans can paradoxically reap higher profits than those who maximize each ticket price. It’s a strategy similar to the one employed by ventures like casinos and cruise ships, which take a hit on admission prices but make their money once the customers are inside. Concert promoters can overcharge on everything from beer sales to T-shirts, and the benefits of low-priced tickets can accrue significantly over the years as loyal fans return. In part, this explains why artists like Springsteen and Petty are content to undercharge at the gate while others, perhaps wary of their own staying power, are eager to capitalize while they can.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/09/magazine/the-secret-science-of-scalping-tickets.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Cadillac ELR and Cheaper Nissan Leaf Extend Push Into Electric Cars

But instead of scaling back, major automakers are eager to bring more battery-powered models to their showrooms.

Two of the biggest producers, General Motors and Nissan, served notice at the annual Detroit auto show that they are in the electric-car business for the long haul.

G.M., the biggest American automaker, on Tuesday said it would begin production later this year of the Cadillac ELR, a luxury version of the Chevrolet Volt, the company’s current extended-range plug-in hybrid sedan.

Nissan, the Japanese automaker, is taking a different approach to lift sales of its all-electric Leaf sedan. Rather than turn more upscale, it will offer a new base-model Leaf that is $6,000, or 18 percent, cheaper than the current car.

Both strategies have the same intent — to lure a wider range of consumers to electric cars.

“We think the Volt is very much a success story for General Motors and that the ELR will feed off that success,” said Robert E. Ferguson, head of G.M.’s Cadillac brand.

Despite Mr. Ferguson’s expression of confidence, it’s debatable whether the Volt, which runs primarily on battery power but has a small gasoline engine to extend its driving range, has truly been a hit.

Last year, G.M. sold 23,000 Volts in the United States, less than 1 percent of its overall sales and well below the expectations set by the company. Much of the Volt’s volume was attributed to cut-rate lease deals that made it decidedly more affordable than its $39,000 sticker price. (Volts, Leafs and other electric cars typically qualify for a $7,500 federal tax credit and sometimes state credits that lower the effective purchase price.)

“Even with $199-a-month leases, the Volt is still barely making a dent,” said Larry Dominique, president of the auto-leasing research firm ALG. “With gas prices moderating, it’s tough to make an economic argument to buy a plug-in hybrid.”

G.M. is hopeful that its new Cadillac plug-in will attract affluent consumers who want an eco-friendly car but don’t want to scrimp on luxury options like a suede interior and a powerassisted cup holder.

“There are wealthy people who don’t consider price to be an obstacle when buying electric,” said Joseph Phillippi, head of the market-research firm AutoTrends. “In Silicon Valley, they’d write a check for the ELR without thinking about it.”

Mr. Ferguson declined to say how many ELRs that G.M. planned to build, or what the price would be. The vehicle will be built in limited numbers alongside the Volt at a plant in the Detroit area.

“We haven’t decided on the price yet,” he said. “But the car and the value it provides will be compelling.”

Analysts said G.M. would most likely build 2,000 to 3,000 ELRs a year, which represents an incremental increase in its plug-in production.

Nissan is faced with the more serious challenge of spurring demand for the Leaf at the same time that it opens a new assembly plant for the car in Tennessee.

Last year, Nissan sold only about 9,800 Leafs in the United States, less than half of what it had originally projected. Now, with a new factory producing the car, the company needs a major increase in sales to justify the costs.

Nissan’s chief executive, Carlos Ghosn, said at the Detroit show that a new, more modestly equipped Leaf would go on sale in February for $28,800, before federal and state tax credits.

That is a large reduction from the $35,000 sticker price for what previously was the car’s base model.

It is rare for an auto company to slash prices so drastically. But Nissan made the move because it fell far short of its goal of increasing global sales of the Leaf by 50 percent last year.

“We got 22 percent,” Mr. Ghosn said. “It was a disappointment for us.”

Despite the slow sales, Mr. Ghosn has hardly backed off his belief that electric cars can account for 10 percent of all Nissan sales by 2020.

“Zero emissions are here to stay,” he said.

G.M. and Nissan have placed the biggest bets on battery power among the major automakers. But they are not alone.

Vindu Goel contributed reporting from Detroit.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/16/business/cadillac-elr-and-cheaper-nissan-leaf-extend-push-into-electric-cars.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

Notebook | Spending: The Price of Perception

The reason is simple, and not just semantics. It’s explained in every Econ 1 textbook: supply and demand.

Market strategists know that costs are usually irrelevant in determining prices. The optimum price is the one the market will bear, the price at which demand and supply are matched. Tuition in the private higher-education industry is a classic example of price leadership — the “top players” define the sticker price and all others follow suit. Each year, tuitions increase by 1 percent to 3 percent over the previous year’s inflation rate, and still more during recent years of low inflation and modest endowment returns.

Consider the announced tuition and fees for this academic year at these market leaders: Harvard ($38,416), Princeton ($36,640), Stanford ($39,201) and Yale ($38,300). They are not tightly clustered because their costs are identical. Why would it cost almost exactly the same to operate any two institutions as complex as a university?

Further, differences in endowments seem to have little or no effect on how much tuition they charge. Stanford and Yale have almost identical tuition, and yet, with Yale’s greater endowment and smaller enrollment, its endowment per student is almost 70 percent greater than Stanford’s.

Indeed, they are so tightly clustered because the prospective students and their families who are their customers consider all four institution to be tops, and equal in prestige and quality.

If my argument holds, then prices should reflect perceived quality, with emphasis on “perceived.” They do.

Consider the pricing decision at universities just below the super-elites. To charge well below the acknowledged leaders might signal lower quality, not at all the message they wish to convey. So Duke ($40,575), Emory ($39,158), University of Southern California ($41,022), Notre Dame ($39,919), Cornell ($39,666) and Washington University in St. Louis ($40,374) price themselves right with or even slightly above the leaders.

Tuition and fees at top liberal arts colleges — Pomona ($39,394), Amherst ($40,862) and Swarthmore ($39,600) — are similarly grouped.

“Prestige” and “quality” are in the eyes of the beholder. Wannabes price themselves accordingly. Ursinus College acknowledged, when it sharply raised tuition, that it did so to build the perception of quality. Claremont McKenna, neighbor to Harvey Mudd College, where I served as president, raised its tuition when it realized it was gaining nothing by being priced below its competition.

The fact that tuitions are set to five significant figures implies precise calculation. But pricing is a marketing, not a cost accounting, decision.

My lunch companions protested: these are nonprofit colleges, not for-profit enterprises.

But neither, said I, are they expense-minimizing enterprises.

Administrators strive to avoid losing money, while achieving only a small excess of revenue over expenses. Once tuition is set, costs are controlled — or permitted to grow — to match the maximum revenues each institution believes it can get. One assumption is safe: colleges spend all they can get their hands on. No administrator or faculty member I know is short of ideas on how to spend more.

Consider the cost of educating students at two liberal arts colleges with similar missions, Pomona and Earlham.

For 2009-10, Earlham reports having spent about $40,650 for each of 1,113 full-time equivalent students. Pomona spent just under $77,420 per student, with 1,540 full-time equivalencies. Though its tuition is less than 10 percent higher than Earlham’s, Pomona manages to spend almost twice as much.

Now, Earlham’s rural Indiana location is unlike Pomona’s suburban Southern California location, but geography doesn’t begin to explain the difference.

Could Earlham — current tuition and fees: $36,694 — charge a lot more? Probably not. For all its fine qualities, it is not perceived as a top-tier college, and the market likely would not bear it. Could Pomona charge more? Yes. But it could also charge less — and spend less.

Interestingly, if Pomona’s per-student spending were the same as Earlham’s, it could charge zero tuition and not even have to draw 5 percent from its endowment (a typical annual payout rate).

But why should Pomona spend less as long as the market continues to bear the current rate?

Well-endowed institutions lament that even their high tuitions cover only half the cost of educating undergraduates.

Here’s a question for another luncheon engagement: Institutions may be able to spend twice the amount of tuition, but do they need to spend so much? If Ponoma spent the same as Earlham, faculty members might have to teach more than two courses a semester, and dorms and recreational centers would be less luxurious. Of course, not all of this spending is trivial. Spending less means financial aid policies would be less generous and the student body therefore less diverse and stellar.

As sticker prices have increased, so has scholarship aid offered. In effect, prices are discounted just sufficiently to “clear the market” — match supply and demand — for the students the college wishes to enroll. Many of these scholarships are financed through tuitions paid by wealthier students. To date, parents don’t seem to be rebelling against these Robin Hood activities.

But those responsible for setting tuitions at prestigious universities have for years worried that they might soon hit the wall — that is, price themselves out of the market. Perhaps there isn’t an upper limit, or wall, or perhaps that worry has less to do with what a family can afford than with perceptions of price gouging and frivolous spending.

With the demand for top-end colleges and universities only growing, and a finite supply of slots, my bet is that tuitions will continue for some time to rise at a pace well above inflation.

Rich institutions will get richer, dishing out more financial aid, hiring the best teachers, receiving more gifts, amassing bigger endowments and building more fancy rec centers.

The rate of increase in the number of applications in recent years has been more than double that of tuition increases. Obviously, the “buyers” believe that the extra investment in tuition has a positive return on investment.

Thus: Who is to blame for escalating tuitions, the “suppliers” of higher education or the “demanders”? Check, please.

Henry E. Riggs is president emeritus of Harvey Mudd College and the Keck Graduate Institute.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=12d6413b68e4d5bf85cb8110dcbcb97a