April 25, 2024

Netflix Wins Disney Movie Rights for 2016

SAN FRANCISCO — Netflix’s video subscription service has trumped pay-TV channels and grabbed the rights to show Disney movies shortly after they finish their runs in theaters.

The multiyear licensing agreement announced Tuesday represents a breakthrough for Netflix as it tries to add more recent movies to its popular service that streams video over high-speed Internet connections.

It is the first time that one of Hollywood’s major studios has sold the coveted rights to Netflix instead of a premium television network like HBO, Starz and Showtime.

Starz currently holds the rights to Walt Disney’s movies under a deal that expires in 2015.

Beginning in 2016, Netflix will be able to show Disney movies about seven months after they leave theaters.

Netflix did not disclose how much it is paying Disney.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/05/business/media/netflix-wins-disney-movie-rights.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

DealBook: Former Banker Promises Inside Peek at Goldman Sachs

Greg Smith's memoir is set for publication on Oct. 22.Greg Smith’s memoir is set for publication on Oct. 22.

Wall Street has plenty of worries heading into autumn, including the stability of the euro zone, persistent United States unemployment and the historically volatile October stock market.

Goldman Sachs has an additional concern: Greg Smith’s book.

Mr. Smith’s memoir, “Why I Left Goldman Sachs,” is set for publication on Oct. 22. The release date comes just seven months after Mr. Smith publicly resigned from the bank with an opinion article in The New York Times detailing his disappointment with Goldman’s business practices that reflected, more broadly, a corrosive culture at the nation’s largest banks.

Greg Smith's book advance was close to $1.5 million, according to people with direct knowledge of the negotiations.Herman EstevezGreg Smith’s book advance was close to $1.5 million, according to people with direct knowledge of the negotiations.

The article struck a nerve. Within 24 hours, it had more than three million views online. Publishers clamored for the rights to a book. Grand Central Publishing, a division of the Hachette Book Group, secured a deal, offering Mr. Smith an advance of close to $1.5 million, according to people with direct knowledge of the negotiations.

Mr. Smith’s book comes at an inopportune moment for Goldman, which has largely disappeared from the spotlight after a wave of negative publicity damaged the bank’s reputation. It paid $550 million to settle a civil case brought by the government over a controversial subprime mortgage product that it sold to clients. An insider trading scandal has ensnared the firm, with a member of its board facing prison time and at least two other executives under investigation. And its depiction as a blood sucking “vampire squid” in a Rolling Stone article captured the public’s imagination, helping to make Goldman a symbol of Wall Street’s dark side.

But in recent months, Goldman has steered clear of the negative finance stories dominating the headlines, most notably the huge trading losses at JPMorgan Chase and the growing scandal involving certain banks’ manipulation of interest rates.

“Why I Left Goldman Sachs” promises to be a tell-all of Mr. Smith’s 12-year career at the bank. His article in The Times described Goldman as a once-vaunted institution that had lost its way. He wrote that that when he first joined the bank as an intern in the summer of 2000, it obsessively put its clients’ interests first. But over time, Mr. Smith said, Goldman devolved into a “toxic and destructive” culture that put profits before principle. His former colleagues mocked their clients, he said, derisively referring to them as “muppets.”

“I truly believe that this decline in the firm’s moral fiber represents the single most serious threat to its long-run survival,” Mr. Smith wrote. “It makes me ill how callously people talk about ripping their clients off.”

Not everyone embraced Mr. Smith’s missive. Mayor Michael Bloomberg of New York dismissed the piece as “ridiculous,” calling it nothing more than a nasty letter from a disgruntled employee. It also spawned numerous parodies on the Internet, including “Why I am Leaving the Empire,” by Darth Vader of “Star Wars.”

David Wells, a Goldman Sachs spokesman, minimized the significance of the book. “Every day, some young professional, after a decade in a post-collegiate job, reassesses his or her career and decides to move on and do something else,” he said in an e-mailed statement. “Others can better judge whether Mr. Smith’s particular career transition is of unique interest.”

Grand Central has planned a robust print run of 150,000 copies in hardcover and expects to sell a sizable number of copies in e-book format, given the audience for the book.

“Many people on Main Street distrust Wall Street right now, yet few can put their finger on why,” Jamie Raab, publisher of Grand Central, said in a statement. “Greg Smith’s candid account of his years at Goldman Sachs does just that.”

A big selling point of Mr. Smith’s book is that it is about Goldman, which has long been a subject of fascination because of its immense profits and political connections. Also, within the hushed confines of the bank, a code of silence has always prevailed, so an insider’s account is especially tantalizing. Several nonfiction releases about Goldman have had some success, most recently the bestseller “Money and Power,” by William D. Cohan, but the bank has never been the focus of a tell-all.

Yet many in the publishing industry, including several people who met with Mr. Smith in March, have their doubts, and question whether the book has the makings of a best seller. Was Mr. Smith, a midlevel derivatives salesman who failed to become a managing director and had no one reporting to him, privy to Goldman’s inner workings? Does he have access to the firm’s previously untold secrets?

While Mr. Smith’s opinion article became rich fodder for critics of Wall Street banks and the reckless lending and business practices that led to the global financial crisis, it was largely devoid of specific details. Whether the 288-page book fills in the blanks remains an open question. Grand Central will distribute the book with the secrecy of a Bob Woodward publication, with bookstores instructed not to display any copies until its release. Adding to the suspense surrounding the book’s publication date, Mr. Smith has not done any interviews or made media appearances since the the article was published.

People familiar with the contents of Mr. Smith’s book say that while it shines an unsavory spotlight on the ways of Wall Street, it is not just a finger-wagging polemic. Instead, much of the memoir details the whole of Mr. Smith’s Goldman’s career, from when he joined the firm during the frothy dot-com boom to the grim days of the financial crisis.

A summary of the book on Amazon suggests hints at some of the book’s details: “From the shenanigans of his summer internship during the technology bubble to Las Vegas hot tubs and the excesses of the real estate boom; from the career lifeline he received from an NFL Hall of Famer during the bear market to the day Warren Buffett came to save Goldman Sachs from extinction, Smith will take the reader on his personal journey through the firm, and bring us inside the world’s most powerful bank.”

Grand Central considers the book a potential successor to “Liar’s Poker,” Michael Lewis’s firsthand account of the freewheeling antics of Salomon Brothers’s bond-trading desk during the 1980s. Other Wall Street memoirs – including “F.I.A.S.C.O.” by Frank Partnoy, a former Morgan Stanley salesman, and Lawrence McDonald’s “A Colossal Failure of Common Sense,” a tale about Lehman Brothers – have not sold nearly as well as “Liar’s Poker,” which has sold more than two million copies.

Mr. Smith turned his book around quickly, eschewing a ghostwriter and writing his own first draft. He did get some assistance from a professional writer, who provided advice and helped him polish the manuscript, said Jimmy Franco, a spokesman for Grand Central. The book’s editor is John Brodie, a former journalist and editor at Fortune magazine.

Once the book is released, the 33-year-old Mr. Smith, a South African native who lives in New York, is expected to do television and radio interviews, though no specific appearances have been announced. He has no plans for a traditional book tour with signings and readings.

One possible television spot is on “The Colbert Report.” Back in March, Stephen Colbert, the show’s host, mocked Mr. Smith for including in his op-ed that he won a bronze medal in table tennis at the Maccabiah Games in Israel.

Joked Mr. Colbert: “Way to reinforce the stereotype that Ping-Pong players control the banking industry.”

Article source: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/09/12/former-banker-promises-inside-peek-at-goldman-sachs/?partner=rss&emc=rss

For Jobs and Housing, Some Hopeful Signs

Separately, a Commerce Department report said that builders started slightly fewer homes in October but submitted plans for a wave of apartments, a mixed sign for the struggling housing market.

Weekly applications for jobless benefits dropped by 5,000 to a seasonally adjusted 388,000, the Labor Department said Thursday. It was the fourth decline in five weeks.

The four-week average, a less volatile measure, dropped to 396,750. That is the first time the average been below 400,000 in seven months.

Applications need to consistently drop below 375,000 to signal sustained job gains. They have not fallen that low since February.

The job market “is still weak but there are hopeful signs of some modest improvement,” Steven A. Wood, an economist at Insight Economics, said in a note to clients.

The number of people receiving benefits also fell to the lowest level since September 2008, when Lehman Brothers collapsed and the financial crisis intensified.

The benefit rolls fell 57,000 to 3.6 million in the week ended Nov. 5. That is one week behind the applications data. The figure is the lowest since Sept. 20, 2008.

That does not include about three million additional people receiving extended benefits from emergency programs put in place during the recession. All told, 6.8 million people received benefits during the week ended Oct. 29, the latest data available.

A rebound in manufacturing could lead to more hiring. Factory output grew in October for the fourth straight month, the Federal Reserve said Wednesday. Production of trucks, electronics and business equipment all rose.

Another report on Thursday from the Commerce Department showed that home builders broke ground on a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 628,000 homes last month. That is roughly half the 1.2 million that economists equate with a healthy housing market.

But building permits, a gauge of future construction, rose nearly 11 percent. The increase was spurred by a 30 percent increase in apartment permits, which reached its highest level in three years.

Over the last year, apartment permits have surged roughly 63 percent. Permits for single-family homes have increased just 6.6 percent in that span.

Renting has become a preferred option for many Americans who lost their jobs during the recession and were forced to leave their homes. The surge in apartment construction may help increase economic growth, but it has not been enough to offset the steep declines in single-family homebuilding.

Construction starts of single-family homes, which make up about 70 percent of residential home construction, rose nearly 4 percent last month. Starts for apartments, a more volatile category, fell more than 13 percent.

Over all, homebuilding dipped in 2009 to just 554,000 homes, the lowest levels in 50 years. Last year the figure rose to roughly 587,000 homes and this year may not be much better.

Though new homes represent just 20 percent of the overall home market, they have an outsize impact on the economy. Each home built creates an average of three jobs for a year and generates about $90,000 in taxes, according to the National Association of Home Builders.

After previous recessions, housing accounted for at least 15 percent of economic growth in the United States. Since the recession officially ended in June 2009, it has contributed just 4 percent.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=ccba796292f338115d0ec73e6904f8c6

Report Shows a Mere 80,000 Jobs Added in U.S. in October

Employers added 80,000 payroll positions on net, slightly less than what economists had expected. That compares to 158,000 jobs in September, a month when the figure was helped by the return of 45,000 Verizon workers who had been on strike.

Friday’s report also showed that job growth in September and August was significantly stronger than the Labor Department initially believed it was, giving economists hope that October’s employment growth may have been better than this first estimate suggests, too.

“The underlying momentum of the economy is better now than we thought it was a few months ago,” said Augustine Faucher, the director of macroeconomics at Moody’s Analytics. “We’re doing O.K., even if we’re not doing great. The odds of a double-dip recession are lower at least.”

But even without a second recession, frustration over the sluggish recovery could still be toxic for President Obama’s re-election campaign.

October’s job gains were just barely enough to keep up with population growth, and so did not significantly reduce the backlog of 14 million unemployed workers.

The unemployment rate was 9 percent in October, slightly lower than September’s 9.1 percent but about where it has been for the last seven months. By contrast, in the year before the recession began in December 2007, the jobless rate averaged about half that, at 4.6 percent.

“It will take years for the U.S. job market to return to its pre-recession glory,” said Jason Schenker, president of Prestige Economics.

Among the biggest challenges is the army of millions of Americans who have been out of work for months or even years.

The average length of time an unemployed worker has been pounding the pavement is still unusually high, at 39.4 weeks, just shy of the all-time high of 40.5 weeks recorded in September. People who have been out of work for longer spells have significantly more trouble getting rehired for complicated reasons, including stigma and skill deterioration.

“In interviews they say they’re concerned that my base of skills has been antiquated,” said Sarah Hoppe, 43, a former account manager in Toledo, Ohio, who was laid off in July 2009.

“I tell them I have a good mind and an infinite capacity to learn,” she said, but employers still pass her over. “It’s absolutely demoralizing.”

Economists and politicians typically view the monthly jobs number as a key indicator of the nation’s economic health. But with so many potential game-changers on the horizon both in Europe and at home, the latest report may say little about what Americans should expect going forward.

The fate of heavily indebted Greece has been up in the air for about a year and a half now, and this week the political wrangling in Athens has been particularly contentious. Economists worry that if the bailout deal there falls through, a potential Greek default could set off a domino effect that brings down other fiscally troubled countries such as Italy and triggers another global financial crisis.

“The outlook ahead remains for modest growth, but risks remain to the downside without a convincing resolution of the euro zone crisis, which is conspicuously absent at present,” said Nigel Gault, chief United States economist for IHS Global Insight.

Mitigating these worries, however, is the case of MF Global, an American financial services company that filed for bankruptcy this week after making bad investments in European markets. The bankruptcy did not rattle markets as much as some economists had feared.

“We had a primary dealer file for bankruptcy this week without seeing any of the waves from 2008 related to Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers,” said John Ryding, the chief economist at RDQ Economics, referring to two banks whose failures sent global financial markets into a tailspin.

Another potential wild card is Congress’s panel on deficit reductions, the so-called “supercommittee.” Talks have stalled, and the committee has less than three weeks before an alternative (and more draconian) plan would automatically kick in.

If government spending cuts are put into effect too quickly, they could be a severe drag on economic growth and could derail the fragile recovery, economists have said. Already governments at various levels have been steadily paring back, and have laid off, on net, 323,000 workers in the last year.

There are other domestic policy unknowns, too. Congress has not yet decided whether a 2 percent payroll tax cut and federal extensions of unemployment benefits — both set to expire in January — will be renewed. Many economists are pushing for both stimulus measures to continue.

Even if such potential shocks do not materialize, the economic outlook is still troubling.

On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve issued a downward revision in its forecast for output growth next year. Fed officials also said they expected an average unemployment rate of 8.5 to 8.7 percent in 2012. They did not announce any new stimulus measures, however, and the chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, instead strongly hinted that Congress should be doing more to boost the recovery.

Besides the upward revisions to previous job growth numbers, there were other positive signs in the latest jobs report.

Employment in temporary help services rose slightly. Employers often use temp workers before taking the plunge and hiring permanent staff.

Hourly earnings also rose by 5 cents, after a gain of 0.3 percent in September.

The length of the average workweek, however, remained flat at 34.3 hours, where it has been stuck for about a year. Companies usually work their existing employees harder before hiring additional workers, and so the stagnant workweek is not a particularly good sign for job growth.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=1470d97397032cbc504fcfb47f792e98

Economix Blog: What to Look For in Friday’s Jobs Report

CATHERINE RAMPELL

CATHERINE RAMPELL

Dollars to doughnuts.

The Labor Department will release its monthly jobs report on Friday morning, and economists are expecting that once again the news will be mediocre.

American companies probably added a net total of about 90,000 jobs in October, after a gain of 103,000 in September, forecasters say. (Remember, though, that the September numbers were helped by the rehiring of Verizon workers who were on strike during August.)

While job growth is, of course, better than job losses, a gain in the neighborhood of 100,000 is nothing worth celebrating. That would be just about enough to keep up with population growth, so it would not actually reduce the backlog of unemployed workers.

As a result, economists expect the unemployment rate to stay flat at 9.1 percent. If they’re right, that would mean that the unemployment rate has not fallen below 9 percent in seven months.

The outlook for the coming year is not much better: On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s forecast for economic growth next year was revised downward. Fed officials expect an average unemployment rate of 8.5 to 8.7 percent in 2012.

Those figures also do not seem to have factored in whatever mayhem could result from the European debt crisis.

The fate of Greece has been up in the air for about a year and a half now, and this week talks over the conditions of a deal to ease the Greek debt burden have been particularly contentious. Economists worry that a possible Greek default could set off a domino effect that takes down Italy and other indebted countries, potentially causing another global financial crisis. And as you may recall, earlier upheaval — the tsunami in Japan, the Arab Spring, severe winter storms, the debt ceiling debacle in Washington — caused previous economic forecasts to look far too optimistic.

Besides the headline numbers in Friday’s report,  pay attention to:

  • The share of working-age people who are actively participating in the labor force, either by working or looking for work. This share has been alarmingly low in recent months, indicating that many workers are sitting on the sidelines because they find the job market so discouraging.
  • The average duration of unemployment. The average length of time workers have spent fruitlessly looking for work has reached record high after record high, climbing to 40.5 weeks in September. And that number would not even include people who have been out of work for longer but gave up their job search.
  • The length of the work week. Before employers take the plunge and hire more workers, they often work their existing employees longer. But average weekly hours for private employees have been mostly flat at about 34.3 so far this year. We’ll see if hours picked up in October.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=8d07d461617a54283cc0c9d10c55ac16

Retail Sales Rose Strongly in September on Autos

They spent more on autos, clothing and furniture last month to boost retail sales 1.1 percent, the Commerce Department said Friday. It was the largest gain in seven months.

Auto sales rose 3.6 percent to drive the overall increase. Still, excluding that category, sales gained a solid 0.6 percent.

The government also revised the August figures to show a 0.3 percent increase, up from its initial report of no gain.

Stocks rose after the release of the report, which is the government’s first look at consumer spending each month. The Dow Jones industrial average climbed 87 points in afternoon trading. Broader indexes also rose.

A separate Commerce report showed that businesses added to their stockpiles for a 20th consecutive month in August while sales rose for a third straight month. The increase suggests businesses were confident enough in the economy to keep stocking their shelves.

Stronger consumer spending could help tamp down concerns that the economy is at risk of a recession. Consumer spending is closely watched because it accounts for 70 percent of economic activity.

The increase “shows that households are not completely down and out,” said Paul Dales, senior U.S. economists for Capital Economics. Dales said the data correspond with an annual growth rate of 2 percent for consumer spending growth in the July-September quarter.

Dales cautioned that weak hiring will likely prevent consumers from spending at this rate on a month-to-month basis.

“Sales growth is unlikely to remain this strong,” he said. “So although a recession has become less likely, households still can’t be relied on to drag the US economy out of its continued malaise.”

The jump in retail sales prompted some economists to boost their growth forecast for the July-September quarter. Dean Maki at Barclays Capital Research said his group raised its forecast to 2.5 percent, up from 2 percent.

Chris G. Christopher Jr., senior economist at IHS Global Insight, said the increase in spending was an improvement from the first half of the year. Still, he said overall growth was not enough to generate significant hiring gains.

“Do not break out the champagne. Things seem better on the consumer and retail fronts, but consumers still have many problems,” he said.

The September gains were broad-based:

— Department stores sales increased 1.1 percent, a big turnaround from August when sales had fallen 0.5 percent. The drop was blamed in part on Hurricane Irene disrupting shopping along the East Coast.

— A larger category of general merchandise stores, which includes big-chain retailers including Wal-Mart and Target, showed a 0.7 percent rise last month after no gain in August.

— Specialty clothing stores sales rose 1.3 percent, after a 0.4 percent August drop.

— Sales were up 1.1 percent at furniture stores but edged down a slight 0.1 percent at hardware stores. That surprised economists, who expected more traffic from people seeking to repair damage from the hurricane.

— Gas station sales rose 1.2 percent.

The overall economy grew at an annual rate of 0.9 percent in the first six months of the year. That was the weakest growth since the recession ended in June 2009.

High unemployment and steep gasoline prices forced many consumers to cut back on spending this spring. Without more jobs or higher pay increases, they are likely to keep spending cautiously.

In September, the economy generated 103,000 net jobs. That’s enough to calm recession fears, but it is far from what is needed to lower the unemployment rate, which stayed at 9.1 percent for the third straight month.

Employers have added an average of only 72,000 jobs in the past five months. That’s far below the 125,000 per month needed to keep up with population growth. And it’s down from an average of 180,000 in the first four months of this year.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=5e25c833baddff2a815c923a0f5a6a14

India Bumps Up Interest Rates to Cool Inflation

MUMBAI — The central bank of India raised its benchmark interest rates more than expected on Tuesday, saying that it was far more concerned about inflation than it was about slowing growth.

The Reserve Bank of India raised its repo rate by 0.5 percentage points, to 8 percent, its 11th increase since October 2009. Most analysts were expecting an increase of 0.25 points.

“Policy needs to persist with a firm anti-inflationary stance” to counter inflation of nearly 9 percent, the central bank said, noting that while economic growth had moderated, “there is no evidence of a sharp or broad-based slowdown as yet.”

The benchmark Nifty stock index was down 1.6 percent in the early afternoon, after the central bank’s announcement. The Indian rupee climbed modestly against the dollar.

The Reserve Bank of India’s move is likely to slow one of the world’s fastest- growing major emerging economies at a time when growth also appears to be easing in developed economies like the United States, Japan and Europe. Policy makers in China, another major fast- growing emerging market, are also trying to cool the economy amid inflation concerns.

“We certainly have a far more hawkish central bank than we had six or seven months back, when there was a conscious effort to balance growth and inflation,” said Abheek Barua, chief economist at HDFC Bank, a large Indian lender.

The Indian economy expanded at 8.5 percent in its last fiscal year, which ended in March. Some analysts say growth could slow to 7.5 percent in the current business year. The central bank held to its own forecast of 8 percent growth on Tuesday.

In its statement, the central bank was clear that its main focus remains on bringing down India’s inflation rate, one of the highest in the world. In May, India’s consumer price index climbed 8.7 percent from the same period a year earlier, down from 9.4 percent in April.

The central bank said it would like to limit inflation to between 4 percent and 5 percent.

“Several indicators such as exports and imports, indirect tax collections, corporate sales and earnings and demand for bank credit suggest that demand is moderating, but only gradually,” the central bank said. “As such, demand side inflationary pressures continue to prevail.”

The Reserve Bank of India’s policy statement appears to put it at odds with Indian fiscal policy makers, who have been emphasizing the need for faster growth and have suggested that inflation would soon subside.

Last week, the country’s finance minister, Pranab Mukherjee, invited Indian reporters and editors to his office to offer assurances that the government’s reform agenda was not paralyzed by a series of corruption scandals and that the economy would indeed grow 8.5 percent, down from a previous government forecast of 9 percent.

In its statement on Tuesday, the central bank subtly sought to put the onus for the persistently high inflation on the government, saying that the country needed to remove bottlenecks in the food supply, improve its infrastructure and lower its fiscal deficit — areas in which the government has struggled to make progress.

“It is important to recognize that in the absence of appropriate actions for addressing supply bottlenecks, especially in food and infrastructure, questions about the ability of the economy to sustain the current growth rate without significant inflationary pressures come to the fore,” the Reserve Bank of India said.

Mr. Barua of HDFC Bank said the central bank appears to believe that it has no choice but to act more forcefully, but he warned that the high interest rates could significantly slow the Indian economy.

“It’s the monetary policy’s job to pick up the slack, which worked to a point,” he said. “But there is every possibility of monetary policy overdoing things.”

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/07/27/business/global/india-bumps-up-interest-rates-to-cool-inflation.html?partner=rss&emc=rss