April 25, 2024

DealBook: Making a Case for One Leader at JPMorgan

JPMorgan Chase shareholders will vote on whether Jamie Dimon should be chairman and chief.Larry Downing/ReutersJPMorgan Chase shareholders will vote on whether Jamie Dimon should be chairman and chief.

“This isn’t about good governance; it’s about busybodies without a clue, trying to do the dumbest thing — slapping and shaming a superb C.E.O. for utterly no practical reason.”

That’s what Barry Diller, the media mogul, told me on Monday about the possibility that shareholders could vote to strip Jamie Dimon, the chairman and chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, of his chairman role.

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Mr. Diller’s colorful bluntness adds some much-needed sanity to all the hyperventilating pundits and corporate governance hysteria about the fate of Mr. Dimon in recent days. (Incidentally, Mr. Diller expressed this view even though his company, IAC/InterActiveCorp, has split the chairman and chief executive roles.)

Next Tuesday, Mr. Dimon will face a nonbinding shareholder vote about whether the roles of chairman and chief executive at JPMorgan should be split. The vote may not sound like a big deal. If he loses, he would remain the C.E.O., and technically, he could remain the chairman since the vote is nonbinding. But the question before shareholders has moved beyond simply a philosophical debate about whether corporations should have a separate chairman and chief executive.

The vote increasingly appears to have become a referendum on Mr. Dimon personally.

In truth, the machinations around the vote at JPMorgan have an “Alice in Wonderland” quality. Call it “Jamie at the Mad Hatter’s Tea Party: The Tempest in a Teapot Edition.”

JPMorgan’s Trading Loss

While Mr. Dimon has made his share of mistakes — among them the “London Whale” scandal that has cost the bank billions and a series of regulatory blunders — they have not crippled the bank, despite making great headlines. It may not be popular to say, but the incontrovertible fact remains that JPMorgan is still one of the best-performing banks on Wall Street under Mr. Dimon. The firm is possibly the only major bank in the nation that did not require a bailout. It hasn’t lost money in any single quarter while Mr. Dimon has been at the helm. And it has outperformed most of the Standard Poor’s 500-stock index as well as many of its peer banks over the last five years.

Worse, the frenzy over splitting chairman and chief executive at JPMorgan misses a crucial and fundamental point: the person that would most likely become the chairman, Lee Raymond, is already the board’s “lead director” and already performs virtually the same duties that he would with the chairman title.

So the debate has seemingly become about semantics. Should Mr. Raymond, currently the lead director, hold the title of chairman? If you didn’t think there was enough accountability and adult supervision with him in that role, it’s hard to believe you will think there will be if he becomes chairman. Of course, the board could bring in an outside chairman, but that adds its own series of complications.

Even Ira Millstein, one of the fathers of the corporate governance movement, told me that while he preferred a separation of powers, his view had evolved. “Because of the evolution of a broad consensus on the need for strong board leadership, I now believe that one size may not necessarily fit all. A strong lead director with the same duties as a chair might serve the purpose,” said Mr. Millstein, chairman for the Center for Global Markets and Corporate Ownership at Columbia Law School and a partner at Weil, Gotshal Manges.

The knee-jerk response, including my own, to good governance is to separate the roles of chairman and chief executive. It just sounds as if it is more accountable to shareholders.

But the evidence that splitting the chairman and C.E.O. roles has a positive impact on performance is thin. A number of studies have tried to quantify the impact, but ultimately the debate has far from concluded.

In Europe, for example, most public companies have split the roles of chairman and chief. But then consider the financial crisis: virtually every big high-street bank in Britain required a bailout despite the corporate governance structure. Remember Enron? It had a split structure.

Take a look at Fortune’s 50 most admired companies list. Only four companies have split the role.

I also spoke with Henry M. Paulson Jr., the former Treasury secretary and former chairman and chief executive of Goldman Sachs, about the debate over Mr. Dimon’s role. In theory, Mr. Paulson said that he was not opposed to splitting the roles of chairman and chief executive in certain circumstances generally, but in this case believes it would be the wrong decision.

“Jamie Dimon saw JPMorgan through the worst financial crisis in a generation, and now through this period of great regulatory change,” Mr. Paulson said. “To me, in periods of great change, continuity of the leadership team and structure, especially under his strong leadership, is the best path. A change in structure is unwarranted, and could be counterproductive.”

The greatest immediate risk to JPMorgan is change: the possibility that Mr. Dimon decides to take his ball and go home. Mr. Diller said such a decision would be “petulant.” But it is also hard to believe that Mr. Dimon would want to continue running the firm for many years if he receives the equivalent of a no-confidence vote. Plus, there is no clear successor waiting in the wings. (That is something the bank should make a priority.)

So while the separation of two roles might be right in a perfect world, the reality is more complicated.

Article source: http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/05/13/making-a-case-for-one-leader-at-jpmorgan/?partner=rss&emc=rss

Philippines Gets Investment-Grade Credit Rating

HONG KONG — The Philippines was once the sick man of Asia: badly managed, corrupt and poor.

Years of efforts by the government of President Benigno S. Aquino III paid off Wednesday, when the country received, for the first time, an investment-grade credit rating from one of the world’s major ratings agencies.

The move, from Fitch Ratings, represented an important vote of confidence for the Southeast Asian island nation, which has been growing at a rapid clip for the past few years but whose per capita income is barely one-quarter that of the United States. The economy remains heavily reliant on money sent home from Filipinos working overseas, called remittances.

“This means much more than lower interest rates on our debt and more investors buying our securities,” Mr. Aquino said in a statement. “This is an institutional affirmation of our good governance agenda: Sound fiscal management and integrity-based leadership has led to a resurgent economy in the face of uncertainties in the global arena. It serves to encourage even greater interest and investments in our country.”

Fitch Ratings cited “improvements in fiscal management” begun under Mr. Aquino’s predecessor, Gloria Macapagal Arroyo, as one of the reasons for its decision to lift the Philippines’ rating from junk status, increasing it one notch, to BBB- from BB+. The rating applies to the country’s long-term debt denominated in foreign currency.

The upgrade, Fitch said, reflected a persistent current account surplus, underpinned by remittance inflows, while a “strong policy-making framework” — notably effective inflation management by the central bank — has supported the overall economy in recent years.

Investors cheered the news of the upgrade, sending the main stock market index up 2.74 percent.

The upgrade had been widely expected for some time, helping turn the Philippines into something of an investment darling last year. The Philippine stock market soared more than 30 percent in 2012, one of the best performances in the world, and has risen an additional 17.8 percent so far this year — the third best in Asia after Japan and Vietnam. The Philippine peso has climbed 7 percent against the dollar since the start of 2012.

Foreign direct investment, likewise, rose 8 percent last year to $2 billion, from $1.9 billion in 2011, as investor confidence in the country has solidified since Mr. Aquino took office nearly three years ago.

“This is an upgrade that’s overdue,” said Norio Usui, country economist for the Philippines at the Asian Development Bank, which is based in Manila. “Financial markets have already fully incorporated it. Bold governance reforms under the current administration have changed consumers’ and investors’ sentiment. Prudent macroeconomic management has laid the foundation for the strong growth. This rating will give investors the confidence they need to give the Philippines a much closer look.”

The country’s promising demographics also seem to point toward bright economic prospects. While many Asian nations, including Japan, South Korea and China, are aging rapidly, the Philippine population of 94 million is one of the youngest in the region. About one-third of Filipinos are 14 or younger, according to World Bank data. That compares with 19 percent in China and 13 percent in Japan.

“Should the government implement policy to educate and provide jobs for the burgeoning population, the Philippines could capitalize on its demographic advantages to raise economic output,” economists at HSBC wrote in a research report.

HSBC forecasts that the Philippine economy will expand 5.9 percent this year, slightly less than the 6.6 percent recorded in 2012 but well ahead of the 3.9 percent in 2011. Fitch Ratings on Wednesday estimated growth between 5 percent and 5.5 percent in coming years.

At the same time, the country faces considerable challenges. Infrastructure in much of the country remains poor and corruption widespread, despite progress under Mr. Aquino’s administration. Growth has generated pockets of urban prosperity surrounded by vast areas of grinding poverty and few jobs.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/03/28/business/global/philippines-gets-investment-grade-credit-rating.html?partner=rss&emc=rss