April 23, 2024

Britain Isolated After Vetoing Euro Zone Pact

In marathon negotiations, European leaders agreed early Friday on a package of measures that would enforce greater fiscal discipline among member countries but at the expense of ceding some sovereignty over financial matters. They had hoped to gain approval from all 27 members of the European Union but after Mr. Cameron’s veto, had to restrict the agreement to the 17 members of the euro zone.

Mr. Cameron was asking for an exemption for Britain’s vital financial services industry from future regulations that might hurt its competitiveness. After he was rebuffed, he said he had no choice but to exercise his veto. Given the virulent anti-European mood in his Conservative Party back home, many here seemed to agree.

William Hague, the British foreign secretary, called Mr. Cameron’s step “very sensible,” and said that anything else would have meant a loss of national sovereignty. The Mayor of London, Boris Johnson, also supported the move and said “David Cameron has played a blinder, and he’s done the only thing that it was really open for him to do.”

If anything, some Conservatives are saying that Mr. Cameron should go further and reconsider Britain’s entire relationship to — and even its membership in, the European Union. Among them is lawmaker David Nuttall who repeatedly warned that Britain was “increasingly become run by Europe.”

For its part, the Labour opposition wasted no time in attacking Mr. Cameron for, it said, leaving Britain isolated and vulnerable at a critical time.

“This is the most important European summit for a generation, and its outcome is looking increasingly worrying for the U.K.,” Ed Miliband, the Labour leader, said.

Writing in the Evening Standard, he said that Mr. Cameron “had been on the sidelines” of the debate for months. “He has been hamstrung by the divisions in his own party, imprisoned by the Euroskeptics and his failure to confront his party over the last five years,” Mr. Miliband added. “If you get out of the deal-making room as he has done over the last year, you end up losing influence.”

The decision also risks alienating many members of the Liberal Democrat party, the Conservatives’ partner in the coalition government and the most pro-Europe of Britain’s three major parties. While the country’s top Liberal Democrat, Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg, said that he had fully supported Mr. Cameron’s veto, other senior party members were not happy at all.

“Far from keeping Britain strong, Cameron has ensured that we will lose our influence at the top table,” said Chris Davies, a Liberal Democrat member of the European Parliament. In trying to “protect bankers from regulation,” he added, Mr. Cameron had “betrayed Britain’s real interests and done nothing in practice to help the City of London.”

Bob Penn, a partner at the law firm of Allen Overy, said Mr. Cameron had “been politically boxed in by his own party.”

Outside of politics, there was widespread confusion over what this all actually means. One view was that no matter what Mr. Cameron says, Britain will still be subject to a financial transaction tax should it go ahead, at least as far as Europe has jurisdiction over its non-British banks. Those banks working in London would, under this scenario, have to pay the taxes back home.

Mr. Cameron said as early as October that London’s financial center, also called the “City” was coming under pressure from the European Union. Some lawmakers were concerned that Brussels would pass laws or financial regulations that would move lucrative financial services from London to Frankfurt or Paris.

“London is the center of financial services in Europe,” Mr. Cameron said in October. “It’s under constant attack through Brussels directives. It’s an area of concern, it’s a key national interest that we need to defend.”

Some analysts said it was far too early to make any assumptions about what Britain’s veto Thursday night would mean for the future of London as a financial center.

“The City has huge benefits for the E.U., and it’s not in the euro zone’s interest to see that evaporate and moved somewhere else,” Yael Selfin, a director at PricewaterhouseCoopers, said. “This is all part of a much longer bargaining process.”

But concerns among some lawmakers remain mainly because London’s financial sector is among the biggest contributors to Britain’s economy. Shrinking the sector by forcing business to the European continent could have a negative impact on economic growth.

“The concern is that if the U.K. finds itself increasingly isolated,” Mr. Penn said. “You can see — if you’re a pessimist — that Europe could get its revenge on the U.K. by a whole array of bureaucratic and regulatory reforms.” In that scenario, continental banks would be prohibited from dealing with the City unless the British firms adhered to Europe’s regulations.

Article source: http://www.nytimes.com/2011/12/10/world/europe/britain-isolated-after-vetoing-euro-zone-pact.html?partner=rss&emc=rss

European Leaders Question Timing of Credit Downgrade Warning

Late Monday, S. P. warned that the ratings of 15 euro zone countries, including Germany and France, were vulnerable to a downgrade. On Tuesday, the agency extended its threat of a possible downgrade to include the top-notch, long-term credit rating on the European Union’s main bailout fund, if any of its gilt-edged guarantors were downgraded.

Though rating agencies have made announcements before previous meetings on the euro debt crisis, Monday’s warning was striking. Market indexes in the euro zone closed down Tuesday, while the yields on German and French bonds rose, a sign of added risk to holders of the securities.

The European commissioner responsible for financial market regulation, Michel Barnier, complained that S. P. had acted without waiting to evaluate the results of the coming two-day summit meeting in Brussels.

Jean-Claude Juncker, who heads the group of euro zone finance ministers, added during an interview on German radio, “I have to wonder that this news reaches us out of the clear blue sky at the time of the European summit — this can’t be a coincidence.”

This time S. P.’s downgrade threat was effectively a warning to European leaders of the consequences that would flow from failure to take sufficiently convincing action.

Few now dispute the central thrust of the argument advanced by the rating agency that the economy of the euro zone is deteriorating so rapidly that quick and far-reaching action is required to avert disaster.

“I actually see a positive effect, because now everyone must be aware of how serious the situation is,” Norbert Barthle, the budget spokesman for Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservative party in Germany, told Reuters.

The German finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, called it the “best encouragement” to find a solution.

S. P.’s statement will prompt European leaders “to do what we’ve promised, namely to take the necessary decisions step by step and to win back the confidence of global investors,” Mr. Schäuble said.

A report on Tuesday from Herman Van Rompuy, president of the European Council, outlined a fast-track option for creating a tighter fiscal framework, or “fiscal compact,” for the 17 countries in the European Union that use the euro. This method would rush changes through and avoid the need for time-consuming approval in all 27 European Union nations.

The hope among many European officials is that an accord along these lines will give the European Central Bank political cover to intervene more aggressively to ease the crisis. It was unclear on Tuesday, however, whether the more limited “quick fix” solution — as opposed to a full modification of the European Union treaty — would allow enough change to satisfy Germany.

Speaking on a visit to Germany, the United States Treasury secretary, Timothy F. Geithner, praised recent efforts of European leaders to forge a stronger fiscal union.

“I am very encouraged by the developments in Europe in the past few weeks,” including the reform commitments in Italy, Spain, and Greece, and new steps toward a “fiscal compact,” he said in Berlin.

Asked about an enhanced role for the International Monetary Fund, Mr. Geithner responded that it was playing an important role, and that he expected it to continue to do so. He said the United States continued to support the fund “in the context of the efforts Europeans are making to build a stronger Europe.”

Speaking in Brussels, Mr. Barnier rejected the idea that the S. P. announcement was an act of revenge after the European Commission announced plans last month to tighten regulation of rating agencies.

In fact, had the new rules been in place, they would not have covered Monday’s statement. “Our proposals apply to ratings, rather than warnings, though it might be worthwhile to discuss whether they should apply to both,” said Chantal Hughes, a spokeswoman for Mr. Barnier.

Mr. Van Rompuy’s paper outlined the possibility that the euro zone’s new permanent bailout mechanism should be allowed to recapitalize banks and should itself have “the necessary features of a credit institution.”

The paper also keeps open the longer-term option of euro bonds — something ruled out by Mrs. Merkel and Nicolas Sarkozy of France on Monday.

But its main point is that an amendment of Protocol 12 of the founding European Union treaty could be agreed upon by leaders, who would simply have to consult with the European Central Bank and the European Parliament. “This decision does not require ratification at national level,” the document said.

This way countries would write into their own law an obligation “to reach and maintain a balanced budget over the economic cycle.” This could be complemented with pledges of “automatic reductions in expenditures, increases in taxes or a combination of both” when the rule was broken.

More fundamental changes and “an enhanced role for the E.U. institutions, with a higher intrusiveness in the case of lack of implementation,” would mean full treaty change, the document said.

On Tuesday, the French prime minister, François Fillon, indicated that his country was contemplating a full-scale revision of the treaty when he laid down a timetable to French parliamentarians. “Our objective it to reach a deal in March 2012 that would be ratified by the end of 2012,” Mr. Fillon said, Reuters reported from Paris.

Annie Lowrey contributed reporting from Berlin.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=f3c2786931b6e5ef934d4318c2eec819

Germany Calls S.&P. Threat a Spur to Act on Euro

Late Monday, S.P. warned that the ratings of 15 euro zone countries, including Germany and France, were vulnerable to a downgrade. On Tuesday, the agency extended its threat of a possible downgrade to include the top-notch, long-term credit rating on the European Union’s main bailout fund, if any of its gilt-edged guarantors are downgraded.

Though rating agencies have made announcements before previous meetings on the euro debt crisis, Monday’s intervention was dramatic. Market indexes in the euro zone closed down Tuesday, while the yields on German and French bonds rose, a sign of added risk to holders of the securities.

The European commissioner responsible for financial market regulation, Michel Barnier, complained that S.P. had acted without waiting to evaluate the results of the upcoming two-day summit meeting in Brussels.

Jean-Claude Juncker, who heads the group of euro zone finance ministers, added during an interview on German radio, “I have to wonder that this news reaches us out of the clear blue sky at the time of the European summit — this can’t be a coincidence.”

This time S.P.’s downgrade threat was effectively a warning to European leaders of the consequences that would flow from failure to take sufficiently convincing action.

Few now dispute the central thrust of the argument advanced by the rating agency that the economy of the euro zone is deteriorating so rapidly that quick and far-reaching action is required to avert disaster.

“I actually see a positive effect, because now everyone must be aware of how serious the situation is,” Norbert Barthle, the budget spokesman for Chancellor Angela Merkel’s conservative party in Germany, told Reuters.

The German finance minister, Wolfgang Schäuble, called it the “best encouragement” to find a solution.

“The truth is that markets in the whole world right now don’t trust the euro area at all,” he said in Vienna, Bloomberg News reported.

S.P.’s statement will prompt European leaders “to do what we’ve promised, namely to take the necessary decisions step by step and to win back the confidence of global investors,” Mr. Schäuble said.

A report Tuesday from Herman Van Rompuy, president of the European Council, outlined a fast-track option for creating a tighter fiscal framework, or “fiscal compact,” for the 17-country euro zone. This method would rush changes through and avoid the need for time-consuming approval in all 27 E.U. nations.

The hope among many European officials is that an accord along these lines will give the European Central Bank political cover to intervene more aggressively to alleviate the crisis. However it was unclear Tuesday whether the more limited “quick fix” solution — as opposed to a full modification of the E.U. treaty — would allow enough change to satisfy Germany.

Speaking on a visit to Germany, the U.S. Treasury secretary, Timothy F. Geithner, praised recent efforts of European leaders to forge a stronger fiscal union.

“I am very encouraged by the developments in Europe in the past few weeks,” including the reform commitments in Italy, Spain, and Greece, and new steps toward a “fiscal compact,” he said in Berlin.

Asked about an enhanced role for the International Monetary Fund, Mr. Geithner responded that it was playing an important role, and that he expected it to continue to do so. He said the United States continued to support the fund “in the context of the efforts Europeans are making to build a stronger Europe.”

Speaking in Brussels, Mr. Barnier rejected the idea that the S.P. announcement was an act of revenge after the European Commission announced plans last month to tighten regulation of rating agencies.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=c2093d4be911b06bb6a26ac91974b4ec