April 23, 2024

DealBook: JPMorgan Profit Falls 4%, to $4.26 Billion

JPMorgan Chase kicked off the banking industry’s earnings season, reporting on Thursday that profit fell 4 percent in the third quarter as a result of lingering mortgage troubles and weak investment banking results.

Both its consumer and Wall Street businesses were hit hard by the fiscal troubles ravaging Europe and fear of a fresh recession in the United States.

The bank announced profit of $4.26 billion, or $1.02 a share, compared with $4.4 billion, or $1.01 a share, in the period a year earlier. The results edged out analysts’ consensus estimate of 96 cents a share.

“All things considered, we believe the firm’s returns were reasonable given the current environment,” Jamie Dimon, JPMorgan’s chairman and chief executive, said in a statement.

The bank benefited from a $1.9 billion accounting gain tied to the increase in the perceived riskiness of its debt. It also charged off fewer credit cards loans and set aside less money to cover future losses in that division. Those actions helped offset an additional $1 billion pretax increase, which the bank set aside to cover potential legal claims. It also took at $542 million pretax loss in its private equity unit, and its home lending division continued to lose money.

Revenue remained under pressure, falling to $24.4 billion, an 11 percent decline from the second quarter, amid a slowdown in stock and debt offerings that had propped up the bank’s results in previous quarters. Difficult trading conditions, slimmer profit margins on lending, and the elimination of overdraft and other penalty fees also weighed on top-line growth.

As a diversified bank, JPMorgan is seen as an indicator for the financial industry, and it was among the first banks to prompt analysts to start cutting earnings estimates when it warned of a sharp fall-off in its Wall Street businesses in early September.

The other big banks will report earnings next week; Citigroup and Wells Fargo are to release their results on Monday morning, and Bank of America, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are to follow later in the week. All are expected to report a similar slowdown in their investment banking businesses, with some analysts forecasting that Goldman Sachs will report its second quarterly loss as a public company.

JPMorgan’s shares, which are down 24 percent for the year, rose nearly 3 percent, to close at $33.20 on Wednesday.

Investors are so concerned about the prospects for growth at banks that they fled the sector during the quarter. Bank stocks are down more than 30 percent since January.

Stagnant loan growth, higher capital requirements and the reduction of once-lucrative debit card swipe fees are expected to take a big bite out of profits. What is more, investors are increasingly anxious over the exposure of American banks to their counterparts in Europe, which have vast holdings of bonds backed by Greece and other nations with weak economies.

The choppy markets weighed heavily on the results of JPMorgan’s investment banking unit. Profit fell to $1.6 billion, or 20 percent, from the second quarter. Over all, trading revenue was down sharply from the period a year earlier, when market conditions were much better.

The bank’s large fixed-income and commodities operations fell 14 percent from the second quarter, while equities fell 15 percent, excluding the accounting gains taken on its debt. Investment banking fees fell 31 percent, as corporations shelved plans for acquisitions as well as stock and bonds deals, given all the uncertainty in the markets.

The news was not entirely surprising, however. In early September, Jes Staley, the head of JPMorgan’s investment bank, warned that trading revenue was likely to fall about 8 percent from the period a year earlier and projected that investment banking fees would drop by about a third.

”I think you can safely expect a decline in our markets revenue,” he said in remarks at the Barclays financial services conference last month.

Chase Home Lending, the bank’s mortgage division, continues to bleed money. Losses have improved slightly, to around $900 million this quarter, but there are few signs of a turnaround anytime soon. “We expect mortgage credit losses to remain elevated,” Mr. Dimon said in the statement.

On top of that, Chase faces billions of dollars in potential legal claims brought by the federal government and private investors seeking to recover losses on mortgage bonds backed by loans that quickly went sour. It may also have come up with several billion dollars more as part of a settlement with federal and state regulators for its role in the mortgage servicing and foreclosure mess.

The $1 billion set aside to cover claims from investors adds to the billions the bank has put into its litigation reserves over the last five quarters. The bank also established a separate reserve of several billion dollars to cover losses stemming from the repurchase of faulty loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the government-controlled mortgage finance companies. Banking analysts say the mortgage problems could cost the bank up to $9 billion.

The bank’s other major businesses fared a bit better, despite the looming concerns about the job and housing markets. Chase Card Services, its credit card lending arm, posted an $849 million profit, down 8 percent from last year. Chase’s large commercial banking unit booked a $571 million profit, the result of a slight uptick in corporate lending, while Chase Retail banking, which includes the troubled mortgage group, squeezed out a $1.2 billion profit.

JPMorgan’s asset management unit posted a $385 million profit despite facing the same drop in trading-related activity as the investment bank. The bank’s treasury services posted a $305 million profit as executives tried to turn around a business that has come under heavy pressure from the low-interest rate environment.

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I.B.M. Exceeds Earnings Estimates and Raises Its Profit Forecast

The giant supplier of corporate technology delivered first-quarter results on Tuesday that fit the pattern — with a bit extra as profit and revenue exceeded Wall Street’s expectations.

I.B.M. also raised its forecast for operating profit for the year, to “at least $13.15” a share. The earlier guidance was for “at least $13” a share.

In a statement, Samuel J. Palmisano, I.B.M.’s chief executive, said the company saw “excellent momentum” in areas it had pegged for higher growth, including business intelligence software and emerging markets abroad.

I.B.M. reported that net income rose 10 percent in the quarter to $2.9 billion. Its earnings rose more, by 17 percent, to $2.31 a share, reflecting fewer shares outstanding as a result of the company’s stock repurchase program. And its operating earnings, the figure tracked most closely by Wall Street analysts, rose 21 percent to $2.41 a share.

The earnings performance easily surpassed the average estimate by analysts of $2.30 a share, as compiled by FactSet Research.

The company reported revenue of $24.6 billion, an increase of 5 percent, after adjusting for currency gains. The sales figure was above Wall Street’s average estimate of $24 billion. In the year-earlier quarter, I.B.M. had revenue of $22.9 billion.

I.B.M. had strong results in most of its businesses, including hardware, as a new generation of mainframes sold strongly. Revenue from the big computers was up 41 percent from a year ago.

The one question mark, analysts said, was lower than expected new contract signings in the company’s big services business, a possible indication of weakness ahead.

“It was a classic I.B.M. quarter, showing the company’s ability to produce solid earnings,” said A. M. Sacconaghi, an analyst for Sanford C. Bernstein Company. “The only concern is the soft services signings.”

I.B.M.’s quarterly performance, analysts said, was another nod to the success of a strategy begun long ago. That strategy emphasizes profits ahead of revenue growth, aggressively pursuing high-growth markets overseas, and offering customers a tightly integrated bundle of hardware, software and services. And I.B.M. has an unwavering focus on the corporate and government markets.

For more than a decade, I.B.M. has delivered gains in earnings per share of more than 10 percent, while revenue has increased about 3 percent a year.

Cost cutting and share buybacks are part of the answer, analysts say, but so is the steady move into higher-margin businesses and new markets. These include applying research and computing to help governments tackle challenges like traffic management, water conservation and energy use. Last week, for example, I.B.M. announced a deal with the California Department of Transportation to build systems for predicting and managing traffic.

Technology markets are known for rapid, unpredictable turns. Yet I.B.M. issues five-year plans and pretty much sticks to them. The current plan, running to 2015, singles out a few market niches for high growth.

One sector earmarked for growth is cloud computing, the technology industry’s buzz term for tapping into computing resources and information in big data centers remotely over the Internet from anywhere, as if the services were in a cloud. I.B.M forecasts that its cloud business will reach $7 billion by 2015.

Another market singled out for rapid expansion is the business of helping companies mine data for useful information such as using Web traffic and social-network postings to guide marketing, sales, manufacturing and purchasing decisions.

The software for mining vast data troves is called business intelligence or analytics software. In the last five years, I.B.M. has spent $14 billion acquiring 25 specialist companies in analytics. The company’s analytics unit now employs 8,000 consultants and 200 mathematicians.

“The biggest change facing corporations is the explosion of data,” said David Grossman, an analyst at Stifel Nicolaus. “The best business is in helping customers analyze and manage all that data, and I.B.M. is making a big push there.”

In a conference call, Mark Loughridge, the chief financial officer, described Watson, I.B.M.’s Jeopardy-playing supercomputer, as a triumph of the company’s skills in analytics. In February, Watson beat two human Jeopardy champions. “We didn’t invest just to play Jeopardy,” he said. “We invested to provide leadership applications for our clients.”

I.B.M. said its analytics business grew 20 percent in the quarter. The 2015 goal for that business is $16 billion.

I.B.M. has a large business in Japan, about 11 percent of its total revenue, or more than $10 billion a year. Yet despite the exposure to Japan, I.B.M. had little impact in the first quarter from the tsunami and earthquake on March 11. Three-quarters of I.B.M.’s business in Japan is in services, which are typically sold under contracts lasting a year or more. “Services tend to be more stable in turbulent times,” Mr. Loughridge said.

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