April 24, 2024

Lennar Says High Rents Helped Home Orders Rise 20%

Shares of the company rose 7 percent to close at $22.25 on Wednesday.

Stocks of other home builders, like KB Home, the PulteGroup and D. R. Horton, also rose.

“As I look ahead to 2012, I am cautiously optimistic that we are seeing a real bottom form and we will begin to see signs of recovery,” Lennar’s chief executive, Stuart A. Miller, said in a conference call.

Lennar said high rents were driving customers to buy new homes, and low home prices and low interest rates were helping.

The company is experiencing more traffic at its model homes, Mr. Miller said.

Lennar reported a 20 percent increase in home orders for September to November, its fourth fiscal quarter.

Orders are a main indicator for builders, who do not book revenue until they close on a house.

In December, KB Home said that orders had risen 38 percent, with the greatest increases in higher-price West Coast markets.

Mr. Miller said some housing markets were fundamentally changing as foreclosure inventories were absorbed.

Lennar’s net income was $30.3 million, or 16 cents a share, down from $32 million, or 17 cents a share, in the year-earlier period.

Revenue rose 11 percent, to $952.7 million. Backlog was up 35 percent at the end of the quarter.

Lennar’s profit was hurt by its Rialto Investments unit, which focuses on distressed real estate asset investments and asset management.

The company is one of the few to start such a unit, called a distressed land operation.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=d2a2478024a1c81ff76fc2bc7a53255b

Bucks: The Dangerous Allure of Distressed Real Estate

Carl Richards

Carl Richards is a certified financial planner in Park City, Utah. His sketches are archived here on the Bucks blog and on his personal Web site, BehaviorGap.com.

It’s been a rough first quarter for the housing market. While home sales were up 11.3 percent in March over February, they were down 21 percent compared to over a year ago. And home values, well, they dropped again. Besides the difficulties with getting credit, people are just uncomfortable buying real estate right now.

Compare this to the mid 2000’s when everyone was a real estate investor. Back then, multifamily properties had multiple offers the day they hit the market, and being a real estate investor seem like a sure thing. After years of being scared away, more and more people started to think about real estate as an “easy” investment.

Buying distressed properties might be tempting now, and it very well could be a good idea. But it is far from a sure thing. Just because something has fallen 40 to 50 percent doesn’t mean it can’t fall further or stay down for a very long time. There is, in fact, evidence that the housing market has further to fall. And investing in real estate requires skill and careful analysis, not just a kit you buy on late-night TV.

I don’t have anything personal against real estate. It may be a legitimate part of your investing strategy. The problem happens when investors don’t stop to do the math.

Too often, investors get sucked into the buying things they shouldn’t when they fail to add up the real costs. In the case of real estate, how much in property tax, upkeep and insurance will that “sure thing” cost you? How much time will be required, and what is that worth?

Real real estate investors take the time to make sure buying an investment property will “pencil” before they buy it, and they pass on plenty of deals that won’t work. There are lots of calculators that can help, including the one here at the Times.

But the point is that no matter how cool it might seem to buy distressed real estate at this particular moment, if you lack the skill and experience, you might want to consider a certificate of deposit. At least there you won’t lose money, and with the time you save, you could focus on earning a side income or just enjoying your life.

Article source: http://feeds.nytimes.com/click.phdo?i=3e7ec2ae5ebe3ee2c7d07d6e76faa915